Oxford (federal electoral district)

Oxford
Ontario electoral district
	Oxford in relation to the southern Ontario ridings
Federal electoral district
Legislature	House of Commons
MP	Arpan Khanna; Conservative
;
District created	1933
First contested	1935
Last contested	2023 (by-election)
District webpage	profile, map
Demographics
Population (2011)	108,656
Electors (2015)	83,003
Area (km²)	2,384
Pop. density (per km²)	45.6
Census division(s)	Brant County, Oxford County
Census subdivision(s)	Brant, Woodstock, Tillsonburg, Ingersoll, Norwich, Zorra, South-West Oxford, East Zorra – Tavistock, Blandford-Blenheim

Oxford is a federal electoral district in Ontario, Canada, that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since the 1935 election.

Demographics

According to the Canada 2021 Census^[3]

Ethnic groups: 90.2% White, 3.2% South Asian, 2.3% Indigenous, 1.4% Black
Languages: 89.2% English, 1.8% Dutch, 1.5% Punjabi, 1.2% French, 1.2% German
Religions: 56.7% Christian (17.2% Catholic, 9.3% United Church, 5.0% Anglican, 3.1% Baptist, 2.8% Reformed, 2.6% Presbyterian, 1.6% Lutheran, 1.5% Anabaptist, 1.0% Pentecostal and other Charismatic, 12.6% Other), 1.7% Sikh, 39.4% None
Median income: $42,800 (2020)
Average income: $50,760 (2020)

Geography

The riding consists of the County of Oxford and a small portion of the County of Brant,^[4] covering most of the former Burford Township.

In the 2021 and 2019 elections, the Conservatives have won all parts of the riding, but were particularly strong in the rural southern part of the riding, with Burford Township and Norwich being their strongest areas. The weakest part of the riding for the Tories was in the riding's urban centres of Tillsonburg, Woodstock and Ingersoll where they only won pluralities. Liberal support is generally weak across the riding, but is the strongest in Woodstock and Tillsonburg, while the NDP has done particularly well in Ingersoll, winning over a quarter of the vote there in both elections. The People's Party saw a significant increase in their vote in 2021, with their strongest part of the riding being in Norwich.

History

It was created in 1933 when the ridings of Oxford North and Oxford South were merged. It consisted initially of the county of Oxford, including the part of the village of Tavistock that lies in the county of Oxford.

In 1966, it was expanded to include the whole of the Village of Tavistock and the Town of Tillsonburg. In 1987, it was expanded to include the Township of Burford in the County of Brant. In 1996, it reverted to consisting of just the county of Oxford.

This riding gained territory from Brant during the 2012 electoral redistribution, consisting of that part of the County of Brant west of Etonia Road and East Quarter Townline Road.

Members of Parliament

Parliament	Years		Party
Oxford Riding created from Oxford North and Oxford South
18th	1935–1940	Almon Rennie	Liberal
19th	1940–1945	Almon Rennie	Liberal
20th	1945–1949	Kenneth Daniel	Progressive Conservative
21st	1949–1953	Clark Murray	Liberal
22nd	1953–1957	Wally Nesbitt	Progressive Conservative
23rd	1957–1958
24th	1958–1962
25th	1962–1963
26th	1963–1965
27th	1965–1968
28th	1968–1972
29th	1972–1974
30th	1974–1979	Bruce Halliday
31st	1979–1980
32nd	1980–1984
33rd	1984–1988
34th	1988–1993
35th	1993–1997	John Baird Finlay	Liberal
36th	1997–2000
37th	2000–2004
38th	2004–2006	Dave MacKenzie	Conservative
39th	2006–2008
40th	2008–2011
41st	2011–2015
42nd	2015–2019
43rd	2019–2021
44th	2021–2023
44th	2023–present	Arpan Khanna

Election results

Graph of election results in Oxford (parties that never received at least 2% of the vote are omitted)

Canadian federal by-election, June 19, 2023 Resignation of Dave MacKenzie
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Arpan Khanna	16,688	42.92	-4.13
	Liberal	David Hilderley	14,164	36.43	+15.90
	New Democratic	Cody Groat	4,053	10.42	-7.86
	Christian Heritage	John Markus	1,672	4.30	+3.53
	People's	Wendy Martin	1,278	3.29	-7.36
	Green	Cheryle Baker	854	2.20	-0.52
	Independent	John The Engineer Turmel	171	0.44
Total valid votes			38,880	99.38
Total rejected ballots			243	0.62	+0.01
Turnout			39,123	39.81	-25.08
Eligible voters			98,270
	Conservative hold		Swing		-10.01
Source: Elections Canada^[5]

2021 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Dave MacKenzie	29,146	47.05	-1.09	$32,605.67
	Liberal	Elizabeth Quinto	12,720	20.53	+1.24	$25,550.39
	New Democratic	Matthew Chambers	11,325	18.28	-1.93	$3,373.85
	People's	Wendy Martin	6,595	10.65	+7.73	$15,390.08
	Green	Bob Reid	1,683	2.72	-5.12	$0.00
	Christian Heritage	Allen Scovil	479	0.77	-0.85	$5,613.11
Total valid votes/Expense limit			61,948	99.39	–	$123,152.84
Total rejected ballots			379	0.61	-0.25
Turnout			62,327	64.89	-1.04
Eligible voters			96,055
	Conservative hold		Swing		-1.17
Source: Elections Canada^[6]

2019 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Dave MacKenzie	29,310	48.14	+2.46	$49,710.46
	New Democratic	Matthew Chambers	12,306	20.21	+3.66	none listed
	Liberal	Brendan Knight	11,745	19.29	-12.90	$3,866.13
	Green	Lisa Birtch-Carriere	4,770	7.83	+4.31	none listed
	People's	Wendy Martin	1,774	2.91	-	$6,624.90
	Christian Heritage	Melody Aldred	986	1.62	-0.45	$3,632.07
Total valid votes/expense limit			60,891	99.14	–
Total rejected ballots			528	0.86	+0.44
Turnout			61,419	65.92	-2.00
Eligible voters			93,166
	Conservative hold		Swing		-0.60
Source: Elections Canada^[7]^[8]

2015 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Dave MacKenzie	25,966	45.67	-13.30	$75,795.63
	Liberal	Don McKay	18,299	32.19	+22.55	$36,173.57
	New Democratic	Zoe Kunschner	9,406	16.55	-8.90	$25,490.22
	Green	Mike Farlow	2,004	3.53	-0.80	$4,354.32
	Christian Heritage	Melody Ann Aldred	1,175	2.07		$8,421.76
Total valid votes/Expense limit			56,850	99.58		$220,586.55
Total rejected ballots			241	0.42	–
Turnout			57,041	67.93
Eligible voters			84,045
	Conservative hold		Swing		-17.92
Source: Elections Canada^[9]^[10]

2011 federal election redistributed results^[11]
Party		Vote	%
	Conservative	28,782	58.97
	New Democratic	12,419	25.45
	Liberal	4,706	9.64
	Green	2,111	4.33
	Others	786	1.61

2011 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Dave MacKenzie	27,973	58.90	+6.22	$56,267
	New Democratic	Paul Arsenault	12,164	25.61	+7.59	$14,065
	Liberal	Tim Lobzun	4,521	9.52	-9.87	$13,495
	Green	Mike Farlow	2,058	4.33	-3.24	$12,611
	Christian Heritage	John Markus	776	1.63	-0.71	$1,478
Total valid votes/Expense limit			47,492	99.62		$85,881.86
Total rejected ballots			179	0.38	+0.05
Turnout			47,671	61.88	+2.87
Eligible voters			77,035	–	–
	Conservative hold		Swing		-0.68

2008 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Dave MacKenzie	23,330	52.68	+6.13	$57,473
	Liberal	Martha Dennis	8,586	19.39	-8.70	$50,017
	New Democratic	Diane Abbott	7,982	18.02	+0.65	$9,242
	Green	Cathy Mott	3,355	7.58	+4.43	$2,819
	Christian Heritage	Shaun MacDonald	1,036	2.34	-0.55	$14,229
Total valid votes/Expense limit			44,289	99.67	$82,866
Total rejected ballots			145	0.33	-0.00
Turnout			44,434	59.02	-8.12
Eligible voters			75,290	–	–
	Conservative hold		Swing		+7.41

2006 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Dave MacKenzie	23,140	46.55	+1.65
	Liberal	Greig Mordue	13,961	28.08	-2.44
	New Democratic	Zoe Kunschner	8,639	17.38	+2.84
	Green	Ronnee Sykes	1,566	3.15	-1.10
	Christian Heritage	John Markus	1,434	2.88	-0.46
	Marijuana	James Bender	771	1.55	-0.18
	Libertarian	Kaye Sargent	204	0.41	-0.08
Total valid votes			49,715	99.67
Total rejected ballots			164	0.33	-0.13
Turnout			49,879	67.14	+4.01
Eligible voters			74,292	–	–
	Conservative hold		Swing		+2.05

2004 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Dave MacKenzie	20,606	44.89	-12.59
	Liberal	Murray Coulter	14,011	30.52	-4.91
	New Democratic	Zoe Kunschner	6,673	14.54	+9.25
	Green	Irene Tietz	1,951	4.25
	Christian Heritage	Leslie Bartley	1,534	3.34
	Marijuana	James Bender	794	1.73
	Libertarian	Kaye Sargent	226	0.49
	Canadian Action	Alex Kreider	108	0.24
Total valid votes			45,903	99.54
Total rejected ballots			211	0.46
Turnout			46,114	63.13
Eligible voters			73,048	–	–
	Conservative notional hold		Swing		-3.84

Note: Change is from 2000 redistributed results. Conservative vote is compared to the combined Canadian Alliance and Progressive Conservative vote.

2000 federal election redistributed results^[12]
Party		Vote	%
	Liberal	14,869	35.44
	Progressive Conservative	12,834	30.59
	Canadian Alliance	11,283	26.89
	New Democratic	2,219	5.29
	Others	755	1.80

2000 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	John Baird Finlay	15,181	35.55	-0.43
	Progressive Conservative	Dave MacKenzie	13,050	30.56	-1.94
	Alliance	Patricia Smith	11,455	26.82	+5.76
	New Democratic	Shawn Rouse	2,254	5.28	-2.25
	Independent	John Thomas Markus^{[lower-alpha 1]}	536	1.26	-0.86
	Canadian Action	Alex Kreider	227	0.53	+0.11
Total valid votes			42,703	100.0
	Liberal hold		Swing		+0.76

Note: Canadian Alliance vote is compared to the Reform vote in 1997 election. Independent compared to Christian Heritage.

1997 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	John Baird Finlay	16,281	35.98	-5.15
	Progressive Conservative	Dave MacKenzie	14,706	32.50	+9.79
	Reform	Bill Irvine	9,533	21.07	-5.39
	New Democratic	Martin Donlevy	3,406	7.53	+2.55
	Christian Heritage	John Zekveld	956	2.11	+0.16
	Canadian Action	Alex Kreider	192	0.42
	Natural Law	Jim Morris	181	0.40	-0.05
Total valid votes			45,255	100.0
	Liberal hold		Swing		-7.47

1993 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	John Baird Finlay	19,669	41.13	+4.11
	Reform	John Mohr	12,653	26.46
	Progressive Conservative	George Klosler	10,857	22.70	-17.05
	New Democratic	Martin Donlevy	2,380	4.98	-10.98
	Christian Heritage	Hans Strikwerda	935	1.96	-4.59
	Independent	George Moore	471	0.98
	National	Bryan John Rahn	417	0.87
	Libertarian	Kaye Sargent	230	0.48	+0.10
	Natural Law	Peter Leggat	214	0.45
Total valid votes			47,826	100.0
	Liberal gain from Progressive Conservative		Swing		+10.58

1988 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Bruce Halliday	19,367	39.75	-17.3
	Liberal	Alfred Apps	18,035	37.02	+8.3
	New Democratic	Brian Donlevy	7,771	15.95	+2.4
	Christian Heritage	Hans Strikwerda	3,190	6.55
	Libertarian	Kaye Sargent	187	0.38	-0.3
	Commonwealth of Canada	Sharon Rounds	166	0.34
Total valid votes			48,716	100.0

1984 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Bruce Halliday	25,642	57.1	+11.2
	Liberal	Alfred Apps	12,884	28.7	-8.1
	New Democratic	Wayne Colbran	6,077	13.5	-2.8
	Libertarian	Kaye Sargent	322	0.7	0.0
Total valid votes			44,925	100.0

1980 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Bruce Halliday	19,382	45.9	-9.3
	Liberal	Ken Peers	15,546	36.8	+6.5
	New Democratic	Marjorie Lanaway	6,885	16.3	+2.3
	Libertarian	Nancy Hurd	311	0.7	+0.2
	Marxist–Leninist	Larry Hannant	100	0.2
Total valid votes			42,224	100.0

1979 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Bruce Halliday	23,592	55.2	+8.8
	Liberal	Ron Calhoun	12,935	30.3	-12.6
	New Democratic	Marjorie Lanaway	5,980	14.0	+3.2
	Libertarian	Nancy Hurd	227	0.5
Total valid votes			42,734	100.0

1974 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Bruce Halliday	18,934	46.4	-16.2
	Liberal	Charlie Tatham	17,506	42.9	+12.0
	New Democratic	Peter Klynstra	4,398	10.8	+4.1
Total valid votes			40,838	100.0

1972 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Wally Nesbitt	25,438	62.5	+9.0
	Liberal	Charlie Tatham	12,540	30.8	-5.9
	New Democratic	Ron Wettlaufer	2,703	6.6	-3.0
Total valid votes			40,681	100.0

1968 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Wally Nesbitt	18,504	53.6	-2.1
	Liberal	Charlie Tatham	12,697	36.8	+4.6
	New Democratic	John Hilborn	3,335	9.7	-2.5
Total valid votes			34,536	100.0

1965 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Wally Nesbitt	17,657	55.6	-4.8
	Liberal	Leslie MacDonald Ball	10,202	32.2	-0.1
	New Democratic	Margaret Caffyn	3,870	12.2	+7.4
Total valid votes			31,729	100.0

1963 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Wally Nesbitt	19,402	60.4	+2.6
	Liberal	William Young	10,359	32.3	-1.6
	New Democratic	Wilf Vale	1,550	4.8	-1.2
	Social Credit	Margaret Elsom	805	2.5	+0.2
Total valid votes			32,116	100.0

1962 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Wally Nesbitt	18,352	57.8	-17.3
	Liberal	Robert Alan MacDougall	10,731	33.8	+9.0
	New Democratic	Wilf Vale	1,918	6.0
	Social Credit	Charles Elsom	735	2.3
Total valid votes			31,736	100.0

1958 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Wally Nesbitt	22,079	75.1	+6.3
	Liberal	Hector Alexander Clark	7,305	24.9	+74.8
Total valid votes			29,384	100.0

1957 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Wally Nesbitt	20,404	68.9	+18.8
	Liberal	Bruce McCall	8,275	27.9
	Social Credit	Charlie Elsom	944	3.2
Total valid votes			29,623	100.0

1953 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Wally Nesbitt	12,693	50.1	+4.8
	Liberal	Alexander Clark Murray	12,654	49.9	+1.6
Total valid votes			25,347	100.0

1949 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Alexander Clark Murray	12,581	48.3	+6.6
	Progressive Conservative	Kenneth Daniel	11,791	45.2	-3.6
	Co-operative Commonwealth	William Gordon Goodwin	1,688	6.5
Total valid votes			26,060	100.0

1945 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Kenneth Daniel	11,916	48.9	+5.8
	Liberal	Almon Secord Rennie	10,149	41.6	-15.2
	Co-operative Commonwealth	Ralph Burton	2,310	9.5
Total valid votes			24,375	100.0

Note: Progressive Conservative vote is compared to "National Government" vote in 1940 election.

1940 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Almon Secord Rennie	10,975	56.9	+9.1
	National Government	Charles Thomas Milton	8,325	43.1	+7.0
Total valid votes			19,300	100.0

Note: "National Government" vote is compared to Conservative vote in 1935 election.

1935 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%
	Liberal	Almon Secord Rennie	11,438	47.8
	Conservative	Donald Matheson Sutherland	8,655	36.2
	Reconstruction	Richard Harley Mayberry	2,953	12.3
	Co-operative Commonwealth	William Andrew MacLeod	886	3.7
Total valid votes			23,932	100.0

References

"Oxford (federal electoral district) (Code 35067) Census Profile". 2011 census. Government of Canada - Statistics Canada. Retrieved 3 March 2011.
Beatty, Bob (Summer 2008). "Oxford MPs: Confederation till Now" (PDF). Oxford Update. Dave MacKenzie. p. 2. Retrieved 22 July 2009.
Riding history from the Library of Parliament
2011 results from Elections Canada
Campaign expense data from Elections Canada

Notes

↑ Markus was a member of the Christian Heritage Party, which was unregistered at the time

↑ Statistics Canada: 2012
↑ Statistics Canada: 2012
↑ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (9 February 2022). "Profile table, Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population - Ottawa South [Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)], Ontario". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved 8 March 2023.
↑ "Oxford".
↑ "June 19, 2023, by-elections—Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved 13 November 2023.
↑ "forty-fourth general election 2021 — Poll-by-poll results". Elections Canada. Retrieved 1 June 2023.
↑ "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved 4 October 2019.
↑ "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved 27 July 2021.
↑ Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Oxford, 30 September 2015
↑ "Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates". Archived from the original on 15 August 2015. Retrieved 28 April 2020.
↑ Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections
↑ Election Prediction Project

43°04′N 80°36′W / 43.06°N 80.6°W / 43.06; -80.6

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[13] Markus was a member of the Christian Heritage Party, which was unregistered at the time

[1] Statistics Canada: 2012

[2] Statistics Canada: 2012

[3] Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (9 February 2022). "Profile table, Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population - Ottawa South [Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)], Ontario". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved 8 March 2023.

[4] "Oxford".

[5] "June 19, 2023, by-elections—Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved 13 November 2023.

[6] "forty-fourth general election 2021 — Poll-by-poll results". Elections Canada. Retrieved 1 June 2023.

[7] "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved 4 October 2019.

[8] "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved 27 July 2021.

[9] Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Oxford, 30 September 2015

[10] "Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates". Archived from the original on 15 August 2015. Retrieved 28 April 2020.

[11] Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections

[12] Election Prediction Project

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[lower-alpha 1]

Federal ridings in Midwestern Ontario
Liberal	Cambridge Guelph Kitchener—Conestoga Kitchener South—Hespeler Waterloo
Conservative	Brantford—Brant Haldimand—Norfolk Huron—Bruce Oxford Perth Wellington Wellington—Halton Hills
Green	Kitchener Centre