1981 Ontario general election

March 19, 1981

125 seats in the 32nd Legislative Assembly of Ontario
63 seats needed for a majority
  First party Second party
  LIB
Leader Bill Davis Stuart Smith
Party Progressive Conservative Liberal
Leader since February 12, 1971 January 25, 1976
Leader's seat Brampton Hamilton West
Last election 58 33
Seats won 70 33
Seat change Increase12 Steady0
Popular vote 1,412,488 1,065,569
Percentage 44.38% 33.48%
Swing Increase4.80pp Increase2.29pp

  Third party Fourth party
 
Leader Michael Cassidy
Party New Democratic Liberal–Labour
Leader since February 5, 1978
Leader's seat Ottawa Centre
Last election 33 1
Seats won 21 1
Seat change Decrease12 Steady 0
Popular vote 672,824 7,111
Percentage 21.14% 0.22%
Swing Decrease7.02pp Decrease0.03

Seating in chamber after the election

Premier before election

Bill Davis
Progressive Conservative

Premier after election

Bill Davis
Progressive Conservative

The 1981 Ontario general election was held on March 19, 1981, to elect members of the 32nd Legislative Assembly of the Province of Ontario, Canada.

The governing Ontario Progressive Conservative Party, led by Bill Davis, was re-elected for a twelfth consecutive term in office. The PCs finally won a majority government after winning only minorities in the 1975 and 1977 elections. The Liberal Party, led by Stuart Smith, was able to maintain its standing in the Legislature, while the New Democratic Party, led by Michael Cassidy, lost a significant number of seats, allowing the Tories to win a majority.

Opinion polls

During campaign period

Evolution of voting intentions at provincial level
Polling firm Last day
of survey
Source PCO OLP ONDP Other ME Sample
Election 1981 March 19, 1981 44.38 33.48 21.14
Gallup March 11, 1981 [1] 51 31 18
Gallup February 18, 1981 [2] 53 27 18 1 831
Election called

During the 31st Parliament of Ontario

Evolution of voting intentions at provincial level
Polling firm Last day
of survey
Source PCO OLP ONDP Other ME Sample
Election 1977 June 9, 1977 39.58 31.19 28.16 1.07

Campaign


Riding contests, by number of candidates (1981)[3]
Candidates PC Lib LL NDP Ind Comm Ltn SC Un Total
3 8280282246
4 313131101083124
5 888762140
6 22241112
7 22261114
Total 125123212527181231436

A number of unregistered parties also fielded candidates in this election.

There were a number of Rhinoceros Party candidates in the Toronto area, and the party may have also fielded candidates elsewhere in the province. The Workers Communist Party (Marxist–Leninist) a single candidate, Judy Darcy. Ronald G. Rodgers, founder of the Détente Party of Canada, contested a Toronto constituency.

Social Credit leader Reg Gervais announced prior to the election that he planned to run in Nickel Belt, but could not follow through and resigned at a meeting of nominated candidates where John Turmel was appointed interim leader of the Ontario Social Credit Party during the campaign, though there has never been independent confirmation of this (nor is it clear if the Ottawa-area candidacies of Turmel and Raymond Turmel and Serge Girard and Dale Alkerton and Andrew Dynowski were approved by the remaining few members of the official Social Credit Party of Ontario).

Results

[3]

Elections to the 32nd Parliament of Ontario (1981)
Political party Party leader MPPs Votes
Candidates 1977 1981 ± # ± % ± (pp)
Progressive Conservative Bill Davis 125587012Increase1,412,48889,765Increase44.38%4.80Increase
Liberal Stuart Smith 1233333Steady1,065,56923,115Increase33.48%2.29Increase
Liberal–Labour 211Steady7,1111,131Decrease0.22%0.03Decrease
New Democratic Michael Cassidy 125332112Decrease672,824268,137Decrease21.14%7.02Decrease
Independent 2710,5853,171Increase0.33%0.11Increase
Libertarian Scott Bell 127,0872,874Decrease0.22%0.08Decrease
Communist Mel Doig 185,3062,831Decrease0.17%0.07Decrease
Social Credit 31,054644Decrease0.03%0.02Decrease
Unparty 1460460Increase0.01%New
Total 436125 125 3,182,484 100.00%
Rejected ballots 20,797 1,197Increase
Voter turnout 3,203,281 158,152Decrease 58.04 7.56Decrease
Registered electors 5,519,204 395,436Increase
    Seats and popular vote by party
    PartySeatsVotesChange (pp)
     Progressive Conservative
    70 / 125
    44.38%
    4.80 4.8
     
     Liberal/Liberal-Labour
    34 / 125
    33.70%
    2.26 2.26
     
     New Democratic
    21 / 125
    21.14%
    -7.02
     
     Independent
    0 / 125
    0.33%
    0.11 0.11
     
     Other
    0 / 125
    0.45%
    -0.15
     

    Synopsis of results


    Results by riding - 1981 Ontario general election[3]
    Riding Winning party Turnout
    [a 1]
    Votes
    Name[a 2] 1977 Party Votes Share Margin
    #
    Margin
    %
    PC Lib/LL NDP Ind Other Total
     
    Algoma NDP NDP 7,09652.83%2,32617.32%69.22%4,7701,5677,09613,433
    Algoma—Manitoulin PC PC 7,16057.36%4,17433.44%50.16%7,1602,9862,33612,482
    Brampton PC PC 24,97361.23%15,58238.20%50.73%24,9739,3916,03439040,788
    Brantford NDP PC 12,84745.35%3,25911.50%59.43%12,8475,8969,58828,331
    Brant—Oxford—Norfolk Lib Lib 13,06759.40%7,03331.97%55.64%6,03413,0672,89922,000
    Brock PC PC 10,54748.75%3,66516.94%60.36%10,5476,8824,20421,633
    Burlington South PC PC 19,03757.81%10,08430.62%55.69%19,0378,9534,94232,932
    Cambridge NDP PC 12,59742.82%8492.89%59.32%12,5974,52711,74854929,421
    Carleton PC PC 17,84655.26%9,22528.56%53.22%17,8468,6215,44638332,296
    Carleton East NDP PC 15,71438.03%1,6864.08%59.37%15,71414,02811,57941,321
    Carleton-Grenville PC PC 15,20265.09%9,43840.41%57.71%15,2025,7642,39123,357
    Chatham—Kent PC PC 9,47142.20%2,96313.20%54.47%9,4716,4666,50822,445
    Cochrane North PC PC 5,91036.19%1881.15%62.56%5,9105,7224,42627416,332
    Cochrane South PC PC 12,54056.25%5,56524.96%61.65%12,5406,9752,77722,292
    Cornwall NDP NDP 9,48441.90%1,6677.37%63.65%7,8175,3339,48422,634
    Dufferin—Simcoe PC PC 18,10162.83%11,39939.57%56.41%18,1016,7024,00728,810
    Durham East PC PC 14,90048.02%6,25220.15%60.46%14,9007,2268,64825331,027
    Durham West PC PC 17,02952.77%9,58329.70%55.46%17,0297,4466,5781,21532,268
    Durham—York PC PC 14,40457.51%8,07432.23%56.99%14,4046,3304,31425,048
    Elgin PC PC 13,11955.41%5,81324.55%58.78%13,1197,3063,25023,675
    Erie Lib Lib 8,79649.83%3,52519.97%54.59%5,2718,7963,58617,653
    Essex North Lib Lib 9,18746.14%3,27616.45%54.47%4,8129,1875,91119,910
    Essex South Lib Lib 10,45452.77%5,44627.49%51.18%5,00810,4544,34919,811
    Fort William PC PC 13,03854.32%5,45322.72%59.66%13,0383,3817,58524,004
    Frontenac—Addington Lib Lib 10,55844.21%3401.42%62.89%10,21810,5582,37440932223,881
    Grey Lib Lib 13,33455.47%4,54118.89%64.77%8,79313,3341,62928424,040
    Grey—Bruce Lib Lib 14,00660.30%6,23926.86%64.36%7,76714,0061,45523,228
    Haldimand—Norfolk Lib Lib 16,25456.49%7,47925.99%63.08%8,77516,2543,74428,773
    Halton—Burlington Lib Lib 13,39544.99%5181.74%56.33%12,87713,3953,50029,772
    Hamilton Centre NDP Lib 9,73447.02%2,80413.54%55.58%4,0399,7346,93020,703
    Hamilton East NDP NDP 12,77346.47%4,40816.04%55.02%6,3518,36512,77327,489
    Hamilton Mountain NDP NDP 11,00835.77%1970.64%67.02%10,8118,95611,00830,775
    Hamilton West Lib Lib 12,10645.84%2,3188.78%60.46%9,78812,1064,25526026,409
    Hastings—Peterborough PC PC 11,52849.61%2,78711.99%66.49%11,5288,7412,96823,237
    Huron—Bruce Lib Lib 12,16446.64%2240.86%70.22%11,94012,1641,97926,083
    Huron—Middlesex Lib Lib 10,70752.24%2,08910.19%66.57%8,61810,7071,17020,495
    Kenora PC PC 10,41860.84%6,24836.49%57.94%10,4182,5364,17017,124
    Kent—Elgin Lib Lib 10,11547.08%3371.57%64.40%9,77810,1151,59121,484
    Kingston and the Islands PC PC 12,48850.25%4,02316.19%58.10%12,4888,4653,89724,850
    Kitchener Lib Lib 12,59250.98%4,61018.66%50.86%7,98212,5924,12624,700
    Kitchener—Wilmot Lib Lib 11,51548.56%3,00212.66%49.49%8,51311,5153,68623,714
    Lake Nipigon NDP NDP 7,84668.90%6,01852.85%55.75%1,8281,7147,84611,388
    Lambton PC PC 13,46763.59%7,03233.20%66.04%13,4676,4351,27621,178
    Lanark PC PC 10,50261.69%6,63838.99%55.80%10,5023,8642,65917,025
    Leeds PC PC 13,72564.41%9,08242.62%58.54%13,7254,6432,94021,308
    Lincoln Lib PC 10,04446.28%3941.82%65.54%10,0449,6502,00921,703
    London Centre Lib Lib 12,31551.67%3,98616.72%49.65%8,32912,3153,18923,833
    London North Lib Lib 15,44449.61%3,61911.62%54.17%11,82515,4443,86431,133
    London South PC PC 19,71454.74%8,59823.87%52.03%19,71411,1165,18736,017
    Middlesex PC PC 11,67252.84%3,40815.43%66.01%11,6728,2642,15522,091
    Mississauga East PC PC 15,75955.68%8,04328.42%50.21%15,7597,7164,82928,304
    Mississauga North PC PC 20,33156.27%11,20131.00%49.45%20,3319,1306,66736,128
    Mississauga South PC PC 14,16555.63%6,99327.46%55.59%14,1657,1724,12625,463
    Muskoka PC PC 9,02955.09%4,88129.78%64.43%9,0294,1483,21416,391
    Niagara Falls Lib Lib 12,49547.23%3,20012.10%56.32%9,29512,4954,66526,455
    Nickel Belt NDP NDP 8,45154.85%3,41022.13%63.38%1,9155,0418,45115,407
    Nipissing Lib PC 15,79555.43%4,87117.10%64.11%15,79510,9241,77428,493
    Northumberland PC PC 14,72751.58%3,61412.66%65.02%14,72711,1132,71128,551
    Oakville PC PC 16,36662.43%9,08034.64%56.58%16,3667,2862,56226,214
    Oshawa NDP NDP 10,30748.04%2,47111.52%49.70%7,8363,31110,30721,454
    Ottawa Centre NDP NDP 9,31636.77%5992.36%54.58%8,7176,9269,31637625,335
    Ottawa East Lib Lib 14,20769.22%9,97248.59%49.03%4,23514,2071,90517720,524
    Ottawa South PC PC 15,21849.97%6,38620.97%60.22%15,2188,8326,14625930,455
    Ottawa West PC PC 17,41859.30%8,30628.28%55.86%17,4189,1122,34849429,372
    Oxford PC PC 15,94849.87%4,08212.76%61.57%15,94811,8663,67349331,980
    Parry Sound PC PC 8,95546.27%60.03%66.87%8,9558,9491,44819,352
    Perth Lib Lib 16,28362.51%8,40032.25%58.88%7,88316,2831,88126,047
    Peterborough PC PC 17,96245.92%6,69917.13%63.06%17,96211,2638,75634578739,113
    Port Arthur NDP NDP 12,25846.10%1,4145.32%61.22%10,8443,24712,25814010326,592
    Prescott and Russell PC Lib 15,12356.22%5,17219.23%60.83%9,95115,1231,82826,902
    Prince Edward—Lennox PC PC 11,13557.53%4,33822.41%61.18%11,1356,7971,42319,355
    Quinte Lib Lib 14,86156.78%5,34420.42%56.08%9,51714,8611,79526,173
    Rainy River LL LL 4,57540.99%4263.82%61.50%4,1494,575[a 3]2,43811,162
    Renfrew North Lib Lib 9,11352.57%1,97611.40%58.18%7,1379,1131,08617,336
    Renfrew South PC PC 14,55255.66%4,13215.80%71.09%14,55210,4201,17426,146
    St. Catharines Lib Lib 16,50951.85%6,23619.58%57.20%10,27316,5094,92713231,841
    Sarnia Lib PC 13,87146.23%3,02910.09%63.27%13,87110,8425,29230,005
    Sault Ste. Marie PC PC 14,71249.99%7,15724.32%54.29%14,7127,5557,16229,429
    Simcoe Centre PC PC 16,92649.84%4,42113.02%59.06%16,92612,5054,53233,963
    Simcoe East PC PC 12,48742.13%3,40211.48%64.39%12,4877,3209,08574929,641
    Stormont—Dundas—Glengarry PC PC 12,01755.38%4,17119.22%65.95%12,0177,8461,836021,699
    Sudbury NDP PC 12,04345.95%3,99115.23%62.72%12,0435,9988,05211526,208
    Sudbury East NDP NDP 13,88349.21%4,46315.82%58.94%9,4204,90913,88328,212
    Timiskaming PC PC 8,37744.71%1,6098.59%65.03%8,3773,5936,76818,738
    Victoria—Haliburton Lib Lib 12,80749.71%2,2988.92%62.92%10,50912,8072,44925,765
    Waterloo North Lib Lib 12,84349.17%3,23712.39%52.30%9,60612,8433,67226,121
    Welland-Thorold NDP NDP 13,37949.81%5,46320.34%64.78%5,5647,91613,37926,859
    Wellington—Dufferin—Peel PC PC 16,64456.55%8,50828.91%58.51%16,6448,1364,65029,430
    Wellington South Lib Lib 16,23753.57%8,32027.45%56.86%7,91716,2375,93422430,312
    Wentworth NDP PC 10,02434.88%1600.56%62.32%10,0248,8479,86428,735
    Wentworth North Lib Lib 16,43349.13%4,12112.32%63.98%12,31216,4334,70233,447
    Windsor—Riverside NDP NDP 13,62649.59%4,52416.46%56.31%4,4189,10213,62633327,479
    Windsor—Sandwich NDP Lib 7,44940.26%1340.72%48.34%3,4797,4497,31525818,501
    Windsor—Walkerville Lib Lib 10,55354.89%5,56528.94%51.29%3,43810,5534,98824819,227
    York Centre Lib PC 19,09447.54%1,7224.29%56.81%19,09417,3723,70140,167
    York North PC PC 18,40555.38%8,18924.64%54.20%18,40510,2164,61433,235
    Armourdale PC PC 15,93854.63%6,94123.79%60.64%15,9388,9974,24029,175
    Beaches—Woodbine NDP NDP 9,59043.10%3241.46%59.24%9,2663,1409,59025222,248
    Bellwoods NDP NDP 5,11140.99%3652.93%58.75%2,1864,7465,11118024612,469
    Don Mills PC PC 17,51663.99%12,14844.38%52.55%17,5165,3684,48727,371
    Dovercourt NDP NDP 5,49137.81%2942.02%62.62%3,4165,1975,49125816214,524
    Downsview NDP NDP 8,64439.10%6532.95%58.54%5,4757,9918,64422,110
    Eglinton PC PC 17,38664.92%11,78043.98%57.86%17,3865,6063,32446626,782
    Etobicoke NDP NDP 10,37340.63%2,3499.20%55.31%8,0247,13210,37325,529
    High Park—Swansea NDP PC 11,47347.01%2,68010.98%64.63%11,4733,6358,79350724,408
    Humber PC PC 20,84460.43%10,78031.25%59.93%20,84410,0643,58334,491
    Lakeshore NDP PC 10,60740.65%1,2324.72%61.06%10,6075,7389,37537626,096
    Oakwood NDP NDP 8,86245.17%2,90114.79%56.22%5,9614,1718,86262419,618
    Oriole PC PC 15,64449.68%4,24413.48%57.65%15,64411,4004,44331,487
    Parkdale NDP Lib 6,94142.26%9215.61%58.59%2,9146,9416,02028925916,423
    Riverdale NDP NDP 6,77046.73%2,68218.51%49.62%4,0883,2376,77023315814,486
    St. Andrew—St. Patrick PC PC 10,67449.10%3,83517.64%57.09%10,6746,8393,70936814821,738
    St. David PC PC 9,62739.36%1,0224.18%64.80%9,6278,6055,98524324,460
    St. George Lib PC 12,39043.00%4,25114.75%58.69%12,3908,1394,9992,92835928,815
    Scarborough Centre PC PC 12,79355.92%7,89534.51%53.07%12,7934,6574,89853122,879
    Scarborough East PC PC 16,38656.03%9,08531.06%55.46%16,3867,3014,82617156229,246
    Scarborough—Ellesmere NDP PC 11,60844.87%1,8887.30%60.27%11,6084,5459,72025,873
    Scarborough North PC PC 29,96160.98%17,29835.20%53.08%29,96112,6636,51249,136
    Scarborough West NDP NDP 10,01941.84%3751.57%59.17%9,6443,91410,01936923,946
    Wilson Heights PC PC 11,72248.55%2,92512.12%51.83%11,7228,7973,62324,142
    York East PC PC 14,56257.34%9,62737.91%57.13%14,5624,8114,9351,08825,396
    York Mills PC PC 20,61365.59%14,94647.56%53.61%20,6135,6673,8581,28731,425
    York South NDP NDP 9,51837.01%1,4195.52%59.75%7,6288,0999,51847225,717
    York West PC PC 18,50157.58%8,27325.75%58.22%18,50110,2282,86553832,132
    Yorkview NDP Lib 10,16038.62%1,1874.51%55.03%5,32910,1608,9731,34350326,308
    1. including spoilt ballots
    2. order is as given in EO reports
    3. T. Patrick Reid was the incumbent
      = open seat
      = turnout is above provincial average
      = winning candidate was in previous Legislature
      = not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature
      = incumbent had switched allegiance
      = incumbency arose from byelection gain
      = previously incumbent in another riding
      = Liberal-Labour candidate
      = other incumbents renominated
      = multiple candidates

    Analysis

    Party candidates in 2nd place[3]
    Party in 1st placeParty in 2nd placeTotal
    PCLibNDP
    Progressive Conservative 551570
    Liberal 27633
    Liberal–Labour 11
    New Democratic 13821
    Total 416321125
    Candidates ranked 1st to 5th place, by party[3]
    Parties1st2nd3rd4th5th
     Progressive Conservative 704114
     Liberal 336327
     New Democratic 212183
     Liberal–Labour 11
     Independent 183
     Communist 126
     Libertarian 102
     Social Credit 3
     Unparty 1
    Resulting composition of the 28th Legislative Assembly[3]
    SourceParty
    PC Lib LL NDP Total
    Seats retainedIncumbents returned 4727121102
    Open seats held 10111
    Seats changing handsIncumbents defeated 11415
    Open seats gained 213
    Total 7033121125

    Seats changing hands

    Eighteen seats changed allegiance in this election:

    MPPs elected by region and riding

    Party designations are as follows:

      PC
      Liberal
      NDP
      Liberal-Labour




    See also

    Further reading

    • Byers, R. B., ed. (1984). Canadian annual review of politics and public affairs. 1981. Toronto: University of Toronto Press. ISBN 978-1-4426-7195-9.

    References

    1. Oziewicz, Stan (March 16, 1981). "Liberals say voters shifting because of Tory giveaways". The Globe and Mail. p. 32.
    2. Speirs, Rosemary (February 26, 1985). "PC official against release of poll: Tories have a 'solid lead,' but survey called 'one-shot'". The Globe and Mail. p. 4.
    3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "1981 general election results". Elections Ontario. Retrieved November 1, 2023.
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