This table provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls conducted from the 2021 Canadian federal election leading up to the 45th Canadian federal election.

National polls

Pre-campaign period

Evolution of voting intentions according to polls conducted during the pre-campaign period of the 45th Canadian federal election, graphed from the data in the table below. Trendlines are 30-poll local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.
Polling firm Last date
of polling[lower-alpha 1]
Link CPC LPC NDP BQ PPC GPC Others[lower-alpha 2] Margin
of error[lower-alpha 3]
Sample
size[lower-alpha 4]
Polling method[lower-alpha 5] Lead
Abacus DataJanuary 9, 2024[1]4124187540±2.6 pp1,500online17
Nanos ResearchJanuary 5, 2024[2]38.326.420.57.42.14.2±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)11.9
Nanos ResearchDecember 29, 2023[3]40.326.618.17.31.94.8±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)13.7
Spark AdvocacyDecember 27, 2023[4]402619853±2.0 pp2,175online14
Nanos ResearchDecember 22, 2023[5]40.627.018.26.91.45.1±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)13.6
LegerDecember 17, 2023[6]3828187252±2.43 pp1,622online10
Pallas DataDecember 15, 2023[7]412717735±2.9 pp1,177online14
Nanos ResearchDecember 15, 2023[8]40.824.920.45.71.65.6±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)15.9
Abacus DataDecember 12, 2023[9]3727197451±2.3 pp1,919online10
Mainstreet ResearchDecember 9, 2023[10]4224177352±3.3 pp879IVR18
Nanos ResearchDecember 8, 2023[11]39.826.120.25.61.85.5±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)13.7
Innovative ResearchDecember 5, 2023[12]4024197455,534online16
Angus ReidDecember 1, 2023[13]4124209142±1.5 pp3,755online17
Nanos ResearchDecember 1, 2023[14]40.423.421.26.31.95.2±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)17.0
Abacus DataNovember 28, 2023[15]4223197341±2.0 pp2,417online19
Research Co.November 27, 2023[16]3824219241±3.1 pp1,000online14
Pluriel ResearchNovember 26, 2023[17]392519764±2.6 pp1,374online14
LegerNovember 26, 2023[18]4026207231±2.51 pp1,529online14
Nanos ResearchNovember 24, 2023[19]41.022.022.06.12.05.5±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)19.0
Abacus DataNovember 22, 2023[20]3924208451±1.7 pp3,450online15
IpsosNovember 17, 2023[21]4024218241±3.8 pp1,000online16
Nanos ResearchNovember 17, 2023[22]392422636±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)15
Angus ReidNovember 14, 2023[23]4127207141±1.5 pp2,512online14
Abacus DataNovember 12, 2023[24]412519643±2.3 pp2,000online16
Nanos ResearchNovember 10, 2023[25]40.322.420.36.72.17.2±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)17.9
Mainstreet ResearchNovember 6, 2023[26]41.025.818.26.22.94.11.8±2.3 pp1,892IVR15.2
Nanos ResearchNovember 3, 2023[27]402520626±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)15
Abacus DataNovember 1, 2023[28]3926187451±2.1 pp2,200online13
Innovative ResearchOctober 31, 2023[29]3824207455,974online14
LegerOctober 29, 2023[30]4026177361±2.4 pp1,632online14
Nanos ResearchOctober 27, 2023[31]37.725.419.95.53.47.9±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)12.3
Pallas DataOctober 22, 2023[32]432716733±2.5 pp1,484IVR16
Nanos ResearchOctober 20, 2023[33]39.523.619.35.04.57.5±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)15.9
Angus ReidOctober 13, 2023[34]3928217131±2 pp1,878online11
Nanos ResearchOctober 13, 2023[35]402519537±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)15
Mainstreet ResearchOctober 12, 2023[36]4127176332±2.8 pp1,223IVR14
Abacus DataOctober 10, 2023[37]40261975±2.2 pp1,915online14
Nanos ResearchOctober 6, 2023[38]382620637±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)12
Abacus DataOctober 5, 2023[39]392618754±2.2 pp1,985online13
Nanos ResearchSeptember 29, 2023[40]37.926.521.26.22.05.7±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)11.4
LegerSeptember 24, 2023[41]3927187242±2.4 pp1,652online12
EKOSSeptember 24, 2023[42]42.122.917.96.42.96.90.9±3.1 pp1,025IVR19.2
Nanos ResearchSeptember 22, 2023[43]35.628.621.47.31.75.1±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)7.0
IpsosSeptember 18, 2023[44]3930178232±2.9 pp1,500online9
Nanos ResearchSeptember 15, 2023[45]34.928.922.27.11.84.7±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)6.0
Abacus DataSeptember 13, 2023[46]4126188331±2.1 pp2,125online15
Pluriel ResearchSeptember 8, 2023[47]37.929.119.66.44.03.0±3 pp1,001online8.8
Nanos ResearchSeptember 8, 2023[48]34.029.021.87.12.65.2±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)5.0
Angus ReidSeptember 6, 2023[49]3927198240±1.5 pp3,400online12
Research Co.September 4, 2023[50]3731178131±3.1 pp1,000online6
Abacus DataSeptember 4, 2023[51]4026196341±1.7 pp3,595online14
Nanos ResearchSeptember 1, 2023[52]323221736±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)0
LegerAugust 27, 2023[53]3829188241±2.5 pp1,597online9
Nanos ResearchAugust 25, 2023[54]333022726±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)3
Mainstreet ResearchAugust 23, 2023[55]4128157343±2.7 pp1,280IVR13
Abacus DataAugust 23, 2023[56]382619744±2.0 pp2,189online12
Nanos ResearchAugust 18, 2023[57]34.129.519.87.22.46.8±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)4.6
Pallas DataAugust 17, 2023[58]39.129.616.66.72.04.71.2±3.1 pp1,021IVR9.5
Angus ReidAugust 11, 2023[59]3831187150±2 pp1,606online7
Nanos ResearchAugust 11, 2023[60]352919727±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)6
Abacus DataAugust 7, 2023[61]3728198341±2.0 pp1,650online9
Nanos ResearchAugust 4, 2023[62]372720736±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)10
Nanos ResearchJuly 28, 2023[63]362917735±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)7
Abacus DataJuly 25, 2023[64]3828187451±2.0 pp2,486online10
July 24, 2023A federal by-election was held in Calgary Heritage, with Shuvaloy Majumdar holding the seat for the Conservative Party.
Nanos ResearchJuly 21, 2023[65]35.428.619.67.12.35.9±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)6.8
Nanos ResearchJuly 14, 2023[66]352919727±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)6
LegerJuly 10, 2023[67]3728177352±2.5 pp1,512online9
Mainstreet ResearchJuly 8, 2023[68]3730176352±2.8 pp1,200IVR7
Nanos ResearchJuly 7, 2023[69]373019726±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)7
Nanos ResearchJune 30, 2023[70]35.829.618.96.42.46.1±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)6.2
Abacus DataJune 27, 2023[71]3429207551±2.0 pp1,500online5
PollaraJune 23, 2023[72]3230218351±1.2 pp7,001online2
Nanos ResearchJune 23, 2023[73]352920736±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)6
IpsosJune 20, 2023[74]3732168231±3.5 pp1,000online5
June 19, 2023A federal by-election was held in Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount, with Anna Gainey holding the seat for the Liberal Party.
June 19, 2023A federal by-election was held in Oxford, with Arpan Khanna holding the seat for the Conservative Party.
June 19, 2023A federal by-election was held in Portage—Lisgar, with Branden Leslie holding the seat for the Conservative Party.
June 19, 2023A federal by-election was held in Winnipeg South Centre, with Ben Carr holding the seat for the Liberal Party.
Nanos ResearchJune 16, 2023[75]353021735±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)5
Abacus DataJune 11, 2023[76]3528217441±2.0 pp2,000online7
Nanos ResearchJune 9, 2023[77]323023635±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)2
Mainstreet ResearchJune 8, 2023[78]3529215253±3 pp1,045IVR6
Angus ReidJune 3, 2023[79]3729208240±1 pp3,885online8
Nanos ResearchJune 2, 2023[70]32.429.323.86.82.73.8±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)3.1
LegerMay 29, 2023[80]3133198261±2.51 pp1,531online2
Nanos ResearchMay 26, 2023[81]332824734±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)5
Nanos ResearchMay 19, 2023[82]342724735±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)7
Abacus DataMay 12, 2023[83]3330187551±2.0 pp2,500online3
Nanos ResearchMay 12, 2023[84]362722744±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)9
LegerMay 8, 2023[85]3332207252±2.51 pp1,523online1
Mainstreet ResearchMay 6, 2023[86]3630176342±2.7 pp1,272IVR6
Nanos ResearchMay 5, 2023[87]35.227.721.77.13.44.3±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)7.5
Abacus DataMay 3, 2023[88]3331197541±2.4 pp1,750online2
Nanos ResearchApril 28, 2023[89]353020635±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)5
LegerApril 23, 2023[90]36301972411,515online6
Nanos ResearchApril 21, 2023[91]343121634±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)3
Nanos ResearchApril 14, 2023[92]343121635±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)3
LegerApril 10, 2023[93]3430218331±2.52 pp1,517online4
Nanos ResearchApril 7, 2023[94]35.830.618.15.53.45.3±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)5.2
Nanos ResearchMarch 31, 2023[95]362820645±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)8
Mainstreet ResearchMarch 30, 2023[96]35.928.918.16.51.86.82.1±2.8 pp1,267IVR7.0
Nanos ResearchMarch 24, 2023[97]34.828.919.06.34.45.3±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)5.9
Abacus DataMarch 21, 2023[98]3331188541±2.3 pp1,963online2
Nanos ResearchMarch 17, 2023[99]342720955±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)7
Angus ReidMarch 13, 2023[100]3529208241±1 pp4,899online6
EKOSMarch 13, 2023[101]31.428.225.06.03.64.81.1±1.6 pp3,115telephone/online3.2
LegerMarch 12, 2023[102]3233199241±2.49 pp1,544online1
Mainstreet ResearchMarch 10, 2023[103]36.930.815.26.23.34.82.7±2.8 pp1,255IVR6.1
Abacus DataMarch 10, 2023[104]3429197631±2.6 pp1,500online5
Nanos ResearchMarch 10, 2023[105]32.828.420.68.93.55.0±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)4.4
Abacus DataMarch 4, 2023[106]3629188432±2.0 pp2,600online7
Nanos ResearchMarch 3, 2023[107]343020935±3.1 pp1,000 (3/4)telephone (rolling)4
Research Co.February 27, 2023[108]3334188131±3.1 pp1,000online1
Abacus DataFebruary 18, 2023[109]3729187441±1.6 pp4,000online8
IpsosFebruary 17, 2023[110]3333187341±3.1 pp1,350online0
LegerFebruary 12, 2023[111]3532187241±2.50 pp1,539online3
Nanos ResearchFebruary 10, 2023[112]32.933.120.56.42.84.1±3.1 pp1,000 (1/2)telephone (rolling)0.2
PollaraFebruary 6, 2023[113]3232208341±1.8 pp3,850online0
Abacus DataJanuary 30, 2023[114]3729187441±2.6 pp1,500online8
Mainstreet ResearchJanuary 27, 2023[115]36.933.113.66.42.44.82.8±2.8 pp1,261IVR3.8
Nanos ResearchJanuary 27, 2023[116]343119825±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)3
LegerJanuary 22, 2023[117]3434197131±2.49 pp1,554online0
Nanos ResearchJanuary 20, 2023[118]353018926±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)5
Abacus DataJanuary 16, 2023[119]3531187541±2.2 pp2,099online4
Nanos ResearchJanuary 13, 2023[120]35.628.320.77.42.15.8±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)7.3
PollaraJanuary 12, 2023[113]3233218243,020online1
Nanos ResearchJanuary 6, 2023[121]342922636±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)5
Nanos ResearchDecember 30, 2022[122]342922636±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)5
Nanos ResearchDecember 23, 2022[123]352923625±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)6
PollaraDecember 20, 2022[113]3330218354,020online3
Nanos ResearchDecember 16, 2022[124]352921635±3.0 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)6
Mainstreet ResearchDecember 15, 2022[125]36.031.318.65.82.93.91.5±2.6 pp1,416IVR4.7
December 12, 2022A federal by-election was held in Mississauga—Lakeshore, with Charles Sousa holding the seat for the Liberal Party.
LegerDecember 11, 2022[126]3330217442±2.50 pp1,526online3
Abacus DataDecember 10, 2022[127]36301964412,500online6
Nanos ResearchDecember 9, 2022[128]33.630.320.95.52.65.0±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)3.3
Mainstreet ResearchDecember 8, 2022[129]37.933.616.45.12.43.61.0±2.8 pp1,267IVR4.3
Nanos ResearchDecember 2, 2022[130]333122635±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)2
Nanos ResearchNovember 25, 2022[131]30.331.022.57.13.44.8±3.1 pp1,000 (1/2)telephone (rolling)0.7
EKOSNovember 23, 2022[132]33.631.318.15.13.46.61.9±3.1 pp1,034IVR2.3
November 19, 2022Elizabeth May returns as leader of the Green Party
Innovative ResearchNovember 14, 2022[133]33321872612,236online1
LegerNovember 13, 2022[134]3432197242±2.50 pp1,537online2
Nanos ResearchNovember 11, 2022[128]31.332.920.08.11.75.1±3.1 pp1,000 (1/2)telephone (rolling)1.6
Mainstreet ResearchNovember 7, 2022[135]37.630.319.33.84.13.51.4±2.7 pp1,276IVR7.3
PollaraNovember 3, 2022[113]3331209333,418online2
Nanos ResearchOctober 28, 2022[131]34.432.116.97.93.24.3±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)2.3
Research Co.October 26, 2022[136]3531198241±3.1 pp1,000online4
Abacus DataOctober 26, 2022[137]3431186451±2.1 pp1,500online3
Nanos ResearchOctober 21, 2022[138]363017844±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)6
Nanos ResearchOctober 14, 2022[139]353418635±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)1
LegerOctober 10, 2022[140]3331218231±2.50 pp1,534online2
Nanos ResearchOctober 7, 2022[141]333221625±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)1
Nanos ResearchSeptember 30, 2022[142]332923625±3.1 pp1,000 (1/2)telephone (rolling)4
Mainstreet ResearchSeptember 22, 2022[143]40.832.712.45.23.42.62.7±3.0 pp1,088IVR8.1
Angus ReidSeptember 22, 2022[144]3730207131±2 pp5,014online7
IpsosSeptember 21, 2022[145]3530207332±3.5 pp1,000online5
LegerSeptember 18, 2022[146]3428238331±2.51 pp1,522online6
EKOSSeptember 16, 2022[147]33.731.720.15.93.15.00.5±3.1 pp1,005IVR2.0
Nanos ResearchSeptember 16, 2022[148]30.728.426.06.03.44.8±3.00 pp1,000telephone (rolling)2.3
Abacus DataSeptember 14, 2022[149]3530179441±2.2 pp1,990online5
September 10, 2022Pierre Poilievre is elected leader of the Conservative Party
Abacus DataAugust 30, 2022[150]3332197531±2.6 pp1,500online1
Nanos ResearchAugust 19, 2022[148]32.533.320.15.52.15.6±3.00 pp1,000 (1/2)telephone (rolling)0.8
LegerAugust 7, 2022[151]2833218542±2.52 pp1,509online5
Nanos ResearchAugust 5, 2022[152]32.629.022.76.31.76.8±3.0 pp1,000telephone (rolling)3.6
Abacus DataJuly 27, 2022[153]3530197441±2.0 pp2,400online5
Mainstreet ResearchJuly 18, 2022[154]38.327.618.15.95.22.62.3±2.3 pp1,749IVR10.7
Abacus DataJuly 17, 2022[155]3331198441±2.6 pp1,500online2
LegerJuly 10, 2022[156]2832217543±2.49 pp1,538online4
Nanos ResearchJuly 8, 2022[152]34.130.620.85.62.85.4±3.0 pp1,000 (3/4)telephone (rolling)3.5
Abacus DataJune 23, 2022[157]3430188541±1.8 pp3,026online4
IpsosJune 20, 2022[158]3332218221±2.5 pp2,002online1
Nanos ResearchJune 17, 2022[159]35.530.519.26.12.95.1±2.9 pp1,000telephone (rolling)5.0
Mainstreet ResearchJune 16, 2022[160]25.834.022.87.83.14.52.0±2.8 pp1,200online8.2
LegerJune 12, 2022[161]3230216442±2.5 pp1,528online2
Abacus DataMay 24, 2022[162]3131198551±2.6 pp1,500online0
Nanos ResearchMay 20, 2022[159]32.534.419.66.13.34.1±2.9 pp1,000telephone (rolling)1.9
EKOSMay 17, 2022[163]35.429.219.94.34.24.53±2.8 pp1,244IVR6.2
EKOSMay 9, 2022[164]31.431.820.34.84.85.22±2.1 pp2,140IVR0.4
Abacus DataMay 6, 2022[165]3331198531±2.6 pp1,500online2
Mainstreet ResearchApril 29, 2022[166]38.432.216.96.72.83.1±2.7 pp1,327IVR6.2
Nanos ResearchApril 22, 2022[167]35.630.019.65.43.45.5±2.9 pp1,000 (1/2)telephone (rolling)5.6
LegerApril 10, 2022[168]2931217642±2.5 pp1,538online2
Abacus DataApril 9, 2022[169]3133188541±2.1 pp2,000online2
Nanos ResearchApril 8, 2022[170]333318±3.0 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)0
Nanos ResearchApril 1, 2022[170]313321±3.0 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)2
Abacus DataMarch 25, 2022[171]3331177641±2.6 pp1,500online2
Nanos ResearchMarch 25, 2022[167]31.332.221.65.93.64.8±2.9 pp1,000 (1/2)telephone (rolling)0.9
March 22, 2022The Liberals and NDP enter into a confidence-and-supply agreement.
Nanos ResearchMarch 11, 2022[172]29.332.122.26.45.04.9±3.0 pp1,000 (1/2)telephone (rolling)2.8
LegerMarch 6, 2022[173]2833228531±2.5 pp1,591online5
Nanos ResearchFebruary 25, 2022[174]32.230.317.75.46.8±3.1 pp1,000 (1/2)telephone (rolling)1.9
Abacus DataFebruary 22, 2022[175]3131208631±1.4 pp5,200online0
IpsosFebruary 21, 2022[176]3232236431±3.5 pp1,001online0
Mainstreet ResearchFebruary 17, 2022[177]38.730.614.66.36.21.91.7±2.7 pp1,323IVR8.1
Nanos ResearchFebruary 11, 2022[178]31.130.616.97.17.16.4±3.0 pp1,000 (1/2)telephone (rolling)0.5
Abacus DataFebruary 8, 2022[179]3033198631±2.6 pp1,500online3
LegerFebruary 6, 2022[180]2933218440±2.49 pp1,546online4
February 2, 2022Erin O'Toole is removed as leader of the Conservative Party. Candice Bergen is named interim leader.
Nanos ResearchJanuary 28, 2022[181]30.429.920.76.75.8±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)0.5
Mainstreet ResearchJanuary 23, 2022[182]29.329.416.75.812.73.22.8±2.3 pp1,813IVR0.1
LegerJanuary 23, 2022[183]3134187632±2.51 pp1,525online3
Nanos ResearchJanuary 21, 2022[184]29.428.422.35.67.0±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)1.0
EKOSJanuary 17, 2022[185]29.730.319.55.99.14.51±1.9 pp2,612IVR0.6
Nanos ResearchJanuary 14, 2022[186]28.528.224.36.15.36.3±3.0 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)0.3
Angus ReidJanuary 12, 2022[187]2934205632±2.0 pp5,002online5
Abacus DataJanuary 12, 2022[188]3032198731±2.089 pp2,200online2
Nanos ResearchJanuary 7, 2022[189]29.030.621.46.25.76.1±3.0 pp1,000telephone (rolling)1.6
Discover by NavigatorJanuary 5, 2022[190]2932226742,513online3
EKOSDecember 21, 2021[191]25322341042±3.1 pp1,015IVR7
Nanos ResearchDecember 10, 2021[189]30.433.319.86.26.77.0±3.0 pp1,000telephone (rolling)2.9
LegerDecember 5, 2021[192]2936197531±2.49 pp1,547online7
Mainstreet ResearchNovember 30, 2021[193]30.333.515.75.510.03.21.9±2.36 pp1,719IVR3.2
Abacus DataNovember 30, 2021[194]3032208631±2.2 pp2,025online2
Angus ReidNovember 29, 2021[195]2935207521±2 pp2,005online6
November 27, 2021Amita Kuttner is named interim leader of the Green Party
EKOSNovember 21, 2021[196]26.630.419.15.911.45.21±3.1 pp1,006IVR3.8
LegerNovember 7, 2021[197]2635228532±2.48 pp1,565online9
Nanos ResearchOctober 29, 2021[198]30.130.821.67.45.83.1±3.1 pp1,000 (1/4)telephone (rolling)0.7
Mainstreet ResearchOctober 24, 2021[199]33.333.815.45.53.08.9±2.4 pp1,711IVR0.5
Nanos ResearchOctober 22, 2021[200]30.829.923.17.35.32.7±3.1 pp1,000telephone (rolling)0.9
Abacus DataOctober 20, 2021[201]3033197631±1.9 pp2,220online3
September 27, 2021Annamie Paul announces her intention to resign as the leader of the Green Party
2021 electionSeptember 20, 2021HTML33.732.617.87.64.92.31.117,042,5911.1
Polling firm Last date
of polling[lower-alpha 1]
Link Others Margin
of error[lower-alpha 3]
Sample
size[lower-alpha 4]
Polling method[lower-alpha 5] Lead
CPC LPC NDP BQ PPC GPC

Voting intention with LPC-NDP merger/alliance

Under Justin Trudeau leadership

Polling firm Last date
of polling
Link LPC-NDP CPC BQ GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[lower-alpha 3]
Sample
size[lower-alpha 4]
Polling method[lower-alpha 5] Lead
Research CoOctober 8, 2023[202]3642882± 3.1 pp1,000online6
LegerApril 23, 2023[203]4139863± 3.1 pp1,515online2

Under Jagmeet Singh leadership

Polling firm Last date
of polling
Link LPC-NDP CPC BQ GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[lower-alpha 3]
Sample
size[lower-alpha 4]
Polling method[lower-alpha 5] Lead
Research CoOctober 8, 2023[202]3643972± 3.1 pp1,000online7

Regional polls

A number of polling firms survey federal voting intentions on a regional or provincial level. Note that this section displays results from stand-alone polls, not subsets of national polls.

Alberta

Polling firm Last date
of polling
Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[lower-alpha 3]
Sample
size[lower-alpha 4]
Polling method[lower-alpha 5] Lead
Mainstreet ResearchMay 2, 2022[204]185513131± 2.5 pp1,524Smart IVR37
Yorkville StrategiesMarch 9, 2022[205]184820473± 4 pp600Phone28

Ontario

City of Toronto

Polling firm Last date
of polling
Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[lower-alpha 3]
Sample
size[lower-alpha 4]
Polling method[lower-alpha 5] Lead
Liason StrategiesJanuary 4, 2024[206]38322253N/A± 3.39 pp831IVR6
Abacus DataFebruary 7, 2023[207]442718651± 3.1 pp1,000online17

Quebec

Polling firm Last date
of polling
Link LPC CPC NDP BQ GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[lower-alpha 3]
Sample
size[lower-alpha 4]
Polling method[lower-alpha 5] Lead
LegerDecember 4, 2023[208]28251031222± 3.04 pp846Online3
PallasSeptember 27, 2023[209]3425728321± 2.96 pp1,095IVR6
LegerSeptember 25, 2023[210]2923132921± 3.0 pp1,046Online0
LegerFebruary 26, 2023[211]3315133142± 3.0 pp1,044Online2
LegerNovember 6, 2022[212]3418123022± 3.1 pp1,028Online4

Newfoundland and Labrador

Polling firm Last date
of polling
Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[lower-alpha 3]
Sample
size[lower-alpha 4]
Polling method[lower-alpha 5] Lead
Abacus DataSeptember 25, 2023[213]33422311± 4.5 pp500Online9

Leadership polls

Aside from conducting the usual opinion surveys on general party preferences, polling firms also survey public opinion on which political party leader would make the best prime minister:

November 2022 – present

Polling firm Last date of polling Link Justin Trudeau Pierre Poilievre Jagmeet Singh Yves-François Blanchet Elizabeth May Maxime Bernier Unsure Margin
of error
[lower-alpha 3]
Lead
Nanos ResearchJanuary 5, 2024[214]21.231.416.33.84.21.621.6±3.1 pp10.2
Nanos ResearchDecember 29, 2023[215]21.433.015.23.34.51.421.2±3.1 pp11.6
Nanos ResearchDecember 22, 2023[216]20.634.315.43.24.01.820.9±3.1 pp13.7
LegerDecember 17, 2023[6]2025163115±2.43 pp5
Nanos ResearchDecember 15, 2023[217]20.833.417.43.24.21.919.2±3.1 pp12.6
Nanos ResearchDecember 8, 2023[218]20.932.816.23.54.31.820.5±3.1 pp11.9
Innovative ResearchDecember 5, 2023[12]23412165418
Angus ReidDecember 1, 2023[219]16341310±1.5 pp18
Nanos ResearchDecember 1, 2023[14]19.133.416.83.94.81.920.1±3.1 pp14.3
Research Co.November 27, 2023[16]23321844218±3.1 pp9
LegerNovember 26, 2023[220]1925173216±2.51 pp6
Nanos ResearchNovember 24, 2023[221]19.034.116.23.65.71.719.7±3.1 pp15.1
Nanos ResearchNovember 17, 2023[222]19.233.115.54.05.02.021.2±3.1 pp13.9
LegerNovember 12, 2023[223]1727162218±2.44 pp10
Nanos ResearchNovember 10, 2023[224]21.233.716.13.85.41.718.0±3.1 pp12.6
Nanos ResearchNovember 3, 2023[225]22.734.116.03.74.51.817.2±3.1 pp11.4
Innovative ResearchOctober 31, 2023[29]24392354515
LegerOctober 29, 2023[226]1829154217±2.4 pp11
Nanos ResearchOctober 27, 2023[31]23.331.517.83.54.62.117.2±3.1 pp8.2
Nanos ResearchOctober 20, 2023[227]23.032.616.82.95.12.217.4±3.1 pp9.6
Angus ReidOctober 13, 2023[34]16301511±2 pp14
Nanos ResearchOctober 13, 2023[228]23.332.915.23.24.72.518.3±3.1 pp9.6
Nanos ResearchOctober 6, 2023[229]23.532.115.03.44.72.319.0±3.1 pp8.6
Nanos ResearchSeptember 29, 2023[230]23.032.115.63.74.22.019.4±3.1 pp9.1
LegerSeptember 24, 2023[41]2026142217±2.4 pp6
Nanos ResearchSeptember 22, 2023[43]23.931.316.53.73.92.218.6±3.1 pp7.4
IpsosSeptember 18, 2023[231]3140226±2.9 pp9
Nanos ResearchSeptember 15, 2023[45]24.630.716.73.24.12.118.7±3.1 pp6.1
Nanos ResearchSeptember 8, 2023[48]25.428.916.93.24.32.918.4±3.1 pp3.5
Angus ReidSeptember 6, 2023[49]17321511±1.5 pp15
Research Co.September 4, 2023[50]28281743120±3.1 pp0
Nanos ResearchSeptember 1, 2023[232]27.727.215.93.54.62.618.6±3.1 pp0.5
Nanos ResearchAugust 25, 2023[233]27.527.516.13.95.12.417.6±3.1 pp0
Nanos ResearchAugust 18, 2023[57]28.227.516.94.34.52.115.9±3.1 pp0.7
Nanos ResearchAugust 11, 2023[234]28.027.816.34.15.01.517.3±3.1 pp0.2
Nanos ResearchAugust 4, 2023[235]27.928.616.04.24.31.817.3±3.1 pp0.7
Nanos ResearchJuly 28, 2023[236]25.928.415.34.44.02.519.5±3.1 pp2.5
Nanos ResearchJuly 21, 2023[237]25.826.716.54.34.13.219.5±3.1 pp0.9
Nanos ResearchJuly 14, 2023[238]26.328.216.93.63.72.918.3±3.1 pp1.9
Nanos ResearchJuly 7, 2023[239]25.829.117.53.43.52.718.0±3.1 pp3.3
Nanos ResearchJune 30, 2023[240]27.228.417.83.43.42.417.3±3.1 pp1.2
Nanos ResearchJune 23, 2023[241]27.328.016.63.73.42.818.0±3.1 pp0.7
Nanos ResearchJune 16, 2023[242]27.127.517.93.53.02.418.5±3.1 pp0.4
Nanos ResearchJune 9, 2023[243]27.625.818.53.83.12.618.7±3.1 pp1.8
Nanos ResearchJune 2, 2023[244]26.826.619.13.72.52.418.9±3.1 pp0.2
Nanos ResearchMay 26, 2023[245]25.926.620.13.92.52.219.0±3.1 pp0.7
Nanos ResearchMay 19, 2023[246]25.927.319.14.22.92.218.4±3.1 pp1.4
Nanos ResearchMay 12, 2023[247]24.328.618.74.03.42.618.3±3.1 pp4.3
LegerMay 8, 2023[248]24191632±2.51 pp5
Nanos ResearchMay 5, 2023[87]23.928.318.84.53.42.818.3±3.1 pp4.4
Nanos ResearchApril 28, 2023[249]25.628.118.14.43.32.818.1±3.1 pp2.5
Nanos ResearchApril 21, 2023[250]25.327.518.43.83.42.519.1±3.1 pp2.2
Nanos ResearchApril 14, 2023[251]25.926.918.13.73.32.219.8±3.1 pp1.0
LegerApril 11, 2023[252]23211733±2.52 pp2
Nanos ResearchApril 7, 2023[253]26.228.416.04.03.52.818.9±3.1 pp2.2
Nanos ResearchMarch 31, 2023[254]25.329.415.54.23.73.418.6±3.1 pp4.1
Nanos ResearchMarch 24, 2023[255]25.928.716.14.43.83.917.2±3.1 pp2.8
Nanos ResearchMarch 17, 2023[256]25.629.615.15.34.23.916.3±3.1 pp4.0
LegerMarch 12, 2023[102]24191822±2.49 pp5
Nanos ResearchMarch 10, 2023[257]27.527.315.85.53.93.316.6±3.1 pp0.2
Nanos ResearchMarch 3, 2023[258]28.42716.24.94.32.617.1±3.1 pp1.4
Research Co.February 27, 2023[108]33251533120±3.1 pp8
Nanos ResearchFebruary 24, 2023[259]31.426.714.25.04.52.216.1±3.1 pp4.7
Nanos ResearchFebruary 17, 2023[260]32.326.116.13.82.92.116.8±3.1 pp6.2
LegerFebruary 12, 2023[111]24211732±2.5 pp3
Nanos ResearchFebruary 10, 2023[112]32.825.815.83.63.52.016.3±3.1 pp7.0
Nanos ResearchFebruary 3, 2023[261]31.926.314.64.24.11.817.2±3.1 pp5.6
Nanos ResearchJanuary 27, 2023[262]30.426.316.14.53.81.917.0±3.1 pp4.1
Nanos ResearchJanuary 20, 2023[263]30.227.115.24.73.9216.8±3.1 pp3.1
Nanos ResearchJanuary 13, 2023[120]3027.516.24.24.2215.9±3.1 pp2.5
Nanos ResearchJanuary 6, 2023[264]30.626.617.53.94.12.414.8±3.1 pp4
Nanos ResearchDecember 30, 2022[265]30.527.416.83.53.82.215.9±3.1 pp3.1
Nanos ResearchDecember 23, 2022[266]302717.63.83.61.816.0±3.1 pp3
Nanos ResearchDecember 16, 2022[267]292717.34.43.61.816.8±3.1 pp2
Nanos ResearchDecember 9, 2022[268]27.927.816.43.32.92.619.2±3.1 pp0.1
Nanos ResearchDecember 2, 2022[269]29.225.818.22.82.7219.3±3.1 pp3.4
Nanos ResearchNovember 25, 2022[270]29.425.818.43.62.12.518.3±3.1 pp3.6

September 2022 – November 2022

Polling firm Last date

of polling

Link Justin Trudeau Pierre Poilievre Jagmeet Singh Yves-François Blanchet Amita Kuttner Maxime Bernier Unsure Margin
of error
[lower-alpha 3]
Lead
Nanos ResearchNovember 18, 2022[271]30.526.118.43.61.52.018.0±3.1 pp4.4
Nanos ResearchNovember 11, 2022[272]31.027.318.04.11.61.416.6±3.1 pp3.7
Nanos ResearchNovember 4, 2022[273]31.528.016.54.61.52.115.7±3.1 pp3.5
Nanos ResearchOctober 28, 2022[274]30.728.915.14.81.63.015.9±3.1 pp1.8
Research Co.October 26, 2022[136]30241741221±3.1 pp4
Nanos ResearchOctober 21, 2022[275]29.530.016.25.21.23.015.0±3.1 pp0.5
Nanos ResearchOctober 14, 2022[276]29.830.014.93.70.72.718.1±3.1 pp0.2
Nanos ResearchOctober 7, 2022[277]29.027.019.43.21.12.617.7±3.1 pp2.0
Nanos ResearchSeptember 30, 2022[278]28.224.820.82.91.12.619.6±3.1 pp3.4
Nanos ResearchSeptember 23, 2022[279]29.220.919.62.51.63.222.9±3.1 pp8.3
IpsosSeptember 20, 2022[280]3135268N/AN/AN/AN/A4
LegerSeptember 18, 2022[146]242117N/A13N/AN/A3
Nanos ResearchSeptember 16, 2022[281]27.418.420.92.91.63.125.8±3.0 pp6.5

February 2022 – September 2022

Polling firm Last date

of polling

Link Justin Trudeau Candice Bergen Jagmeet Singh Yves-François Blanchet Amita Kuttner Maxime Bernier Unsure Margin
of error
[lower-alpha 3]
Lead
Nanos ResearchSeptember 9, 2022[282]29.619.317.43.31.43.225.8±3.0 pp10.3
Nanos ResearchSeptember 2, 2022[283]31.118.816.93.11.43.325.4±2.9 pp12.3
Nanos ResearchAugust 26, 2022[284]31.118.117.03.51.63.225.6±2.9 pp13.0
Nanos ResearchAugust 19, 2022[285]30.119.217.13.62.23.424.4±2.9 pp10.9
Nanos ResearchAugust 12, 2022[286]28.717.818.12.92.53.526.6±2.9 pp10.6
Nanos ResearchAugust 5, 2022[287]26.718.219.03.63.03.326.2±3.0 pp7.7
Nanos ResearchJuly 29, 2022[288]27.817.618.93.62.52.726.9±3.0 pp8.9
Nanos ResearchJuly 22, 2022[289]27.316.618.83.72.32.728.7±3.0 pp8.5
Nanos ResearchJuly 15, 2022[290]28.117.718.94.02.32.626.4±3.0 pp9.2
Nanos ResearchJuly 8, 2022[291]29.918.117.53.22.12.426.5±3.0 pp11.8
Nanos ResearchJuly 1, 2022[292]30.119.517.23.01.62.725.4±3.0 pp10.6
Nanos ResearchJune 24, 2022[293]31.018.516.92.91.73.825.3±3.0 pp12.5
Nanos ResearchJune 17, 2022[294]29.818.216.92.91.84.625.8±3.0 pp11.6
Nanos ResearchJune 10, 2022[295]29.819.316.03.72.14.824.3±3.1 pp10.5
Nanos ResearchJune 3, 2022[296]28.819.916.24.41.64.724.5±3.0 pp8.9
Nanos ResearchMay 27, 2022[297]30.720.616.54.51.63.922.2±3.0 pp10.1
Nanos ResearchMay 20, 2022[298]31.120.516.64.81.73.521.7±3.0 pp10.6
Nanos ResearchMay 13, 2022[299]31.920.317.44.41.52.821.7±3.1 pp11.6
Nanos ResearchMay 6, 2022[300]30.820.318.53.71.52.622.6±3.1 pp10.5
Nanos ResearchApril 29, 2022[301]29.721.516.84.41.63.222.9±3.1 pp8.2
Nanos ResearchApril 22, 2022[302]29.720.417.34.71.13.423.3±3.1 pp9.3
Nanos ResearchApril 15, 2022[303]29.719.117.44.91.44.223.2±3.1 pp10.6
Nanos ResearchApril 8, 2022[304]31.818.517.14.21.95.221.3±3.1 pp13.3
Nanos ResearchApril 1, 2022[305]30.016.919.04.11.84.823.3±3.1 pp11.0
Nanos ResearchMarch 25, 2022[306]30.417.119.53.31.94.523.2±3.1 pp10.9
Nanos ResearchMarch 18, 2022[307]30.018.519.33.11.24.723.2±3.1 pp10.7
Nanos ResearchMarch 11, 2022[308]31.017.219.13.51.15.622.4±3.1 pp11.9
Nanos ResearchMarch 4, 2022[309]30.618.017.53.21.16.123.4±3.1 pp12.6
Nanos ResearchFebruary 25, 2022[310]29.919.217.13.31.27.322.0±3.1 pp10.7
Nanos ResearchFebruary 18, 2022[311]28.619.216.73.41.58.022.5±3.1 pp9.4

Government approval polls

Polling firm Last date of polling[lower-alpha 1] Link Approve Disapprove Unsure/
Neither
Margin
of error[lower-alpha 3]
Sample
size[lower-alpha 4]
Polling method[lower-alpha 5] Net
approval
Abacus DataJanuary 9, 2024[312]26%58%16%±2.6 pp1,500Online–32%
LegerDecember 17, 2023[6]33%61%5%±2.43 pp1,622Online–28%
Abacus DataDecember 12, 2023[313]28%56%16%±2.3 pp1,919Online–28%
Abacus DataNovember 28, 2023[314]27%57%16%±2.0 pp2,417Online–30%
LegerNovember 26, 2023[18]29%64%6%±2.51 pp1,529Online–35%
LegerNovember 12, 2023[315]30%63%7%±2.44 pp1,612Online–33%
Abacus DataNovember 12, 2023[316]26%58%16%±2.3 pp2,000Online–32%
LegerOctober 29, 2023[30]30%63%5%±2.4 pp1,632Online–33%
LegerSeptember 27, 2023[41]33%60%5%±2.4 pp1,652Online–27%
Abacus DataSeptember 12, 2023[46]29%57%14%±2.1 pp2,125Online–28%
Abacus DataSeptember 4, 2023[51]31%53%16%±1.7 pp3,595Online–22%
Abacus DataAugust 7, 2023[317]31%54%15%±2.0 pp1,650Online–23%
Abacus DataJuly 25, 2023[64]32%51%17%±2.0 pp2,486Online–19%
Abacus DataMay 3, 2023[88]34%49%17%±2.4 pp1,750Online–15%
Abacus DataMarch 21, 2023[98]33%49%18%±2.3 pp1,963Online–16%
Abacus DataMarch 4, 2023[106]35%49%16%±2.0 pp2,600Online–14%
Abacus DataFebruary 18, 2023[109]34%48%18%±1.6 pp4,000Online–14%
Abacus DataJanuary 30, 2023[114]34%49%17%±2.6 pp1,500Online–15%
Abacus DataJanuary 16, 2023[119]34%47%19%±2.2 pp2,099Online–13%
Abacus DataOctober 26, 2022[137]35%47%18%±2.1 pp1,500Online–12%
IpsosSeptember 21, 2022[145]42%58%±3.5 pp1,000Online–16%
Abacus DataSeptember 14, 2022[153]37%49%14%±2.2 pp1,990Online–12%
Abacus DataAugust 30, 2022[153]36%49%15%±2.6 pp1,500Online–13%
Abacus DataJuly 27, 2022[153]34%51%15%±2.0 pp2,400Online–17%
Abacus DataJuly 17, 2022[155]38%46%16%±2.6 pp1,500Online–8%
Abacus DataJune 23, 2022[155]38%45%17%±1.8 pp3,026Online–7%
Abacus DataMay 24, 2022[162]40%43%17%±2.6 pp1,500Online–3%
Abacus DataMay 6, 2022[165]41%42%17%±2.6 pp1,500Online–1%
Abacus DataApril 9, 2022[169]41%44%15%±2.1 pp2,000Online–3%
Abacus DataMarch 25, 2022[171]40%42%18%±2.6 pp1,500Online–2%
Abacus DataFebruary 22, 2022[175]39%46%15%±1.4 pp5,200Online–7%
Abacus DataFebruary 8, 2022[179]38%45%16%±2.6 pp1,500Online–7%
IpsosJanuary 17, 2022[318]49%51%±3.5 pp1,001Online–2%
Abacus DataJanuary 12, 2022[188]44%40%16%±2.1 pp2,200Online+4%
Abacus DataNovember 30, 2021[194]41%44%15%±2.2 pp2,025Online–3%
IpsosNovember 15, 2021[319]48%52%±3.5 pp1,001Online–4%
Abacus DataOctober 20, 2021[201]42%43%16%±1.9 pp2,200Online–1%

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 Polls that share the same last date of polling are ordered from earliest (below) to latest (above) first date of polling. Polls that have identical field dates are placed in the order in which they were released/published (earliest below, latest above).
  2. Support for other parties may include the People's Party of Canada depending on the poll.
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the former is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls (because of their opt-in method of recruiting panelists which results in a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Refers to the total, "raw" sample size, including undecided and non-voters, and before demographic weighting is applied. Fractions in parentheses apply to rolling polls (see below) and indicate the proportion of the sample that is independent from the previous poll in the series.
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey. "Rolling" polls contain overlapping data from one poll to the next.

References

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