In the run-up to the next Scottish Parliament election, various organisations are conducting opinion polls to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. The pollsters listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abided by its disclosure rules.
The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Scottish Parliament election, held on 6 May 2021, to the next election, which can be held no later than 7 May 2026.
Constituency vote
Polling for the next Holyrood election - constituency vote
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
SNP | Con | Lab | Lib Dems | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9–11 Jan 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,040 | 37% | 18% | 32% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 5 |
| 20–26 Nov 2023 | Ipsos | STV News | 1,004 | 41% | 15% | 27% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 14 |
| 29–30 Oct 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,092 | 34% | 22% | 30% | 8% | 2% | 4% | 4 |
| 20–25 Oct 2023 | YouGov | Scottish Elections Study | 1,200 | 34% | 14% | 32% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2 |
| 6–11 Oct 2023 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,002 | 37% | 18% | 33% | 6% | 5% | 4 | |
| 2–6 Oct 2023 | YouGov | Fabians | 1,028 | 37% | 20% | 29% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 9 |
| 2–5 Oct 2023 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,022 | 35% | 16% | 31% | 7% | 7% | 4 | |
| 4–5 Oct 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,094 | 35% | 20% | 29% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 6 |
| 5–14 Sep 2023 | Opinium | Tony Blair Institute | 1,004 | 42% | 20% | 26% | 8% | 5% | 16 | |
| 8–13 Sep 2023 | YouGov | The Times | 1.103 | 41% | 16% | 28% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 13 |
| 2–4 Sep 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,100 | 39% | 16% | 30% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 9 |
| 15–18 Aug 2023 | Survation | True North | 1,022 | 39% | 16% | 34% | 8% | 4% | 5 | |
| 3–8 Aug 2023 | YouGov | 1,086 | 41% | 14% | 31% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 10 | |
| 5–6 Aug 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | 1,050 | 36% | 19% | 32% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 4 | |
| 1–2 Jul 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | 1,030 | 33% | 21% | 30% | 10% | 2% | 3 | ||
| 23–28 Jun 2023 | Survation | 1,891 | 38% | 17% | 33% | 10% | 3% | 5 | ||
| 12–15 Jun 2023 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,007 | 36% | 13% | 32% | 9% | 7% | 4 | |
| 9–14 Jun 2023 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,018 | 40% | 16% | 33% | 8% | 7 | ||
| 9–13 Jun 2023 | YouGov | Scottish Elections Study | 1,200 | 27% | 11% | 21% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 6 |
| 3–6 Jun 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | 1,395 | 36% | 21% | 29% | 8% | 2% | 0% | 7 | |
| 15–21 May 2023 | Ipsos | STV News | 1,090 | 42% | 17% | 28% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 14 |
| 27 Apr – 3 May 2023 | Survation | True North | 1,009 | 39% | 19% | 30% | 9% | 4% | 9 | |
| 30 Apr – 2 May 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,295 | 36% | 18% | 32% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 4 |
| 17–20 Apr 2023 | YouGov | The Times | 1,032 | 38% | 16% | 30% | 10% | 2% | 4% | 8 |
| 29 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 | Survation | N/A | 1,001 | 38% | 16% | 27% | 7% | 3% | 11 | |
| 31 Mar – 1 Apr 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 38% | 18% | 28% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 10 |
| 28–31 Mar 2023 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,009 | 39% | 19% | 32% | 7% | 3% | 7 | |
| 28–30 Mar 2023 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,089 | 37% | 17% | 30% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 7 |
| 27 Mar 2023 | Humza Yousaf is elected as the leader of the SNP and then as First Minister of Scotland | |||||||||
| 9–13 Mar 2023 | YouGov | Sky News | 1,002 | 43% | 15% | 26% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 17 |
| 7–10 Mar 2023 | Panelbase | Scot Goes Pop | 1,013 | 39% | 14% | 31% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 8 |
| 2–5 Mar 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,050 | 40% | 20% | 29% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 11 |
| 17–20 Feb 2023 | YouGov | The Times | 1,017 | 42% | 18% | 28% | 8% | 2% | 4% | 14 |
| 15–17 Feb 2023 | Survation | N/A | 1,034 | 43% | 17% | 29% | 8% | 3% | 14 | |
| 15–17 Feb 2023 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1008 | 43% | 17% | 30% | 8% | 2% | 13 | |
| 15 Feb 2023 | Nicola Sturgeon announces her intention to resign as First Minister and leader of the Scottish National Party. | |||||||||
| 10–15 Feb 2023 | YouGov | Scottish Election Study | 1239 | 39% | 17% | 28% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 11 |
| 1–7 Feb 2023 | Survation | N/A | 1070 | 43% | 17% | 29% | 7% | 4% | 14 | |
| 23–26 Jan 2023 | YouGov | The Sunday Times | 1,088 | 44% | 17% | 26% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 18 |
| 10–12 Jan 2023 | Survation | True North | 1,002 | 46% | 17% | 27% | 8% | 2% | 19 | |
| 22–31 Dec 2022 | Survation | Scotland in Union | 1,025 | 44% | 16% | 29% | 8% | 0% | 3% | 15 |
| 16–21 Dec 2022 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,048 | 44% | 18% | 28% | 8% | 3% | 16 | |
| 6–9 Dec 2022 | YouGov | The Times | 1,090 | 50% | 13% | 25% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 25 |
| 28 Nov – 5 Dec 2022 | Ipsos MORI | STV News | 1,045 | 50% | 14% | 24% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 26 |
| 22–25 Nov 2022 | YouGov | Scottish Elections Study | 1,239 | 34% | 11% | 17% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 17 |
| 7–11 Oct 2022 | Panelbase | Alba Party | 1,018 | 45% | 15% | 28% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 17 |
| 30 Sep – 4 Oct 2022 | YouGov | The Times | 1,067 | 49% | 13% | 26% | 8% | 4% | 23 | |
| 30 Sep – 4 Oct 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,029 | 47% | 17% | 25% | 8% | 2% | 22 | |
| 28–29 Sep 2022 | Survation | Scotland in Union | 1,011 | 45% | 14% | 30% | 6% | 4% | 15 | |
| 17–19 Aug 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,133 | 47% | 17% | 22% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 25 |
| 29 Jun – 1 Jul 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,010 | 47% | 17% | 22% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 25 |
| 23–28 Jun 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,029 | 46% | 18% | 25% | 8% | 4% | 21 | |
| 18–23 May 2022 | YouGov | The Times | 1,115 | 47% | 18% | 23% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 24 |
| 5 May 2022 | Scottish local elections | |||||||||
| 26 Apr – 3 May 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,010 | 46% | 18% | 25% | 7% | 4% | 21 | |
| 26–29 Apr 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,009 | 42% | 19% | 24% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 18 |
| 25–31 Mar 2022 | BMG | The Herald | 1,012 | 44% | 21% | 22% | 8% | 4% | 22 | |
| 24–28 Mar 2022 | Survation | Ballot Box Scotland | 1,002 | 46% | 20% | 25% | 7% | 2% | 21 | |
| 10–16 Mar 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,008 | 46% | 20% | 24% | 7% | 3% | 22 | |
| 24–28 Feb 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Economist | 1,866 | 47% | 21% | 22% | 8% | 2% | 25 | |
| 1–4 Feb 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,014 | 44% | 19% | 22% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 22 |
| 14–18 Jan 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,004 | 47% | 19% | 22% | 8% | 4% | 25 | |
| 22–29 Nov 2021 | Ipsos MORI | STV News | 1,107 | 52% | 19% | 17% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 33 |
| 18–22 Nov 2021 | YouGov | The Times | 1,060 | 48% | 21% | 19% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 27 |
| 9–12 Nov 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,781 | 47% | 20% | 19% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 27 |
| 22–28 Oct 2021 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,005 | 48% | 20% | 22% | 7% | 3% | 26 | |
| 6–10 Sep 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 2,003 | 46% | 22% | 18% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 24 |
| 3–9 Sep 2021 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,016 | 48% | 22% | 20% | 7% | 3% | 26 | |
| 2–8 Sep 2021 | Opinium | Sky News | 1,014 | 51% | 21% | 18% | 6% | 4% | 30 | |
| 20 Aug 2021 | Alex Cole-Hamilton becomes leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats | |||||||||
| 16–24 Jun 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,287 | 46% | 24% | 19% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 22 |
| 6 May 2021 | 2021 Scottish Parliament election[1] | 47.7% | 21.9% | 21.6% | 6.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 25.8 | ||
Regional vote
Polling for the next Holyrood election - regional vote
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
SNP | Con | Lab | Green | Lib Dems | Alba | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9–11 Jan 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,040 | 25% | 17% | 30% | 11% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 5 |
| 29–30 Oct 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | 1,092 | 28% | 21% | 27% | 9% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 1 | |
| 20–26 Nov 2023 | Ipsos Mori | 1,004 | 35% | 14% | 29% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6 | ||
| 20–25 Oct 2023 | YouGov | Scottish Elections Study | 1,200 | 30% | 14% | 30% | 11% | 8% | 2% | 5% | Tie |
| 6–11 Oct 2023 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,002 | 28% | 20% | 29% | 13% | 8% | 2% | 1 | |
| 2–6 Oct 2023 | YouGov | Fabians | 1,028 | 28% | 19% | 28% | 11% | 7% | 3% | Tie | |
| 2–5 Oct 2023 | Panelbase | Sunday Times | 1,022 | 29% | 18% | 30% | 12% | 8% | 3% | 1 | |
| 4–5 Oct 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | 1,094 | 26% | 19% | 25% | 12% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 1 | |
| 5–14 Sep 2023 | Opinium | Tony Blair Institution | 1,004 | 35% | 18% | 25% | 8% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 10 |
| 8–13 Sep 2023 | YouGov | The Times | 1,103 | 33% | 16% | 25% | 11% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 8 |
| 2–4 Sep 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | 1,100 | 25% | 15% | 30% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 5 | |
| 15–18 Aug 2023 | Survation | True North | 1,022 | 30% | 15% | 30% | 9% | 9% | 2% | Tie | |
| 3–8 Aug 2023 | YouGov | 1,086 | 32% | 14% | 28% | 11% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 4 | |
| 5–6 Aug 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,050 | 29% | 18% | 30% | 9% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 1 |
| 1–2 Jul 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,030 | 29% | 19% | 26% | 8% | 12% | 2% | 1% | 3 |
| 23–28 Jun 2023 | Survation | N/A | 1,891 | 30% | 18% | 29% | 10% | 9% | 1 | ||
| 12–15 Jun 2023 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,007 | 30% | 17% | 28% | 12% | 8% | 4% | TBC | 2 |
| 9–14 Jun 2023 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,018 | 28% | 18% | 28% | 13% | 11% | Tie | ||
| 9–13 Jun 2023 | YouGov | Scottish Elections Study | 1,200 | 22% | 12% | 20% | 6% | 8% | 2 | 1% | 2 |
| 3–5 Jun 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,395 | 25% | 18% | 25% | 13% | 10% | 3% | 0% | Tie |
| 15–21 May 2023 | Ipsos | STV News | 1,090 | 35% | 17% | 27% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 8 |
| 27 Apr – 3 May 2023 | Survation | True North | 1,009 | 32% | 19% | 26% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 6 | |
| 30 Apr – 2 May 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,295 | 25% | 19% | 27% | 13% | 10% | 2% | 4% | 2 |
| 17–20 Apr 2023 | YouGov | The Times | 1,032 | 30% | 17% | 26% | 12% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 4 |
| 29 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 | Survation | N/A | 1,001 | 32% | 17% | 23% | 8% | 7% | – | 4% | 9 |
| 31 Mar – 1 Apr 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 30% | 19% | 24% | 11% | 13% | – | 4% | 6 |
| 28–31 Mar 2023 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,009 | 33% | 18% | 30% | 10% | 7% | – | 2% | 3 |
| 28–30 Mar 2023 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,089 | 31% | 20% | 27% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 4 |
| 27 Mar 2023 | Humza Yousaf is elected as the leader of the SNP and First Minister of Scotland | ||||||||||
| 9–13 Mar 2023 | YouGov | Sky News | 1,002 | 35% | 16% | 25% | 11% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 10 |
| 7–10 Mar 2023 | Panelbase | Scot Goes Pop | 1,013 | 32% | 17% | 27% | 12% | 8% | – | 3% | 5 |
| 2–5 Mar 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,050 | 29% | 20% | 26% | 10% | 11% | – | 4% | 3 |
| 17–20 Feb 2023 | YouGov | The Times | 1,017 | 35% | 18% | 27% | 9% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 8 |
| 15–17 Feb 2023 | Survation | N/A | 1,034 | 35% | 18% | 27% | 8% | 8% | – | 3% | 8 |
| 15–17 Feb 2023 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1008 | 32% | 16% | 27% | 14% | 9% | – | 2% | 5 |
| 15 Feb 2023 | Nicola Sturgeon announces her intention to resign as First Minister and leader of the Scottish National Party. | ||||||||||
| 10–15 Feb 2023 | YouGov | Scottish Election Study | 1239 | 33% | 17% | 28% | 11% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5 |
| 1–7 Feb 2023 | Survation | N/A | 1,007 | 33% | 17% | 25% | 12% | 7% | – | 4% | 8 |
| 23–26 Jan 2023 | YouGov | The Sunday Times | 1,088 | 36% | 17% | 26% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 10 |
| 10–12 Jan 2023 | Survation | True North | 1,002 | 33% | 18% | 25% | 12% | 8% | – | 3% | 8 |
| 22–31 Dec 2022 | Survation | Scotland in Union | 1,025 | 33% | 15% | 26% | 12% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 7 |
| 16–21 Dec 2022 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,048 | 32% | 18% | 24% | 13% | 10% | – | 2% | 8 |
| 6–9 Dec 2022 | YouGov | The Times | 1,090 | 40% | 13% | 24% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 16 |
| 28 Nov – 5 Dec 2022 | Ipsos MORI | STV News | 1,045 | 43% | 14% | 21% | 13% | 6% | – | 3% | 18 |
| 22–25 Nov 2022 | YouGov | Scottish Elections Study | 1,239 | 29% | 11% | 18% | 6% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 11 |
| 7–11 Oct 2022 | Panelbase | Alba Party | 1,018 | 37% | 17% | 26% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 0% | 11 |
| 30 Sep – 4 Oct 2022 | YouGov | The Times | 1,067 | 38% | 14% | 24% | 12% | 8% | – | 3% | 14 |
| 30 Sep – 4 Oct 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,029 | 32% | 19% | 26% | 13% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 6 |
| 28–29 Sep 2022 | Survation | Scotland in Union | 1,011 | 31% | 14% | 27% | 14% | 9% | 1% | 3% | 4 |
| 29 Jun – 1 Jul 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,010 | 41% | 19% | 22% | 7% | 8% | – | 3% | 19 |
| 23–28 Jun 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,029 | 33% | 20% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 9 |
| 18–23 May 2022 | YouGov | The Times | 1,115 | 39% | 18% | 21% | 10% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 18 |
| 5 May 2022 | Scottish local elections | ||||||||||
| 26 Apr – 3 May 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,010 | 31% | 18% | 23% | 14% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 8 |
| 26–29 Apr 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,009 | 36% | 20% | 22% | 10% | 7% | – | 5% | 14 |
| 25–31 Mar 2022 | BMG | The Herald | 1,012 | 33% | 20% | 22% | 10% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 11 |
| 24–28 Mar 2022 | Survation | Ballot Box Scotland | 1,002 | 34% | 19% | 23% | 11% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 11 |
| 10–16 Mar 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,008 | 34% | 20% | 22% | 13% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 12 |
| 24–28 Feb 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Economist | 1,866 | 34% | 21% | 20% | 14% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 13 |
| 1–4 Feb 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,014 | 38% | 21% | 20% | 9% | 8% | – | 5% | 17 |
| 14–18 Jan 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,004 | 38% | 18% | 20% | 12% | 9% | 2% | 1% | 18 |
| 22–29 Nov 2021 | Ipsos MORI | STV News | 1,107 | 43% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 23 |
| 18–22 Nov 2021 | YouGov | The Times | 1,060 | 38% | 19% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 1% | 5% | 19 |
| 9–12 Nov 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,781 | 41% | 21% | 18% | 10% | 8% | – | 2% | 20 |
| 22–28 Oct 2021 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,005 | 38% | 22% | 20% | 11% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 16 |
| 6–10 Sep 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 2,003 | 38% | 23% | 18% | 9% | 8% | – | 4% | 15 |
| 3–9 Sep 2021 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,016 | 36% | 23% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 13 |
| 2–8 Sep 2021 | Opinium | Sky News | 1,014 | 40% | 21% | 16% | 8% | 5% | 0% | 10% | 19 |
| 20 Aug 2021 | Alex Cole-Hamilton becomes leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats | ||||||||||
| 16–24 Jun 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,287 | 38% | 23% | 17% | 9% | 6% | – | 6% | 15 |
| 6 May 2021 | 2021 Scottish Parliament election[1] | – | 40.3% | 23.5% | 17.9% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 16.8 | |
See also
Notes
References
- 1 2 "Full votes and seats by party etc - SPE21". Electoral Management Board for Scotland. 9 May 2021. Archived from the original on 2 August 2021. Retrieved 2 August 2021.
This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.