Proposition 21
November 3, 2020 (2020-11-03)
Expands Local Governments’ Authority to Enact Rent Control on Residential Property. Initiative Statute
Results
Choice
 Votes  %
Yes 6,771,298 40.15%
No 10,095,206 59.85%
Valid votes 16,866,504 94.83%
Invalid or blank votes 918,647 5.17%
Total votes 17,785,151 100.00%
Registered voters/turnout 22,047,448 80.67%

Proposition 21, an initiative statute for local rent control officially called the Expands Local Governments’ Authority to Enact Rent Control on Residential Property, was a California ballot proposition that appeared on the ballot for the general election on November 3, 2020 and was rejected. If approved, it would allow local governments to establish rent control on residential properties that have been occupied for over 15 years. It would also allow landlords who own no more than two homes to exempt themselves from such policies. This would essentially repeal some of the provisions in the 1995 Costa–Hawkins Rental Housing Act.[1][2] Proposition 21 was rejected by 60% of California voters, just like Proposition 10 was before it.[3]

In the 2018 California election, a measure to completely repeal the Costa-Hawkins Rental Housing Act, known as Proposition 10, was on the ballot, but failed to pass, as nearly 60% of voters rejected that measure.[4] The same activists who sponsored Proposition 10, who had links to the AIDS Healthcare Foundation, tried again with another ballot measure to reform the Costa-Hawkins Act, due to their failure to completely repeal it in 2018.[2] The AIDS Healthcare Foundation spent $40 million in support of Proposition 21 and the opposition spent $85 million.[5]

As of 2017, over seventeen million Californians are renters.[6] This totals about 45% of the state's population. Further, California boasts the highest rental costs in the nation.[6] Per the Rose Institute of State and Local Government, "the state’s [California's] median rent is $1,447, whereas the United States’ is $1,012."[6]

Polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 For Proposition 21 Against Proposition 21 Undecided
UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies October 16–21, 2020 5,352 (LV) – 37% 48% 15%
Ipsos/Spectrum News October 7–15, 2020 1,400 (A) ± 3% 43% 36% 21%
SurveyUSA September 26–28, 2020 588 (LV) ± 5.4% 46% 27% 27%
UC Berkeley/LA Times September 9–15, 2020 5,942 (LV) ± 2% 37% 37% 26%

Results

Choice Votes %
For 6,771,298 40.15
Against 10,095,206 59.85
Blank votes 918,647 -
Total 17,785,151 100
Registered voters/turnout 22,047,448 80.67
Source: elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov

California voters rejected Proposition 21 by a margin of 59.9% to 40.1%.[7] This is the second time that California voters have rejected a rent-control measure at the ballot box. In 2018, California voters rejected Proposition 10, a similar rent-control measure, by a similar margin of 59% to 41%.[8]

This loss came as Californians experienced record high rents in September 2020, and renters feared COVID-19 related evictions.[9] Supporters of Proposition 21 expressed regret over the defeat. René Moya, campaign director for Yes on 21, said, “We are disappointed, although not completely surprised, that Prop. 21 fell short at the ballot box tonight.”[9]

Notes

  1. ↑ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

  1. ↑ "Qualified Statewide Ballot Measures". Secretary of State of California. Retrieved July 2, 2020.
  2. 1 2 "California Local Rent Control Initiative (2020)". Ballotpedia. Retrieved June 27, 2020.
  3. ↑ Hooks, Chris Nichols, Kris. "What We Know About California Proposition Results". www.capradio.org. Retrieved 2020-11-11.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  4. ↑ Dillon, Liam (2020-09-23). "Proposition 21 rent control expansion faces steep hurdle to passage, new poll shows". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved 2020-09-28.
  5. ↑ Menezes, Ryan; Moore, Maloy; Do, Phi (2020-11-03). "Billions have been spent on California's ballot measure battles. But this year is unlike any other". Los Angeles Times. Proposition 21 - $125,436,982 - Supporters - AIDS Healthcare Foundation - $40,187,371
  6. 1 2 3 "Proposition 21: Rent Control | The Rose Institute of State and Local Government". roseinstitute.org. Retrieved 2020-11-09.
  7. ↑ Martichoux, Alix (2020-11-04). "Prop 21 fails, leaving California rent control rules unchanged, according to AP projections". ABC7 Los Angeles. Retrieved 2020-11-09.
  8. ↑ "Voters reject Proposition 10, halting effort to expand rent control across the state". Los Angeles Times. 2018-11-07. Retrieved 2020-11-09.
  9. 1 2 "Californians once again reject bid to expand rent control in the state". Los Angeles Times. 2020-11-04. Retrieved 2020-11-09.
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