In the lead-up to the 2020 Queensland state election, a number of polling companies conducted regular opinion polls for various news organisations. These polls collected data on parties' primary vote, and contained an estimation of the two-party-preferred vote. They also asked questions about the electorates' views on major party leaders.

Graphical summary

Primary vote.
Two-party-preferred vote.
Aggregate data of voting intention from all opinion polling since the last state election. Local regression trends for each party are shown as solid lines.

Voting intention

Legislative Assembly polling
Date Firm Primary vote 2pp vote
ALP LNP Green ON Other ALP LNP
31 October 2020 election 39.6% 35.9% 9.5% 7.1% 7.9% 53.2% 46.8%
25–30 Oct 2020 Newspoll[1] 37% 36% 11% 10% 6% 51.5% 48.5%
12–15 Oct 2020 Roy Morgan[2] 36% 35% 10% 12% 7% 51% 49%
9–14 Oct 2020 Newspoll[3] 37% 37% 11% 9% 6% 52% 48%
24 Sep–1 Oct 2020 YouGov[4] 37% 37% 12% 9% 5% 52% 48%
30 July 2020 Newspoll[5] 34% 38% 12% 11% 5% 49% 51%
7 June 2020 YouGov[6] 32% 38% 12% 12% 6% 48% 52%
7 February 2020 YouGov[7] 34% 35% 10% 15% 6% 50% 50%
30 August 2019 YouGov[8] 32% 37% 13% 13% 5% 49% 51%
13–14 February 2019 YouGov[9] 35% 35% 11% 8% 11% 52% 48%
7–8 November 2018 YouGov[10] 36% 34% 11% 10% 9% 53% 47%
8–9 August 2018 YouGov[11] 35% 37% 11% 10% 7% 51% 49%
9–10 May 2018 YouGov[12] 38% 35% 10% 12% 5% 53% 47%
7–8 Feb 2018 YouGov[13] 37% 36% 10% 10% 7% 52% 48%
12 December 2017 Deb Frecklington becomes leader of the Liberal National Party and Leader of the Opposition
25 Nov 2017 election 35.4% 33.7% 10.0% 13.7% 7.2% 51.2% 48.8%
21–24 Nov 2017 Newspoll[14] 36% 34% 10% 13% 7% 52.5% 47.5%
24 Nov 2017 Galaxy[15] 37% 35% 9% 12% 7% 52% 48%
20 Nov 2017 ReachTEL[16] 34% 30% 10% 17% 9% 51% 49%

Better Premier and leadership approval

Opinion polls conducted for preferred premier
Approval ratings of Annastacia Palaszczuk
Approval ratings of Deb Frecklington
Better premier/approval polling
Date Firm Better premier Palaszczuk Frecklington
Palaszczuk Frecklington Satisfied Dissatisfied Satisfied Dissatisfied
9–14 Oct 2020 Newspoll[17] 56% 32% 63% 33% 37% 44%
24 Sep–1 Oct 2020 YouGov[4] 48% 22% 57% 27% 29% 32%
21 September 2020 Newspoll[18] - - 63% 33% - -
30 July 2020 Newspoll[19] 57% 26% 64% 29% 34% 42%
12 June 2020 Liberal National Party[20] 42% 19% - - - -
7 June 2020 YouGov[7] 44% 23% 49% 33% 26% 29%
7 February 2020 YouGov[7] 34% 22% 29% 44% 23% 33%
30 August 2019 YouGov[21] 34% 29% 34% 45% 30% 30%
13–14 February 2019 YouGov[9] 47% 27% 48% 38% 31% 35%
7–8 November 2018 YouGov[10] 43% 26% 46% 37% 35% 29%
8–9 August 2018 YouGov[11] - - 41% 38% 31% 26%
9–10 May 2018 YouGov[12] 47% 27% 46% 38% 31% 28%
7–8 Feb 2018 YouGov[13] 42% 31% - - - -
12 December 2017 Deb Frecklington becomes leader of the Liberal National Party and Leader of the Opposition

References

  1. ↑ "Queensland election: Labor set for third term, but it's tight, Newspoll shows". The Australian. Archived from the original on 23 November 2021. Retrieved 2020-10-31.
  2. ↑ "ALP Government leads with a slim majority in Queensland; small majority of Queenslanders don't want NSW border open now". Roy Morgan. Archived from the original on 22 October 2020. Retrieved 20 October 2020.
  3. ↑ "Queensland ALP regains poll lead". The Australian. Archived from the original on 23 October 2020. Retrieved 2020-10-17.
  4. 1 2 "Labor would win Queensland election if it was held today, YouGov poll shows". Courier Mail.
  5. ↑ "Popular Queensland Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk but poll party postponed- The Australian". The Australian.
  6. ↑ "YouGov: Labor's vote shrivels, as LNP surges". Courier Mail. Archived from the original on 6 October 2020. Retrieved 6 June 2020.
  7. 1 2 3 "YouGov Galaxy: 50-50 in Queensland". Poll Bludger. 7 February 2020. Archived from the original on 7 February 2020. Retrieved 7 February 2020.
  8. ↑ "YouGov Galaxy: 51-49 to state LNP in Queensland". Poll Bludger. 30 August 2019. Archived from the original on 21 December 2019. Retrieved 15 September 2019.
  9. 1 2 "YouGov Galaxy: Labor 35, LNP 35, Greens 11, One Nation 8 in Queensland". Poll Bludger. 10 November 2018. Archived from the original on 30 August 2019. Retrieved 30 August 2019.
  10. 1 2 "YouGov Galaxy: 53-47 to Labor in Queensland". Poll Bludger. 10 November 2018. Archived from the original on 10 November 2018. Retrieved 10 November 2018.
  11. 1 2 "YouGov Galaxy: 51-49 to state Labor in Queensland". Poll Bludger. 12 August 2018. Archived from the original on 12 August 2018. Retrieved 12 August 2018.
  12. 1 2 "YouGov Galaxy: 53-47 to state Labor in Queensland". Poll Bludger. 13 May 2018. Archived from the original on 16 April 2019. Retrieved 13 May 2018.
  13. 1 2 "YouGov Galaxy: 52-48 to state Labor in Queensland". Poll Bludger. 12 February 2018. Archived from the original on 13 February 2018. Retrieved 12 February 2018.
  14. ↑ "Queensland election: swing to ALP but Hanson strings attached". The Australian. Archived from the original on 6 October 2020. Retrieved 25 November 2017.
  15. ↑ "Queensland Election 2017 galaxy poll predicts win for Labor and Premier Annastacia Palaszcuk". The Courier Mail. Archived from the original on 6 October 2020. Retrieved 23 November 2017.
  16. ↑ "Labor leads LNP by 2 points in Qld: Poll". Sky News. Archived from the original on 23 November 2017. Retrieved 21 November 2017.
  17. ↑ Bowe, William (October 16, 2020). "Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor in Queensland". The Poll Bludger. Archived from the original on 18 October 2020. Retrieved October 18, 2020.
  18. ↑ "Majority support strict qld border lockdowns". The Australian. Archived from the original on 6 October 2020.
  19. ↑ "Popular Queensland Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk but poll party postponed". The Australian.
  20. ↑ Wardill, Steven (2020). "Deb Frecklington trails Annastacia Palaszczuk in popularity contest: LNP polling". Courier Mail. Archived from the original on 6 October 2020. Retrieved 14 June 2020.
  21. ↑ "YouGov Galaxy: 51–49 to State LNP in Queensland". Poll Bludger. 30 August 2019. Archived from the original on 24 December 2019. Retrieved 24 December 2019.
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