Constituency profile

The Cunninghame North constituency covers a diverse mix of areas located towards the northern half of the North Ayrshire Council area, rising from the working class towns of Ardrossan and Saltcoats in the south-west up to the coastal towns of Fairlie, Skelmorlie, Largs and West Kilbride in the north-west. West of here, across the Firth of Clyde, sits the Island communities of Arran and Cumbrae, which are covered by the constituency. Along the east of the constituency is the more working-class Garnock Valley which comprises Kilbirnie, Beith and Dalry, towns which once specialised in the production of steel and textiles before the industries collapse across the 20th Century. The constituency is mostly working-class in nature, although this is contrasted by the affluence enjoyed in the more rural parts of the constituency and in areas such as Arran, Fairlie, Skelmorlie, West Kilbride and patches of Largs.^[5] The constituency returned a high unemployment rate of 6.4% at the 2011 census compared to the Scottish average of 4.8%.^[6]

Voting patterns

Throughout the early 20th Century Cunninghame North was a safe Unionist seat at the British Parliament, carried by the Scottish Unionists (and later the Scottish Conservatives) consistently as Bute and Northern Ayrshire from 1918 until the constituency's abolishment in 1983, where the newly established Cunninghame North seat was narrowly won by Conservative John Corrie with a majority of 4.1%. In 1987 the constituency went Labour with a majority of 10.4%, with the Conservatives gradually losing ground in the constituency, eventually falling behind the Scottish National Party in 2001. Since then the Westminster seat of Cunninghame North, later North Ayrshire and Arran, had consistently returned Labour MP's to the British Parliament until being won by the SNP in 2015 on a swing of 23.3%. At the Scottish Parliament the Cunninghame North constituency voted Labour in both 1999 and 2003 before being won by the SNP's Kenneth Gibson by 48 votes in 2007, with some stipulating that had a set of damaged and rejected ballots from the Isle of Arran been counted the result might have been a Labour hold. In 2011 and 2016 Kenneth Gibson managed to build upon his narrow majority, bringing him ahead by 27.3% in 2016 - where the Conservatives marginally overtook the Labour Party into second place in the constituency for the first time since 1983.

The Conservative Party derive most of their support from the affluent resort towns of West Kilbride, Fairlie, Skelmorlie and Largs along the north-west coast of the constituency, as well as from the Isle of Arran, and rural and suburban areas in Garnock Valley. The SNP are strongest in the more populated parts of the constituency, in the towns of Ardrossan, Saltcoats and Kilbirnie, as well as parts of Largs, Dalry and the Isle of Cumbrae. Dalry, Kilbirnie, Ardrossan and Saltcoats are historically stronger areas for the Labour Party which have since voted SNP.

2020s

2021 Scottish Parliament election: Cunninghame North^[8][9]

Party		Candidate	Constituency			Regional
			Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	SNP	Kenneth Gibson[lower-alpha 1]	18,227	49.0	2.9	15,515	41.6	4.3
	Conservative	Jamie Greene[lower-alpha 2]	10,451	28.1	3.5	9,814	26.3	1.5
	Labour	Katy Clark	7,536	20.3	0.8	6,412	17.2	1.1
	Scottish Green					2,477	6.6	2.0
	Liberal Democrats	Ruby Kirkwood	967	2.6	0.2	828	2.2	0.2
	Alba					816	2.2	New
	All for Unity					445	1.2	New
	Scottish Family					254	0.7	New
	Independent Green Voice					198	0.5	New
	Abolish the Scottish Parliament					132	0.4	New
	Reform UK					83	0.2	New
	Freedom Alliance (UK)					70	0.2	New
	UKIP					60	0.2	1.8
	Libertarian					47	0.1	0.0
	TUSC					43	0.1	New
	Independent	Maurice Campbell				29	0.1	New
	Scotia Future					21	0.1	New
	Independent	James Morrison				18	0.0	New
	Renew					6	0.0	New
Majority			7,776	20.9	6.4
Valid Votes			37,181			37,268
Invalid Votes			162			80
Turnout			37,343	64.7	7.0	37,348	64.7	7.0
	SNP hold		Swing
Notes ↑ Incumbent member for this constituency ↑ Incumbent member on the party list, or for another constituency

2010s

2016 Scottish Parliament election: Cunninghame North^[10][11]

Party		Candidate	Constituency			Region
			Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	SNP	Kenneth Gibson[lower-alpha 1]	16,587	51.9	0.7	14,703	45.9	1.1
	Conservative	Jamie Greene	7,863	24.6	10.9	7,951	24.8	10.7
	Labour	Johanna Baxter	6,735	21.1	10.8	5,861	18.3	8.9
	Scottish Green					1,488	4.6	1.8
	Liberal Democrats	Charity Pierce	780	2.4	0.6	641	2.0	0.0
	UKIP					656	2.0	1.2
	Scottish Christian					272	0.8	0.1
	RISE					219	0.7	New
	Solidarity					216	0.7	0.6
	Libertarian					39	0.1	New
Majority			8,724	27.3	6.6
Valid Votes			31,965			32,046
Invalid Votes			156			51
Turnout			32,121	57.7	5.2	32,097	57.7	5.2
	SNP hold		Swing
Notes ↑ Incumbent member for this constituency

2000s

In the 2007 election, the high number of rejected votes was particularly significant in Cunninghame North as the majority (48) was far smaller than the number of rejected papers (over 1,000). Additionally, ballot papers carried by boat from the Isle of Arran were damp when they arrived, raising suggestions they may not have been transported securely. There were also questions about a discrepancy in the number of ballot papers that left Arran and the number that arrived at the count, though the returning officer later announced that a manual recount found no discrepancy.^[14] Allan Wilson, the former member for Cunninghame North, was said to be discussing with his solicitor a potential legal challenge to the Cunninghame North result^[15] but no election petition was lodged.^[16]

1990s