1985 Ontario general election

May 2, 1985

125 seats in the 33rd Legislative Assembly of Ontario
63 seats needed for a majority
  First party Second party Third party
  PC
Leader Frank Miller David Peterson Bob Rae
Party Progressive Conservative Liberal New Democratic
Leader since January 26, 1985 February 21, 1982 February 7, 1982
Leader's seat Muskoka London Centre York South
Last election 70 34 21
Seats won 52 48 25
Seat change Decrease18 Increase14 Increase4
Popular vote 1,349,168 1,377,965 857,743
Percentage 37.1% 37.9% 23.6%
Swing Decrease7.3pp Increase5.2pp Increase2.4pp

Premier before election

Frank Miller
Progressive Conservative

Premier after election

Frank Miller[lower-alpha 1]
Progressive Conservative

Diagram of the 1985 election results in the Provincial Legislature

The 1985 Ontario general election was held on May 2, 1985, to elect the members of the 33rd Legislative Assembly of Ontario, Canada. The Progressive Conservatives won a plurality, but came up short of a majority.

Shortly afterward, the 42 years of PC governance in Ontario came to an end by a confidence vote defeating Premier Frank Miller's minority government. David Peterson's Liberals then formed a minority government with the support of Bob Rae's New Democratic Party.

Prelude

Around Thanksgiving in 1984, Ontario Premier Bill Davis announced that he would be stepping down from his longtime post and as leader of the Ontario PCs in early 1985. In office since 1971, he had a string of electoral victories by pursuing a moderate agenda and by relying on the skill of the Big Blue Machine team of advisors. Davis, who remained generally popular throughout his term in office, would unveil a surprise legacy project: full funding for Ontario's separate Catholic school system, which would become known as Bill 30. That decision was supported by both other parties but was generally unpopular, especially in the PC base.

The subsequent leadership race saw the party divide into two rough camps. The moderate and mainly-urban wing was represented by the second-place finisher, Larry Grossman. The more conservative rural faction backed the eventual victor, Frank Miller. After Miller's victory at the convention, the party's factions failed to reconcile, which was especially important since many moderate members of the Big Blue Machine were pushed aside.

Election

Despite those problems, the PCs remained far ahead in the polls, and when Miller called an election just six weeks after becoming premier, he was about 20% ahead of the Liberals. Over the campaign, however, the PC lead began to shrink as the Liberals waged a highly effective campaign. During the campaign, the separate schools question re-emerged when the Anglican prelate of Toronto, Archbishop Lewis Garnsworthy, held a news conference on the issue in which he compared Davis' methods in pushing through the reform to Adolf Hitler, saying: "This is how Hitler changed education in Germany, by exactly the same process, by decree. I won't take that back."[1] Garnsworthy was much criticized for his remarks, but the issue was revived, which alienated the PC base, some of whom chose to stay home on election day.

The election held May 2, 1985, ended in a stalemate. The PCs emerged with a much-reduced caucus of 52 seats. The Liberals won 48 seats but won slightly more of the popular vote. The NDP held the balance of power, with 25 seats. Despite taking 14 seats from the PCs, the Liberals were somewhat disappointed, as they felt that they had their first realistic chance of winning government in recent memory. The NDP was also disappointed by the election result, as the party had been nearly tied with the Liberals for popular support for several years and had hoped to surpass them.

Aftermath

The incumbent PCs intended to remain in power with a minority government, as they had done on two occasions under Davis' leadership. Rae and the NDP had little interest in supporting a continuation of PC rule, while the Liberals were also more amenable to a partnership compared to in the 1970's. Among other things, the Liberals repeatedly pointed out that (again, unlike in the previous decade) their party had won the popular vote and therefore, in their view, had at least as much of a right to govern the province as the Conservatives. The NDP began negotiations on May 13 to reach an agreement with the Liberals. Rae and Peterson signed an accord on May 29[2] that would see a number of NDP priorities put into law in exchange for an NDP motion of non-confidence in Miller's government and the NDP's support of the Liberals. The NDP agreed to support a Liberal minority government for two years during which the Liberals agreed not to call an election.

Miller, apprised of negotiations, considered a plan to address the province on television two days before the throne speech, disown funding for Catholic schools, and announce he was meeting with the Lieutenant Governor to request an election before a confidence vote could take place.[3] Believing that the Lieutenant Governor would have to call an election if requested before the confidence vote, Miller refused to do so since he believed the party's finances to be too fragile for a second campaign and that repudiating a key Davis policy would tear the party apart.[4]

In what was by then a foregone conclusion, on June 18, 1985 the PC government was defeated by the passage of a motion of no confidence introduced by Rae. Lieutenant-Governor John Black Aird then asked Peterson to form a government. Privately, Aird's actions suited Miller since even without party infighting and finances to consider, the PC's internal polling had by then clearly indicated the voters did not want another election and that even if the Lieutenant-Governor could have been convinced to call one, the Liberals would have been likely to win in a landslide. The actions of Aird, who was appointed by former Liberal Prime Minister Pierre Trudeau, therefore allowed Miller to portray his relinquishing of the premiership as a grudging acquiescence that he was forced to undertake by a representative of the sovereign, who the PCs would subsequently claim had breached constitutional convention and inappropriately engaged in partisanship to elevate the second-place party to government. In any case, Miller resigned on June 26 and Peterson's minority government was sworn in on the same day.

Opinion polls

During campaign period

Evolution of voting intentions at provincial level
Polling firm Last day
of survey
Source PCO OLP ONDP Other ME Sample
Election 1985 May 2, 1985 37.9 37.1 23.6 1.4
Environics April 19, 1985 [5] 41 33 26 1,015
April 1985 [6] 43 35 21
April 1985 [6] 47 32 21
Election called (March 25, 1985)[7]

During the 32nd Parliament of Ontario

Evolution of voting intentions at provincial level
Polling firm Last day
of survey
Source PCO OLP ONDP Other ME Sample
Gallup March 1985 [8] 50.5 28.8 20.3
Decima February 1985 [9] 55 21 21
Election 1981 March 19, 1981 44.38 33.48 21.14 1

Results

[10]

Elections to the 33rd Parliament of Ontario (1985)
Political party Party leader MPPs Votes
Candidates 1981 1985 ± # ± % ± (pp)
Progressive Conservative Frank Miller 125705218Decrease1,343,04469,444Decrease36.94%7.44Decrease
Liberal[a 1] David Peterson 125344814Increase1,377,965305,285Increase37.90%4.20Increase
New Democratic Bob Rae 12521254Increase865,507192,683Increase23.81%2.67Increase
Independent 2825,72815,143Increase0.71%0.38Increase
Libertarian Scott Bell 1712,8315,744Increase0.35%0.13Increase
Green 95,3455,345Increase0.15%New
Communist Gordon Massie 103,6961,610Decrease0.10%0.07Decrease
Freedom[a 2] none[a 3] 31,5831,123Increase0.04%0.03Increase
Total 442125 125 3,635,699 100.00%
Rejected ballots 26,434 5,637Increase
Voter turnout 3,662,133 458,852Increase 61.55 3.51Increase
Registered electors 5,950,295 431,091Increase
  1. 1981 results include Liberal-Labour
  2. previously known as the Unparty
  3. Robert Metz was the President
Seats and popular vote by party
PartySeatsVotesChange (pp)
 Progressive Conservative
52 / 125
36.94%
-7.44
 
 Liberal
48 / 125
37.90%
4.20 4.2
 
 New Democratic
25 / 125
23.81%
2.67 2.67
 
 Independent
0 / 125
0.71%
0.38 0.38
 
 Other
0 / 125
0.64%
0.19 0.19
 

Synopsis of results

Results by riding - 1985 Ontario general election[10]
Riding Winning party Turnout
[a 1]
Votes
Name[a 2] 1981 Party Votes Share Margin
#
Margin
%
Lib PC NDP Ind Other Total
 
Algoma NDP NDP 7,57553.11%3,88127.21%70.64%2,9953,6947,57514,264
Algoma—Manitoulin PC PC 7,17447.24%2,47016.26%55.49%4,7047,1743,30915,187
Brampton PC Lib 25,65645.62%4,4177.85%55.84%25,65621,2398,31350053156,239
Brantford PC PC 13,44441.65%1,1413.53%64.87%6,53313,44412,30332,280
Brant—Oxford—Norfolk Lib Lib 15,31762.21%9,50038.58%60.36%15,3175,8173,48724,621
Brock PC PC 9,74141.55%6602.82%63.11%9,0819,7413,86775523,444
Burlington South PC PC 16,47942.12%4,65711.90%63.04%11,82216,47910,82039,121
Cambridge PC PC 12,88840.33%9032.83%60.19%7,08312,88811,98531,956
Carleton PC PC 17,73244.34%2,6396.60%57.85%15,09317,7327,16539,990
Carleton East PC Lib 23,22148.14%7,03314.58%57.59%23,22116,1888,82948,238
Carleton-Grenville PC PC 15,52457.47%7,50527.78%56.54%8,01915,5243,46827,011
Chatham—Kent PC Lib 10,34041.23%1,1344.52%58.84%10,3409,2065,53525,081
Cochrane North PC Lib 8,79347.39%1,91010.29%68.78%8,7936,8832,87818,554
Cochrane South PC PC 13,93559.05%8,27335.06%62.63%4,00213,9355,66223,599
Cornwall NDP PC 9,43043.57%3,04614.07%59.41%6,3849,4305,82821,642
Dufferin—Simcoe PC PC 16,19850.09%4,37613.53%57.94%11,82216,1984,31632,336
Durham East PC PC 15,19346.59%5,36116.44%58.14%7,58415,1939,83232,609
Durham West PC PC 18,68444.03%4,33610.22%56.38%14,34818,6848,49591142,438
Durham—York PC PC 14,34348.55%4,58315.51%58.83%9,76014,3435,44029,543
Elgin PC PC 11,81645.29%3,19712.25%62.09%8,61911,8165,31534226,092
Erie Lib Lib 10,92654.57%5,02225.08%60.91%10,9265,9043,19120,021
Essex North Lib NDP 7,90133.56%1,2865.46%61.39%6,6156,1057,9012,92523,546
Essex South Lib Lib 11,38247.22%6,28426.07%61.08%11,3825,0982,6774,94724,104
Fort William PC PC 14,45254.66%7,38127.91%63.83%4,62914,4527,07128926,441
Frontenac—Addington Lib Lib 11,68445.56%2,3879.31%61.14%11,6849,2973,72394125,645
Grey Lib Lib 16,06165.17%10,18641.33%63.49%16,0615,8752,40230624,644
Grey—Bruce Lib Lib 14,88359.97%7,28829.37%65.85%14,8837,5952,34024,818
Haldimand—Norfolk Lib Lib 17,45656.06%7,59324.38%66.48%17,4569,8633,82131,140
Halton—Burlington Lib Lib 14,99142.46%2140.61%58.95%14,99114,7774,87166535,304
Hamilton Centre Lib Lib 9,18444.01%3841.84%56.85%9,1842,8838,80020,867
Hamilton East NDP NDP 13,77443.80%1,6005.09%61.03%12,1745,26813,77423431,450
Hamilton Mountain NDP NDP 13,87144.24%4,14213.21%69.28%7,7579,72913,87131,357
Hamilton West Lib NDP 10,18237.42%4501.65%61.95%9,7326,70510,18259327,212
Hastings—Peterborough PC PC 12,27254.91%6,68629.91%60.30%5,58612,2724,49222,350
Huron—Bruce Lib Lib 17,15961.94%8,60931.08%71.72%17,1598,5501,99227,701
Huron—Middlesex Lib Lib 13,82061.21%6,43928.52%70.71%13,8207,3811,14822922,578
Kenora PC PC 12,57466.69%8,54945.35%60.95%2,25412,5744,02518,853
Kent—Elgin Lib Lib 11,61654.36%3,77817.68%62.81%11,6167,8381,91621,370
Kingston and the Islands PC Lib 11,92446.33%2,2878.89%56.36%11,9249,6373,89228525,738
Kitchener Lib Lib 14,06646.86%4,38214.60%58.60%14,0669,6845,65461030,014
Kitchener—Wilmot Lib Lib 15,98754.38%7,25024.66%55.24%15,9878,7374,67329,397
Lake Nipigon NDP NDP 5,70841.70%1,1768.59%64.45%3,4484,5325,70813,688
Lambton PC Lib 10,81647.52%8603.78%67.64%10,8169,9561,98722,759
Lanark PC PC 10,91656.39%5,77029.81%56.28%5,14610,9163,29719,359
Leeds PC PC 11,80951.61%5,06122.12%58.76%6,74811,8093,58374122,881
Lincoln PC PC 12,22649.84%3,22213.13%67.82%9,00412,2262,2641,03624,530
London Centre Lib Lib 13,89054.80%7,17628.31%52.81%13,8906,7144,34040325,347
London North Lib Lib 20,53654.43%9,10324.13%60.14%20,53611,4335,19156637,726
London South PC Lib 24,52251.03%6,68313.91%62.91%24,52217,8395,08061448,055
Middlesex PC Lib 11,29247.16%8103.38%68.03%11,29210,4822,16923,943
Mississauga East PC PC 14,90037.96%2,5666.54%57.52%12,33414,90012,01539,249
Mississauga North PC Lib 21,36941.69%1,4242.78%54.54%21,36919,9459,94351,257
Mississauga South PC PC 13,18644.58%1,5635.28%59.94%11,62313,1864,77029,579
Muskoka PC PC 12,72368.42%9,68752.09%67.82%3,03612,7232,83618,595
Niagara Falls Lib Lib 14,65848.78%6,04220.11%61.03%14,6588,6166,77830,052
Nickel Belt NDP NDP 8,91252.37%3,06318.00%70.39%2,2555,8498,91217,016
Nipissing PC PC 14,90049.86%3,89813.04%64.66%11,00214,9003,98429,886
Northumberland PC PC 14,29647.67%1,8506.17%63.87%12,44614,2963,24729,989
Oakville PC PC 14,26541.66%6872.01%64.06%13,57814,2654,3902,00834,241
Oshawa NDP NDP 12,68650.25%5,15820.43%54.71%5,0347,52812,68625,248
Ottawa Centre NDP NDP 11,89043.45%3,88514.20%59.18%7,1038,00511,89036427,362
Ottawa East Lib Lib 14,60168.40%10,63049.80%49.15%14,6012,2573,97151821,347
Ottawa South PC PC 12,97139.41%1,3374.06%63.63%11,63412,9718,31132,916
Ottawa West PC PC 15,08946.63%2,9489.11%59.43%12,14115,0894,42770132,358
Oxford PC PC 15,50746.81%4,85114.64%60.71%10,65615,5075,66057772933,129
Parry Sound PC PC 10,90450.53%1,3606.30%69.58%9,54410,9041,13021,578
Perth Lib Lib 20,04069.31%13,96448.30%62.24%20,0406,0762,79628,912
Peterborough PC PC 16,87843.03%4,93712.59%60.25%9,73416,87811,94167339,226
Port Arthur NDP NDP 13,08444.99%3,25811.20%63.06%6,1699,82613,08429,079
Prescott and Russell Lib Lib 18,83357.95%7,79523.99%60.34%18,83311,0382,62532,496
Prince Edward—Lennox PC PC 10,17052.44%3,25216.77%57.55%6,91810,1702,30719,395
Quinte Lib Lib 18,98863.10%9,70132.24%60.73%18,9889,2871,81730,092
Rainy River LL PC 5,05339.56%2782.18%67.25%2,9445,0534,77512,772
Renfrew North Lib Lib 12,84966.45%7,10136.72%63.60%12,8495,74874019,337
Renfrew South PC PC 14,18251.97%4,49516.47%68.64%9,68714,1823,42027,289
St. Catharines Lib Lib 20,60557.94%11,57632.55%61.65%20,6059,0295,62430535,563
Sarnia PC PC 18,65161.25%11,21336.82%59.99%7,43818,6513,57279230,453
Sault Ste. Marie PC NDP 16,36244.85%1,0692.93%64.49%4,83015,29316,36236,485
Simcoe Centre PC PC 15,37938.04%5341.32%60.78%14,84515,3799,63956640,429
Simcoe East PC PC 13,37141.86%2,3697.42%63.52%7,56613,37111,00231,939
Stormont—Dundas—Glengarry PC PC 13,11960.03%6,08327.83%61.94%7,03613,1191,70021,855
Sudbury PC PC 12,59148.61%5,58121.55%60.65%6,30212,5917,01025,903
Sudbury East NDP NDP 17,24154.66%7,66524.30%63.21%4,7269,57617,24131,543
Timiskaming PC NDP 10,76550.79%2,82413.32%71.10%2,0267,94110,76546421,196
Victoria—Haliburton Lib Lib 15,34050.93%3,77012.52%67.09%15,34011,5703,20930,119
Waterloo North Lib Lib 16,45854.60%7,30924.25%58.80%16,4589,1494,53430,141
Welland-Thorold NDP NDP 17,06559.44%11,03838.45%66.73%6,0275,61817,06528,710
Wellington—Dufferin—Peel PC PC 14,84546.92%4,44414.05%58.06%10,40114,8456,39531,641
Wellington South Lib Lib 17,99547.83%5,00613.30%65.46%17,99512,9896,64137,625
Wentworth PC PC 12,32238.29%1,9856.17%61.14%10,33712,3228,57194732,177
Wentworth North Lib Lib 18,32847.73%5,16813.46%65.33%18,32813,1606,15875138,397
Windsor—Riverside NDP NDP 17,88361.62%11,16438.47%57.28%4,4186,71917,88329,020
Windsor—Sandwich Lib Lib 10,73048.35%3,14714.18%56.50%10,7303,6817,58319722,191
Windsor—Walkerville Lib Lib 9,13040.03%2,1509.43%58.56%9,1306,9806,69822,808
York Centre PC PC 25,02245.82%5,2469.61%57.11%19,77625,0227,1712,64454,613
York North PC Lib 21,29146.78%4,0959.00%59.16%21,29117,1967,02645,513
Armourdale PC PC 13,39441.26%2120.65%68.43%13,18213,3945,42945632,461
Beaches—Woodbine NDP NDP 12,67249.82%5,37121.12%65.11%5,0657,30112,67239625,434
Bellwoods NDP NDP 8,08847.49%1,4338.41%67.32%6,6551,9648,08832417,031
Don Mills PC PC 15,48150.72%7,97726.14%57.52%7,50415,4816,1531,38230,520
Dovercourt NDP NDP 6,67738.96%770.45%67.75%6,6003,5646,67729817,139
Downsview NDP Lib 11,23443.92%2210.86%65.58%11,2343,32911,01325,576
Eglinton PC PC 13,50343.60%9142.95%67.42%12,58913,5034,88030,972
Etobicoke NDP NDP 16,79254.33%9,21929.83%58.77%6,5447,57316,79230,909
High Park—Swansea PC PC 9,96038.13%3301.26%70.02%5,5789,9609,63024470726,119
Humber PC Lib 18,05745.92%1,9514.96%66.85%18,05716,1065,16039,323
Lakeshore PC NDP 11,53939.89%2,0377.04%67.93%9,5027,88611,53928,927
Oakwood NDP NDP 10,40741.63%7763.10%68.62%9,6314,63610,40732725,001
Oriole PC Lib 17,64149.05%4,08411.36%65.23%17,64113,5573,6601,10635,964
Parkdale Lib Lib 12,06562.67%6,92935.99%66.69%12,0652,0525,13619,253
Riverdale NDP NDP 9,86952.16%5,27927.90%61.69%3,9494,5909,86951418,922
St. Andrew—St. Patrick PC PC 10,33240.47%1,9597.67%63.95%6,33010,3328,37349625,531
St. David PC Lib 13,12046.98%3,41812.24%69.43%13,1209,7024,87822827,928
St. George PC PC 11,37835.04%8352.57%58.00%9,36111,37810,5431861,00732,475
Scarborough Centre PC PC 8,89035.56%3591.44%57.77%8,5318,8907,57724,998
Scarborough East PC Lib 15,85548.22%4,61014.02%58.27%15,85511,2454,3811,40232,883
Scarborough—Ellesmere PC NDP 10,11937.42%2190.81%63.63%6,6749,90010,11934827,041
Scarborough North PC Lib 30,50447.52%7,86012.24%57.68%30,50422,6449,0721,97464,194
Scarborough West NDP NDP 12,88953.19%6,89528.45%60.47%4,8065,99412,88954424,233
Wilson Heights PC Lib 12,36340.76%2,1887.21%64.26%12,36310,1757,79330,331
York East PC PC 11,45940.05%2,2767.96%64.52%6,62911,4599,1831,33928,610
York Mills PC PC 17,94348.19%7,86521.12%61.12%10,07817,9436,8722,33937,232
York South NDP NDP 16,37354.02%9,56631.56%66.53%6,8075,32116,3731,46534330,309
York West PC PC 14,59539.98%7151.96%65.00%13,88014,5956,9301,09936,504
Yorkview Lib Lib 15,98649.84%3,32810.38%60.72%15,9863,43112,65832,075
  1. including spoilt ballots
  2. order is as given in EO reports
  = open seat
  = turnout is above provincial average
  = winning candidate was in previous Legislature
  = not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature
  = incumbent had switched allegiance
  = incumbency arose from byelection gain
  = previously incumbent in another riding
  = other incumbents renominated
  = previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada
  = multiple candidates

Analysis

Party candidates in 2nd place[10]
Party in 1st placeParty in 2nd placeTotal
PCLibNDP
Progressive Conservative 381452
Liberal 42648
New Democratic 16925
Total 584720125
Candidates ranked 1st to 5th place, by party[10]
Parties1st2nd3rd4th5th
 Progressive Conservative 525815
 Liberal 484730
 New Democratic 2520791
 Independent 1207
 Libertarian 151
 Communist 10
 Green 53
 Freedom 3
Resulting composition of the 28th Legislative Assembly[10]
SourceParty
PC Lib NDP Total
Seats retainedIncumbents returned 43241683
Open seats held 75315
Byelection loss reversed 11
Ouster of incumbent changing allegiance 11
Seats changing handsIncumbents defeated 12416
Open seats gained 2518
Byelection gain held 11
Total 524825125

Significant results among independent and minor party candidates

Those candidates not belonging to a major party, receiving more than 1,000 votes in the election, are listed below:[10]

RidingPartyCandidatesVotesPlaced
Don Mills IndependentGary Watson1,3824th
Essex North IndependentRaymond Boggs2,9254th
Essex South IndependentJeffrey Totten4,9473rd
Lincoln IndependentKenneth Lee1,0364th
Oakville GreenChristopher Kowalchuk2,0084th
Oriole LibertarianGeorge Graham1,1064th
St. George LibertarianMichael Beech1,0074th
Scarborough East LibertarianJames McIntosh1,4024th
Scarborough North IndependentRonald Austin1,9744th
York Centre IndependentStewart Cole2,6444th
York Mills LibertarianScott Bell2,3394th
York South IndependentWilliam Schulze1,0634th
York West LibertarianRobert Dunk1,0994th

Seats changing hands

Twenty-five seats changed allegiance in this election:

MPPs elected by region and riding

Party designations are as follows:

  PC
  Liberal
  NDP


See also

Notes

  1. Replaced as Premier by David Peterson on June 26, 1985

References

  1. Robert Matas, "Davis like Hitler on schools: bishop," Globe and Mail, 25 April 1985, p. 1.
  2. "What happens in a hung Parliament - Macleans.ca".
  3. Stevens, Geoffrey (1990), Leaders and Lesser Mortals, Toronto: Key Porter Books, pp. 48–50, ISBN 1550134442
  4. Stevens, Geoffrey (1990), Leaders and Lesser Mortals, Toronto: Key Porter Books, pp. 50, ISBN 1550134442
  5. Adams, Michael; Dasko, Donna; James, Matsui (April 22, 1985). "Support for Tories slides 41%; down 10 points in Metro". The Globe and Mail. p. 1.
  6. 1 2 Cruickshank, John; Ross, Howard (April 13, 1985). "Tories find support slipping". The Globe and Mail. p. 1.
  7. Stead, Sylvia; Cruickshank, John (March 26, 1985). "Race is on in Ontario for May vote". The Globe and Mail. p. 1.
  8. Campbell, Murray (April 27, 1985). "Peterson appeals for NDP votes". The Globe and Mail. p. 12.
  9. Stead, Sylvia; Stephens, Robert (February 22, 1985). "55% in Ontario back the Tories in poll this month". The Globe and Mail. p. 4.
  10. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "1985 general election results". Elections Ontario. Retrieved December 13, 2023.

Further reading

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