2023 Manitoba general election
October 3, 2023
57 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba
29 seats are needed for a majority
Turnout55.29% Increase
  First party Second party Third party
 
Ambassador David L. Cohen Meet with Wab Kinew F8VGCCiagAA9BS4 (cropped).jpg
Heather Stefanson Consulate Winnipeg Independence Day Celebration 2022 (cropped).jpg
Dougald_Lamont,_Manitoba_Liberal_Leader.jpg
Leader Wab Kinew Heather Stefanson Dougald Lamont
Party New Democratic Progressive Conservative Liberal
Leader since September 16, 2017 October 30, 2021 October 21, 2017
Leader's seat Fort Rouge Tuxedo St. Boniface (lost re-election)
Last election 18 seats, 31.38% 36 seats, 47.07% 3 seats, 14.48%
Seats before 18 35 3
Seats won 34 22 1
Seat change Increase 16 Decrease 13 Decrease 2
Popular vote 221,695 203,350 51,634
Percentage 45.63% 41.86% 10.63%
Swing Increase 14.25pp Decrease 5.21pp Decrease 3.85pp
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Riding names are listed on the bottom.
Premier before election

Heather Stefanson
Progressive Conservative

 Premier after election

Wab Kinew
New Democratic

The 2023 Manitoba general election was held on October 3, 2023, to elect 57 members to the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba. The incumbent Progressive Conservative Party of Manitoba, led by Premier of Manitoba Heather Stefanson, had attempted to win a third term in government, having previously won the 2016 and 2019 elections under the leadership of Brian Pallister. The New Democratic Party of Manitoba, led by Wab Kinew, replaced the outgoing Conservative majority government with one of its own. Following the election, Kinew became the first First Nations person to become premier of a Canadian province.

Background

Under Manitoba's Elections Act, a general election must be held no later than the first Tuesday of October in the fourth calendar year following the previous election.[1] As the previous election was held in 2019, the latest possible date for the election was October 3, 2023, which was the official election date.[2] The election will be held under first-past-the-post voting.

On August 10, 2021, incumbent premier Brian Pallister announced that he would not seek re-election and resigned shortly after. Members of the Progressive Conservative Party of Manitoba elected Heather Stefanson to succeed Premier Kelvin Goertzen, who served as interim leader of the party after Pallister's departure.[3][4] During the previous legislature, the opposition NDP had gained a polling lead over the PCs. However, the lead tightened during the campaign period.

Campaign

Stefanson primarily campaigned on reducing the cost of living for Manitobans.[5] Kinew led the NDP into the election.[6] The NDP campaign has focused on healthcare reform.[7][8] In addition, Dougald Lamont led the Liberals and Janine Gibson led the Green Party, having been elected leader in March.

The PCs promoted the film industry in the province and in 2022 helped WestJet launch direct flights from Los Angeles to Winnipeg.[9] The New Democrats focused on healthcare with a promise to improve cardiac services.[9] They also pledged to install geothermal systems in thousands of homes.[10] The Liberals campaigned on creating more benefits for seniors, including establishing a minimum income for people over 60.[11] They also promised new debt relief system if elected.[12] The Manitoba Chambers of Commerce encouraged voters to prioritise the economy when voting.[13]

Other campaign issues included crime,[14] agriculture[15] and affordable housing.[16] Indigenous issues were reportedly side-lined during the campaign.[17]

Manitoba had not elected a minority government since 1988, so the media coverage was focused on the PCs and the NDP.[18] In the final days of the campaign, the Manitoba government reported a surplus in the provincial budget worth $270 million.[19]

Riding contests, by number of candidates (2023)
Candidates NDP PC Lib Grn KP Comm Ind Total
2 448
3 34343031102
4 161616742364
5 3333315
Total 57574913553189

Timeline

2021

Legislature summary

[20]

Elections to the 43rd Manitoba Legislature
Party[21] Leader Candidates Seats Popular vote
2019 Dissolution Elected % +/– Votes % Change
(pp)
New Democratic Wab Kinew 5718183459.65+16221,69545.63+14.25
Progressive Conservative Heather Stefanson 5736352238.60–14203,35041.86−5.21
Liberal Dougald Lamont 493311.75–251,63410.63−3.85
  Keystone Kevin Friesen 5––––−3,7270.77New
Green Janine Gibson 13––––−3,5840.74−5.63
Communist Andrew Taylor 5––––−4610.09+0.04
  Independents 3––––−1,3830.28+0.10
  Vacant 1
Valid votes 485,83499.31
Blank and invalid votes 3,3740.69
Total 1895757–489,208100
Registered voters/turnout 884,86455.29

    Incumbents not running for re-election

    Electoral district Incumbent at dissolution and subsequent party nominee New MLA
    Agassiz   Eileen Clarke[22] Jodie Byram Jodie Byram
    Brandon West   Reg Helwer[23] Wayne Balcaen Wayne Balcaen
    Fort Richmond   Sarah Guillemard[24] Paramjit Shahi Jennifer Chen
    Kildonan-River East   Cathy Cox[25] Alana Vannahme Rachelle Schott
    Lakeside   Ralph Eichler[26] Trevor King Trevor King
    La Verendrye   Dennis Smook[27] Konrad Narth Konrad Narth
    McPhillips   Shannon Martin[28] Sheilah Restall Jasdeep Devgan
    Midland   Blaine Pedersen[29] Lauren Stone Lauren Stone
    Portage la Prairie   Ian Wishart[30] Jeff Bereza Jeff Bereza
    Roblin   Myrna Driedger[31] Kathleen Cook Kathleen Cook
    Spruce Woods   Cliff Cullen[32] Grant Jackson Grant Jackson
    Selkirk   Alan Lagimodiere[33] Richard Perchotte   Richard Perchotte

    Candidates

    The PCs and New Democrats ran candidates in all 57 ridings, while the Liberals ran candidates in 49 and the Greens in 13, respectively.[34][35][36]

    Marginal seats

    Seats in the 2019 general election which were won by under 10%

    Seat 2019 held 2023 Winner
    Party Margin Party Margin
    McPhillips   PC 1.00%   NDP 3.02%
    Transcona   NDP 1.29%   NDP 23.06%
    Southdale   PC 4.56%   NDP 14.32%
    Rossmere   PC 8.06%   NDP 8.29%
    Dauphin   PC 8.13%   NDP 3.28%
    Assiniboia   PC 8.79%   NDP 9.69%
    Riel   PC 9.36%   NDP 16.61%
    St. Vital   NDP 9.58%   NDP 30.79%
    The Maples   NDP 9.75%   NDP 32.33%
    Wolseley   NDP 9.98%   NDP 65.42%

    Results

    Results were formally declared on October 3, the night of the election.[37] The NDP only finished four percentage points ahead of the Tories on the popular vote. However, they dominated Winnipeg, taking all but three seats in the capital.[38] Eight members of Stefanson's cabinet were defeated, all in Winnipeg-based ridings.[39] Stefanson herself was nearly defeated in her historically safe seat of Tuxedo, surviving byless than three percentage points.[40]

    Results overview

    Popular vote
    NDP
     
    		 45.63%
    PC
     
    		 41.86%
    Liberal
     
    		 10.63%
    Others
     
    		 1.88%
    Seats
    NDP
     
    		 59.65%
    PC
     
    		 38.60%
    Liberal
     
    		 1.75%

    Synopsis of results by riding

    2023 Manitoba general election – synopsis of riding results[41]
    Riding[a 1] 2019 Winning party Turnout
    [a 2]    		 Votes
    Party Share Margin Comm Grn Ind KP Lib NDP PC Rejected Declined
     
    Agassiz  PC  PC63.85%2,96653.35%6943111553451918 36
    Assiniboia  PC  NDP50.02%91655.70%9134722380615 28
    Borderland  PC  PC72.66%3,55850.45%76492144794 18
    Brandon East  PC  NDP55.64%1,06746.99%305375826916 29
    Brandon West  PC  PC48.75%8951.68%2843725381410 39
    Burrows  NDP  NDP46.04%95844.64%2074303214796 32
    Concordia  NDP  NDP64.52%2,38744.03%4814235184812 36
    Dauphin  PC  NDP52.06%38660.30%4887450145 63
    Dawson Trail  PC  PC50.70%54356.86%4164049459212 57
    Elmwood  NDP  NDP62.21%2,74549.32%523044524933218816 56
    Flin Flon  NDP  NDP76.25%2,03244.17%295191912 19
    Fort Garry  NDP  NDP58.82%2,91458.75%23710825319240514 35
    Fort Richmond  PC  NDP54.45%1,57662.07%8484455287912 34
    Fort Rouge  NDP  NDP70.57%5,19558.04%1021152676115666 33
    Fort Whyte  PC  PC47.87%1,22964.37%42131714544212 33
    Interlake-Gimli  PC  PC49.59%68365.04%3933744460514313 66
    Keewatinook  NDP  NDP59.28%76239.14%1921820105820 34
    Kildonan-River East  PC  NDP49.26%72963.18%896557448459 53
    Kirkfield Park  PC  NDP44.55%66163.76%20516965067440613 29
    La Verendrye  PC  PC61.02%3,03255.54%736640155445865 35
    Lac du Bonnet  PC  PC58.51%2,22360.77%573344756705 80
    Lagimodière  PC  NDP46.24%11264.05%1041571155999 45
    Lakeside  PC  PC61.68%3,40660.98%11012682608811 59
    McPhillips  PC  NDP47.30%32554.61%8864905458023 70
    Midland  PC  PC69.38%4,21656.95%7372011622725 50
    Morden-Winkler  PC  PC73.47%3,53544.32%254160051356 41
    Notre Dame  NDP  NDP75.58%3,10037.88%8210531938327328 13
    Point Douglas  NDP  NDP73.31%2,62532.76%48433677426 19
    Portage la Prairie  PC  PC59.61%1,89846.77%3673011918381621 35
    Radisson  PC  NDP52.31%1,14757.65%6215954480715 39
    Red River North  PC  PC60.35%2,03360.47%3893592643 100
    Riding Mountain  PC  PC63.02%2,74957.42%4172895564422 54
    Riel  PC  NDP54.65%1,88265.70%8346160427826 62
    River Heights  Lib  NDP44.21%64367.59%1584404504718078 34
    Roblin  PC  PC49.72%1,12062.54%11894968608812 63
    Rossmere  PC  NDP50.74%80160.42%1814784863406227 49
    Seine River  PC  NDP52.08%1,40763.64%131846538139747 30
    Selkirk  PC  PC52.49%47056.29%4493496339 141
    Southdale  PC  NDP48.48%1,64764.72%1351861556939227 33
    Springfield-Ritchot  PC  PC54.89%1,92558.30%9003827575214 52
    Spruce Woods  PC  PC61.81%3,05056.54%11451936498622 41
    St. Boniface  Lib  NDP53.38%2,17260.06%733413558513919 52
    St. James  NDP  NDP64.82%3,12254.68%6315448232614 24
    St. Johns  NDP  NDP60.76%3,16146.98%1117535426211017 26
    St. Vital  NDP  NDP61.15%2,75156.88%8235288253713 35
    Steinbach  PC  PC74.37%4,64748.14%80112215868118 76
    Swan River  PC  PC62.91%2,36857.90%397243348017 126
    The Maples  NDP  NDP56.13%2,32550.62%1472390515804 46
    The Pas-Kameesak  NDP  NDP67.18%2,01653.52%215352215068 12
    Thompson  NDP  NDP68.28%1,67336.10%127288712148 11
    Transcona  NDP  NDP58.50%2,06351.40%5415235317210 36
    Turtle Mountain  PC  PC55.05%2,81355.64%15074251993480621 35
    Tuxedo  PC  PC40.21%26859.86%2201370039685 35
    Tyndall Park  Lib  Lib54.99%2,12249.75%4030190813902 29
    Union Station  NDP  NDP70.78%2,79742.21%616371491723 34
    Waverley  PC  NDP44.10%11553.97%2011001406339484 18
    Wolseley  NDP  NDP75.31%5,72153.77%152553592658286113 22
    1. ↑ Sorted as per results summary.
    2. ↑ Including rejected and declined ballots.
      = open seat
      = turnout is above provincial average
      = winning candidate was in previous Legislature
      = other incumbents renominated

    Results by riding

    Riding Outgoing MLA Elected MLA
    Agassiz   Eileen Clarke   Jodie Byram
    Assiniboia   Scott Johnston   Nellie Kennedy
    Borderland   Josh Guenter   Josh Guenter
    Brandon East   Len Isleifson   Glen Simard
    Brandon West   Reg Helwer   Wayne Balcaen
    Burrows   Diljeet Brar   Diljeet Brar
    Concordia   Matt Wiebe   Matt Wiebe
    Dauphin   Brad Michaleski   Ron Kostyshyn
    Dawson Trail   Bob Lagassé   Bob Lagassé
    Elmwood   Jim Maloway   Jim Maloway
    Flin Flon   Tom Lindsey   Tom Lindsey
    Fort Garry   Mark Wasyliw   Mark Wasyliw
    Fort Richmond   Sarah Guillemard   Jennifer Chen
    Fort Rouge   Wab Kinew   Wab Kinew
    Fort Whyte   Obby Khan   Obby Khan
    Interlake-Gimli   Derek Johnson   Derek Johnson
    Keewatinook   Ian Bushie   Ian Bushie
    Kildonan-River East   Cathy Cox   Rachelle Schott
    Kirkfield Park   Kevin Klein   Logan Oxenham
    La Verendrye   Dennis Smook   Konrad Narth
    Lac du Bonnet   Wayne Ewasko   Wayne Ewasko
    Lagimodière   Andrew Smith   Tyler Blashko
    Lakeside   Ralph Eichler   Trevor King
    McPhillips   Shannon Martin   Jasdeep Devgan
    Midland   Blaine Pedersen   Lauren Stone
    Morden-Winkler   Cameron Friesen   Carrie Hiebert
    Notre Dame   Malaya Marcelino   Malaya Marcelino
    Point Douglas   Bernadette Smith   Bernadette Smith
    Portage la Prairie   Ian Wishart   Jeff Bereza
    Radisson   James Teitsma   Jelynn Dela Cruz
    Red River North   Jeff Wharton   Jeff Wharton
    Riding Mountain   Greg Nesbitt   Greg Nesbitt
    Riel   Rochelle Squires   Mike Moyes
    River Heights   Jon Gerrard   Mike Moroz
    Roblin   Myrna Driedger   Kathleen Cook
    Rossmere   Andrew Micklefield   Tracy Schmidt
    Seine River   Janice Morley-Lecomte   Billie Cross
    Selkirk   Alan Lagimodiere   Richard Perchotte
    Southdale   Audrey Gordon   Renée Cable
    Springfield-Ritchot   Ron Schuler   Ron Schuler
    Spruce Woods   Cliff Cullen   Grant Jackson
    St. Boniface   Dougald Lamont   Robert Loiselle
    St. James   Adrien Sala   Adrien Sala
    St. Johns   Nahanni Fontaine   Nahanni Fontaine
    St. Vital   Jamie Moses   Jamie Moses
    Steinbach   Kelvin Goertzen   Kelvin Goertzen
    Swan River   Rick Wowchuk   Rick Wowchuk
    The Maples   Mintu Sandhu   Mintu Sandhu
    The Pas-Kameesak   Amanda Lathlin   Amanda Lathlin
    Thompson   Eric Redhead   Eric Redhead
    Transcona   Nello Altomare   Nello Altomare
    Turtle Mountain   Doyle Piwniuk   Doyle Piwniuk
    Tuxedo   Heather Stefanson   Heather Stefanson
    Tyndall Park   Cindy Lamoureux   Cindy Lamoureux
    Union Station   Uzoma Asagwara   Uzoma Asagwara
    Waverley   Jon Reyes   David Pankratz
    Wolseley   Lisa Naylor   Lisa Naylor

    Analysis

    Party candidates in 2nd place
    Party in 1st placeParty in 2nd placeTotal
    NDPPCLibInd
    New Democratic 303134
    Progressive Conservative 21122
    Liberal 11
    Total 22304157
      Candidates ranked 1st to 5th place, by party
      Parties1st2nd3rd4th5th
      █ New Democratic 34221
      █ Progressive Conservative 22305
      █ Liberal 14386
      █ Independent 12
      █ Keystone 5
      █ Green 49
      █ Communist 23
      Resulting composition of the 43rd Manitoba Legislature
      SourceParty
      NDP PC Lib Total
      Seats retainedIncumbents returned 1812131
      Open seats held 1010
      Seats changing handsIncumbents defeated 1212
      Open seats gained 44
      Total 3422157


      Aftermath

      Liberal leader Dougald Lamont resigned on election night following a dismal performance for his party. Both he and Jon Gerrard lost their seats to NDP challengers, leaving Cindy Lamoureux as the sole Liberal in the legislative assembly.[42] Outgoing premier and PC leader Heather Stefanson also announced her resignation as party leader on election night.

      Seats changing hands

      Defeated MLAs

      Constituency Party Name Year elected Seat held by party since Defeated by Party
      St. Boniface █ Liberal Dougald Lamont 2018 b.e 2018 b.e Robert Loiselle █ New Democratic
      River Heights █ Liberal Jon Gerrard 1999 1999 Mike Moroz █ New Democratic
      Southdale █ Progressive Conservative Audrey Gordon 2019 2016 Renée Cable █ New Democratic
      Kirkfield Park █ Progressive Conservative Kevin Klein 2022 2016 Logan Oxenham █ New Democratic
      Radisson █ Progressive Conservative James Teitsma 2016 2016 Jelynn Dela Cruz █ New Democratic
      Seine River █ Progressive Conservative Janice Morley-Lecomte 2016 2016 Billie Cross █ New Democratic
      Waverley █ Progressive Conservative Jon Reyes 2016 2019 (District Created) David Pankratz █ New Democratic
      Brandon East █ Progressive Conservative Len Isleifson 2016 2016 Glen Simard █ New Democratic
      Riel █ Progressive Conservative Rochelle Squires 2016 2016 Mike Moyes █ New Democratic
      Lagimodière █ Progressive Conservative Andrew Smith 2016 2019 (District Created) Tyler Blashko █ New Democratic
      Assiniboia █ Progressive Conservative Scott Johnston 2016 2016 Nellie Kennedy █ New Democratic
      Rossmere █ Progressive Conservative Andrew Micklefield 2016 2016 Tracy Schmidt █ New Democratic

      Open seats

      Constituency Party Candidate Incumbent retiring from the legislature Won by Party
      Fort Richmond █ Progressive Conservative Paramjit Shahi Sarah Guillemard[24] Jennifer Chen █ New Democratic
      Kildonan-River East █ Progressive Conservative Alana Vannahme Cathy Cox[25] Rachelle Schott █ New Democratic
      McPhillips █ Progressive Conservative Sheilah Restall Shannon Martin Jasdeep Devgan █ New Democratic
      Dauphin █ Progressive Conservative Gord Wood Brad Michaleski Ron Kostyshyn █ New Democratic

      Opinion polls

      Graph of opinion polls conducted. Trend lines represent local regressions.
      Voting intentions in Manitoba since the 2019 election
      Polling firm Dates conducted Source PC NDP Liberal Green Others Margin of error Sample size Polling method Lead
      Forum Research Oct 2, 2023 [p 1] 41.3% 44.7% 12.3% 0.9% 0.8% 3.3% 910 IVR 3.4%
      Research Co. Sep 30–Oct 2, 2023 [p 2] 39% 48% 10% 2% 1% 4% 600 Online 9%
      Mainstreet Research Sep 28–Oct 1, 2023 [p 3] 41% 47% 10% 1% 1% 3.7% 698 Smart IVR 6%
      Sovereign North Strategies Sep 17–19, 2023 [p 4] 42.5% 39.4% 15.9% 2.2% N/A 3.9% 852 Telephone 3.1%
      Angus Reid Sep 13–19, 2023 [p 5] 41% 47% 9% 2% 1% 4% 990 Online 6%
      Probe Research Sep 7–18, 2023 [p 6] 38% 49% 9% 2% 2% 3.1% 1,000 Online 11%
      Research Co. Sep 15–17, 2023 [p 7] 39% 41% 14% 3% 2% 4% 600 Online 2%
      Counsel Public Affairs Sep 11–16, 2023 [p 8] 39% 44% 13% 2% 2% 4% 505 Online 5%
      Mainstreet Research Aug 28 – Sep 2, 2023 [p 9] 43% 42% 9% 3% 3% 4% 601 Smart IVR 1%
      Mainstreet Research Jul 26–28, 2023 [p 10] 42% 38% 12% 3% 4% 4% 597 Smart IVR 4%
      Probe Research May 31 – Jun 13, 2023 [p 11] 41% 41% 10% 5% 3% 3.1% 1,000 Online Tie
      Angus Reid May 30 – Jun 3, 2023 [p 12] 39% 44% 10% 4% 4% 4% 515 Online 5%
      March 26, 2023Janine Gibson is elected leader of the Green Party of Manitoba
      Probe Research Mar 8–20, 2023 [p 13] 38% 44% 9% 4% 4% 3.1% 1,000 Online 6%
      Mainstreet Research Jan 24–26, 2023 [p 14] 36.2% 41.5% 14.6% 5.1% 2.1% 4.3% 514 Smart IVR 5.3%
      Probe Research Nov 22 – Dec 5, 2022 [p 15] 35% 46% 13% 3% 2% 3.1% 1,000 Telephone/Online 11%
      Probe Research Sep 8–18, 2022 [p 16] 37% 44% 15% 3% 1% 3.1% 1,000 Telephone 7%
      Angus Reid Jun 7–13, 2022 [p 17] 38% 40% 13% 3% 6% 5% 468 Online 2%
      Probe Research Jun 1–12, 2022 [p 18] 35% 45% 13% 3% 4% 3.1% 1,000 Telephone 10%
      Probe Research Mar 9–21, 2022 [p 19] 34% 44% 15% 2% 5% 3.1% 1,000 Telephone 10%
      Angus Reid Mar 10–15, 2022 [p 20][p 21] 39% 40% 14% 3% 5% 4% 475 Online 1%
      Angus Reid Jan 7–12, 2022 [p 22] 36% 42% 12% 3% 6% 5% 407 Online 6%
      Probe Research Nov 23 – Dec 5, 2021 [p 23] 37% 42% 12% 4% 5% 3.1% 1,000 Telephone 5%
      October 30, 2021Heather Stefanson is elected leader of the Manitoba Progressive Conservative Party
      Innovative Research Sep 24 – Oct 5, 2021 [p 24] 41% 32% 18% 5% 3% N/A 678 Online 9%
      Angus Reid Sep 29 – Oct 3, 2021 [p 25] 38% 43% 11% 4% 5% N/A 435 Online 5%
      Probe Research Sep 7–20, 2021 [p 26] 35% 42% 12% 3% 8% 3.1% 1,000 Telephone 7%
      Probe Research Jun 2–11, 2021 [p 27] 29% 47% 14% 5% 5% 3.1% 1,000 Telephone 18%
      Angus Reid Jun 2–7, 2021 [p 28] 39% 42% 11% 4% 4% 4.0% 504 Online 3%
      Probe Research Mar 10–26, 2021 [p 29] 36% 42% 11% 7% 4% 3.1% 1,000 Telephone 6%
      Probe Research Nov 24 – Dec 4, 2020 [p 30] 37% 41% 14% 6% 3% 3.1% 1,000 Telephone 4%
      Angus Reid Nov 24–30, 2020 [p 31] 39% 40% 12% 5% 4% 4.8% 420 Online 1%
      Probe Research Sep 8–17, 2020 [p 32] 43% 34% 16% 5% 3% 3.1% 1,000 Telephone 9%
      EKOS Jul 24 – Aug 26, 2020 [p 33] 44% 31% 12% 9% 4% 2.9% 1,154 HD-IVR 13%
      EKOS Jun 16 – Jul 23, 2020 [p 34] 43% 27% 18% 7% 5% 2.4% 1,691 HD-IVR 16%
      Probe Research Jun 2–11, 2020 [p 35] 38% 36% 18% 7% 2% 3.1% 1,000 Telephone 2%
      Innovative Research May 29 – Jun 3, 2020 [p 36] 38% 26% 26% 10% N/A N/A 200 Online 12%
      Probe Research Mar 10–24, 2020 [p 37] 43% 33% 14% 8% 2% 3.1% 1,000 Telephone 10%
      Probe Research Nov 27 – Dec 10, 2019 [p 38] 42% 36% 13% 8% 2% 3.1% 1,000 Telephone 6%
      2019 general election September 10, 2019 — 47.1% 31.4% 14.5% 6.4% 0.6% — — — 15.7%
      Polling firm Dates conducted Source Others Margin of error Sample size Polling method Lead
      PC NDP Liberal Green

      See also

      Notes

        References

        1. ↑ Elections Act, CCSM , c. E30, s. 49.1(2)
        2. ↑ CCSM c. E30, s. 49.1(3)
        3. ↑ Petz, Sarah (August 11, 2021). "Manitoba Premier Brian Pallister stepping down before next election". CBC News. Archived from the original on August 30, 2021. Retrieved August 31, 2021.
        4. ↑ Froese, Ian (October 30, 2021). "Heather Stefanson chosen as Manitoba's 1st female premier by a slim margin". CBC News. Archived from the original on October 30, 2021. Retrieved October 31, 2021.
        5. ↑ "Manitoba Election: Kinew and NDP hold six-point advantage at midway mark of campaign". September 20, 2023. Archived from the original on September 20, 2023. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
        6. ↑ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on September 28, 2023. Retrieved September 23, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
        7. ↑ "NDP's Kinew promises to boost health care, balance the budget". October 16, 2022. Archived from the original on October 1, 2023. Retrieved September 23, 2023.
        8. ↑ "Economy, health care continue to draw focus of Manitoba election campaign". Winnipeg. September 14, 2023. Archived from the original on September 26, 2023. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
        9. 1 2 "Manitoba's election campaign will focus on the economy and health care Thursday – Winnipeg | Globalnews.ca". CJOB. Archived from the original on September 25, 2023. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
        10. ↑ "Manitoba New Democrats promise to install geothermal systems in thousands of homes – Winnipeg | Globalnews.ca". CJOB. Archived from the original on October 1, 2023. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
        11. ↑ "Manitoba Liberals urge voters to choose a different option this election – Winnipeg | Globalnews.ca". CJOB. Archived from the original on October 2, 2023. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
        12. ↑ "Manitoba Liberals promise new debt relief tools if elected". CBC News. September 27, 2023. Archived from the original on October 3, 2023. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
        13. ↑ "Manitoba Chamber wants you to vote for prosperity". The Graphic Leader. September 27, 2023. Archived from the original on October 3, 2023. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
        14. ↑ Gowriluk, Caitlyn (September 22, 2023). "Fact-checking Wab Kinew's promises on crime during Manitoba party leaders' debate". CBC News. Archived from the original on September 23, 2023. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
        15. ↑ "Candidates encouraged to recognize the importance of Manitoba's pork industry". PortageOnline. Archived from the original on October 1, 2023. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
        16. ↑ "New poll sheds light on Manitoba housing issues – REMI Network". REMINET. Archived from the original on October 3, 2023. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
        17. ↑ Kives, Bartley (October 2, 2023). "Weaponized by PCs, sidelined by NDP: Indigenous concerns largely absent from Manitoba election". CBC News. Archived from the original on October 2, 2023. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
        18. ↑ "Winners of recent Manitoba elections have seen sizable majority governments – Winnipeg | Globalnews.ca". CJOB. Archived from the original on October 2, 2023. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
        19. ↑ Hobson, Brittany; Modified, The Canadian Press Posted: Last (September 29, 2023). "Manitoba reports $270M surplus days ahead of vote". Winnipeg Free Press. Archived from the original on October 3, 2023. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
        20. ↑ Official Results
        21. ↑ "Political Parties". Elections Manitoba. Archived from the original on August 15, 2023. Retrieved July 10, 2023.
        22. ↑ Clarke, Eileen (August 21, 2022). "I will be retiring from my political life as of the 2023 provincial election". Facebook. Archived from the original on October 3, 2023. Retrieved August 22, 2022.
        23. ↑ Darren Bernhardt, Ian Froese, "Add Reg Helwer to growing list of Manitoba Tory MLAs bowing out of provincial politics" Archived January 6, 2023, at the Wayback Machine. CBC News, January 6, 2023.
        24. 1 2 "Manitoba cabinet minister Sarah Guillemard won't run for re-election for health reasons". CBC Manitoba. The Canadian Press. June 13, 2023. Archived from the original on June 13, 2023. Retrieved June 13, 2023.
        25. 1 2 Darren Bernhardt (January 5, 2023). "Cathy Cox becomes the latest Tory MLA to decide against re-election bid". CBC Manitoba. Archived from the original on January 5, 2023. Retrieved January 5, 2023.
        26. ↑ The Canadian Press, "Former Manitoba cabinet minister Ralph Eichler won't seek re-election" Archived October 4, 2022, at the Wayback Machine. Winnipeg Free Press, October 4, 2022.
        27. ↑ Jordan Ross, "Smook to retire from legislature" Archived October 19, 2022, at the Wayback Machine. Winnipeg Free Press, October 17, 2022.
        28. ↑ Steve Lambert, The Canadian Press (February 22, 2023). "Shannon Martin is the latest Manitoba Tory to opt out of upcoming election". Winnipeg Free Press. Archived from the original on February 23, 2023. Retrieved February 23, 2023.
        29. ↑ Blaine Pedersen [@BlainePedersen] (July 15, 2021). "I will not be seeking re-election in the next provincial election" (Tweet). Retrieved July 15, 2021 – via Twitter.
        30. ↑ Michael Blume, "Portage MLA Ian Wishart won't be running in next election" Archived December 29, 2022, at the Wayback Machine. Portage Online, December 16, 2022.
        31. ↑ Ian Froese, "Veteran Tory MLA Myrna Driedger won't run in 2023 Manitoba election" Archived January 4, 2023, at the Wayback Machine. CBC News, January 4, 2023.
        32. ↑ Bartley Kives, "Deputy premier Cliff Cullen won't seek another term in Manitoba legislature" Archived December 29, 2022, at the Wayback Machine. CBC News, December 29, 2022.
        33. ↑ Ian Froese, "Indigenous reconciliation minister Alan Lagimodiere won't seek re-election in 2023" Archived January 4, 2023, at the Wayback Machine. CBC News, January 3, 2023.
        34. ↑ "Candidates". Elections Manitoba. Archived from the original on August 16, 2023. Retrieved August 15, 2023.
        35. ↑ "Our Team". Manitoba NDP. Archived from the original on May 31, 2023. Retrieved May 31, 2023.
        36. ↑ Froese, Ian (April 11, 2023). "PCs, NDP place candidates in competitive Manitoba election races as polling gap narrows". CBC. Archived from the original on May 9, 2023. Retrieved May 30, 2023.
        37. ↑ "Manitoba's 43rd General Election - October 3, 2023". electionsmanitoba.ca. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
        38. ↑ "Manitoba Tory cabinet minister denounces right-wing pivot in election campaign". CKY-DT. The Canadian Press. October 4, 2023.
        39. ↑ Sarah Petz (October 3, 2023). "Health Minister Audrey Gordon among Winnipeg PC cabinet ministers losing seats to NDP". CBC News.
        40. ↑ "Statement of Official Results - Tuxedo" (PDF). Elections Manitoba. October 4, 2023.
        41. ↑ "Manitoba's 43rd General Election - October 3, 2023 (Unofficial Results)". Elections Manitoba. Retrieved October 5, 2023.
        42. ↑ "Dougald Lamont stepping down as Manitoba Liberal leader". Winnipeg. October 3, 2023. Retrieved October 4, 2023.

        Opinion poll sources

        1. ↑ "NDP Majority Government Likely" (PDF). Forum Research. October 2, 2023. Archived (PDF) from the original on October 3, 2023. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
        2. ↑ "Voters in Manitoba Give NDP the Lead Before Election Day". Research Co. October 2, 2023. Archived from the original on October 3, 2023. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
        3. ↑ Martin, Robert (October 2, 2023). "Manitoba Provincial, October 2023 Public". Mainstreet Research. Archived from the original on October 3, 2023. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
        4. ↑ "Voter Intention Survey for Manitoba & Winnipeg September 17–19,23". Sovereign North Strategies. September 20, 2023. Archived from the original on October 3, 2023. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
        5. ↑ "Manitoba Election: Kinew and NDP hold six-point advantage at midway mark of campaign". Angus Reid. September 20, 2023. Archived from the original on September 20, 2023. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
        6. ↑ "With election day nearing, latest polling shows NDP surging ahead in Manitoba". CTV News. September 20, 2023. Archived from the original on September 20, 2023. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
        7. ↑ "Voters in Manitoba Deeply Divided as Campaign Continues". Research Co. September 18, 2023. Archived from the original on September 20, 2023. Retrieved September 18, 2023.
        8. ↑ "Manitoba Public Opinion Report September 26, 2023" (PDF). Counsel Public Affairs. September 26, 2023. Archived (PDF) from the original on September 27, 2023. Retrieved September 27, 2023.
        9. ↑ Fric, Curtis (September 7, 2023). "Manitoba Provincial, August 2023 Public". Archived from the original on September 7, 2023. Retrieved September 7, 2023.
        10. ↑ Fric, Curtis (August 2, 2023). "Manitoba Provincial, July 2023 Public". Archived from the original on August 3, 2023. Retrieved August 3, 2023.
        11. ↑ "NDP, PCs Head Into Pre-Election Period In a Dead Heat (June 2023 Provincial Voting Intentions)". Probe Research. June 21, 2023. Archived from the original on June 22, 2023. Retrieved June 23, 2023.
        12. ↑ "Double-digit advantage in Winnipeg has Manitoba NDP comfortably ahead in lead-up to October election". Angus Reid Institute. June 13, 2023. Archived from the original on June 13, 2023. Retrieved June 13, 2023.
        13. ↑ "Manitoba Provincial Party Support" (PDF). probe-research.com. Archived (PDF) from the original on March 28, 2023. Retrieved March 28, 2023.
        14. ↑ "Mainstreet Research Survey – Manitoba" (PDF). ipolitics.ca. Archived (PDF) from the original on February 1, 2023. Retrieved February 1, 2023.
        15. ↑ "NDP Lead Inches Slightly Higher (December 2022 Omnibus) | Probe Research Inc". probe-research.com. Archived from the original on December 12, 2022. Retrieved December 12, 2022.
        16. ↑ "Support for Manitoba PCs has slipped since last election, NDP holds the lead | CTV News". ctvnews.ca. September 25, 2022. Archived from the original on September 26, 2022. Retrieved September 27, 2022.
        17. ↑ "Prairie Politics: Moe and Stefanson share a border, but residents' government satisfaction is worlds apart" (PDF). Angus Reid Institute. July 8, 2022. Archived (PDF) from the original on July 9, 2022. Retrieved July 19, 2022.
        18. ↑ "NDP Maintains Lead Over PCs In Manitoba (June 2022 Provincial Voting Intentions) | Probe Research Inc". probe-research.com. Archived from the original on July 19, 2022. Retrieved June 19, 2022.
        19. ↑ "Gap Between NDP, PCs Widens (March 2022 Provincial Voting Intentions) | Probe Research Inc". www.probe-research.com. Archived from the original on July 19, 2022. Retrieved March 26, 2022.
        20. ↑ "Provincial spotlight: Ontario, Alberta governments heavily criticized on nearly every aspect of provincial management". Angus Reid Institute. March 31, 2022. Archived from the original on March 31, 2022. Retrieved March 31, 2022.
        21. ↑ "Detailed Results" (PDF). Angus Reid Institute. March 31, 2022. Archived (PDF) from the original on March 31, 2022. Retrieved March 31, 2022.
        22. ↑ "Spotlight on Provincial Politics: NDP edge PCPO in vote among Ontario voters, CAQ leads comfortably in Quebec" (PDF). Angus Reid Institute. January 20, 2022. Archived (PDF) from the original on January 20, 2022. Retrieved January 21, 2022.
        23. ↑ "No Bounce for New PC Leader and Premier | Probe Research Inc". www.probe-research.com. Archived from the original on December 16, 2021. Retrieved December 16, 2021.
        24. ↑ "Canada This Month: Manitoba Politics" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on October 9, 2021. Retrieved October 11, 2021.
        25. ↑ "Spotlight on the Provinces: Concerns over health care, economy drive increasing dissatisfaction with governments | Angus Reid Institute" (PDF). www.angusreid.org. Archived (PDF) from the original on October 27, 2021. Retrieved October 31, 2021.
        26. ↑ "Progressive Conservative Support Rebounds in Manitoba | Probe Research Inc". www.probe-research.com. Archived from the original on October 2, 2021. Retrieved October 12, 2021.
        27. ↑ "NDP Lead Widens Further in Manitoba | Probe Research Inc". www.probe-research.com. Archived from the original on June 18, 2021. Retrieved June 18, 2021.
        28. ↑ "Premiers' Performance: Ford and Kenney's popularity and political fortunes bear brunt of pandemic management | Angus Reid Institute". www.angusreid.org. June 9, 2021. Archived from the original on June 13, 2021. Retrieved June 13, 2021.
        29. ↑ "NDP Extends Lead as Pallister Plumbs Lower Levels of Popularity | Probe Research Inc". www.probe-research.com. Archived from the original on March 31, 2021. Retrieved March 31, 2021.
        30. ↑ "NDP Takes Lead for First Time Since 2016 | Probe Research Inc". www.probe-research.com. Archived from the original on January 17, 2021. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
        31. ↑ "Provincial Spotlight: As pandemic wears on, governments losing support on economic, The CCP virus management". Angus Reid Institute. December 10, 2020. Archived from the original on January 13, 2021. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
        32. ↑ "Provincial PCs See Uptick in Support | Probe Research Inc". www.probe-research.com. Archived from the original on January 27, 2021. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
        33. ↑ "Comfortable PC lead narrows in Manitoba". EKOS Politics. September 2, 2020. Archived from the original on January 14, 2021. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
        34. ↑ "Tories have comfortable lead over NDP in Manitoba". EKOS Politics. July 24, 2020. Archived from the original on January 20, 2021. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
        35. ↑ "PCs, NDP In Statistical Dead Heat | Probe Research Inc". www.probe-research.com. Archived from the original on December 3, 2020. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
        36. ↑ "Manitoba Politics in the Time of The CCP virus: June 2020 Update" (PDF). innovativeresearch.ca. Archived from the original on October 28, 2020. Retrieved October 31, 2021.
        37. ↑ "Provincial Party Support Remains Steady | Probe Research Inc". www.probe-research.com. Archived from the original on December 3, 2020. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
        38. ↑ Robertson, Dylan (December 27, 2019). "Dec 2019: NDP gains traction after PC re-election". Winnipeg Free Press. Archived from the original on September 17, 2020. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
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