2010 Oklahoma gubernatorial election
November 2, 2010
 
Nominee Mary Fallin Jari Askins
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 625,506 409,261
Percentage 60.4% 39.6%
County results
Fallin:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Askins:      50–60%
Governor before election

Brad Henry
Democratic

 Elected Governor

Mary Fallin
Republican

The 2010 Oklahoma gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010, to elect the governor of Oklahoma. Due to term limits established by the Oklahoma Constitution, incumbent Democratic Governor Brad Henry could not seek re-election. The race had been hotly contested by both political parties, with several well-known Oklahomans announcing their candidacy up to two years before the election. This was the first time a woman challenged another woman for Governor of Oklahoma.

As both parties nominated female candidates (Jari Askins for the Democrats and Mary Fallin for the Republicans), and as no third-party or write-in candidate qualified for the ballot, Oklahoma was guaranteed its first-ever female governor. In 2008, Republicans won majorities in both chambers of the state legislature for the first ever; as they expanded these majorities in the 2010 elections and Fallin won the governorship, a Republican state government trifecta was established for the first time since statehood once Fallin was sworn in on January 10, 2011.

Askins carried only four counties: her home county of Stephens and neighboring Comanche, Cotton, and Jefferson. While Fallin won all other 73 counties (of which she flipped 70), her margins varied, ranging from narrow wins in much of Eastern Oklahoma to a 66-point victory in staunchly Republican Beaver County.

Fallin was the first Republican to win Atoka County, Choctaw County, Coal County, Haskell County, Hughes County, Johnston County, Latimer County, LeFlore County, McCurtain County, Okfuskee County, Pittsburg County, and Pushmataha County in a gubernatorial election since Oklahoma statehood. Fallin was the first non-Democrat to win Tillman County, which had voted for the Democratic candidate for governor in each election since Oklahoma statehood, thus breaking a 103-year streak of voting Democratic.

Democratic primary

Declared

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Drew
Edmondson		 Jari
Askins
SoonerPoll.com July 16–21, 2010 49% 33%
Sooner Survey July 18–20, 2010 38% 27%
SoonerPoll.com May 25 – June 9, 2010 37% 36%
SoonerPoll.com January 2–5, 2010 46% 36%

Results

Results by county:
  Askins
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Edmondson
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jari Askins 132,591 50.28
Democratic Drew Edmondson 131,097 49.72
Total votes 263,688 100.00

Republican primary

Declared

Declined

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Mary
Fallin		 Randy
Brogdon
SoonerPoll.com July 16–21, 2010 56% 18%
Sooner Survey July 18–20, 2010 50% 22%
SoonerPoll.com May 25 – June 9, 2010 59% 10%
SoonerPoll.com January 2–5, 2010 68% 16%

Results

Results by county:
  Fallin
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Brogdon
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   70–80%
Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mary Fallin 136,477 54.79
Republican Randy Brogdon 98,170 39.41
Republican Robert Hubbard 8,132 3.26
Republican Roger L. Jackson 6,290 2.53
Total votes 249,069 100.00

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[9] Likely R (flip) October 14, 2010
Rothenberg[10] Safe R (flip) October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[11] Safe R (flip) November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Likely R (flip) October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[13] Lean R (flip) October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Mary
Fallin (R)		 Jari
Askins (D)
SoonerPoll.com October 23, 2010 56% 39%
SoonerPoll.com October 7, 2010 54% 36%
Rasmussen Reports September 23, 2010 60% 34%
Rasmussen Reports August 26, 2010 52% 37%
Rasmussen Reports July 28, 2010 57% 36%
SoonerPoll.com July 16–21, 2010 46% 40%
Rasmussen Reports June 30, 2010 55% 32%
SoonerPoll.com May 25 – June 9, 2010 49% 36%
Rasmussen Reports February 24, 2010 51% 37%
SoonerPoll.com January 2–5, 2010 52% 36%
Public Policy Polling May 13–17, 2009 50% 34%

Results

2010 Oklahoma gubernatorial election[14]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Mary Fallin 625,506 60.45% +26.95%
Democratic Jari Askins 409,261 39.55% -26.95%
Total votes 1,034,767 100.00% N/A
Republican gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

References

  1. ↑ McNutt, Michael. "Oklahoma Lt. Gov. Jari Askins said she will run for governor in 2010." NewsOk.com, January 4, 2009.
  2. ↑ "Edmondson says he will run for governor in 2010".
  3. 1 2 "SUMMARY RESULTS: Primary Election -- July 27, 2010". Oklahoma Election Board. Archived from the original on August 2, 2020. Retrieved June 9, 2021.
  4. ↑
  5. ↑ "Roger L. Jackson for Oklahoma Governor". Jacksonforokgov.com. Archived from the original on July 12, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  6. ↑ "Owasso Sen. Brogdon to run for governor". Tulsa World. April 18, 2009. Archived from the original on October 7, 2012. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  7. ↑ Estus, John, "Oklahoma candidate filing period marks start of busy campaign season", The Oklahoman, May 31, 2010.
  8. ↑ Casteel, Chris (May 22, 2009). "J.C. Watts rules out run for Oklahoma governor". The Oklahoman. Archived from the original on March 3, 2016. Retrieved June 10, 2021.
  9. ↑ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  10. ↑ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  11. ↑ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  12. ↑ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  13. ↑ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  14. ↑ "Election Results" (PDF). Oklahoma State Election Board. Archived from the original (PDF) on November 16, 2010. Retrieved November 11, 2010.
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