2022 South Australian state election
19 March 2022
All 47 seats in the South Australian House of Assembly
24 seats are needed for a majority
11 (of the 22) seats in the South Australian Legislative Council
Opinion polls
Registered1,266,719 Increase5.4%
Turnout1,127,642 (89%)
(Decrease1.98 pp)
  First party Second party
 
Leader Peter Malinauskas Steven Marshall
Party Labor Liberal
Leader since 9 April 2018 4 February 2013
Leader's seat Croydon Dunstan
Last election 19 seats 25 seats
Seats won 27 16
Seat change Increase 8 Decrease 9
Popular vote 436,134 389,218
Percentage 39.97% 35.67%
Swing Increase 7.18 Decrease 2.30
TPP 54.59% 45.41%
TPP swing Increase 6.52 Decrease 6.52
Winning margin by electorate.
Premier before election

Steven Marshall
Liberal

 Elected Premier

Peter Malinauskas
Labor

The 2022 South Australian state election was held on 19 March 2022 to elect members to the 55th Parliament of South Australia. All 47 seats in the House of Assembly (the lower house, whose members were elected at the 2018 election), and half the seats in the Legislative Council (the upper house, last filled at the 2014 election) were up for re-election.

The one-term incumbent minority Liberal government, led by Premier Steven Marshall, was decisively defeated by the opposition Labor Party, led by Opposition Leader Peter Malinauskas. Marshall conceded to Malinauskas about three hours after the polls closed.[1] It is the first time since 1982, and only the fourth time since 1933, that a sitting government in South Australia has been defeated after a single term.

Labor won 27 seats in the lower house, while the Liberals retained 16 seats—with the remaining four seats won by independents.[2] The new ministry was sworn in two days after the election, and Malinauskas became the state's 47th Premier.[3]

In the 22-seat upper house where 11 seats were up for election, the result was five Labor, four Liberal, one Green, and one One Nation, for a total of nine Labor government seats, eight Liberal opposition seats, with five crossbenchers—two Green, two SA-Best, and one One Nation.[4] Consequently, the new Labor government would require an additional three non-government votes to pass legislation;[5] however, the Liberal upper house President was unexpectedly re-elected to the Presidency, which gave the Labor government nine of 21 seats during votes on the floor, meaning that only an additional two non-government votes are required to pass legislation.[6][7][8]

Like federal elections, South Australia has compulsory voting, uses full-preference instant-runoff voting for single-member electorates in the lower house, and optional preference single transferable voting in the proportionally represented upper house. The election was conducted by the Electoral Commission of South Australia (ECSA), an independent body answerable to Parliament.

Background

House of Assembly

In the House of Assembly at the 2018 election, the Liberal opposition formed a two-seat majority government with 25 of 47 seats. The former 16-year four-term Labor government went in to opposition with 19 seats. The crossbench was represented by 3 independents: Frances Bedford, Troy Bell and Geoff Brock. The Liberals won 51.9% of the statewide two-party-preferred vote, which was actually a slight swing toward Labor.[9][10][11][12]

Government loses its majority (2021)

The Liberal Party's already slender majority was further reduced when in, February 2020, Sam Duluk, the member for Waite, had his Liberal membership suspended due to his personal conduct at a 2019 Christmas party, which led to him being charged with assault by police.[13][14] Duluk was found not guilty in the Adelaide Magistrates Court in August 2021, though he remained on the crossbench as an independent.[15]

In February 2021, Fraser Ellis, the Liberal member for Narungga, was charged by the Independent Commissioner Against Corruption (ICAC) with 23 counts of deception, relating to 78 fraudulent claims over the alleged misuse of a travel allowance totalling more than $18,000. The ICAC charges led to Ellis resigning from the Liberal Party and moving to the crossbench as an independent, which officially transitioned the Liberals into a minority government.[16] Later that year, Dan Cregan, the Liberal member for Kavel, resigned from the party to sit as an independent, citing the government's failure to manage population growth in the Adelaide Hills.[17] Several days after his resignation from the party, Cregan was elected as Speaker of the House of Assembly after a ballot, as the government's preferred candidate lacked sufficient support in the Assembly.[18]

Though in minority, the government did not fall, as it never lost a vote on confidence or supply; in any event, Ellis and other independents had stated they would support the Marshall government on such matters.[19]

Legislative Council

After the 2018 election, the numbers in the Legislative Council were 8 Liberal, 8 Labor, 2 SA Best, 2 Greens, 1 Conservative and 1 Advance SA.[11][20][21] Conservative MLC Dennis Hood, who had been elected as a Family First MLC in 2014, defected to the Liberals nine days after the 2018 state election.[22][23][24] In 2020, John Dawkins was expelled from the Liberal Party for breaking party rules by nominating himself for President of the Legislative Council.[25] The 22 seat upper house composition before the 2022 election was therefore 8 Liberal, 8 Labor, 2 SA Best, 2 Greens, 1 Advance SA, and 1 independent.

Of these members: 4 Liberal, 4 Labor, 2 SA Best and 1 Green have terms which continue until 2026; and 4 Liberal, 4 Labor, 1 Green, 1 Advance SA and 1 independent were up for re-election in 2022, though the independent Dawkins did not contest the election.

Campaign

Labor campaigned extensively on improving the state's healthcare infrastructure by 'fixing the ramping crisis', pledging to increase the amount of ambulances, hospital beds, nurses and doctors in order to combat long-standing overcrowding of hospitals and ramping of ambulances. The day before the election the AEC demanded that Labor amend their campaign which was deemed misleading. Labor refused until after the election.[26]

As part of an effort to secure the electoral district of Kavel, Labor also promised to build a new hospital in Mount Barker. The MP for Kavel, Dan Cregan, had resigned from the Liberals in October 2021 to become an independent, citing insufficient government investment in the district; among Cregan's demands included the construction of a new hospital.[27]

The Australian Christian Lobby campaigned for SA election candidates who opposed late-term abortions and who promote more socially conservative policies.[28][29]

Pauline Hanson's One Nation ran in its first South Australian election since 2006. The newly formed Family First Party (which is different from the previous Family First Party), the Australian Family Party and Sustainable Australia ran for the first time as well.

Candidates

Registered parties

Parties registered with the Electoral Commission of South Australia.[30]

Polling

Two-party-preferred
Primary vote
House of Assembly (lower house) polling
Date Firm Primary vote 2PP vote
LIB ALP BST GRN OTH LIB ALP
19 Mar 2022 election 35.7% 40% 0.2% 9.1% 15% 45.4% 54.6%
11–17 Mar 2022 Newspoll[31] 38% 41% – 9% 12% 46% 54%
7–13 Mar 2022 YouGov[32] 33% 41% – 11% 15% 44% 56%
18–24 Feb 2022 Newspoll[33] 37% 39% – 10% 14% 47% 53%
1–14 Feb 2022 Dynata[34] 35% 37% 4% 7% 17% 49% 51%
15–29 Jul 2021 Dynata[35] 38% 34% 5% 10% 12% 51% 49%
24 Feb – 1 Mar 2021 YouGov[36] 43% 36% 6% 10% 5% 51% 49%
10–16 Sep 2020 YouGov[37] 46% 35% 5% 10% 4% 53% 47%
6–11 Mar 2020 YouGov[38] 39% 38% 7% 11% 5% 47% 53%
12–14 Mar 2019 YouGov–Galaxy[39] 42% 37% 7% 7% 10% 52% 48%
17 Mar 2018 election 38% 32.8% 14.2% 6.7% 8.4% 51.9% 48.1%
13–15 Mar 2018 Newspoll[40] 34% 31% 17% 8% 10% – –
Legislative Council (upper house) polling
Date Firm Primary vote
LIB ALP GRN BST ONP ASA OTH
1–14 Feb 2022 Dynata[34] 33% 33% 9% 5% 5% 1% 13%
15–29 Jul 2021 Dynata[35] 36% 32% 9% 6% 6% 1% 10%

Preferred premier and satisfaction polling

Opinion polls conducted for preferred premier
Approval ratings of Steven Marshall
Approval ratings of Peter Malinauskas
Date Firm Better Premier Satisfied Dissatisfied Satisfied Dissatisfied
Marshall Malinauskas Marshall Malinauskas
11–17 Mar 2022 Newspoll[31] 41% 44% 47% 46% 54% 30%
7–13 Mar 2022 YouGov[32] 40% 45% 46% 48% 51% 32%
18–24 Feb 2022 Newspoll[33] 39% 46% 48% 47% 51% 31%
24 Feb – 1 Mar 2021 YouGov[36] 50% 30% 60% – 46% –
10–16 Sep 2020 YouGov[37] 54% 26% 68% 16% 44% 22%
6–11 Mar 2020 YouGov[38] 38% 36% 37% 41% 44% 26%
12–14 Mar 2019 YouGov–Galaxy[39] 46% 26% – – – –
17 Mar 2018 election
Marshall Weatherill Marshall Weatherill
13–15 Mar 2018 Newspoll[40] 33% 38% 30% 50% 33% 53%
^ Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader.

Redistribution and pre-redistribution pendulum

Metropolitan seats
Inner-rural seats
Outer-rural seats

To produce "fair" electoral boundaries, the Electoral Commission of South Australia (ECSA) has been required following the 1989 election to redraw boundaries after each election through a "fairness clause" in the state constitution, with the objective that the party which receives over 50 percent of the statewide two-party vote at the forthcoming election should win the two-party vote in a majority of seats in terms of the two-party-preferred vote calculated in all seats regardless of any differing two-candidate-preferred vote.[41] As it was interpreted from 1991 to 2016, the Electoral Districts Boundaries Commission (EDBC) drew boundaries to try and ensure that the party winning the majority of the state-wide two-party preferred vote would also win a majority of the seats in the House of Assembly;[42] however, the Weatherill government repealed the fairness provision in 2017 so that it was no longer the second criteria for redistributions after equality.[43]

Yet the 2020 redistribution showed that the fairness criteria has not been removed from South Australian redistributions. The EDBC ruled that it could still consider fairness under a general provision that permits the Commission to "have regard to any other matters it thinks relevant". Having been legislatively required in the past, fairness will continue to be allowed as a matter for consideration in the future.[44]

The Electoral Districts Boundaries Commission released a new draft redistribution in August 2020,[45] as calculated from the 27 Liberal−20 Labor seat count by two-party vote as recorded in all 47 seats at the 2014 state election. The net change proposed retained a 27 Liberal−20 Labor notional seat count on a TPP basis when not considering elected independents.[46]

The pendulum below shows the post-redistribution margins, in percentage points, calculated by ABC’s Antony Green,[47] taking into account seats held by independents who are contesting their current seats at the next election, which differ somewhat to the margins calculated by the South Australian Electoral Districts Boundaries Commission that does not take into account currently elected independents.[46] The EDBC is the only redistribution authority in Australia that is required to examine voting patterns in drawing electoral boundaries, and in doing so, assume that the proportion of each party's vote in the declaration vote (postal, pre-poll and absent votes) is evenly distributed across the whole of each former electorate. Antony Green's margin estimates are more accurately calculated using declaration votes from the redistributed polling booths.[48]

Retiring members are shown in italic text.

Liberal seats (23)
Marginal
Newland Richard Harvey LIB 0.1
King Paula Luethen LIB 0.6
Adelaide Rachel Sanderson LIB 1.0
Elder Carolyn Power LIB 1.9
Fairly safe
Colton Matt Cowdrey LIB 6.2
Hartley Vincent Tarzia LIB 6.6
Dunstan Steven Marshall LIB 7.5
Heysen Josh Teague LIB 7.6
Davenport Steve Murray LIB 8.2
Black David Speirs LIB 9.2
Morialta John Gardner LIB 9.4
Safe
Gibson Corey Wingard LIB 10.0
Morphett Stephen Patterson LIB 11.0
Unley David Pisoni LIB 11.5
Stuart Dan van Holst Pellekaan LIB 11.7
Finniss David Basham LIB 14.5
Schubert Stephan Knoll LIB 15.6
Hammond Adrian Pederick LIB 16.9
Bragg Vickie Chapman LIB 16.9
Chaffey Tim Whetstone LIB 18.0
Frome Geoff Brock (IND)[lower-alpha 1] LIB 18.1
Very safe
MacKillop Nick McBride LIB 25.2
Flinders Peter Treloar LIB 26.1
Labor seats (20)
Marginal
Mawson Leon Bignell ALP 0.7
Wright Blair Boyer ALP 3.1
Badcoe Jayne Stinson ALP 4.8
Lee Stephen Mullighan ALP 5.3
Torrens Dana Wortley ALP 5.7
Fairly safe
Enfield Andrea Michaels ALP 6.2
Hurtle Vale Nat Cook ALP 8.3
Light Tony Piccolo ALP 8.4
Reynell Katrine Hildyard ALP 9.5
Safe
Taylor Jon Gee ALP 11.9
Florey Frances Bedford (IND)[lower-alpha 2] ALP 13.5
West Torrens Tom Koutsantonis ALP 14.2
Giles Eddie Hughes ALP 14.9
Kaurna Chris Picton ALP 16.0
Cheltenham Joe Szakacs ALP 16.7
Port Adelaide Susan Close ALP 16.8
Elizabeth Lee Odenwalder ALP 17.2
Ramsay Zoe Bettison ALP 18.5
Playford Michael Brown ALP 19.0
Very safe
Croydon Peter Malinauskas ALP 23.3
Independent seats (4)
Waite Sam Duluk[lower-alpha 3] IND 7.4 LIB v ALP
Mt Gambier Troy Bell IND 10.3 v LIB
Kavel Dan Cregan[lower-alpha 3] IND 14.5 LIB v ALP
Narungga Fraser Ellis[lower-alpha 3] IND 18.2 LIB v ALP
  1. ↑ Geoff Brock would contest Stuart at the election.
  2. ↑ Frances Bedford would contest Newland at the election.
  3. 1 2 3 Elected as a Liberal, but became an independent during the term.
Members of the South Australian Legislative Council, 2018–2022
Liberal (8) Labor (8) SA-BEST (2) Green (2) Advance SA (1) Independent (1)

elected 2018:
Stephen Wade
Terry Stephens
Jing Lee
Heidi Girolamo ^
^ Appointed to replace resigning David Ridgway in 2021  

elected 2018:
Emily Bourke
Justin Hanson
Irene Pnevmatikos
Clare Scriven

elected 2018:
Connie Bonaros
Frank Pangallo

elected 2018:
Tammy Franks

elected 2014:
Rob Lucas
Michelle Lensink
  Nicola Centofanti ^
^ Appointed to replace resigning Andrew McLachlan in 2020  
  Dennis Hood ^
^ defected from AC/FFP after 2018 election  

elected 2014:
Russell Wortley
Ian Hunter
Tung Ngo
Kyam Maher

elected 2014:
Robert Simms ^
^ Appointed to replace resigning Mark Parnell in 2021  

elected 2014:
John Darley

elected 2014:
  John Dawkins ^
^ expelled from the Liberal Party in 2020  

Retiring MPs

Liberal

Labor

Independent

Date

The last state election was held on 17 March 2018 to elect members for the House of Assembly and half of the members in the Legislative Council. In South Australia, section 28 of the Constitution Act 1934, as amended in 2001, directs that parliaments have fixed four-year terms, and elections must be held on the third Saturday in March every four years unless this date falls the day after Good Friday, occurs within the same month as a Commonwealth election, or the conduct of the election could be adversely affected by a state disaster. Section 28 also states that the Governor may also dissolve the Assembly and call an election for an earlier date if the government has lost the confidence of the Assembly or a bill of special importance has been rejected by the Legislative Council. Section 41 states that both the Council and the Assembly may also be dissolved simultaneously if a deadlock occurs between them.[54] As none of these possibilities eventuated, the election was held on its proper date of 19 March 2022.

The Electoral (Miscellaneous) Amendment Act 2013 introduced set dates for writs for general elections in South Australia. The writ sets the dates for the close of the electoral roll and the close of nominations for an election. The Electoral Act 1985 requires that, for a general election, the writ be issued 28 days before the date fixed for polling (S47(2a)) and the electoral roll be closed at 12 noon, 6 days after the issue of the writ (S48(3(a)(i)). The close of nominations will be at 12 noon 3 days after the close of rolls (Electoral Act 1985 S48(4)(a) and S4(1)).

Results

Winning party by electorate.

House of Assembly

↓ 
27 4 16
ALP IND LIB
House of Assembly[2][55]
Party Votes  % Swing Seats Change
  Labor 436,134 39.97 +7.18 27 Increase 8
  Liberal 389,218 35.67 −2.30 16 Decrease 9
  Greens 99,534 9.12 +2.46 0 Steady
  Independents 79,144 7.25 +3.75 4 Increase 1
  Family First 40,011 3.67 +3.67 0 Steady
  One Nation 28,664 2.63 +2.63 0 Steady
  Animal Justice 6,107 0.56 +0.25 0 Steady
  National 5,279 0.48 +0.48 0 Steady
  Australian Family 3,043 0.28 +0.28 0 Steady
  SA-BEST 2,171 0.20 −13.95 0 Steady
  Real Change SA 1,138 0.10 +0.10 0 Steady
  Liberal Democrats 730 0.07 +0.07 0 Steady
 Formal votes 1,091,173 96.77 −0.14
 Informal votes 36,469 3.23 +0.14
 Total 1,127,642 100 47
 Registered voters / turnout 1,266,719 89.02 −2.92
Two-party-preferred vote[56]
  Labor 595,663 54.59 +6.52 27 Increase 8
  Liberal 495,510 45.41 −6.52 16 Decrease 9
Popular vote
Labor
 
 39.98%
Liberal
 
 35.66%
Greens
 
 9.12%
Independents
 
 7.26%
Family First
 
 3.66%
One Nation
 
 2.62%
Others
 
 1.69%
Two-party-preferred vote
Labor
 
 54.59%
Liberal
 
 45.41%
Seats
Labor
 
 57.45%
Liberal
 
 34.04%
Independents
 
 8.51%

Seats changing hands

Seat Pre-election Swing Post-election
Party Member Margin Margin Member Party
Adelaide Liberal Rachel Sanderson 1.0 7.1 6.2 Lucy Hood Labor
Davenport Liberal Steve Murray 8.1 11.6 3.4 Erin Thompson Labor
Elder Liberal Carolyn Power 2.0 7.5 5.5 Nadia Clancy Labor
Florey Independent Frances Bedford2 6.1 –0.64 12.8 Michael Brown Labor
Frome Independent Geoff Brock3 8.2 –10.26 7.9 Penny Pratt Liberal
Gibson Liberal Corey Wingard 10.0 12.4 2.4 Sarah Andrews Labor
Kavel Liberal Dan Cregan1 14.5 40.15 25.6 Dan Cregan Independent
King Liberal Paula Luethen 0.6 3.7 3.0 Rhiannon Pearce Labor
Narungga Liberal Fraser Ellis1 18.2 26.65 8.3 Fraser Ellis Independent
Newland Liberal Richard Harvey 0.1 5.5 5.4 Olivia Savvas Labor
Stuart Liberal Dan van Holst Pellekaan 11.6 28.65 17.1 Geoff Brock3 Independent
Waite Liberal Sam Duluk7 7.4 11.4 4.0 Catherine Hutchesson Labor
1 Dan Cregan and Fraser Ellis were elected as Liberal MPs, but both resigned from the party in 2021. The margin given is their margins as Liberal candidates in 2018.
2 Due to the 2020 redistribution, Frances Bedford contested Newland instead of Florey.
3 Due to the 2020 redistribution, Geoff Brock contested Stuart instead of Frome.
4 This is the swing for Labor v Liberal.
5 This is the swing against the Liberal Party, who held the seat prior to the election.
6 This is the swing against the Liberal Party for Liberal v Labor.
7 Sam Duluk was elected as a Liberal MP in 2018, but he resigned from the party in 2019. The margin given is his margin as a Liberal candidate in 2018.

Pendulum

Labor seats (27)
Marginal
Gibson Sarah Andrews ALP 2.5
King Rhiannon Pearce ALP 2.9
Davenport Erin Thompson ALP 3.4
Waite Catherine Hutchesson ALP 4.0
Newland Olivia Savvas ALP 5.4
Elder Nadia Clancy ALP 5.6
Fairly safe
Adelaide Lucy Hood ALP 6.2
Safe
Torrens Dana Wortley ALP 10.0
Lee Stephen Mullighan ALP 11.2
Wright Blair Boyer ALP 11.9
Florey Michael Brown ALP 12.8
Mawson Leon Bignell ALP 13.8
Enfield Andrea Michaels ALP 14.5
Badcoe Jayne Stinson ALP 14.8
Hurtle Vale Nat Cook ALP 15.5
Playford John Fulbrook ALP 16.3
Reynell Katrine Hildyard ALP 16.7
West Torrens Tom Koutsantonis ALP 18.8
Cheltenham Joe Szakacs ALP 19.1
Light Tony Piccolo ALP 19.5
Taylor Nick Champion ALP 19.7
Ramsay Zoe Bettison ALP 19.9
Very safe
Kaurna Chris Picton ALP 20.1
Elizabeth Lee Odenwalder ALP 20.5
Giles Eddie Hughes ALP 21.0
Port Adelaide Susan Close ALP 21.8
Croydon Peter Malinauskas ALP 24.8
Liberal seats (16)
Marginal
Dunstan Steven Marshall LIB 0.5
Finniss David Basham LIB 0.7 v IND
Morialta John Gardner LIB 1.4
Heysen Josh Teague LIB 1.9
Unley David Pisoni LIB 2.2
Black David Speirs LIB 2.7
Flinders Sam Telfer LIB 3.0 v IND
Hartley Vincent Tarzia LIB 3.6
Morphett Stephen Patterson LIB 4.5
Colton Matt Cowdrey LIB 4.8
Hammond Adrian Pederick LIB 5.1
Fairly safe
Frome Penny Pratt LIB 8.1
Bragg Vickie Chapman LIB 8.2
Safe
Schubert Ashton Hurn LIB 11.9
Chaffey Tim Whetstone LIB 17.2
Very safe
MacKillop Nick McBride LIB 22.6
Independent seats (4)
Narungga Fraser Ellis IND 8.3 v LIB
Mt Gambier Troy Bell IND 13.1 v LIB
Stuart Geoff Brock IND 17.1 v LIB
Kavel Dan Cregan IND 25.4 v LIB

Legislative Council

The final result was 5 Labor, 4 Liberal, 1 Green, and 1 One Nation, for a total of 9 Labor government seats, 8 Liberal opposition seats, with 5 crossbenchers — 2 Green, 2 SA-Best, and 1 One Nation.

With the Liberal upper house President unexpectedly re-elected to the Presidency, this gives the Labor government nine of 21 seats during votes on the floor, meaning that only an additional two non-government votes are required to pass legislation.[6][7][8]

Legislative Council[4][57]
Party Votes  % +/- Seats
Total
in 2018		 Up Won Total
in 2022		 +/-
  Labor 402,441 36.96 +8.01 8 4 5 9 Increase 1
  Liberal 374,289 34.38 +2.14 9 5 4 8 Decrease 1
  Greens 98,324 9.03 +3.17 2 1 1 2 Steady
  One Nation 46,051 4.23 New 0 0 1 1 Increase 1
  Liberal Democrats 36,445 3.35 +0.88 0 0 0 0 Steady
  Family First 33,342 3.06 New 0 0 0 0 Steady
  Legalise Cannabis 22,731 2.09 New 0 0 0 0 Steady
  Animal Justice 16,299 1.50 –0.67 0 0 0 0 Steady
  Independents 13,937 1.28 +0.84 0 0 0 0 Steady
  SA-Best 11,392 1.05 –18.31 2 0 0 2 Steady
  Real Change SA 9,417 0.86 New 0 0 0 0 Steady
  Australian Family 9,315 0.86 New 0 0 0 0 Steady
  National 7,363 0.68 New 0 0 0 0 Steady
  SA Party 3,871 0.36 New 0 0 0 0 Steady
  Advance SA 3,623 0.33 –0.07 1 1 0 0 Decrease 1
 Formal votes 1,088,840 96.38 +0.33
 Informal votes 40,840 3.62 −0.33
 Total 1,129,680 100 - 22 11 11 22
 Registered voters / turnout 1,266,719 89.18 −2.94
Members of the South Australian Legislative Council
Labor (9) Liberal (8) Green (2) One Nation (1) SA-BEST (2)

elected 2022:
Kyam Maher
Tung Ngo
Reggie Martin
Ian Hunter
Russell Wortley

elected 2022:
Michelle Lensink
Dennis Hood
Nicola Centofanti
Laura Curran

elected 2022:
Robert Simms

elected 2022:
Sarah Game


elected 2018:
Emily Bourke
Justin Hanson
Irene Pnevmatikos
Clare Scriven

elected 2018:
David Ridgway
Stephen Wade
Terry Stephens
Jing Lee

elected 2018:
Tammy Franks


elected 2018:
Connie Bonaros
Frank Pangallo

Aftermath and reactions

ABC News election analyst Antony Green projected that Labor would win a majority at 8:06 PM ACST on 19 March 2022, two hours after the polls closed. This defied a number of suggestions of a hung parliament. Marshall conceded defeat to Malinauskas an hour later.[58]

Labor took seven seats off the Liberals, including two seats that had never been held by Labor before this election, Davenport and Waite. Davenport had been in the hands of the Liberals and their predecessors, the Liberal and Country League, since its creation in 1970. Waite and its predecessor seat, Mitcham, had been held by non-Labor parties or conservative independents since the introduction of single-member seats in 1938. Additionally, the Liberals suffered large swings in previously safe seats such as Bragg, Morphett, and Hammond.

The Liberals were reduced to their smallest presence in the lower house since 2006.[58] This occurred mainly due to the loss of many of the gains they had made in Adelaide four years earlier. The Liberals had won power in 2018 mainly on the strength of winning 16 of Adelaide's 33 seats, their best showing since taking all but nine of the capital's seats in their 1993 landslide. In 2022, all seven of their losses to Labor were in metropolitan seats. Labor had spent all but 16 years since the end of the Playmander in government due to its traditional dominance of Adelaide. South Australia is one of the most centralised states in Australia; Adelaide is home to over three-quarters of the state's population.

To a greater extent than other state capitals, Adelaide is decisive in deciding state election outcomes. Since the end of the Playmander and the introduction of one vote one value legislation in 1975, most elections have seen Labor win most of the metropolitan seats, with most of the Liberal vote locked up in safe rural seats. Even when the Liberals won majorities of the two-party preferred vote in 1989, 2002, 2010 and 2014, Labor clung to or won government because most of the Liberal majority was wasted on massive landslides in their rural heartland.

The 2022 election saw more of the same. All three of the Liberals' safe seats (>10 percent 2PP) were rural, while all but four of their non-safe seats (<10 percent 2PP) and all but three of their marginal seats (<7 percent 2PP) were urban. One of those marginal seats belonged to Marshall, who was nearly defeated in his own seat of Dunstan after suffering a swing of almost seven percent.

On 20 March 2022, Marshall announced he would resign as leader of the Liberals at a later date, but intended to remain the member for Dunstan.[59][60]

On 21 March 2022 Malinauskas was formally sworn as Premier by the Governor of South Australia, with Susan Close as his deputy.[61][62]

In April 2022, it was "formally confirmed" by the end of April that a One Nation member won a seat within the South Australia legislative council (upper house) for the first time in history.[63]

See also

References

  1. ↑ Sarah Martin (19 March 2022). "South Australia election: Labor wins government as Liberal premier Steven Marshall concedes". The Guardian.
  2. 1 2 "South Australia Election 2022 Results". ABC News Elections.
  3. ↑ Rebecca Opie (21 March 2022). "Peter Malinauskas sworn in as South Australia's new Premier alongside deputy and treasurer". ABC News.
  4. 1 2 Antony Green. "Legislative Council Results". ABC News Elections.
  5. ↑ "South Australia gets first One Nation MP with Sarah Game elected to Legislative Council". ABC News. 27 April 2022.
  6. 1 2 "Drama in SA parliament as Liberal investigated by ICAC returned to top position". ABC News. 3 May 2022.
  7. 1 2 "'Beggars belief': Labor coup sidelines Libs, crossbench". 3 May 2022.
  8. 1 2 "SA 2022 – Legislative Council Result Finalised – Antony Green's Election Blog". 27 April 2022.
  9. ↑ Antony Green. "2018 SA election results". Abc.net.au. Retrieved 11 June 2018.
  10. ↑ "House of Assembly State Summary". Electoral Commission of South Australia. Government of South Australia. March 2018. Archived from the original on 24 March 2018. Retrieved 17 March 2018.
  11. 1 2 Antony Green (4 April 2018). "Final Results of the 2018 South Australian Election". Abc.net.au. Retrieved 11 June 2018.
  12. ↑ "Notional two-party preferred results". ECSA. Archived from the original on 4 April 2018. Retrieved 4 April 2018.
  13. ↑ Richardson, Tom (14 February 2020). "Duluk takes leave from parliament and party after police confirm assault report". InDaily. Retrieved 17 February 2020.
  14. ↑ Dillon, Meagan (9 December 2020). "Parliamentary privilege claim to keep investigator's documents out of MP Sam Duluk's assault case". ABC News. Retrieved 10 December 2020.
  15. ↑ "Ex-Liberal MP Sam Duluk found not guilty of assaulting Connie Bonaros at 2019 Christmas party". ABC News. 24 August 2021. Retrieved 25 August 2021.
  16. ↑ "Liberal MP's shock 2am resignation while facing Icac charges plunges SA into minority government". The Guardian. 19 February 2021.
  17. ↑ Starick, Paul (8 October 2021). "Premier Steven Marshall hit by shock defection of Liberal MP Dan Cregan to crossbench". The Advertiser. Retrieved 9 October 2021.
  18. ↑ "SA government rocked as Liberal defector Dan Cregan seizes speakership in late-night parliament sitting". ABC News. 13 October 2021. Retrieved 13 October 2021.
  19. ↑ "Marshall lurches into minority government as MP faces criminal charges". In Daily. 19 February 2021. With a Liberal Speaker and Duluk's move to the crossbench, its majority in the House of Assembly had already effectively disappeared, while Ellis's departure officially plunges it into a minority government of 23 seats. However, this is unlikely to have much practical effect, given Ellis and Duluk – both hailing from the party's Right faction – are unlikely to oppose the Government line on key divisions and Ellis has guaranteed his support on confidence and supply.
  20. ↑ "2018 Legislative Council election results: ECSA 23 April 2018". Archived from the original on 24 April 2018. Retrieved 24 April 2018.
  21. ↑ William Bowe (18 March 2018). "Third time lucky". Pollbludger.net. Retrieved 11 June 2018.
  22. ↑ "Dennis Hood dumps Cory Bernardi's Australian Conservatives to join SA Liberals". Abc.net.au. 26 March 2018. Retrieved 11 June 2018.
  23. ↑ ""We didn't realise the power of Family First": Fallen Conservative rues botched re-branding". Indaily.com.au. 20 March 2018. Retrieved 11 June 2018.
  24. ↑ ""They're dickheads": Darley kills off power-sharing deal with X-colleagues". Indaily.com.au. 23 April 2018. Retrieved 11 June 2018.
  25. ↑ "SA Liberal John Dawkins wins presidency then booted from party hours after vote". ABC News. Australian Broadcasting Corporation. 8 September 2020. Retrieved 8 September 2020.
  26. ↑ Martin, Sarah (15 March 2022). "South Australian election: can social media savvy Peter Malinauskas lead Labor back to power?". the Guardian. Retrieved 21 March 2022.
  27. ↑ MacLennan, Leah (9 March 2022). "Labor promises $220 million for new Mount Barker hospital in independent seat". ABC News. Retrieved 21 March 2022.
  28. ↑ "In the city of churches, there's one topic leaders can't ignore ahead of the state election". ABC News. 11 March 2022.
  29. ↑ "Australian Christian Lobby run targeted campaign for SA election candidates who oppose late-term abortions". ABC News. 7 March 2022.
  30. ↑ "Register of political parties".
  31. 1 2 Penberthy, David (18 March 2022). "Covid casualty: South Australian Liberals on brink of election defeat". The Australian.
  32. 1 2 Starick, Paul (15 March 2022). "Bombshell poll: Labor poised for shock election victory". The Advertiser.
  33. 1 2 Penberthy, David (25 February 2022). "South Australian election: Steven Marshall in danger of one-and-done". The Australian.
  34. 1 2 Richardson, Tom (21 February 2021). "REVEALED: Marshall falls behind in early polling". InDaily.
  35. 1 2 Richardson, Tom (7 September 2021). "REVEALED: New polling points to a tight state election". InDaily.
  36. 1 2 "Sunday Mail-YouGov poll: Premier Steven Marshall's Liberals lead eroded by Peter Malinauskas's Labor". www.adelaidenow.com.au. Retrieved 6 March 2021.
  37. 1 2 "Advertiser-YouGov poll: Premier Steven Marshall surges as preferred leader and Libs take the lead, as SA crushes the COVID curve". www.adelaidenow.com.au. Retrieved 20 September 2020.
  38. 1 2 "Advertiser YouGov Poll: Marshall Government at risk of being ousted after one term as Labor surges two years before election". www.adelaidenow.com.au. 13 March 2020. Retrieved 13 March 2020.
  39. 1 2 "First Published poll of the state voting intention in South Australia". adelaidenow.com.au. 16 March 2019. Retrieved 16 March 2019.
  40. 1 2 Bowe, William (16 March 2018). "Newspoll and ReachTEL: Liberal 34, Labor 31 in South Australia". pollbludger.net. Retrieved 17 March 2018.
  41. ↑ "South Australia Constitution Act 1934 (05 December 2016 – 11 December 2017, Authorised)" (PDF). South Australian Legislation. Retrieved 18 March 2022.
  42. ↑ "Criteria for a Redistribution". Electoral Districts Boundaries Commission. Archived from the original on 15 March 2022. Retrieved 18 March 2022.
  43. ↑ "South Australia Constitution Act (12 December 2017 – 31 December 2020, Authorised)" (PDF). South Australian Legislation. Retrieved 18 March 2022.
  44. ↑ Green, Antony (16 August 2022). "2020 South Australian Redistribution – Release of Draft Boundaries". Antony Green's Election Blog. Retrieved 17 March 2022.
  45. ↑ "Final Redistribution Report". Electoral Districts Boundaries Commission. Archived from the original on 5 December 2020. Retrieved 18 March 2022.
  46. 1 2 "EDBC Final Report Appendices". Electoral Districts Boundaries Commission. Retrieved 18 March 2022.
  47. ↑ Green, Antony. "SA post-redistribution pendulum". ABC News. Retrieved 18 March 2022.
  48. ↑ Green, Antony. "New State Electoral Boundaries for South Australia Finalised". Antony Green's Election Blog. Retrieved 18 March 2022.
  49. ↑ Isabel, Dayman (1 December 2020). "Former South Australian transport minister Stephan Knoll to quit at 2022 election". Australian Broadcasting Corporation. Retrieved 2 December 2020.
  50. ↑ "Member for Flinders Peter Treloar decides to not seek re-nomination". Port Lincoln Times. 1 December 2020. Retrieved 2 December 2020.
  51. ↑ "'I'll only serve one term,' says new SA Treasurer". SBS News. 20 March 2018.
  52. ↑ Dornin, Tim (27 January 2021). "SA Labor MP Jon Gee to call it quits". The West Australian. AAP. Retrieved 28 January 2021.
  53. ↑ O'Rielly, Michelle (3 February 2020). "People's advocate John Dawkins MLC announces retirement". Victor Harbor Times.
  54. ↑ "Australian elections timetable". Australian Parliamentary Library. Retrieved 5 February 2013.
  55. ↑ "South Australian Election Results". Electoral Commission South Australia. 19 March 2022.
  56. ↑ Green, Antony (29 March 2022). "South Australian Election – Results Analysis". Antony Green's Election Blog. Retrieved 29 March 2022.
  57. ↑ "Results - 2022 State Election". Electoral Commission of South Australia.
  58. 1 2 Daniel Keane; Rebecca Purdy (20 March 2022). "SA election 2022 results: Labor secures victory over Liberal government — as it happened". ABC News.
  59. ↑ Evans, Simon (20 March 2022). "Steven Marshall quits as SA Liberals leader". Australian Financial Review. Retrieved 20 March 2022.
  60. ↑ Outgoing SA Premier Steven Marshall to step down as Liberal leader after election defeat, ABC News, 20 March 2022
  61. ↑ "Peter Malinauskas sworn in as South Australia's new Premier". ABC News. 21 March 2022.
  62. ↑ "Peter Malinauskas sworn in as new Premier of South Australia".
  63. ↑ "One Nation makes history with first member of SA parliament".
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