In the run up to the Italian local elections of 2016, various organisations are carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Italy. Results of such polls are given in this article.
Poll results
Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's or coalition's colour.
Under the Italian par condicio (equal conditions) law, publication of opinion polls is forbidden in the last two weeks of an electoral campaign.
Bologna
Candidates
First round
| Date | Polling firm | Merola | Borgonzoni | Bugani | Bernardini | Martelloni | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9–18 May 2016 | Demos&Pi | 49.8 | 17.7 | 16.5 | 10.3 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 32.1 |
| 2–5 May 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 43.0 | 28.5 | 16.0 | — | 7.0 | 5.5 | 14.5 |
| 27 April 2016 | SWG | 47.0 | 23.0 | 19.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 |
| 20–23 April 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 43.0 | 30.0 | 16.0 | — | 4.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 |
| 4–8 April 2016 | Index Research | 42.0 | 24.0 | 22.0 | — | — | 12.0 | 18.0 |
Second round
Merola vs. Borgonzoni
| Date | Polling firm | Merola | Borgonzoni | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9–18 May 2016 | Demos&Pi | 67.6 | 32.4 | 35.2 |
| 2–5 May 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 55.5 | 44.5 | 11.0 |
| 20–23 Apr 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 55.0 | 45.0 | 10.0 |
Merola vs. Bugani
| Date | Polling firm | Merola | Bugani | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9–18 May 2016 | Demos&Pi | 65.7 | 34.3 | 31.4 |
| 2–5 May 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 56.0 | 44.0 | 12.0 |
| 20–23 Apr 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 57.0 | 43.0 | 14.0 |
Merola vs. Bernardini
| Date | Polling firm | Merola | Bernardini | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9–18 May 2016 | Demos&Pi | 67.2 | 32.8 | 34.4 |
Parties
| Date | Polling firm | PD | FI | LN | M5S | IB | CC | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9–18 May 2016 | Demos&Pi | 40.2 | 6.7 | 6.8 | 18.8 | 5.4 | 4.9 | 17.2 | 21.4 |
| 15 May 2011 | Election results | 38.3 | 16.6 | 10.7 | 9.4 | — | — | 25.0 | 18.7 |
Milan
Candidates
First round
| Date | Polling firm | Sala | Parisi | Corrado | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9–17 May 2016 | Demos&Pi | 39.2 | 35.8 | 13.3 | 11.7 | 2.4 |
| 11 May 2016 | Tecnè | 37.5 | 37.0 | 18.2 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| 5–6 May 2016 | Quorum | 38.5 | 35.2 | 14.1 | 12.2 | 3.2 |
| 4–6 May 2016 | Index Research | 38.5 | 38.0 | 16.0 | 7.5 | 0.5 |
| 2–5 May 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 38.5 | 37.0 | 15.5 | 9.0 | 1.5 |
| 2 May 2016 | Tecnè | 38.0 | 37.5 | 16.5 | 8.0 | 0.5 |
| 27 Apr 2016 | Tecnè | 38.0 | 37.9 | 15.0 | 3.3 | 0.1 |
| 20–22 Apr 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 39.5 | 37.0 | 15.0 | 8.5 | 2.5 |
| 18 Apr 2016 | Tecnè | 38.0 | 38.0 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 |
| 16 Apr 2016 | SWG | 47.0 | 36.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 |
| 16 Apr 2016 | Ipsos | 38.8 | 37.1 | 16.5 | 7.6 | 1.7 |
| 4–8 Apr 2016 | Index Research | 37.0 | 36.0 | 14.0 | 13.0 | 1.0 |
| 12 Apr 2016 | Eurometra | 33.0 | 30.0 | 19.0 | 18.0 | 3.0 |
| 7 Apr 2016 | Demopolis | 40.0 | 37.0 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 Apr 2016 | Termometropolitico | 40.5 | 35.5 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 |
| 29 Mar 2016 | Tecné | 38.0 | 35.0 | 18.0 | 16.0 | 3.0 |
| 17 Mar 2016 | Tecné | 38.0 | 34.0 | 6.0 | 23.0 | 4.0 |
| 10–11 Mar 2016 | Index Research | 42.0 | 35.0 | — | 23.0 | 7.0 |
| 25 Feb 2016 | Tecné | 37.0 | 33.0 | 17.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 |
Second round
| Date | Polling firm | Sala | Parisi | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9–17 May 2016 | Demos&Pi | 54.1 | 45.9 | 8.2 |
| 11 May 2016 | Tecnè | 50.2 | 49.8 | 0.4 |
| 5–6 May 2016 | Quorum | 52.4 | 47.6 | 4.8 |
| 2–5 May 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 48.0 | 52.0 | 4.0 |
| 2 May 2016 | Tecnè | 50.5 | 49.5 | 1.0 |
| 16 Apr 2016 | SWG | 57.0 | 43.0 | 14.0 |
| 16 Apr 2016 | Ipsos | 52.0 | 48.0 | 4.0 |
| 4–8 Apr 2016 | Index Research | 53.0 | 47.0 | 6.0 |
| 17 Mar 2016 | Tecné | 52.0 | 48.0 | 4.0 |
| 10–11 Mar 2016 | Index Research | 52.0 | 48.0 | 4.0 |
Parties
| Date | Polling firm | FI | PD | LN | SI | M5S | FdI | NCD | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9–17 May 2016 | Demos&Pi | 10.3 | 30.2 | 10.1 | 3.8 | 14.5 | — | — | 20.6 | 15.7 |
| 16 Apr 2016 | SWG | 12.0 | 32.0 | 11.5 | 5.5 | 15.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 19.0 | 17.0 |
| 16 Apr 2016 | Ipsos | 11.8 | 31.5 | 16.6 | 7.2 | 12.0 | — | — | 20.9 | 14.9 |
| 1 Apr 2016 | TermometroPolitico | 14.5 | 37.0 | 16.5 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 9.5 | 20.5 |
| 15 Feb 2016 | TermometroPolitico | 17.5 | 35.5 | 17.0 | 3.5 | 15.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 18.0 |
| 15 May 2011 | Election results | 28.7 | 28.6 | 9.6 | 4.7 | 3.4 | — | — | 25.0 | 0.1 |
Naples
Candidates
First round
| Date | Polling firm | De Magistris | Lettieri | Valente | Brambilla | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18–19 May 2016 | IPR | 38.0 | 23.0 | 20.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 |
| 17 May 2016 | Tecnè | 35.0 | 25.0 | 18.5 | 16.5 | 5.0 | 10.0 |
| 16–17 May 2016 | IPR | 37.0 | 24.0 | 21.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 |
| 9–17 May 2016 | Demos&Pi | 42.1 | 19.7 | 16.4 | 17.3 | 4.5 | 22.4 |
| 4–6 May 2016 | Index Research | 32.0 | 27.0 | 22.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 |
| 5 May 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 39.0 | 23.0 | 20.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 16.0 |
| 2 May 2016 | Tecnè | 32.0 | 27.0 | 19.5 | 16.5 | 5.0 | 5.0 |
| 28 April 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 38.0 | 23.0 | 21.0 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 15.0 |
| 27–28 April 2016 | Euromedia | 35.5 | 25.0 | 21.0 | 16.0 | 3.5 | 10.5 |
| 20–23 April 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 34.0 | 28.0 | 20.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| 19 April 2016 | Tecnè | 31.0 | 28.0 | 21.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 |
| 14–15 March 2016 | Tecnè | 32.0 | 28.0 | 19.0 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 |
Second round
De Magistris vs. Lettieri
| Date | Polling firm | De Magistris | Lettieri | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2016 | Tecnè | 55.0 | 45.0 | 10.0 |
| 16–17 May 2016 | IPR | 55.0 | 45.0 | 10.0 |
| 9–17 May 2016 | Demos&Pi | 62.9 | 37.1 | 25.8 |
| 5 May 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 58.0 | 42.0 | 16.0 |
| 2 May 2016 | Tecnè | 52.5 | 47.5 | 5.0 |
| 28 April 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 63.0 | 37.0 | 26.0 |
| 20–23 April 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 59.0 | 41.0 | 18.0 |
| 19 April 2016 | Tecnè | 52.0 | 48.0 | 4.0 |
De Magistris vs. Valente
| Date | Polling firm | De Magistris | Valente | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9–17 May 2016 | Demos&Pi | 63.5 | 36.5 | 27.0 |
| 5 May 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 60.0 | 40.0 | 20.0 |
| 28 April 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 58.0 | 42.0 | 16.0 |
| 20–23 April 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 56.0 | 44.0 | 12.0 |
De Magistris vs. Brambilla
| Date | Polling firm | De Magistris | Brambilla | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9–17 May 2016 | Demos&Pi | 64.9 | 35.1 | 29.8 |
| 5 May 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 63.0 | 37.0 | 26.0 |
| 28 April 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 60.0 | 40.0 | 20.0 |
| 20–23 April 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 58.0 | 42.0 | 16.0 |
Rome
Candidates
First round
| Date | Polling firm | Giachetti | Bertolaso | Raggi | Meloni | Marchini | Fassina | Storace | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May 2016 | Tecnè | 24.0 | — | 29.9 | 19.0 | 17.4 | 5.1 | — | 4.6 | 5.9 |
| 18–19 May 2016 | IPR | 24.0 | — | 29.0 | 21.0 | 19.0 | 4.0 | — | 4.0 | 5.0 |
| 17–19 May 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 25.0 | — | 27.0 | 19.0 | 18.5 | 7.5 | — | 3.0 | 2.0 |
| 17–18 May 2016 | IZI SpA | 24.3 | — | 26.3 | 24.1 | 15.5 | 6.2 | — | 3.6 | 2.0 |
| 9–18 May 2016 | Demos&Pi | 24.5 | — | 30.5 | 23.1 | 11.4 | 8.1 | — | 2.4 | 6.0 |
| 16–17 May 2016 | IPR | 24.0 | — | 26.0 | 21.0 | 20.0 | 3.0 | — | 6.0 | 2.0 |
| 12–13 May 2016 | Quorum | 24.7 | — | 30.5 | 21.1 | 18.4 | 4.3 | — | 1.0 | 5.8 |
| 7–12 May 2016 | TermometroPolitico | 30.5 | — | 29.5 | 14.0 | 18.5 | — | — | 7.5 | 1.0 |
| 11 May 2016 | Tecnè | 27.1 | — | 30.2 | 19.8 | 19.0 | — | — | 3.9 | 3.1 |
| 9 May 2016 | Deligo | 25.3 | — | 31.2 | 24.1 | 16.9 | — | — | 2.5 | 5.9 |
| 6 May 2016 | TermometroPolitico | 29.5 | — | 28.5 | 14.5 | 16.5 | 6.0 | — | 5.0 | 1.0 |
| 4–6 May 2016 | Index Research | 22.0 | — | 28.0 | 20.0 | 19.0 | 7.5 | — | 3.5 | 6.0 |
| 3–5 May 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 23.5 | — | 26.5 | 19.5 | 19.5 | 6.5 | — | 4.5 | 3.0 |
| 2 May 2016 | Tecnè | 20.5 | — | 28.5 | 20.0 | 19.5 | 7.0 | — | 4.5 | 8.5 |
| 2 May 2016 | Index Research | 24.5 | — | 26.7 | 19.5 | 19.5 | 7.0 | — | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| 28 Apr 2016 | Tecnè | 21.5 | — | 27.6 | 20.0 | 20.9 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 6.1 |
| 20–22 Apr 2016 | IZI SpA | 22.4 | 7.4 | 28.2 | 24.0 | 9.0 | 6.6 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 4.2 |
| 19 Apr 2016 | Tecnè | 20.0 | — | 27.0 | 21.0 | 21.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 |
| 19 Apr 2016 | Tecnè | 21.0 | 11.0 | 26.0 | 20.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 |
| 4–8 Apr 2016 | Index Research | 24.5 | 8.1 | 27.4 | 17.6 | 10.4 | 6.8 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| 22–24 Mar 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 26.6 | 10.5 | 25.0 | 17.7 | 8.9 | 6.4 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| 14–15 Mar 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 24.0 | 15.0 | 25.0 | 14.0 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 14–15 Mar 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 24.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 | — | 11.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 |
| 10–11 Mar 2016 | Index Research | 30.0 | 15.0 | 33.0 | — | 10.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 |
Second round
Giachetti vs. Raggi
| Date | Polling firm | Giachetti | Raggi | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May 2016 | Tecnè | 42.8 | 57.2 | 14.4 |
| 17–19 May 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 40.0 | 60.0 | 20.0 |
| 9–18 May 2016 | Demos&Pi | 45.8 | 54.2 | 8.4 |
| 17 May 2016 | Tecnè | 43.0 | 57.0 | 14.0 |
| 16–17 May 2016 | IPR | 42.0 | 58.0 | 16.0 |
| 12–13 May 2016 | Quorum | 42.2 | 57.8 | 15.6 |
| 11 May 2016 | Tecnè | 40.6 | 59.4 | 18.8 |
| 3–5 May 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 40.0 | 60.0 | 20.0 |
| 2 May 2016 | Tecnè | 40.0 | 60.0 | 20.0 |
| 2 May 2016 | Index Research | 45.0 | 55.0 | 10.0 |
| 28 Apr 2016 | Tecnè | 39.9 | 60.1 | 20.2 |
| 20–23 Apr 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 39.0 | 61.0 | 22.0 |
| 19 Apr 2016 | Tecnè | 41.0 | 59.0 | 18.0 |
| 17–18 Apr 2016 | Index Research | 44.0 | 56.0 | 12.0 |
Meloni vs. Raggi
| Date | Polling firm | Meloni | Raggi | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May 2016 | Tecnè | 45.2 | 54.8 | 9.6 |
| 17–19 May 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 50.5 | 49.5 | 1.0 |
| 9–18 May 2016 | Demos&Pi | 43.3 | 56.7 | 13.4 |
| 17 May 2016 | Tecnè | 46.5 | 53.5 | 7.0 |
| 16–17 May 2016 | IPR | 48.0 | 52.0 | 4.0 |
| 12–13 May 2016 | Quorum | 42.2 | 57.8 | 15.6 |
| 11 May 2016 | Tecnè | 45.6 | 54.4 | 8.8 |
| 3–5 May 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 51.0 | 49.0 | 2.0 |
| 2 May 2016 | Tecnè | 47.0 | 53.0 | 6.0 |
| 2 May 2016 | Index Research | 49.0 | 51.0 | 2.0 |
| 28 Apr 2016 | Tecnè | 47.1 | 52.9 | 5.8 |
| 20–23 Apr 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 51.5 | 48.5 | 3.0 |
| 19 Apr 2016 | Tecnè | 48.0 | 52.0 | 4.0 |
Marchini vs. Raggi
| Date | Polling firm | Marchini | Raggi | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May 2016 | Tecnè | 45.9 | 54.1 | 8.2 |
| 17–19 May 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 48.0 | 52.0 | 4.0 |
| 17 May 2016 | Tecnè | 48.0 | 52.0 | 4.0 |
| 16–17 May 2016 | IPR | 51.0 | 49.0 | 2.0 |
| 12–13 May 2016 | Quorum | 34.5 | 65.5 | 31.0 |
| 11 May 2016 | Tecnè | 46.6 | 53.4 | 6.8 |
| 3–5 May 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 51.0 | 49.0 | 2.0 |
| 2 May 2016 | Tecnè | 48.5 | 51.5 | 3.0 |
| 2 May 2016 | Index Research | 51.0 | 49.0 | 2.0 |
| 28 Apr 2016 | Tecnè | 49.6 | 50.4 | 0.8 |
| 19 Apr 2016 | Tecnè | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 |
Parties
| Date | Polling firm | PD | FI | M5S | LM | SI | FdI | LS | LcS | AP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9–18 May 2016 | Demos&Pi | 22.3 | 7.4 | 32.2 | 5.4 | 3.7 | 8.5 | — | 3.2 | — | 4.3 | 9.9 |
| 7–12 May 2016 | TermometroPolitico | 24.5 | 6.5 | 28.5 | 10.5 | — | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | — | 15.5 | 4.0 |
| 6 May 2016 | TermometroPolitico | 27.0 | 6.5 | 28.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 7.5 | 1.0 |
| 1–3 Mar 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 28.9 | 7.9 | 24.3 | 6.5 | 4.7 | 10.7 | 5.6 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 4.6 | 4.6 |
| 9–11 Feb 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 28.6 | 7.7 | 27.6 | 7.2 | 4.4 | 12.3 | 3.1 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| 18–24 Jan 2016 | TermometroPolitico | 26.3 | 6.9 | 29.1 | 8.2 | 3.9 | 8.5 | — | 5.2 | 1.2 | 10.7 | 2.8 |
| 6 May 2013 | Election results | 26.3 | 19.2 | 12.8 | 7.5 | 6.3 | 5.9 | 1.3 | — | — | 20.7 | 7.1 |
Turin
Candidates
First round
| Date | Polling firm | Fassino | Appendino | Morano | Napoli | Airaudo | Rosso | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18–19 May 2016 | IPR | 41.0 | 29.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 |
| 17 May 2016 | Tecnè | 38.5 | 30.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 8.5 |
| 16–17 May 2016 | IPR | 40.0 | 29.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 |
| 9–17 May 2016 | Demos&Pi | 42.5 | 23.1 | 7.3 | 9.9 | 7.3 | 7.5 | 2.4 | 19.4 |
| 4–6 May 2016 | Index Research | 39.5 | 30.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 9.5 |
| 2–5 May 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 45.0 | 25.5 | 11.5 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 19.5 |
| 2 May 2016 | Tencè | 39.0 | 31.5 | 9.5 | 8.5 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 7.5 |
| 20–23 Apr 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 47.0 | 23.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 24.0 |
| 19 Apr 2016 | Tencè | 41.0 | 30.0 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 |
Second round
Fassino vs. Appendino
| Date | Polling firm | Fassino | Appendino | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2016 | Tecnè | 52.0 | 48.0 | 4.0 |
| 16–17 May 2016 | IPR | 51.5 | 48.5 | 3.0 |
| 9–17 May 2016 | Demos&Pi | 56.8 | 43.2 | 13.6 |
| 2–5 May 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 52.5 | 47.5 | 5.0 |
| 2 May 2016 | Tecnè | 51.5 | 48.5 | 3.0 |
| 20–23 Apr 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 54.0 | 46.0 | 8.0 |
| 19 Apr 2016 | Tecnè | 52.0 | 48.0 | 4.0 |
Fassino vs. Morano
| Date | Polling firm | Fassino | Morano | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2–5 May 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 61.0 | 39.0 | 22.0 |
| 20–23 Apr 2016 | ScenariPolitici | 62.0 | 38.0 | 24.0 |
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