2024 Saskatchewan general election
On or before October 28, 2024
61 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan
31 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Leader Scott Moe Carla Beck Nadine Wilson
Party Saskatchewan New Democratic United
Leader since January 27, 2018 June 26, 2022 November 30, 2022
Leader's seat Rosthern-Shellbrook Regina Lakeview Saskatchewan Rivers
Last election 48 seats, 60.67% 13 seats, 31.82% New party
Current seats 45 14 1
Seats needed Steady Increase17 Increase30
Riding map based on new boundaries
Incumbent Premier

Scott Moe
Saskatchewan


The 2024 Saskatchewan general election will be held on or before October 28, 2024, to elect members of the Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan.[1]

Background

Since 2010, the Legislative Assembly has had a fixed four-year term. According to the 2019 amendment to the Legislative Assembly Act, 2007, "the first general election after the coming into force of this subsection must be held on Monday, October 26, 2020".[2][3] Subsequent elections, must occur "on the last Monday of October in the fourth calendar year after the last general election".[4] However, the act also provides that if the election period would overlap with a federal election period, the provincial election is to be postponed until the first Monday of the following April; in this case: April 7, 2025.[4] The fixed election law does not infringe on the Lieutenant Governor's right to dissolve the Legislative Assembly at an earlier date on the Premier's advice.

Legislative summary

Summary of the 29th Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan

Party Leader Seats
2020 Current
Saskatchewan Scott Moe 4845
New Democratic Carla Beck 1314
Saskatchewan United Nadine Wilson –1
Independent –1
Total 6161

Timeline

2020

2021

2022

2023

Incumbents not contesting their seats

Retiring incumbents

Saskatchewan Party

New Democratic Party

Lost nomination election

Saskatchewan Party

Opinion polls

Polling firm Client Dates conducted Source SK Party NDP Green Progress Buffalo PC United Others Margin
of error		 Sample
size		 Polling method Lead
Angus Reid N/A Nov 24 – Dec 1, 2023 [p 1] 52% 39% — 3% — — — 6% 5% 350 Online 13%
Insightrix The SKoop Oct 4–6, 2023 [p 2][p 3] 51% 45% — — — — — 4% 3.5% 801 Online 6%
Aug 10, 2023 By-elections were held in Regina Coronation Park, Regina Walsh Acres, and Lumsden-Morse.
July 19, 2023The Saskatchewan Liberal Party changes their party name to the Saskatchewan Progress Party.
Insightrix The SKoop July 11–14, 2023 [p 4][p 5] 45% 36% 2% 2% 2% 10% 3% 1% 3.5% 803 Online 9%
Insightrix The SKoop Apr 11–13, 2023 [p 6][p 7][p 8][p 9] 46% 37% 2% 3% 3% 6% 2% — 3.5% 803 Online 9%
Nov 30, 2022The Saskatchewan United Party becomes a registered party, and Nadine Wilson becomes the party's first MLA.
Sep 26, 2022A by-election was held in Saskatoon Meewasin.
June 26, 2022Carla Beck becomes leader of the NDP.
Angus Reid N/A Jun 07–13, 2022 [p 10][p 11] 57% 34% 1% 2% — — — 6% 4% 513 Online 23%
Angus Reid N/A Mar 10–15, 2022 [p 12][p 13] 54% 36% 2% 2% — — — 6% 4% 602 Online 18%
Research Co. N/A Feb 19–23, 2022 [p 14] 53% 37% 2% 1% 3% 2% — 1% 3.5% 808 Online 16%
Feb 18, 2022Ryan Meili announces his intention to step down as leader of the NDP.
Feb 15, 2022A by-election was held in Athabasca.
Angus Reid N/A Jan 7–12, 2022 [p 15][p 16] 48% 39% 1% 2% — — — 10% 5% 415 Online 9%
Angus Reid N/A Sep 29–Oct 3, 2021 [p 17] 52% 35% 1% 2% — — — 9% 2% 505 Online 17%
Angus Reid N/A Jun 2–7, 2021 [p 18] 57% 31% 3% 2% — — — 8% 4% 412 Online 26%
Leger Common Ground Mar 1–8, 2021 [p 19] 41.5% 36.3% 3.9% 6.2% 4.5% 7.3% — 0.2% N/A 802 Online 5.3%
Angus Reid N/A Nov 24–30, 2020 [p 20] 58% 27% 3% 1% — — — 11% 1.4% 459 Online 29%
2020 general election Oct 24, 2020 — 60.7% 31.8% 2.3% 0.1% 2.6% 1.9% — 0.2% — — — 28.9%

Opinion poll sources

  1. ↑ "Saskatchewan: Majority support government's gender & pronoun policy but half also say exceptions needed" (PDF). Angus Reid Institute. June 12, 2023. Retrieved June 12, 2023.
  2. ↑ "Residents say federal government most to blame for rising cost of living in Saskatchewan, according to new poll". The SKoop. October 20, 2023. Archived from the original on October 20, 2023. Retrieved October 20, 2023.
  3. ↑ "The SKoop Polling – October 2023". Insightrix. October 20, 2023. Archived from the original on October 20, 2023. Retrieved October 20, 2023.
  4. ↑ "The SKoop Polling: Cost of living, healthcare top issues for Saskatchewan voters; Saskatchewan Party best able to handle cost of living issues". The SKoop. July 26, 2023. Archived from the original on July 27, 2023. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
  5. ↑ "NEW POLLING: Cost of Living, Healthcare Top Issues for Sask. Voters". The SKoop. July 21, 2023. Archived from the original on July 25, 2023. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  6. ↑ Polling Canada [@CanadianPolling] (April 24, 2023). "Saskatchewan Provincial Polling..." (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  7. ↑ "POLLING: Sask. Party Leads NDP, Sask. United Barely Registering Support". The SKoop. April 21, 2023. Archived from the original on April 24, 2023. Retrieved April 26, 2023.
  8. ↑ Richardson, Dale (April 21, 2023). "Sask. Party Leads NDP in New Poll, Sask. United Registers Barely Any Support". The SKoop. Archived from the original on July 21, 2023. Retrieved July 21, 2023.
  9. ↑ Salloum, Alec (April 24, 2023). "Recent poll shows NDP favoured over Sask. Party in Regina, Saskatoon". Regina Leader-Post. Postmedia Network. Archived from the original on April 25, 2023. Retrieved April 26, 2023.
  10. ↑ "Prairie Politics: Moe and Stefanson share a border, but residents' government satisfaction is worlds apart". Angus Reid Institute. July 8, 2022. Archived from the original on July 8, 2022. Retrieved July 8, 2022.
  11. ↑ "Full Report" (PDF). Angus Reid Institute. July 8, 2022. Archived (PDF) from the original on July 9, 2022. Retrieved July 8, 2022.
  12. ↑ "Provincial spotlight: Ontario, Alberta governments heavily criticized on nearly every aspect of provincial management". Angus Reid Institute. March 31, 2022. Archived from the original on March 31, 2022. Retrieved March 31, 2022.
  13. ↑ "Detailed Results" (PDF). Angus Reid Institute. March 31, 2022. Archived (PDF) from the original on March 31, 2022. Retrieved March 31, 2022.
  14. ↑ "What is Saskatchewan?". Research Co. February 25, 2022. Archived from the original on February 25, 2022. Retrieved February 25, 2022.
  15. ↑ "Spotlight on Provincial Politics" (PDF). Angus Reid. January 20, 2022. Archived (PDF) from the original on January 20, 2022. Retrieved January 20, 2022.
  16. ↑ "Spotlight on Provincial Politics: NDP edge PCPO in vote among Ontario voters, CAQ leads comfortably in Quebec" (PDF). Angus Reid Institute. January 20, 2022. Archived (PDF) from the original on January 20, 2022. Retrieved January 21, 2022.
  17. ↑ "Provincial Spotlight" (PDF). Angus Reid. October 27, 2021. Archived (PDF) from the original on October 27, 2021. Retrieved October 27, 2021.
  18. ↑ "Archived copy" (PDF). angusreid.org. Archived from the original (PDF) on June 10, 2021.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  19. ↑ "Viewpoint Saskatchewan: Vote Intentions & Party Identifications". Common Ground. Archived from the original on December 3, 2021. Retrieved December 3, 2021.
  20. ↑ "Provincial Spotlight: As pandemic wears on, governments losing support on economic, COVID-19 management". Angus Reid Institute. December 10, 2020. Archived from the original on January 13, 2021. Retrieved January 12, 2021.

Notes

  1. ↑ The Biggar-Sask Valley constituency will be eliminated for this election due to redistribution. Weekes chose to seek the Saskatchewan Party nomination in Kindersley-Biggar, which includes a portion of the former Biggar-Sask Valley constituency.

References

  1. ↑ Solomon, Michaela (September 29, 2020). "Saskatchewan's 29th general election begins as writ drop announced". regina.ctvnews.ca. CTV News. Archived from the original on May 9, 2021. Retrieved October 6, 2020.
  2. ↑ "Sask. gov't announces 2020 election date, tables election law changes". Global News. Archived from the original on August 20, 2020. Retrieved September 1, 2020.
  3. ↑ "Saskatchewan adjusting 2020 provincial, municipal election dates". Regina Leader Post. Archived from the original on September 13, 2020. Retrieved September 1, 2020.
  4. 1 2 "The Legislative Assembly Act, 2007" (PDF). The Queen's Printer (Saskatchewan). 2019. Archived (PDF) from the original on December 21, 2018. Retrieved September 11, 2019.
  5. ↑ Pearce, Nick (August 10, 2021). "NDP MLA Buckley Belanger resigns from legislature to seek federal Liberal nomination". thestarphoenix. Archived from the original on January 27, 2022. Retrieved March 16, 2022.
  6. ↑ "Sask. Party MLA resigns from government caucus after 'misrepresenting her vaccination status'". CTV Regina. September 30, 2021. Archived from the original on March 16, 2022. Retrieved March 16, 2022.
  7. ↑ Williams, Ethan (February 16, 2022). "Sask. Party candidate takes Athabasca riding in byelection upset". CBC. Archived from the original on March 12, 2022. Retrieved March 16, 2022.
  8. ↑ Hunter, Adam (February 18, 2022). "Sask. NDP Leader Ryan Meili stepping down, will remain as leader until party chooses a successor". CBC. Archived from the original on March 6, 2022. Retrieved March 16, 2022.
  9. ↑ Canales-Lavigne, Moises (May 19, 2022). "Sask. NDP Leader Ryan Meili stepping down as Saskatoon Meewasin MLA". Global News. Archived from the original on May 19, 2022. Retrieved March 16, 2022.
  10. ↑ Wallace-Scribner, M Tanner (June 26, 2022). "Carla Beck elected as new leader of Sask. NDP". 620ckrm. Archived from the original on June 26, 2022. Retrieved June 26, 2022.
  11. ↑ CBC News (December 1, 2022). "New Sask. United Party already has leader in legislature". CBC News. Archived from the original on December 7, 2022. Retrieved December 1, 2022.
  12. ↑ "Sask. Party MLA Mark Docherty steps down | Globalnews.ca". Archived from the original on February 20, 2023. Retrieved February 20, 2023.
  13. ↑ "Veteran Sask. Party MLA Lyle Stewart steps down for health reasons". CBC News. March 7, 2023. Archived from the original on March 14, 2023. Retrieved April 12, 2023.
  14. ↑ Wallace-Scribner, Tanner (March 28, 2023). "Regina Walsh Acres MLA Derek Meyers dies at the age of 45". CKRM. Archived from the original on March 28, 2023. Retrieved March 28, 2023.
  15. ↑ "Regina MLA Derek Meyers, 45, dies after cancer battle". CBC News. March 28, 2023. Archived from the original on March 29, 2023. Retrieved April 12, 2023.
  16. ↑ "Saskatchewan Liberal Party rebrands to Saskatchewan Progress Party after members vote to change name". CBC News. July 13, 2023. Archived from the original on July 19, 2023. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
  17. 1 2 3 Dayal, Pratyush (August 10, 2023). "2 NDP wins in Regina byelections, Saskatchewan Party keeps Lumsden-Morse". CBC News. Archived from the original on August 11, 2023. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  18. 1 2 3 4 "Archived copy". Archived from the original on December 6, 2023. Retrieved September 10, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  19. 1 2 "Archived copy". Archived from the original on August 11, 2023. Retrieved August 11, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  20. ↑ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on October 19, 2023. Retrieved October 7, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  21. ↑ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on August 11, 2023. Retrieved August 11, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  22. ↑ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on December 6, 2023. Retrieved August 11, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  23. ↑ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on October 20, 2023. Retrieved October 19, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  24. ↑ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on June 2, 2023. Retrieved October 19, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  25. ↑ https://leaderpost.com/news/saskatchewan/house-speaker-randy-weekes-loses-contested-constituency-nomination
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