In the run up to the next Polish parliamentary election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Poland. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 15 October 2023, to the day of the next election.

To be represented in parliament electoral committees which are registered as political parties must reach an electoral threshold of 5% and those registered as coalitions must reach 8%.[1]

Graphical summary

Poll results

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

2024

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date		 Sample
size		 United Right Civic Coalition Third Way The Left Confederation Nonpartisan Local Government Activists There is One Poland Others Don't know Lead
Polish Coalition Poland 2050
Pollster / "SE.pl"  ?  ? 32.78 31.69 16.79 7.85 7.89 1.28 1.50 0.22 1.1
United Surveys / "WP.pl" 12–14 Jan 1,000 28.4 27.5 16.9 10.4 6.8 1.5 8.5 0.9
IBRiS / "Rz" 12–13 Jan 1,067 33.9 30.2 16.9 9.3 6.3 0.5 2.9 3.7
CBOS 8–12 Jan 1,000 29 29 10 7 10 4 12 Tie
Opinia24 8–9 Jan 1,002 26.3 24.3 17.3 9.4 10.9 1.7 0.9 0.3 8.9 2.0
IBRiS / Onet 5–8 Jan 1,000 34.2 32.0 14.1 8.8 5.0 0.9 5.0 2.2

2023

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date		 Sample
size		 United Right Civic Coalition Third Way The Left Confederation Nonpartisan Local Government Activists There is One Poland Others Don't know Lead
Polish Coalition Poland 2050
Pollster / SE.pl 17 Dec 1,033 33.15 31.28 16.95 8.37 6.73 1.46 1.74 0.32 1.87
United Surveys / WP.pl 15–17 Dec 1,000 33.0 28.4 19.1 8.7 7.7 0.8 2.3 4.6
CBOS 2–8 Dec 1,000 30 25 13 9 9 3 12 5
IPSOS / More in Common Polska 1–8 Dec 1,507 31 26 15 10 7 3 5 5
Opinia24 5–6 Dec 29.2 24.7 17.3 8.0 8.0 1.7 1.2 0.3 9.6 4.5
United Surveys / WP.pl 1–3 Dec 1,000 35.2 28.8 16.0 10.0 7.7 2.3 6.4
IBRiS / "Rz" 1–2 Dec 1,071 31.5 27.0 7.3 10.3 9.3 9.0 1.8 3.8 4.5
CBOS 20–24 Nov 821 29 24 13 8 8 5 13 5
United Surveys / WP.pl 17–19 Nov 1,000 31.3 26.7 14.4 10.4 9.1 2.2 5.9 4.6
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 10–13 Nov 1,081 33 32 14 9 9 2 1 1
Pollster / SE.pl 7–8 Nov 1,014 35.34 30.77 16.68 6.90 7.01 1.36 1.75 0.19 4.57
United Surveys / WP.pl 3–5 Nov 1,000 33.2 30.4 16.1 8.5 6.0 0.3 5.5 2.8
IBRiS / "Rz" 3–5 Nov 1,071 32.6 29.2 7.8 7.6 9.1 7.0 1.1 5.6 3.4
United Surveys / WP.pl 20–22 Oct 1,000 32.8 29.9 18.7 5.4 6.5 3.5 3.2 2.9
Parliamentary election [2] 15 Oct 21,596,674[2][lower-alpha 1] 35.38 30.70 14.40 8.61 7.16 1.86 1.63 0.22 4.68

Seat projection

231 seats are needed for a Sejm majority, while 276 seats are needed for a three-fifths Sejm supermajority to override presidential vetoes.

Polling Firm/Link Fieldwork
Period		 Sample Size United Right Civic Coalition Third Way The Left Confederation Others Majority KO+L+TD
Polish Coalition Poland 2050
IBRiS / "Rz" 12–13 Jan 2024 1,000 177 155 78 34 16 0 Hung 37
IBRiS / Onet 5–8 Jan 2024 1,000 194 166 67 29 4 0 Hung 32
Parliamentary election[2] 15 Oct 2023 21,596,674 [2][lower-alpha 1] 194 157 65 26 18 0 Hung 18

Notes

  1. 1 2 Turnout: 74,38%

References

  1. ↑ "Sejm of the Republic of Poland". www.sejm.gov.pl. Retrieved 2023-10-25.
  2. 1 2 3 4 "Wybory do Sejmu i Senatu Rzeczypospolitej Polskiej w 2023 r." wybory.gov.pl (in Polish). Retrieved 2023-10-25.
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