2022 Iowa gubernatorial election

November 8, 2022
Turnout55.06% Decrease6.09pp
 
Nominee Kim Reynolds Deidre DeJear
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Adam Gregg Eric Van Lancker
Popular vote 709,198 482,950
Percentage 58.0% 39.5%

Reynolds:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
DeJear:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%
     No votes

Governor before election

Kim Reynolds
Republican

Elected Governor

Kim Reynolds
Republican

The 2022 Iowa gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Iowa. Incumbent Republican Governor Kim Reynolds won re-election to a second full term in a landslide,[1] defeating Democratic nominee Deidre DeJear.

First elected as lieutenant governor in 2010, Reynolds assumed the governorship on May 24, 2017, following the resignation of Governor Terry Branstad become the U.S. Ambassador to China. She was elected in her own right in 2018 in what was considered a minor upset, before dramatically increasing her vote share in 2022.[2]

Reynolds flipped seven counties that had voted Democratic in the previous gubernatorial election: Black Hawk, Clinton, Des Moines, Dubuque, Jefferson, Lee, and Scott.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Declined

Results

Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kim Reynolds (incumbent) 185,293 99.03%
Write-in 1,808 0.97%
Total votes 187,101 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Deidre DeJear
U.S. senators
Organizations

Results

Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Deidre DeJear 145,555 99.45%
Write-in 801 0.55%
Total votes 146,356 100.0%

Minor parties and independents

Libertarian Party

Nominee

Independents

Declared

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[22] Solid R July 26, 2022
Inside Elections[23] Solid R July 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] Safe R June 29, 2022
Politico[25] Solid R August 12, 2022
RCP[26] Likely R January 10, 2022
Fox News[27] Solid R May 12, 2022
538[28] Solid R July 31, 2022
Elections Daily[29] Safe R November 7, 2022

Endorsements

Kim Reynolds (R)
Executive Branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Organizations
Newspapers
Deidre DeJear (D)
State legislators
  • David Maxwell, state representative from the 76th district (2013–present) (Republican)[41]
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions
Newspapers

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kim
Reynolds (R)
Deidre
DeJear (D)
Undecided
[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
FiveThirtyEight March 2 – October 19, 2022 October 20, 2022 52.6% 36.6% 10.8% Reynolds +15.9
Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Kim
Reynolds (R)
Deidre
DeJear (D)
Rick
Stewart (L)
Other Undecided
Selzer & Co. October 31 – November 3, 2022 801 (LV) ± 3.5% 54% 37% 4% 2%[lower-alpha 3] 3%
Cygnal (R)[upper-alpha 1] October 26–27, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 57% 38% 5%
Civiqs October 22–25, 2022 623 (LV) ± 5.2% 54% 42% 2%[lower-alpha 4] 1%
The Tarrance Group (R)[upper-alpha 2] October 15–19, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.1% 56% 39% 5%
Selzer & Co. October 9–12, 2022 620 (LV) ± 3.9% 52% 35% 4% 4%[lower-alpha 5] 4%
Emerson College October 2–4, 2022 959 (LV) ± 3.1% 53% 36% 1% 2%[lower-alpha 6] 9%
Cygnal (R)[upper-alpha 1] October 2–4, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 59% 38% 3%
Cygnal (R)[upper-alpha 1] July 13–14, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 56% 41% 3%
Selzer & Co. July 10–13, 2022 597 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 31% 5% 5% 9%
Selzer & Co. February 28 – March 2, 2022 612 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 43% 1%[lower-alpha 7] 5%
Cygnal (R) Archived February 28, 2022, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 1] February 20–22, 2022 610 (LV) ± 3.9% 55% 38% 7%

Debates

2022 Iowa gubernatorial general election debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic
Key:

 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn

Kim Reynolds Deidre DeJear
2 Oct. 18, 2022 Local ABC 5 Youtube P P

Results

State senate district results
State house district results
2022 Iowa gubernatorial election[54]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican
709,198 58.04% +7.78%
Democratic
  • Deidre DeJear
  • Eric Van Lacker
482,950 39.53% -8.00%
Libertarian
  • Rick Stewart
  • Marco Battaglia
28,998 2.37% +0.84%
Write-in 718 0.06% +0.02%
Total votes 1,220,864 100.00
Turnout 1,230,416 55.06%
Registered electors 2,234,666
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

Notes

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. "Someone else" with 1%; "Don't want to tell" with 1%
  4. "Someone else" with 2%
  5. "Someone else" with 3%; "Would not vote" with 1%
  6. "Someone else" with 2%
  7. "Would not vote" (volunteered answer) with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 3 4 This poll was sponsored by the Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation
  2. Poll conducted for the NRSC.

References

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  2. "Gov. Kim Reynolds secures second term, promises policies to let Iowans 'keep more of your money'". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved November 10, 2022.
  3. Dress, Brad. "Iowa's GOP governor Reynolds launches reelection bid". The Hill. Archived from the original on March 10, 2022. Retrieved March 9, 2022.
  4. Dunlap, Natalie. "Rep. Ashley Hinson announces reelection campaign, with support of Iowa Republicans, Sen. Ted Cruz". www.dailyiowan.com. The Daily Iowan. Archived from the original on August 29, 2021. Retrieved August 29, 2021.
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  7. "State Rep. Ras Smith announces campaign for Iowa governor". www.KCRG.com. Archived from the original on June 16, 2021. Retrieved May 15, 2021.
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  32. "US Sen. Marsha Blackburn, campaigning in Iowa: 'I am not' running for president". The Des Moines Register.
  33. 1 2 3 4 "Governor hosts 5th annual Harvest Festival ahead of November election". www.kcci.com. October 2, 2022. Retrieved October 20, 2022.
  34. 1 2 "S. Sen. Rick Scott tailgates with Miller-Meeks, Reynolds". iowacapitaldispatch.com. September 7, 2022. Retrieved October 20, 2022.
  35. 1 2 "Republicans rally during Reynolds' Clinton stop". www.clintonherald.com. October 7, 2022. Retrieved October 20, 2022.
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  41. "House Republican Who Opposed Reynolds' Voucher Plans Endorses Democrats". November 2, 2022.
  42. "Fred Hubbell endorses Deidre DeJear in Iowa governor's race, providing fresh support for the Democrat". The Des Moines Register.
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  49. "Endorsements - One Iowa Action". oneiowaaction.org. Retrieved October 20, 2022.
  50. "Election 2022". Iowa Federation of Labor, AFL–CIO.
  51. "Editorial Board | the DI Editorial Board endorses DeJear".
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  53. "Editorial: DeJear for governor - Storm Lake Times Pilot". October 28, 2022.
  54. "2022 General Election". Iowa Secretary of State. November 11, 2022. Retrieved November 11, 2022.
Official campaign websites
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