This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2022 French legislative election, which were held in two rounds on 12 and 19 June 2022. Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.
First round
Graphical summary
Local regression of polls conducted
Party alliances standings
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
LO NPA EXG |
NUPES | DVG PRG FGR |
ECO | PA | ENS | DVC | UDC | DVD | DLF LP |
RN | REC EXD |
REG | DIV | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PCF | LFI | PÉ | PS | ||||||||||||||||
| Ministry of the Interior (Le Monde) |
12 Jun 2022 | – | 1.17% (1.19%) |
25.66% (26.16%) |
3.70% (3.30%) |
2.67% (–) |
25.75% (25.80%) |
1.25% (1.30%) |
11.29% (11.30%) |
2.33% (1.92%) |
1.13% (1.21%) |
18.68% (18.68%) |
4.24% (4.25%) |
1.28% (1.09%) |
0.85% (3.80%) | ||||
| Ipsos-Sopra Steria | 12 Jun 2022 | Exit poll | 1.3% | 25.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 25.2% | 1.3% | 13.6% | 1.1% | 19.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | ||||||
| Elabe BFMTV | 12 Jun 2022 | 1.2% | 26.2% | 3.3% | – | – | 25.8% | – | 11.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 19.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | |||||
| Ifop-Fiducial | 12 Jun 2022 | 1.4% | 26.1% | 3% | – | – | 25.6% | – | 11.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 19.2% | 4.1% | 5% | |||||
| Harris-Interactive | 12 Jun 2022 | 1.5% | 25% | 5.5% | – | 25% | 1% | 11.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 19% | 4.5% | 3.3% | ||||||
| Ipsos-Sopra Steria | 10 Jun 2022 | 8,159 | 1% | 27% | 3% | 2.5% | – | 28% | 0.5% | 11% | 1% | 19% | 5.5% | 1.5% | |||||
| Harris-Interactive | 8–10 Jun 2022 | 2,078 | 1% | 26% | 4% | – | 2% | 26% | 1% | 10% | 1% | 2% | 20% | 6% | 1% | ||||
| Ifop-Fiducial | 8–9 Jun 2022 | 1,831 | 1% | 26.5% | 3.5% | – | – | 26% | 10% | 2% | 1.5% | 19% | 5.5% | – | 5% | ||||
| Elabe | 8–9 Jun 2022 | 2,000 | 1.5% | 26.5% | 3% | – | – | 27% | 11% | 1% | 1.5% | 19.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | |||||
| Cluster17 | 7–9 Jun 2022 | 2,608 | 0.5% | 29.5% | 2.5% | – | 1.5% | 26% | 1% | 10.5% | 1% | 1.5% | 17.5% | 5.5% | 1% | 2% | |||
| OpinionWay-Kéa | 5–8 Jun 2022 | 3,001 | 1% | 25% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 28% | 11% | 1% | 1% | 18% | 6% | – | 3% | ||||
| YouGov | 1–8 Jun 2022 | 3,306 | 2% | 25% | – | – | 1% | 26% | - | 9% | - | 1% | 21% | 8% | 7% | ||||
| Ipsos-Sopra Steria | 6–7 Jun 2022 | 2,000 | 1.5% | 28% | 2.5% | 2.5% | – | 27% | 0.5% | 11% | 1% | 19.5% | 6% | 1% | |||||
| Ipsos-Sopra Steria | 3–6 Jun 2022 | 10,826 | 1% | 27.5% | 2% | 2.5% | – | 28% | 0.5% | 11% | 1% | 20% | 5.5% | 1% | |||||
| Ifop-Fiducial | 3–6 Jun 2022 | 1,840 | 1% | 26% | 3.5% | – | – | 25% | 11% | 2% | 2% | 21% | 5% | – | 4.5% | ||||
| Harris-Interactive | 3–6 Jun 2022 | 2,355 | 2% | 24% | 5% | – | 2% | 26% | 1% | 10% | 1% | 2% | 20% | 6% | 1% | ||||
| Cluster17 | 30 May–1 Jun 2022 | 2,459 | 1% | 31% | – | – | 1.5% | 27% | 10% | 2% | 19% | 5% | 1.5% | 3% | |||||
| Elabe | 30 May–1 Jun 2022 | 2,000 | 1.5% | 25% | 2.5% | – | – | 24.5% | 12.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 22% | 4.5% | 4.5% | |||||
| OpinionWay-Kéa | 28–31 May 2022 | 3,008 | 1% | 26% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 27% | 11% | 1% | 1% | 20% | 6% | – | 2% | ||||
| Harris-Interactive | 27–30 May 2022 | 2,371 | 2% | 24% | 4% | – | 2% | 27% | 1% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 21% | 7% | 1% | ||||
| Ifop-Fiducial | 25–28 May 2022 | 1,796 | 1% | 25% | 4% | – | – | 27% | 10% | 1% | 2% | 21% | 6% | 3% | |||||
| Cluster17 | 24–26 May 2022 | 2,373 | 0.5% | 30% | – | 2% | 26% | 10.5% | 1.5% | 19% | 6% | 0.5% | 4% | ||||||
| OpinionWay-Kéa | 19–24 May 2022 | 2,845 | 2% | 25% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 26% | 11% | 3% | 21% | 5% | – | – | |||||
| Harris-Interactive | 20–23 May 2022 | 2,331 | 3% | 28% | – | – | – | 26% | 9% | 2% | 21% | 7% | 4% | ||||||
| Cluster17 | 17–19 May 2022 | 2,950 | 0.5% | 31% | – | 1% | 26% | 9% | 2% | 20% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 3.5% | ||||||
| Ipsos-Sopra Steria | 16–19 May 2022 | 11,247 | 1% | 27% | 3% | – | – | 28% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 21% | 6% | 3% | |||||
| Elabe | 16–18 May 2022 | 1,793 | 2% | 27.5% | – | – | – | 27% | 10% | 1% | 21.5% | 5% | 6% | ||||||
| OpinionWay-Kéa | 14–18 May 2022 | 3,022 | 2% | 24% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 27% | 11% | 2% | 22% | 5% | – | – | |||||
| Ifop-Fiducial | 13–16 May 2022 | 1,884 | 1.5% | 27% | – | – | – | 26% | 11% | 2.5% | 23% | 6% | – | 3% | |||||
| Harris-Interactive | 13–16 May 2022 | 2,393 | 3% | 29% | – | – | – | 26% | 10% | 1% | 23% | 5% | 3% | ||||||
| Cluster17 | 10–12 May 2022 | 2,967 | 1% | 31% | – | – | 27% | 9.5% | 2% | 19% | 5.5% | 1% | 4% | ||||||
| Ifop-Fiducial | 6–9 May 2022 | 1,691 | 1.5% | 28% | – | – | – | 27% | 11% | 2% | 22% | 6.5% | – | 2% | |||||
| 1% | 2% | 18% | 6.5% | 5.5% | – | – | – | 26% | 11% | 2% | 21% | 6% | – | 2% | |||||
| Harris-Interactive | 6–9 May 2022 | 2,406 | 3% | 28% | – | – | – | 26% | 9% | 1% | 24% | 6% | 3% | ||||||
| OpinionWay-Kéa | 5–9 May 2022 | 3,077 | 2% | 23% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 26% | 12% | 2% | 23% | 5% | – | – | |||||
| Cluster17 | 3–5 May 2022 | 3,498 | 1% | 34% | – | – | 24.5% | 8.5% | 1.5% | 19.5% | 5% | 2% | 4% | ||||||
| Harris-Interactive | 29 Apr–2 May 2022 | 2,366 | 2% | 2% | 19% | 7% | 7% | – | – | 24% | 8% | 1% | 23% | 6% | 1% | ||||
| 2% | 33% | – | – | – | 33% | 30% | 2% | ||||||||||||
| Cluster17 | 27–28 Apr 2022 | 2,659 | 1% | 2% | 20% | 7.5% | 5.5% | – | – | 24% | 7.5% | 2% | 21% | 6% | 1% | 2.5% | |||
| 1.5% | 27% | 7% | – | – | 23% | 9% | 2% | 21% | 6.5% | 1% | 2% | ||||||||
| 1% | 34% | – | – | 24% | 9.5% | 3% | 24% | 1.5% | 3% | ||||||||||
| Harris-Interactive | 24–25 Apr 2022 | 2,343 | 1% | 3% | 19% | 8% | 5% | – | – | 24% | 8% | 1% | 23% | 7% | 1% | ||||
| 2% | 33% | – | – | – | 33% | 31% | 1% | ||||||||||||
| 2017 election results | 11 Jun 2017 | – | 0.8% | 2.7% | 11% | (ECO) | 9.5% | 1.6% | 4.3% | 0.3% | 32.3% | 18.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 13.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | |
Second round
Graphical summary
There are 289 seats needed for an absolute majority.
Seat projections
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
NUPES | DVG | ENS | DVC | UDC | DVD | DLF LP |
RN | REC | EXD | REG | DIV | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PCF | LFI | PÉ | PS | ||||||||||||||
| Ministry of the Interior (Le Monde) |
19 Jun 2022 | – | 131 (142) |
22 (13) |
245 (246) |
4 (5) |
64 (64) |
10 (9) |
1 (1) |
89 (89) |
0 (0) |
0 (1) |
10 (6) |
1 (1) | |||
| Ifop-Fiducial | 16–17 Jun 2022 | 1,399 | 160–190 | 5–10 | 270–300 | – | 50–70 | 6–8 | – | 25–45 | – | – | 5–9 | ||||
| Cluster17 | 16–17 Jun 2022 | n/a | 170–220 | 7–10 | 230–290 | 3–5 | 65–75 | 3–5 | – | 40–60 | – | – | 4–7 | ||||
| Ipsos-Sopra Steria | 15–16 Jun 2022 | 1,991 | 140–180 | 12–24 | 265–305 | 2–4 | 60–80 | – | – | 20–50 | – | – | 5–10 | ||||
| Elabe | 15–16 Jun 2022 | 1,801 | 150–200 | 8–12 | 255–295 | 3–5 | 55–75 | 2–4 | – | 30–50 | – | 1–2[lower-alpha 1] | 5–9 | ||||
| OpinionWay-Kéa | 14–16 Jun 2022 | 1,028 | 165–210 | – | 275–305 | – | 60–75 | – | – | 20–40 | – | – | 7–13 | ||||
| Odoxa | 14–15 Jun 2022 | 1,881 | 179–225 | 3–7 | 252–292 | – | 42–62 | 2–8 | – | 25–49[lower-alpha 2] | – | – | 2–6 | ||||
| Ifop-Fiducial | 14–15 Jun 2022 | 1,508 | 180–210 | 3–7 | 265–300 | – | 40–65 | 2–6 | – | 20–40 | – | – | 3–7 | ||||
| Harris-Interactive | 12 Jun 2022 | 6,492 | 14–21 | 97–117 | 25–41 | 25–40 | 2–8 | 257–297 | 0–1 | 45–65 | 3–8 | 0–1 | 23–45 | – | – | 5–10 | |
| 161–219 | |||||||||||||||||
| Ipsos-Sopra Steria | 12 Jun 2022 | Exit poll | 10–16 | 96–115 | 20–30 | 24–29 | 15–25 | 255–295 | – | 50–80 | – | 20–45 | – | – | 10–17 | ||
| 150–190 | |||||||||||||||||
| Elabe | 12 Jun 2022 | 160–210 | 7–13 | 260–295 | – | 50–65 | 2–5 | – | 25–35 | – | 0–2[lower-alpha 3] | 9–14 | |||||
| Ipsos-Sopra Steria | 10 Jun 2022 | 8,159 | 155–190 | 18–30 | 275–315 | – | 35–55 | – | 20–45 | – | – | 5–10 | |||||
| Harris-Interactive | 8–10 Jun 2022 | 2,078 | 11–18 | 90–110 | 22–37 | 22–38 | 4–12 | 265–305 | 0–2 | 38–58 | 3–8 | 0–1 | 25–48 | 0–3 | 0–1 | 5–10 | |
| 145–203 | |||||||||||||||||
| Ifop-Fiducial | 8–9 Jun 2022 | 1,831 | 180–210 | 8–12 | 270–305 | – | 40–55 | – | – | 15–35 | 0–2 | – | 8–14 | ||||
| Elabe | 8–9 Jun 2022 | 2,000 | 165–190 | – | 280–320 | – | 40–60 | – | – | 25–50 | – | – | 10–15 | ||||
| OpinionWay-Kéa | 5–8 Jun 2022 | 3,001 | 160–190 | – | 290–330 | – | 50–70 | – | – | 13–33 | 0–2 | – | 6–11 | ||||
| Ipsos-Sopra Steria | 6–7 Jun 2022 | 2,000 | 175–215 | 10–18 | 260–300 | – | 35–55 | – | 20–50 | – | – | 5-10 | |||||
| Ipsos-Sopra Steria | 3–6 Jun 2022 | 10,826 | 160–200 | 8–18 | 275–315 | – | 30–55 | – | 20–55 | – | – | 8–18 | |||||
| Ifop-Fiducial | 3–6 Jun 2022 | 2,000 | 195–230 | 4–8 | 250–290 | – | 40–55 | – | – | 20–45 | 0–2 | – | 6–12 | ||||
| Harris-Interactive | 3–6 Jun 2022 | 2,355 | 9–16 | 71–97 | 20–35 | 20–36 | – | 285–335 | 0–2 | 38–58 | 3–8 | 0–1 | 30–50 | 0–3 | 0–1 | 3–7 | |
| 120–184 | |||||||||||||||||
| Elabe | 30 May–1 Jun 2022 | 2,000 | 155–180 | – | 275–315 | – | 40–65 | – | – | 35–65 | – | – | 10–15 | ||||
| OpinionWay-Kéa | 28–31 May 2022 | 3,008 | 160–190 | – | 290–330 | – | 50–70 | – | – | 13–33 | 0–2 | – | 6–11 | ||||
| Harris-Interactive | 27–30 May 2022 | 2,371 | 8–15 | 54–80 | 18–33 | 16–32 | 0–6 | 300–350 | 0–1 | 35–55 | 3–8 | 0–1 | 35–55 | 0–3 | 0–1 | 3–7 | |
| 96–160 | |||||||||||||||||
| Ifop-Fiducial | 25–28 May 2022 | 1,796 | 170–205 | 5–10 | 275–310 | – | 35–55 | – | – | 20–50 | 1–4 | – | 8–15 | ||||
| OpinionWay-Kéa | 19–24 May 2022 | 2,845 | 155–185 | – | 295–335 | – | 50–70 | – | – | 14–34 | – | – | 6–11 | ||||
| Harris-Interactive | 20–23 May 2022 | 2,331 | 9–16 | 60–86 | 20–35 | 18–34 | – | 295–345 | – | 32–52 | – | 0–1 | 42–68 | 0–3 | – | 3–7 | |
| 107–171 | |||||||||||||||||
| Ipsos-Sopra Steria | 16–19 May 2022 | 11,247 | 165–195 | – | 290–330 | – | 35–65 | – | – | 20–45 | – | – | 5–10 | ||||
| Elabe | 16–18 May 2022 | 1,793 | 160–185 | – | 290–330 | – | 25–50 | – | – | 35–65 | – | – | 5–15 | ||||
| OpinionWay-Kéa | 14–18 May 2022 | 3,022 | 140–170 | – | 310–350 | – | 50–70 | – | – | 15–35 | – | – | 5–10 | ||||
| Harris-Interactive | 13–16 May 2022 | 2,393 | 8–15 | 62–88 | 20–35 | 18–34 | – | 300–350 | – | 35–55 | – | 0–1 | 48–75 | 0–2 | – | 3–7 | |
| 108–172 | |||||||||||||||||
| Harris-Interactive | 6–9 May 2022 | 2,406 | 8–15 | 60–85 | 20–35 | 17–33 | – | 300–350 | – | 30–48 | – | 0–1 | 52–80 | 0–2 | – | 3–7 | |
| 105–168 | |||||||||||||||||
| OpinionWay-Kéa | 5–9 May 2022 | 3,077 | 135–165 | – | 310–350 | – | 50–70 | – | – | 20–40 | – | – | 5–10 | ||||
| Harris-Interactive | 29 Apr–2 May 2022 | 2,366 | 5–10 | 25–45 | 1–5 | 20–40 | – | 338–378 | – | 35–65 | – | – | 65–95 | – | – | 3–7 | |
| 70–90 | – | 336–376 | 110–140 | – | 3–7 | ||||||||||||
| Harris-Interactive | 24–25 Apr 2022 | 2,343 | 5–10 | 25–45 | 1–5 | 20–40 | – | 328–368 | – | 35–65 | – | – | 75–105 | – | – | 3–7 | |
| 73–93 | – | 326–366 | 117–147 | – | 3–7 | ||||||||||||
| 2017 election | 18 Jun 2017 | – | 10 | 17 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 350 | – | 130 | 6 | 1 | 8 | – | 1 | 5 | 3 |
See also
Notes
External links
- France – 2022 general election – Politico Europe
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