In the lead-up to the 2015 Queensland state election, a number of polling companies conducted regular opinion polls for various news organisations. These polls collected data on parties' primary vote, and contained an estimation of the two-party-preferred vote. They also asked questions about the electorates' views on major party leaders.

Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian is conducted via random telephone number selection in city and country areas. Sampling sizes usually consist of around 1100–1200 electors. The declared margin of error is ±3 percentage points.

Graphical summary

Voting intention

Legislative Assembly polling
Date Firm Primary vote TPP vote
LNP ALP GRN PUP KAP OTH LNP ALP
29 Jan 2015 Essential[1] 39% 38% 7% 5% 2% 9% 50% 50%
29 Jan 2015 Newspoll[2] 41% 37% 6% 3% 2% 11% 52% 48%
29 Jan 2015 Galaxy[3] 38% 39% 10% 5% 2% 10% 46% 54%
20 Jan 2015 ReachTEL[4] 42% 36.7% 8.4% 5.2% — 7.6% 52% 48%
16–18 Jan 2015 Roy Morgan[5] 39.5% 37% 10% 4% 3.5% 6% 50.5% 49.5%
7–8 Jan 2015 Galaxy[6] 41% 38% 8% 3% 3% 7% 52% 48%
6–8 Jan 2015 Newspoll[7] 42% 37% 7% 1% 1% 12% 53% 47%
6 Jan 2015 ReachTEL[8] 40.3% 38.1% 7.6% 6.3% — 7.7% 50% 50%
28 Nov 2014 ReachTEL[8] 39.2% 37.3% 7.9% 6.5% — 9.1% 49% 51%
21–24 Nov 2014 Roy Morgan[9] 39% 36.5% 9.5% 4% 3.5% 7.5% 50.5% 49.5%
18–19 Nov 2014 Galaxy[6] 37% 38% 9% 7% 3% 6% 50% 50%
Oct–Dec 2014 Newspoll 37% 36% 10% — 1%* 16% 50% 50%
24–27 Oct 2014 Roy Morgan[10] 38.5% 38% 10% 6% 2% 5.5% 49.5% 50.5%
9 Oct 2014 ReachTEL[8] 40.9% 36.6% 7.6% 7.2% — 7.7% 51% 49%
26–29 Sept 2014 Roy Morgan[11] 42% 35.5% 9% 6.5% 2.5% 4.5% 51% 49%
4 Sept 2014 ReachTEL[8] 41.2% 36% 6% 9.5% — 7.2% 51% 49%
12–14 Aug 2014 Galaxy[6] 39% 36% 7% 12% 3% 3% 52% 48%
Jul–Sep 2014 Newspoll 39% 32% 10% — 1%* 18% 54% 46%
7 Aug 2014 ReachTEL[8] 41% 34.4% 5.5% 12.6% — 6.5% 52% 48%
3 Jul 2014 ReachTEL[8] 38.7% 34.4% 6.1% 15.4% — 5.4% 51% 49%
5 Jun 2014 ReachTEL[8] 40.9% 34.1% 5.2% 13.6% — 6.3% 53% 47%
21–22 May 2014 Galaxy[12] 43% 34% 8% — 5% 10% 55% 45%
Apr–Jun 2014 Newspoll 32% 34% 8% — 2%* 24% 49% 51%
2 Apr 2014 ReachTEL[13] 39.1% 35.1% 7.3% 8.0% 3.3% 3.0% — —
Jan–Mar 2014 Newspoll 40% 36% 8% — 1%* 15% 52% 48%
Oct–Dec 2013 Newspoll 40% 32% 8% — 2%* 18% 55% 45%
10 Jul 2013 ReachTEL[14] 43.3% 37.0% 5.1% 4.5% 5.7% 4.4% — —
23 May 2013 ReachTEL[15] 44.6% 28.2% 9.0% † 10.4% 7.8% — —
Apr–Jun 2013 Newspoll 44% 29% 10% † 3%* 14% 59% 41%
19 Apr 2013 ReachTEL[16] 45.1% 29.2% 7.7% † 12.7% 5.4% — —
23 Mar – 2 Apr 2013 ReachTEL[17] 45.8% 30.4% 8.2% † 9.9% 5.6% — —
20 Mar 2013 ReachTEL[18] 47.8% 30.2% 8.0% † 10.1% 3.9% — —
22 Feb 2013 ReachTEL[19] 47.1% 28.9% 7.9% † 11.5% 4.5% — —
Jan–Mar 2013 Newspoll 49% 27% 6% † 3%* 15% 62% 38%
18 Jan 2013 ReachTEL[20] 42.5% 34.9% 8.4% † 10.5% 3.6% — —
14 Dec 2012 ReachTEL[21] 41.9% 32.1% 8.2% † 12.1% 5.7% — —
23 Nov 2012 ReachTEL[22] 42% 34.2% 9.5% † 8.9% 5.4% — —
Oct–Dec 2012 Newspoll 42% 31% 8% † 4%* 15% 56% 44%
12 Oct 2012 ReachTEL[23] 44.6% 30.5% 7.5% † 11% 6.4% — —
14 Sept 2012 ReachTEL[24] 44.7% 34.7% 7% † 9.4% 4.1% — —
17 Aug 2012 ReachTEL[25] 44.2% 31.6% 9.2% † 9.6% 5.4% — —
10/11 Jul & 7/8, 14/15 Aug 2012 Roy Morgan[26] 51% 27.5% 7.5% † 5% 9% 59% 41%
2 Jul 2012 ReachTEL[24][27] 56.5% 21.8% 9.4% † 7.4% 4.8% — —
Jul–Sep 2012 Newspoll 48% 30% 9% † 1%* 12% 60% 40%
5/6 & 12/13 June 2012 Roy Morgan[28] 54.5% 28% 7.5% † 3.5% 6.5% 62% 38%
28 March 2012 Annastacia Palaszczuk becomes Labor leader and leader of the opposition
24 Mar 2012 election 49.7% 26.7% 7.5% † 11.5% 4.6% 62.8% 37.2%
20–22 Mar 2012 Newspoll 50% 28% 6% † ‡ 16% 60.8% 39.2%
20–21 Mar 2012 Roy Morgan[29] 51% 28% 7.5% † 8.5% 5% 62% 38%
* KAP is not offered as a choice on Newspoll, individuals must nominate them, as such KAP is included as "Others".
† Palmer United Party announced in April 2013[30] and registered in June 2013,[31] as such, there is no polling data before this point.
‡ KAP part of others prior to election. **On the final Newpoll (29 January 2015), PUP is included with the others total (14%), but a provided footnote shows them to have support of 3% of voters.
Newspoll polling is published in The Australian and sourced from here

Leadership polling

Better Premier and satisfaction polling*
Date Firm Better Premier Newman Palaszczuk
Newman Palaszczuk Satisfied Dissatisfied Satisfied Dissatisfied
27–29 Jan 2015 Newspoll[2] 43% 42% 35% 58% 38% 40%
16–18 Jan 2015 Roy Morgan[5] 48.5% 51.5% not asked
6–8 Jan 2015 Newspoll[7] 42% 38% 41% 51% 38% 38%
21–24 Nov 2014 Roy Morgan[9] 47.5% 52.5% not asked
Oct–Dec 2014 Newspoll 44% 35% 38% 51% 38% 34%
24–27 Oct 2014 Roy Morgan[10] 47.5% 52.5% not asked
26–29 Sept 2014 Roy Morgan[11] 50% 50% not asked
Jul–Sep 2014 Newspoll 41% 35% 35% 54% 36% 36%
Apr–Jun 2014 Newspoll 39% 35% 33% 57% 35% 37%
Jan–Mar 2014 Newspoll 41% 35% 36% 54% 38% 30%
Oct–Dec 2013 Newspoll 45% 32% 40% 48% 36% 31%
Apr–Jun 2013 Newspoll 49% 26% 41% 46% 34% 33%
Jan–Mar 2013 Newspoll 53% 21% 43% 45% 33% 33%
Oct–Dec 2012 Newspoll 45% 29% 38% 48% 34% 30%
10/11 Jul & 7/8, 14/15 Aug 2012 Roy Morgan[26] 62.5% 20.5% 51% 36% 33% 28.5%
Jul–Sep 2012 Newspoll 55% 21% 47% 38% 29% 30%
5/6 & 12/13 June 2012 Roy Morgan[28] 67.5% 16% 53% 26.5% 26.5% 21%
28 March 2012 Palaszczuk replaces Bligh Newman Bligh Newman Bligh
24 Mar 2012 election – – – – – –
20–22 Mar 2012 Newspoll 51% 36% 47% 40% 36% 58%
20–21 Mar 2012 Roy Morgan[29] 48% 35% 53% 34.5% 38.5% 53.5%
* Remainder were "uncommitted" or "other/neither".
Newspoll polling is published in The Australian and sourced from here

References

  1. ↑ "7 The Essential Report – Queensland State Election" (PDF). news.com.au. 29 January 2015. Archived from the original (PDF) on 28 February 2015. Retrieved 29 January 2015.
  2. 1 2 "In the state election to be held this Saturday, while one of the following will you vote for?" (PDF). Newspoll & The Australian. Archived from the original (PDF) on 29 June 2018. Retrieved 10 April 2020.
  3. ↑ Branco, Jorge (31 January 2015). "Queensland Election 2015: Early exit poll figures predict Labor win". Brisbane Times. Archived from the original on 30 September 2019. Retrieved 2019-09-30.
  4. ↑ "7 News – Queensland poll – 20 January 2015". ReachTEL. 21 January 2015. Archived from the original on 22 January 2015. Retrieved 25 January 2015.
  5. 1 2 "Queensland State Election too close to call with only a week to go but Mike Baird set to be re-elected Premier in NSW". Roy Morgan Research. 22 January 2015. Archived from the original on 24 January 2015. Retrieved 25 January 2015.
  6. 1 2 3 "Galaxy Polling – Queensland State Election – 7–9 January 2015". Galaxy Research. Archived from the original on 28 February 2015. Retrieved 12 January 2015.
  7. 1 2 "Queensland" (PDF). Newspoll. The Australian. Archived (PDF) from the original on 4 March 2016. Retrieved 25 January 2015.
  8. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "7 News – Queensland poll – 6 January 2015". ReachTEL. 7 January 2015. Archived from the original on 14 January 2015. Retrieved 11 January 2015.
  9. 1 2 "Coalition well ahead in NSW but Queensland too close to call. Palmer United Party loses support in every State". Roy Morgan Research. 26 November 2014. Archived from the original on 8 December 2014. Retrieved 11 January 2015.
  10. 1 2 "Coalition well ahead in NSW but Queensland too close to call". Roy Morgan Research. 28 October 2014. Archived from the original on 15 February 2015. Retrieved 11 January 2015.
  11. 1 2 "ALP in 'Box Seat' for Victorian State Election. Coalition still ahead in NSW & Queensland". Roy Morgan Research. 1 October 2014. Archived from the original on 15 February 2015. Retrieved 11 January 2015.
  12. ↑ "18/19 Nov 2014: SUPPORT FOR LNP DROPS TO NEW LOW". Galaxy Research. Archived from the original on 27 February 2015. Retrieved 25 January 2015.
  13. ↑ "Working for Queenslanders – Queensland state poll – 2nd April 2014". ReachTEL. 4 April 2014. Archived from the original on 15 January 2015. Retrieved 11 January 2015.
  14. ↑ "Queensland poll – July 2013". ReachTEL. 11 July 2013. Archived from the original on 15 January 2015. Retrieved 11 January 2015.
  15. ↑ "7 News – Queensland poll – May 2013". ReachTEL. 26 May 2013. Archived from the original on 15 January 2015. Retrieved 11 January 2015.
  16. ↑ "Do Queenslanders give a Gonski?". ReachTEL. 24 April 2013. Archived from the original on 15 January 2015. Retrieved 11 January 2015.
  17. ↑ "Largest scientific political poll in Australian history". ReachTEL. 10 April 2013. Archived from the original on 15 January 2015. Retrieved 11 January 2015.
  18. ↑ "Newman maintains lead in Queensland". ReachTEL. 21 March 2013. Archived from the original on 15 January 2015. Retrieved 11 January 2015.
  19. ↑ "Sharp increase for LNP support in Queensland". ReachTEL. 24 February 2013. Archived from the original on 21 January 2015. Retrieved 11 January 2015.
  20. ↑ "Queensland Labor support higher to start 2013". ReachTEL. 20 January 2013. Archived from the original on 21 January 2015. Retrieved 11 January 2015.
  21. ↑ "Queensland LNP performance causing Federal issues". ReachTEL. 16 December 2012. Archived from the original on 15 January 2013. Retrieved 11 January 2015.
  22. ↑ "LNP vote slumps further in Queensland". ReachTEL. 25 November 2012. Archived from the original on 21 January 2015. Retrieved 11 January 2015.
  23. ↑ "No support for asset sales in Queensland". ReachTEL. 14 October 2012. Archived from the original on 21 January 2015. Retrieved 11 January 2015.
  24. 1 2 "LNP support unchanged in QLD after a difficult month". ReachTEL. 16 September 2012. Archived from the original on 21 January 2015. Retrieved 11 January 2015.
  25. ↑ "Newman cops battering in State poll – Nine News Brisbane". ReachTEL. 21 August 2012. Archived from the original on 21 January 2015. Retrieved 11 January 2015.
  26. 1 2 "L-NP Lead in Four Major States". Roy Morgan Research. 17 August 2012. Archived from the original on 15 February 2015. Retrieved 11 January 2015.
  27. ↑ "Campbell Newman's first 100 days – LNP increases lead over Labor". ReachTEL. 3 July 2012. Archived from the original on 21 January 2015. Retrieved 11 January 2015.
  28. 1 2 "MORGAN POLL STATE VOTING INTENTION L-NP LEADS IN AUSTRALIA'S BIGGEST STATES: NSW: L-NP (61%) CF. ALP (39%); VICTORIA: L-NP (52%) CF. ALP (48%) & QUEENSLAND: LNP (62%) CF. ALP (38%)". Roy Morgan Research. 16 June 2012. Archived from the original on 15 February 2015. Retrieved 11 January 2015.
  29. 1 2 "The LNP Looks Set to Easily Win Saturday's Queensland State Election with Former Brisbane Lord Mayor Campbell Newman Elected Premier". Roy Morgan Research. 22 March 2012. Archived from the original on 11 April 2015. Retrieved 11 January 2015.
  30. ↑ "Palmer to re-form UAP party for election". Brisbane Times. 25 April 2013. Archived from the original on 26 September 2013. Retrieved 11 January 2015.
  31. ↑ Howells, Melinda (6 June 2013). "Billionaire Clive Palmer's party gains official registration in Qld". ABC News. Australian Broadcasting Corporation. Archived from the original on 13 November 2014. Retrieved 11 January 2015.
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