In the run-up to the next German federal election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Germany. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.

Poll results

Graphical summary

Local regression of polls conducted

2024

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW BSW Others Lead
INSA 12–15 Jan 2024 2,004 – 14 31 12 5 23 4 3 – 8 8
Forsa 9–15 Jan 2024 2,504 – 13 31 14 4 22 4 3 – 9 9
INSA 11–12 Jan 2024 1,002 – 14 27 12 4 18 3 3 14 5 9
INSA 8–12 Jan 2024 1,202 – 15 30 12 5 22 4 3 – 9 8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–11 Jan 2024 1,337 21 13 31 14 4 22 4 4 4 4 9
INSA 5–8 Jan 2024 2,008 – 16 32 12 5 23 4 3 – 5 9
YouGov 3–8 Jan 2024 2,007 – 15 29 12 6 24 5 2 – 7 5
Forsa 2–8 Jan 2024 2,502 – 15 30 14 4 22 4 3 – 8 8
Ipsos 5–7 Jan 2024 2,000 – 15 30 13 6 22 5 – – 9 8
INSA 2–5 Jan 2024 1,204 – 16 31 12 5 23 4 3 – 6 8
Wahlkreisprognose 2–4 Jan 2024 1,500 24 12 34 10.5 4.5 24.5 3 4 – 7.5 9.5
Infratest dimap 2–3 Jan 2024 1,321 – 14 31 13 5 22 4 3 – 8 9
INSA 29 Dec – 2 Jan 2024 2,002 – 15 32 13 5 22.5 4 3 – 5.5 9.5
GMS 27 Dec – 2 Jan 2024 1,004 – 14 33 13 6 23 3 3 – 5 10
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 23.4 25.7 24.1 14.8 11.5 10.3 4.9 2.4 – 6.3 1.6

2023

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW Others Lead
INSA 28–29 Dec 2023 1,001 – 15 32 12 5 23 4 3 6 9
INSA 22–27 Dec 2023 2,000 – 15 32 12 5 23 4 3 6 9
Forsa 19–22 Dec 2023 – – 14 31 14 5 22 3 – 11 9
INSA 18–22 Dec 2023 1,202 – 15 32 12 5 22 4 3 7 10
Infratest dimap 18–20 Dec 2023 1,210 – 14 32 14 5 21 3 4 7 11
Verian 13–19 Dec 2023 1,421 – 15 31 15 4 21 4 – 10 10
INSA 15–18 Dec 2023 2,002 – 15.5 31.5 12.5 5 23 4 2.5 6 8.5
Forsa 12–18 Dec 2023 2,501 26 14 31 13 5 23 3 – 11 8
INSA 11–15 Dec 2023 1,202 – 15 32 12 5 23 4 2 7 9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–14 Dec 2023 1,146 21 14 32 14 5 22 4 3 6 10
Allensbach 1–14 Dec 2023 1,013 – 17 34 15 5 18 3.5 3 4.5 16
Verian 6–12 Dec 2023 1,515 – 15 30 16 5 20 4 – 10 10
INSA 8–11 Dec 2023 2,008 – 16 30 12.5 6 22.5 4 3 6 7.5
GMS 6–11 Dec 2023 1,001 – 14 32 15 5 22 2 3 7 10
Forsa 5–11 Dec 2023 2,501 27 14 31 13 5 22 4 – 11 9
INSA 4–8 Dec 2023 1,203 – 16 30 12 6 22 4 3 7 8
Infratest dimap 4–6 Dec 2023 1,364 – 14 32 15 4 21 3 3 8 11
YouGov 1–6 Dec 2023 1,669 – 14 30 14 6 23 4 2 7 7
Verian 29 Nov – 5 Dec 2023 1,402 – 14 30 17 4 20 4 – 11 10
INSA 1–4 Dec 2023 2,006 – 15.5 29.5 13 6 22.5 3.5 3 7 7
Forsa 28 Nov – 4 Dec 2023 2,501 – 14 30 14 5 22 4 – 11 8
Ipsos 1–3 Dec 2023 2,000 – 16 29 13 6 21 5 – 10 8
INSA 27 Nov – 1 Dec 2023 1,202 – 16 30 13 6 22 3 3 7 8
Verian 20–28 Nov 2023 1,806 – 17 29 16 5 19 4 – 10 10
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 2023 1,200 25 15 31 13 5 26 3.5 – 6.5 5
INSA 24–27 Nov 2023 2,007 – 15.5 30.5 12.5 6 22 4 3 6.5 8.5
Forsa 21–27 Nov 2023 2,500 25 14 30 15 5 21 4 – 11 9
INSA 20–24 Nov 2023 1,202 – 16 30 12 6 22 4 3 7 8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 21–23 Nov 2023 1,242 22 15 31 15 5 22 4 – 8 9
Verian 14–21 Nov 2023 1,452 – 16 29 17 5 20 4 – 9 9
INSA 17–20 Nov 2023 2,003 – 16.5 30 13 5.5 21 4.5 3 6.5 9
Forsa 14–20 Nov 2023 2,501 26 15 30 14 5 21 3 3 9 9
INSA 13–17 Nov 2023 1,201 – 16 30 13 6 21 4 3 7 9
Allensbach 1–16 Nov 2023 1,047 – 17 32 13.5 6 19 3.5 4 5 13
Verian 8–14 Nov 2023 1,421 – 16 28 16 6 20 4 – 10 8
INSA 10–13 Nov 2023 2,008 – 16.5 30.5 13.5 5 21.5 4.5 3 5.5 9
Forsa 7–13 Nov 2023 2,504 – 14 30 14 5 21 4 3 9 9
INSA 6–10 Nov 2023 1,204 – 17 30 14 5 21 4 3 6 9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 7–9 Nov 2023 1,234 21 16 30 15 5 21 4 3 6 9
Infratest dimap 7–8 Nov 2023 1,195 – 15 30 15 5 21 4 3 7 9
YouGov 3–7 Nov 2023 1,732 – 15 29 15 5 22 5 2 7 7
Kantar 1–7 Nov 2023 1,443 – 16 28 16 6 20 4 3 7 8
INSA 3–6 Nov 2023 2,006 – 16.5 29.5 13.5 5.5 22 4.5 3 5.5 7.5
Forsa 31 Oct – 6 Nov 2023 2,502 – 15 29 14 5 21 4 3 9 8
Ipsos 3–5 Nov 2023 2,000 – 17 28 15 6 20 5 – 9 8
INSA 30 Oct – 3 Nov 2023 1,204 – 16 30 13 6 22 4 3 6 8
Infratest dimap 30 Oct – 1 Nov 2023 1,314 – 16 30 14 4 22 5 3 6 8
Kantar 25–31 Oct 2023 1,418 – 17 27 16 5 21 4 – 10 6
INSA 27–30 Oct 2023 2,010 – 16.5 30.5 13 5.5 21 4 3.5 6 9.5
Forsa 24–30 Oct 2023 2,501 26 15 29 14 5 22 3 3 9 7
INSA 23–27 Oct 2023 1,216 – 16 31 13 6 21 4 3 6 10
Wahlkreisprognose 23–25 Oct 2023 1,300 24 14.5 30 14 6 22 4 – 9.5 8
Kantar 18–24 Oct 2023 1,422 – 16 28 16 5 20 5 – 10 8
INSA 20–23 Oct 2023 2,004 – 16.5 28.5 13 5.5 22 5 3.5 6 6.5
Forsa 17–23 Oct 2023 2,504 – 14 31 14 5 21 4 3 8 10
INSA 16–20 Oct 2023 1,202 – 16 29 13 5 22 5 4 6 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 17–19 Oct 2023 1,252 21 15 30 14 5 21 5 3 7 9
Allensbach 6–19 Oct 2023 1,010 – 17 34 13 5 19 3 4 5 15
Kantar 11–17 Oct 2023 1,388 – 14 31 15 5 21 4 3 7 10
INSA 13–16 Oct 2023 2,006 – 16.5 28 13 6 23 4.5 4 5 5
Forsa 10–16 Oct 2023 2,501 22 14 32 14 4 21 4 3 8 11
INSA 9–13 Oct 2023 1,202 – 17 28 13 6 23 5 4 4 5
Infratest dimap 10–11 Oct 2023 1,203 – 15 29 13 5 23 4 4 5 6
YouGov 6–10 Oct 2023 1,842 – 16 29 15 5 21 6 2 5 8
Kantar 4–10 Oct 2023 1,386 – 16 27 15 6 22 5 3 6 5
INSA 6–9 Oct 2023 2,001 – 17 27 13.5 6 22.5 5 3 6 4.5
Forsa 4–9 Oct 2023 2,003 – 18 28 14 6 20 4 – 10 8
Ipsos 6–8 Oct 2023 2,000 – 17 26 14 7 22 5 – 9 4
INSA 2–6 Oct 2023 1,201 – 17 27 14 6 22 5 3 6 5
INSA 29 Sep – 2 Oct 2023 2,010 – 18 26.5 13.5 7 22 5 2.5 5.5 4.5
Forsa 26–29 Sep 2023 2,004 25 18 28 14 5 20 4 – 11 8
INSA 25–29 Sep 2023 1,206 – 18 26 14 7 22 5 3 5 4
Kantar 26–28 Sep 2023 1,391 – 16 26 16 7 21 5 – 9 5
Infratest dimap 25–27 Sep 2023 1,302 – 16 28 14 6 22 4 3 7 6
Kantar 20–26 Sep 2023 1,356 – 16 27 15 7 21 5 – 9 6
Wahlkreisprognose 24–25 Sep 2023 1,200 24 18.5 24 15 6.5 23 3.5 – 9.5 1
INSA 22–25 Sep 2023 2,003 – 17.5 27 13.5 6.5 21.5 5 3 6 5.5
Forsa 19–25 Sep 2023 2,503 27 17 27 14 6 21 4 – 11 6
INSA 18–22 Sep 2023 1,203 – 17 27 14 6 22 5 3 6 5
Kantar 13–19 Sep 2023 1,370 – 17 27 15 7 21 4 – 9 6
INSA 15–18 Sep 2023 2,008 – 17 26.5 14.5 6 21 5 3.5 6.5 5.5
GMS 13–18 Sep 2023 1,002 – 16 27 15 6 23 4 – 9 4
Forsa 12–18 Sep 2023 2,504 27 17 27 14 6 22 4 – 10 5
INSA 11–15 Sep 2023 1,204 – 17 27 15 6 21 5 3 6 6
Allensbach 4–15 Sep 2023 1,030 – 18 30 14 7 19 5 – 7 11
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–14 Sep 2023 1,201 21 17 26 16 6 21 5 3 6 5
Infratest dimap 12–13 Sep 2023 1,222 – 16 28 15 7 22 4 – 8 6
Kantar 6–12 Sep 2023 1,442 – 16 26 15 7 22 5 – 9 4
INSA 8–11 Sep 2023 2,002 – 18 26.5 14 7 22 4.5 – 8 4.5
Forsa 5–11 Sep 2023 2,505 28 17 27 13 7 21 4 – 11 6
INSA 4–8 Sep 2023 1,201 – 18 27 13 7 22 5 – 8 5
YouGov 1–6 Sep 2023 1,833 – 16 29 14 5 23 5 1 8 6
Kantar 30 Aug – 5 Sep 2023 1,441 – 17 26 15 6 21 5 – 10 5
INSA 1–4 Sep 2023 2,010 – 17.5 26.5 13.5 7.5 21.5 4.5 – 9 5
Forsa 29 Aug – 4 Sep 2023 2,506 – 16 27 14 7 21 4 – 11 6
Ipsos 1–3 Sep 2023 2,000 – 17 26 14 8 21 6 – 8 5
INSA 28 Aug – 1 Sep 2023 1,195 – 18 27 13 7 21 5 – 9 6
Infratest dimap 28–30 Aug 2023 1,310 – 16 29 14 6 22 4 – 9 7
Kantar 23–29 Aug 2023 1,330 – 18 25 15 7 20 5 – 10 5
INSA 25–28 Aug 2023 2,006 – 18 26.5 14.5 7 21 4.5 – 8.5 5.5
Forsa 22–28 Aug 2023 2,504 29 17 26 14 7 21 4 – 11 5
Wahlkreisprognose 22–27 Aug 2023 1,200 26 20.5 25 13 7.5 22 4 – 8 3
INSA 21–25 Aug 2023 1,285 – 18 27 14 7 21 5 – 8 6
Kantar 16–22 Aug 2023 1,426 – 18 26 14 7 20 5 – 10 6
INSA 18–21 Aug 2023 2,008 – 18.5 26.5 14 8 20.5 5 – 7.5 6
Forsa 15–21 Aug 2023 2,506 29 18 26 14 7 20 4 – 11 6
INSA 14–18 Aug 2023 1,203 – 18 27 14 8 21 5 – 7 6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 15–17 Aug 2023 1,288 26 19 26 15 7 20 5 – 8 6
Infratest dimap 15–16 Aug 2023 1,216 – 17 27 14 7 21 4 – 10 6
Allensbach 4–16 Aug 2023 1,026 – 19 29 14 7 19 5 – 7 10
Kantar 9–15 Aug 2023 1,426 – 18 26 15 7 19 5 – 10 7
INSA 11–14 Aug 2023 2,002 – 19.5 26 13.5 7 21 4.5 – 8.5 5
Forsa 8–14 Aug 2023 2,501 28 17 25 15 7 21 4 – 11 4
INSA 7–11 Aug 2023 1,200 – 20 26 13 7 21 5 – 8 5
GMS 2–9 Aug 2023 1,004 – 17 27 14 7 21 4 – 10 6
Kantar 2–8 Aug 2023 1,330 – 19 27 16 6 18 6 – 8 8
INSA 4–7 Aug 2023 2,004 – 19 27 14.5 7.5 20.5 4.5 – 7 6.5
Forsa 1–7 Aug 2023 2,502 28 17 25 15 7 21 4 – 11 4
Ipsos 4–6 Aug 2023 1,000 – 17 26 15 8 22 5 – 7 4
INSA 31 Jul – 4 Aug 2023 1,203 – 19 27 14 7 21 5 – 7 6
Infratest dimap 31 Jul – 2 Aug 2023 1,297 – 17 27 15 7 21 4 – 9 6
Kantar 26 Jul – 1 Aug 2023 1,310 – 19 27 16 6 19 5 – 8 8
YouGov 25 Jul – 2 Aug 2023 1,756 – 17 27 14 5 23 6 1 7 4
INSA 28–31 Jul 2023 2,003 – 18.5 26.5 14 6.5 21.5 5 – 8 5
Forsa 25–31 Jul 2023 2,500 28 17 25 15 6 21 5 – 11 4
INSA 24–28 Jul 2023 1,200 – 18 26 14 7 22 5 – 8 4
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 2023 1,525 23 20.5 25 13 7 20.5 4.5 3 6.5 4.5
Kantar 19–25 Jul 2023 1,402 – 18 27 16 6 20 5 – 8 7
INSA 21–24 Jul 2023 2,006 – 18.5 26.5 14 7.5 21.5 4.5 – 7.5 5
Forsa 18–24 Jul 2023 2,504 28 18 27 14 6 19 5 – 11 8
INSA 17–21 Jul 2023 1,266 – 18 26 14 7 22 5 – 8 4
Infratest dimap 18–19 Jul 2023 1,235 – 18 28 13 7 20 4 – 10 8
Allensbach 7–19 Jul 2023 1,011 – 19 29 16 7 18 4 – 7 10
Kantar 12–18 Jul 2023 1,403 – 18 26 16 7 20 5 – 8 6
INSA 14–17 Jul 2023 2,004 – 18 27 14 7 20.5 5 – 8.5 6.5
Forsa 11–17 Jul 2023 2,502 26 18 26 15 7 20 4 – 10 6
INSA 10–14 Jul 2023 1,184 – 18 27 14 7 20 5 – 9 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 11–13 Jul 2023 1,347 27 17 27 16 7 20 4 – 9 7
Kantar 5–11 Jul 2023 1,393 – 19 26 15 7 20 5 – 8 6
INSA 7–10 Jul 2023 2,008 – 19 26 14 7 20.5 5 – 8.5 5.5
Ipsos 7–9 Jul 2023 1,000 – 18 26 14 7 22 5 – 8 4
Forsa 4–7 Jul 2023 2,003 25 18 27 14 7 19 5 – 10 8
INSA 3–7 Jul 2023 1,204 – 19 27 13 7 20 5 – 9 7
Infratest dimap 3–5 Jul 2023 1,305 – 18 28 14 7 20 4 – 9 8
YouGov 30 Jun – 4 Jul 2023 1,694 – 18 27 14 6 21 6 1 6 6
Kantar 28 Jun – 4 Jul 2023 1,403 – 18 27 15 6 20 5 – 9 7
INSA 30 Jun – 3 Jul 2023 2,897 – 19 25.5 14.5 6.5 21 5 – 8.5 4.5
GMS 28 Jun – 3 Jul 2023 1,005 – 17 28 14 7 20 4 – 10 8
Forsa 27 Jun – 3 Jul 2023 2,501 25 18 27 15 6 19 5 – 10 8
INSA 26–30 Jun 2023 1,401 – 19 26 14 7 20 5 – 9 6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 27–29 Jun 2023 1,379 24 18 28 16 6 19 5 – 8 9
Kantar 20–27 Jun 2023 1,408 – 18 26 15 7 19 5 – 10 7
INSA 23–26 Jun 2023 2,004 – 19.5 26.5 13.5 6.5 20.5 4.5 – 9 6
Forsa 20–26 Jun 2023 2,506 25 18 27 15 7 19 4 – 10 8
Wahlkreisprognose 22–25 Jun 2023 1,399 25 21 24 14.5 6 21 4.5 – 9 3
INSA 19–23 Jun 2023 1,203 – 20 26 13 7 20 4 – 10 6
Allensbach 9–22 Jun 2023 1,039 – 19 31 15 8 17 4 – 6 12
Infratest dimap 20–21 Jun 2023 1,191 – 17 29 15 6 19 4 – 10 10
Kantar 14–20 Jun 2023 1,406 – 19 27 15 7 20 4 – 8 7
INSA 16–19 Jun 2023 2,006 – 20 26.5 13.5 7.5 20 4.5 – 8 6.5
Forsa 13–19 Jun 2023 2,503 25 18 27 15 7 19 4 – 10 8
INSA 12–16 Jun 2023 1,203 – 20 27 13 8 19 4 – 9 7
Civey 9–16 Jun 2023 10,031 – 19 25 16 7 20 5 – 8 5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 13–15 Jun 2023 1,224 21 19 28 16 6 18 5 – 8 9
Kantar 6–13 Jun 2023 1,387 – 20 27 15 6 19 5 – 8 7
INSA 9–12 Jun 2023 2,003 – 20 27 13 8 19.5 4.5 – 8 7
Forsa 6–12 Jun 2023 2,504 24 18 29 14 7 19 4 – 9 10
INSA 5–9 Jun 2023 1,201 – 20 27 13 8 19 5 – 8 7
YouGov 2–7 Jun 2023 1,628 – 19 28 13 5 20 6 1 7 8
Kantar 31 May – 6 Jun 2023 1,402 – 20 27 15 7 18 5 – 8 7
INSA 2–5 Jun 2023 2,009 – 19 26.5 13.5 9 19 5 – 8 7.5
GMS 31 May – 5 Jun 2023 1,001 – 18 29 15 7 19 4 – 8 10
Forsa 30 May – 5 Jun 2023 2,505 23 18 30 14 7 17 4 – 10 12
Ipsos 2–4 Jun 2023 1,000 – 20 28 13 8 19 6 – 6 8
Wahlkreisprognose 1–2 Jun 2023 1,100 24 21 27 13 8 19 4 – 8 6
INSA 30 May – 2 Jun 2023 1,205 – 19 27 13 9 19 5 – 8 8
Infratest dimap 30–31 May 2023 1,302 – 18 29 15 7 18 4 – 9 11
INSA 26–30 May 2023 2,004 – 20.5 28 13 8.5 18 4.5 – 7.5 7.5
Kantar 23–30 May 2023 1,379 – 20 27 15 8 17 5 – 8 7
Forsa 23–26 May 2023 2,001 23 18 29 14 7 17 5 – 10 11
INSA 22–26 May 2023 1,207 – 20 28 13 9 18 4 – 8 8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 23–25 May 2023 1,257 24 20 28 16 6 17 5 – 8 8
Kantar 16–23 May 2023 1,321 – 18 29 15 8 16 5 – 9 11
INSA 19–22 May 2023 2,004 – 20.5 27.5 14 8.5 17 5 – 7.5 7
Forsa 16–22 May 2023 2,003 – 18 30 14 7 16 5 – 10 12
INSA 15–19 May 2023 1,195 – 21 28 14 8 17 5 – 7 7
Kantar 9–16 May 2023 1,401 – 18 28 16 8 16 5 – 9 10
INSA 12–15 May 2023 2,010 – 20 28 14.5 8.5 16.5 5 – 7.5 8
Forsa 9–15 May 2023 2,503 25 17 30 15 8 16 4 – 10 13
INSA 8–12 May 2023 1,205 – 20 28 15 9 16 4 – 8 8
Infratest dimap 9–10 May 2023 1,220 – 18 28 16 8 16 5 – 9 10
Allensbach 28 Apr – 10 May 2023 1,001 – 18 32 16 8 15 5 – 6 14
YouGov 5–9 May 2023 1,700 – 16 31 16 5 17 6 2 7 14
Kantar 3–9 May 2023 1,405 – 18 29 17 8 16 5 – 7 11
INSA 5–8 May 2023 2,008 – 20 28 14 9 16.5 4.5 – 8 8
Forsa 2–8 May 2023 2,505 – 18 29 16 7 16 4 – 10 11
Ipsos 5–7 May 2023 1,000 – 19 29 15 8 16 5 – 8 10
INSA 2–5 May 2023 1,204 – 20 28 14 9 16 4 – 9 8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 2–4 May 2023 1,225 28 19 30 17 6 15 5 – 8 11
Infratest dimap 2–3 May 2023 1,360 – 17 30 16 7 16 5 – 9 13
INSA 28 Apr – 2 May 2023 2,006 – 21 27 15 8 16.5 4.5 – 8 6
Kantar 26 Apr – 2 May 2023 1,394 – 17 31 16 8 16 4 – 8 14
Wahlkreisprognose 26–30 Apr 2023 1,400 24 21 27.5 14 10.5 15 3.5 – 8.5 6.5
Forsa 25–28 Apr 2023 2,007 – 17 30 16 7 16 4 – 10 13
INSA 24–28 Apr 2023 1,202 – 21 28 14 8 16 5 – 8 7
Kantar 18–25 Apr 2023 1,426 – 18 30 16 7 16 5 – 8 12
INSA 21–24 Apr 2023 2,004 – 20 27.5 14.5 9 16 4.5 – 8.5 7.5
Forsa 18–24 Apr 2023 2,506 23 18 30 16 7 15 4 – 10 12
INSA 17–21 Apr 2023 1,202 – 20 28 15 9 16 4 – 8 8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 18–20 Apr 2023 1,266 24 18 31 18 6 15 4 – 8 13
Kantar 12–18 Apr 2023 1,407 – 19 29 17 7 15 4 – 9 10
Allensbach 3–18 Apr 2023 1,007 – 20 31 15 7.5 16 5 – 5.5 11
INSA 14–17 Apr 2023 2,008 – 21 27.5 15 8 16 4.5 – 8 6.5
Forsa 11–17 Apr 2023 2,508 24 18 29 17 7 15 4 – 10 11
INSA 11–14 Apr 2023 1,204 – 21 27 15 8 16 5 – 8 6
Infratest dimap 11–12 Apr 2023 1,204 – 19 29 17 7 15 4 – 9 10
INSA 6–11 Apr 2023 2,005 – 20 27.5 15.5 8 16 4.5 – 8.5 7.5
Kantar 5–11 Apr 2023 1,367 – 21 27 17 8 14 5 – 8 6
Forsa 4–6 Apr 2023 1,501 25 18 30 18 7 14 4 – 10 12
INSA 3–6 Apr 2023 1,204 – 20 28 16 8 16 4 – 8 8
Infratest dimap 3–5 Apr 2023 1,304 – 18 30 17 7 15 4 – 9 12
Ipsos 3–4 Apr 2023 1,000 – 21 27 17 8 15 4 – 8 6
YouGov 30 Mar – 4 Apr 2023 1,522 – 20 30 15 6 17 6 1 6 10
Kantar 29 Mar – 4 Apr 2023 1,269 – 20 27 18 8 14 5 – 8 7
INSA 31 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 2,007 – 20 28 15.5 7.5 16 4.5 – 8.5 8
GMS 29 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 1,007 – 19 31 17 6 15 4 – 8 12
Forsa 28 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 2,502 25 18 29 18 7 14 4 – 10 11
INSA 27–31 Mar 2023 1,200 – 21 27 16 8 16 4 – 8 6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 28–30 Mar 2023 1,379 25 19 30 17 7 15 5 – 7 11
Kantar 21–28 Mar 2023 1,387 – 18 28 19 7 15 4 – 9 10
INSA 24–27 Mar 2023 2,004 – 20.5 28 16 8 15.5 4 – 8 7.5
Forsa 21–27 Mar 2023 2,506 24 19 29 18 6 14 4 – 10 10
Wahlkreisprognose 23–26 Mar 2023 1,200 23 23 26.5 15 7.5 13.5 4 – 10.5 3.5
INSA 20–24 Mar 2023 1,203 – 21 28 16 8 15 4 – 8 7
Kantar 14–21 Mar 2023 1,504 – 18 28 18 7 15 5 – 9 10
INSA 17–20 Mar 2023 2,006 – 21.5 28 15 7.5 16 5 – 7 6.5
Forsa 14–20 Mar 2023 2,503 23 19 29 18 6 14 5 – 9 10
INSA 13–17 Mar 2023 1,202 – 21 28 15 8 16 5 – 7 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 14–16 Mar 2023 1,146 24 21 29 19 5 14 5 – 7 8
Infratest dimap 14–15 Mar 2023 1,215 – 18 30 16 7 15 5 – 9 12
Allensbach 2–15 Mar 2023 1,101 – 21 31 16 6.5 15 4.5 – 6 10
Kantar 8–14 Mar 2023 1,432 – 19 28 18 7 15 5 – 8 9
INSA 10–13 Mar 2023 2,002 – 21.5 28.5 15.5 7.5 16 4 – 7 7
Forsa 7–13 Mar 2023 2,505 22 20 29 17 6 14 5 – 9 9
INSA 6–10 Mar 2023 1,268 – 21 29 16 7 15 4 – 8 8
YouGov 3–7 Mar 2023 1,649 – 20 28 16 6 17 7 1 6 8
Kantar 1–7 Mar 2023 1,504 – 19 29 19 7 13 5 – 8 10
INSA 3–6 Mar 2023 2,007 – 20 29.5 15.5 7.5 15.5 5 – 7 9.5
Forsa 28 Feb – 6 Mar 2023 2,504 – 20 31 17 5 13 5 – 9 11
Ipsos 3–4 Mar 2023 1,000 – 20 27 18 7 15 5 – 8 7
INSA 27 Feb – 3 Mar 2023 1,203 – 20 30 16 7 15 5 – 7 10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 28 Feb – 2 Mar 2023 1,165 24 21 29 18 5 15 5 – 7 8
Infratest dimap 27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023 1,311 – 18 31 17 6 14 5 – 9 13
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023 1,419 25 23.5 32 15.5 5 14 3 – 7 8.5
Kantar 21–28 Feb 2023 1,722 – 20 28 18 6 14 6 – 8 8
INSA 24–27 Feb 2023 2,010 – 20.5 29.5 15.5 7.5 15.5 4.5 – 7 9
Forsa 21–27 Feb 2023 2,501 22 20 31 17 5 13 5 – 9 11
INSA 20–24 Feb 2023 1,200 – 21 29 16 7 15 5 – 7 8
Kantar 14–21 Feb 2023 1,373 – 21 29 17 6 15 5 – 7 8
INSA 17–20 Feb 2023 2,006 – 21.5 29 15.5 7 15.5 5 – 6.5 7.5
GMS 15–20 Feb 2023 1,004 – 19 29 17 7 15 5 – 8 10
Forsa 14–20 Feb 2023 2,510 – 19 31 17 6 13 5 – 9 12
INSA 13–17 Feb 2023 1,207 – 21 29 16 7 16 5 – 6 8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 14–16 Feb 2023 1,361 25 20 30 19 5 14 5 – 7 10
Infratest dimap 14–15 Feb 2023 1,216 – 19 29 17 6 15 5 – 9 10
Kantar 8–14 Feb 2023 1,386 – 21 26 18 7 15 5 – 8 5
INSA 10–13 Feb 2023 2,005 – 20 28 16 7.5 16 5 – 7.5 8
Forsa 7–13 Feb 2023 2,505 23 21 28 18 6 13 5 – 9 7
INSA 6–10 Feb 2023 1,457 – 20 28 16 8 16 5 – 7 8
YouGov 3–9 Feb 2023 1,736 – 19 27 16 6 17 6 2 7 8
Allensbach 27 Jan – 9 Feb 2023 1,088 – 22.5 30 16 7.5 14 4 – 6 7.5
Kantar 31 Jan – 7 Feb 2023 1,410 – 21 25 19 7 15 5 – 8 4
INSA 3–6 Feb 2023 2,008 – 21 27 16 8 15.5 5 – 7.5 6
Forsa 31 Jan – 6 Feb 2023 2,502 24 21 28 18 7 13 5 – 8 7
Ipsos 3 Feb 2023 1,000 – 20 26 17 8 16 5 – 8 6
INSA 30 Jan – 3 Feb 2023 1,462 – 21 28 16 8 15 5 – 7 7
Infratest dimap 30 Jan – 1 Feb 2023 1,328 – 20 27 18 7 15 4 – 9 7
Kantar 25–31 Jan 2023 1,405 – 21 25 19 7 15 5 – 8 4
INSA 27–30 Jan 2023 2,007 – 20.5 28.5 16 7.5 15 5 – 7.5 8
Forsa 24–30 Jan 2023 2,503 – 20 27 19 7 13 5 – 9 7
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jan 2023 1,421 26 24 24 18 6.5 14.5 3.5 – 9.5 Tie
INSA 24–27 Jan 2023 1,506 – 20 29 16 7 15 5 – 8 9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 24–26 Jan 2023 1,345 26 21 27 19 6 15 6 – 6 6
Kantar 18–24 Jan 2023 1,392 – 21 27 19 7 14 5 – 7 6
INSA 20–23 Jan 2023 2,009 – 20.5 28 16.5 7.5 15 4.5 – 8 7.5
Forsa 17–23 Jan 2023 2,502 23 19 28 20 7 12 5 – 9 8
INSA 16–21 Jan 2023 1,504 – 20 28 16 7 15 5 – 9 8
Infratest dimap 17–18 Jan 2023 1,211 – 19 29 19 6 14 4 – 9 10
Allensbach 5–18 Jan 2023 1,023 – 21 31 17 6 14 4.5 – 6.5 10
Kantar 11–17 Jan 2023 1,418 – 20 27 20 6 14 5 – 8 7
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 Jan 2023 1,500 – 21.5 24.5 17 8 16.5 3.5 – 9 3
INSA 13–16 Jan 2023 2,006 – 21 28 16.5 7.5 15 5 – 7 7
Forsa 10–16 Jan 2023 2,500 24 18 28 20 7 13 5 – 9 8
INSA 9–13 Jan 2023 1,202 – 20 27 17 8 15 5 – 8 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 10–12 Jan 2023 1,259 26 20 27 21 6 14 6 – 6 6
Civey 5–12 Jan 2023 10,065 – 18 28 20 7 14 5 – 8 8
Ipsos 9–10 Jan 2023 1,000 – 19 27 18 7 15 6 – 8 8
YouGov 6–10 Jan 2023 1,561 – 18 27 17 8 16 6 1 6 9
Kantar 4–10 Jan 2023 1,398 – 19 28 18 7 14 4 – 10 9
INSA 6–9 Jan 2023 2,006 – 20 27 17.5 7.5 15 5 – 8 7
Forsa 3–9 Jan 2023 2,502 23 18 29 20 7 13 5 – 8 9
INSA 2–6 Jan 2023 1,465 – 20 27 18 7 15 5 – 8 7
Infratest dimap 2–4 Jan 2023 1,314 – 18 29 19 6 15 5 – 8 10
GMS 28 Dec – 3 Jan 2023 1,002 – 19 29 17 7 14 5 – 9 10
INSA 29 Dec – 2 Jan 2023 2,010 – 20 27 17.5 7.5 15 4.5 – 8.5 7
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 23.4 25.7 24.1 14.8 11.5 10.3 4.9 2.4 6.3 1.6

2022

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke Others Lead
INSA 27–29 Dec 2022 1,205 – 20 26 18 7 15 5 9 6
INSA 19–22 Dec 2022 1,203 – 21 27 17 8 14 5 8 6
YouGov 16–21 Dec 2022 1,608 – 19 30 17 7 14 5 9 11
INSA 16–19 Dec 2022 2,005 – 21 27.5 17.5 7.5 14.5 4.5 7.5 6.5
Forsa 13–19 Dec 2022 2,503 24 19 28 19 7 13 5 9 9
INSA 12–16 Dec 2022 1,501 – 21 27 18 7 15 5 7 6
Kantar 13–15 Dec 2022 1,717 – 19 29 18 7 14 5 8 10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–15 Dec 2022 1,365 22 20 28 20 6 15 5 6 8
Allensbach 2–15 Dec 2022 1,035 – 22 30 18 7.5 12 4.5 6 8
INSA 9–12 Dec 2022 2,007 – 20 28.5 18 7 15.5 4.5 6.5 8.5
Kantar 7–12 Dec 2022 1,429 – 18 28 19 7 14 5 9 9
Forsa 6–12 Dec 2022 2,506 24 19 29 19 7 12 5 9 10
Wahlkreisprognose 7–9 Dec 2022 1,500 – 22.5 25 16.5 7 14.5 4 10.5 2.5
INSA 2–9 Dec 2022 1,502 – 20 28 18 7 15 4 8 8
Infratest dimap 6–7 Dec 2022 1,259 – 18 29 18 6 15 5 9 11
Kantar 30 Nov – 6 Dec 2022 1,443 – 19 27 19 6 15 5 9 8
INSA 3–5 Dec 2022 2,008 – 20.5 28 17 7 14.5 5 8 7.5
Forsa 29 Nov – 5 Dec 2022 2,500 25 19 29 19 7 12 5 9 10
Ipsos 2–3 Dec 2022 1,000 – 19 27 19 7 14 6 8 8
INSA 28 Nov – 2 Dec 2022 1,502 – 20 28 17 7 15 5 8 8
Civey 25 Nov – 2 Dec 2022 10,016 – 19 28 21 7 13 4 8 7
GMS 28 Nov – 1 Dec 2022 1,005 – 18 28 21 7 12 4 10 7
Infratest dimap 28–30 Nov 2022 1,318 – 18 30 18 5 15 5 9 12
Kantar 22–29 Nov 2022 1,414 – 18 27 20 7 14 5 9 7
INSA 25–28 Nov 2022 2,006 – 21 27 17.5 7 15 5 7.5 6
Forsa 22–28 Nov 2022 2,505 24 19 29 20 6 12 5 9 9
INSA 21–25 Nov 2022 1,501 – 21 27 18 7 15 5 7 6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 22–24 Nov 2022 1,273 26 19 28 22 5 14 6 6 6
Kantar 15–22 Nov 2022 1,430 – 19 29 19 7 13 4 9 10
INSA 18–21 Nov 2022 2,004 – 20 28 17 7.5 15 5 7.5 8
Forsa 15–21 Nov 2022 2,502 25 19 28 20 6 13 5 9 8
INSA 14–18 Nov 2022 1,314 – 20 28 17 7 15 5 8 8
Allensbach 5–17 Nov 2022 1,042 – 20 29.5 20 7 14 4 5.5 9.5
Kantar 9–15 Nov 2022 1,443 – 20 27 19 7 13 5 9 7
INSA 11–14 Nov 2022 2,010 – 20.5 27.5 17.5 7 15 4.5 8 7
Forsa 8–14 Nov 2022 2,503 25 19 28 20 6 14 4 9 8
INSA 8–11 Nov 2022 1,255 – 21 28 18 7 15 4 7 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 8–10 Nov 2022 1,310 23 19 28 22 5 15 5 6 6
Infratest dimap 8–9 Nov 2022 1,225 – 18 28 19 7 14 4 10 9
YouGov 4–9 Nov 2022 1,608 – 18 29 20 5 16 7 6 9
Wahlkreisprognose 7–8 Nov 2022 1,300 – 24.5 25.5 16 8.5 14 3.5 8 1
Kantar 2–8 Nov 2022 1,442 – 21 26 20 7 14 5 7 5
Ipsos 4–7 Nov 2022 1,000 – 19 27 20 7 13 6 8 7
INSA 4–7 Nov 2022 2,007 – 21 27 17.5 8 14.5 4.5 7.5 6
Forsa 1–7 Nov 2022 2,502 24 19 28 19 6 14 5 9 9
INSA 1–4 Nov 2022 1,286 – 21 27 17 8 15 5 7 6
Infratest dimap 31 Oct – 2 Nov 2022 1,307 – 19 28 19 6 14 5 9 9
Kantar 25 Oct – 2 Nov 2022 1,516 – 21 26 19 8 14 5 7 5
INSA 28–31 Oct 2022 2,009 – 20.5 26 18 9 15 4.5 7 5.5
Forsa 25–31 Oct 2022 2,503 23 20 27 20 6 14 4 9 7
INSA 24–28 Oct 2022 1,230 – 20 26 18 9 15 5 7 6
Kantar 19–25 Oct 2022 1,406 – 21 25 20 7 15 5 7 4
GMS 19–25 Oct 2022 1,002 – 18 28 20 6 15 4 9 8
INSA 21–24 Oct 2022 2,007 – 20.5 26.5 17.5 8.5 15 4.5 7.5 6
Forsa 18–24 Oct 2022 2,502 22 19 28 20 6 14 4 9 8
Wahlkreisprognose 18–21 Oct 2022 1,910 – 22 25 17.5 8 16 3.5 8 3
INSA 17–21 Oct 2022 1,503 – 20 27 18 8 15 5 7 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 18–20 Oct 2022 1,389 22 19 28 21 6 15 5 6 7
Kantar 12–18 Oct 2022 1,435 – 22 23 20 7 16 4 8 1
INSA 14–17 Oct 2022 2,000 – 19.5 27.5 18.5 7.5 15.5 4.5 7 8
Forsa 11–17 Oct 2022 2,505 – 20 27 20 6 14 4 9 7
INSA 10–14 Oct 2022 1,327 – 19 28 18 8 15 5 7 9
Allensbach 1–13 Oct 2022 1,021 – 19 30.5 19 7 14 5 5.5 11.5
Infratest dimap 11–12 Oct 2022 1,225 – 19 26 20 6 15 5 9 6
YouGov 7–12 Oct 2022 1,617 – 16 29 19 6 15 6 9 10
Kantar 5–11 Oct 2022 1,433 – 20 25 21 6 15 5 8 4
Forsa 4–10 Oct 2022 2,501 24 18 28 20 6 14 5 9 8
INSA 4–10 Oct 2022 2,005 – 19.5 27.5 19 7.5 15 5 6.5 8
Ipsos 7–9 Oct 2022 1,000 – 18 27 21 7 13 6 8 6
INSA 4–7 Oct 2022 1,315 – 19 27 19 8 15 5 7 8
Wahlkreisprognose 3–6 Oct 2022 1,923 – 21 25 16 9 16 4.5 8.5 4
Infratest dimap 3–5 Oct 2022 1,307 – 17 28 19 7 15 5 9 9
Kantar 28 Sep – 4 Oct 2022 1,864 – 18 27 20 8 14 6 7 7
INSA 30 Sep – 3 Oct 2022 2,008 – 19 27.5 18.5 8 15 5.5 6.5 8.5
Forsa 27–30 Sep 2022 2,001 25 18 28 20 6 14 5 9 8
INSA 26–30 Sep 2022 1,210 – 19 28 18 8 15 6 6 9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 27–29 Sep 2022 1,355 27 18 27 22 7 14 5 7 5
Kantar 22–27 Sep 2022 1,381 – 19 27 21 8 13 5 7 6
INSA 23–26 Sep 2022 2,102 – 18 27.5 19.5 8 15 5.5 6.5 8
Forsa 20–26 Sep 2022 2,505 23 18 28 20 7 13 5 9 8
INSA 19–23 Sep 2022 1,255 – 19 28 19 8 14 5 7 9
Wahlkreisprognose 20–22 Sep 2022 1,700 – 22 26 18 8 13.5 4 8.5 4
Kantar 14–20 Sep 2022 1,444 – 19 27 20 7 14 5 8 7
GMS 14–20 Sep 2022 1,003 – 18 28 21 7 13 4 9 7
INSA 16–19 Sep 2022 2,080 – 18.5 28.5 19 7.5 14 5.5 7 9.5
Forsa 13–19 Sep 2022 2,506 23 19 28 19 7 13 5 9 9
INSA 12–16 Sep 2022 1,476 – 19 28 19 7 13 6 8 9
Infratest dimap 13–14 Sep 2022 1,224 – 17 28 21 7 14 5 8 7
Allensbach 1–14 Sep 2022 1,030 – 20 30 19 7 13 5.5 5.5 10
YouGov 9–13 Sep 2022 1,635 – 16 29 19 6 14 7 8 10
Kantar 7–13 Sep 2022 1,443 – 20 26 21 7 13 5 8 5
Forsa 6–13 Sep 2022 2,501 – 19 28 20 6 13 5 9 8
INSA 9–12 Sep 2022 2,039 – 18 28 20 8 13.5 5.5 7 8
Wahlkreisprognose 9–11 Sep 2022 1,300 – 20 25.5 19 7 14 5.5 9 5.5
INSA 5–9 Sep 2022 1,443 – 19 27 20 8 13 5 8 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 6–8 Sep 2022 1,299 25 19 28 23 6 13 5 6 5
Kantar 31 Aug – 6 Sep 2022 1,416 – 20 25 21 8 12 5 9 4
INSA 2–5 Sep 2022 2,004 – 18 28 20.5 7.5 13.5 5.5 7 7.5
Forsa 30 Aug – 5 Sep 2022 2,500 25 18 26 24 7 11 5 9 2
Ipsos 2–4 Sep 2022 1,000 – 19 26 21 8 12 6 8 5
INSA 29 Aug – 2 Sep 2022 1,203 – 19 28 20 8 13 5 7 8
Infratest dimap 29–31 Aug 2022 1,324 – 17 27 22 8 13 5 8 5
Kantar 24–30 Aug 2022 1,411 – 21 24 22 8 12 5 8 2
INSA 26–29 Aug 2022 2,138 – 19 27.5 20.5 8 13 5.5 6.5 7
Forsa 23–29 Aug 2022 2,503 25 17 26 25 7 11 5 9 1
INSA 22–26 Aug 2022 1,204 – 20 28 21 8 12 5 6 7
Civey 18–25 Aug 2022 10,014 – 19 27 22 7 11 5 9 5
Kantar 17–23 Aug 2022 1,431 – 19 26 23 7 12 5 8 3
INSA 19–22 Aug 2022 2,091 – 18.5 28 21 7.5 13 5.5 6.5 7
Forsa 16–22 Aug 2022 2,505 25 18 26 25 7 11 4 9 1
INSA 15–19 Aug 2022 1,427 – 19 28 21 8 12 5 7 7
Wahlkreisprognose 16–18 Aug 2022 1,433 – 18 25 26 6 14 3 8 1
Allensbach 5–18 Aug 2022 1,038 – 19.5 29 21 8 12 5 5.5 8
Infratest dimap 16–17 Aug 2022 1,273 – 18 28 23 7 12 4 8 5
Kantar 10–16 Aug 2022 1,429 – 20 28 23 6 12 4 7 5
INSA 12–15 Aug 2022 2,146 – 19 28 22 8 12 5 6 6
Forsa 9–15 Aug 2022 2,500 28 18 26 25 6 11 4 10 1
INSA 8–12 Aug 2022 1,502 – 19 27 22 9 12 5 6 5
Wahlkreisprognose 6–12 Aug 2022 2,920 – 16 24 25.5 8 14.5 3.5 8.5 1.5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–11 Aug 2022 1,389 25 19 26 26 7 12 4 6 Tie
YouGov 5–10 Aug 2022 1,595 – 19 27 21 6 14 6 8 6
Kantar 3–9 Aug 2022 1,422 – 21 27 22 7 11 5 7 5
Ipsos 5–8 Aug 2022 1,000 – 19 27 22 8 11 5 8 5
INSA 5–8 Aug 2022 2,099 – 18 27 21.5 8 12.5 5.5 7.5 5.5
Forsa 2–8 Aug 2022 2,504 26 18 26 24 7 10 5 10 2
INSA 1–5 Aug 2022 1,701 – 19 27 21 9 12 5 7 6
Infratest dimap 1–3 Aug 2022 1,313 – 17 28 23 7 13 4 8 5
Kantar 26 Jul – 2 Aug 2022 1,426 – 21 25 23 6 11 5 9 2
INSA 29 Jul – 1 Aug 2022 2,144 – 18.5 26.5 22 8 12 5 8 4.5
Forsa 26 Jul – 1 Aug 2022 2,504 – 18 27 24 7 10 5 9 3
INSA 25–29 Jul 2022 1,202 – 19 26 22 9 12 5 7 4
Kantar 19–26 Jul 2022 1,413 – 21 26 22 7 11 5 8 4
INSA 22–25 Jul 2022 2,043 – 18.5 26.5 22 8 12 5 8 4.5
GMS 20–25 Jul 2022 1,005 – 18 27 23 9 10 5 8 4
Forsa 19–25 Jul 2022 2,510 22 19 26 24 6 10 5 10 2
INSA 18–22 Jul 2022 1,501 – 18 27 23 8 12 5 7 4
Allensbach 8–21 Jul 2022 1,006 – 22 27.5 22 7 11 5 5.5 5.5
Infratest dimap 19–20 Jul 2022 1,210 – 19 27 22 7 12 4 9 5
Wahlkreisprognose 19–20 Jul 2022 1,400 − 22 24 24 8.5 10.5 3.5 7.5 Tie
Kantar 13–19 Jul 2022 1,392 – 19 25 23 8 11 5 9 2
INSA 15–18 Jul 2022 2,062 – 18.5 26.5 22 8 12 4.5 8.5 4.5
Forsa 12–18 Jul 2022 2,501 – 20 26 24 6 9 5 10 2
Civey 11–18 Jul 2022 10,018 – 20 27 23 7 10 5 8 4
INSA 11–15 Jul 2022 1,277 – 19 26 22 8 11 5 9 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–14 Jul 2022 1,167 25 21 26 25 6 11 5 6 1
Kantar 6–12 Jul 2022 1,433 – 20 25 24 8 11 4 8 1
INSA 8–11 Jul 2022 2,044 – 20 27 21 8.5 11 4.5 8 6
Forsa 5–11 Jul 2022 2,503 22 19 26 24 7 9 5 10 2
INSA 4–8 Jul 2022 1,202 – 19 28 22 8 10 4 9 6
Wahlkreisprognose 5–6 Jul 2022 1,700 − 22 25 22 8 10 4 9 3
Infratest dimap 4–6 Jul 2022 1,327 – 19 27 23 8 11 4 8 4
YouGov 1–5 Jul 2022 1,655 – 19 28 20 7 12 5 9 8
Kantar 28 Jun – 5 Jul 2022 1,426 – 20 25 24 7 10 5 9 1
INSA 1–4 Jul 2022 2,066 – 19 28 21 9.5 11 4 7.5 7
Forsa 28 Jun – 4 Jul 2022 2,502 23 20 26 24 8 9 4 9 2
Ipsos 1–2 Jul 2022 1,000 – 22 26 20 9 10 5 8 4
INSA 27 Jun – 2 Jul 2022 1,253 – 20 27 22 9 11 4 7 5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 28–30 Jun 2022 1,186 20 21 27 25 6 10 5 6 2
Kantar 21–28 Jun 2022 1,410 – 20 26 25 8 10 4 7 1
INSA 24–27 Jun 2022 2,101 – 20 27 21.5 9 10.5 4 8 5.5
Forsa 21–27 Jun 2022 2,500 22 20 26 24 8 9 4 9 2
Wahlkreisprognose 23–26 Jun 2022 2,430 − 22 25 21 7 12 4 9 3
INSA 20–24 Jun 2022 1,414 – 20 26 22 9 11 4 8 4
Infratest dimap 21–22 Jun 2022 1,248 – 20 26 23 8 12 4 7 3
Kantar 14–21 Jun 2022 1,769 – 20 26 24 8 10 4 8 2
INSA 17–20 Jun 2022 2,063 – 19.5 28 21 9.5 10 4 8 7
GMS 15–20 Jun 2022 1,003 – 21 29 21 8 8 4 9 8
Forsa 14–20 Jun 2022 2,504 25 19 28 23 8 9 4 9 5
INSA 13–17 Jun 2022 1,501 – 20 27 21 9 10 4 9 6
Allensbach 3–17 Jun 2022 1,046 – 23 27 22 8 10 4.5 5.5 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 13–15 Jun 2022 1,133 22 22 26 25 6 10 5 6 1
Kantar 8–14 Jun 2022 1,895 – 20 28 22 8 9 4 9 6
INSA 10–13 Jun 2022 2,082 – 20 27.5 21 9.5 10.5 3.5 8 6.5
Forsa 7–13 Jun 2022 2,511 20 20 27 23 8 9 4 9 4
INSA 7–10 Jun 2022 1,203 – 21 27 21 9 10 4 8 6
Wahlkreisprognose 7–8 Jun 2022 1,603 − 22 24 20 7 13 6 8 2
Ipsos 3–7 Jun 2022 1,000 – 23 27 19 9 10 4 8 4
YouGov 3–7 Jun 2022 1,633 – 18 30 21 7 12 6 7 9
INSA 3–7 Jun 2022 2,055 – 20 27 21.5 9.5 10.5 3.5 8 5.5
Kantar 1–7 Jun 2022 1,428 – 22 26 23 9 8 4 8 3
Forsa 31 May – 3 Jun 2022 2,002 20 19 27 23 8 10 4 9 4
INSA 30 May – 3 Jun 2022 1,501 – 22 27 20 9 9 4 9 5
Infratest dimap 30 May – 1 Jun 2022 1,226 – 21 27 21 8 11 4 8 6
Wahlkreisprognose 30 May – 1 Jun 2022 1,500 − 18 27 25.5 8 9 4 8.5 1.5
Kantar 24–31 May 2022 1,428 – 20 28 23 8 8 4 9 5
INSA 27–30 May 2022 2,056 – 22 27 20.5 8.5 10 3.5 8.5 5
GMS 25–30 May 2022 1,005 – 22 30 20 8 7 4 9 8
Forsa 24–30 May 2022 2,004 21 19 29 24 7 9 4 8 5
INSA 23–27 May 2022 1,337 – 23 27 19 9 9 4 9 4
Kantar 17–24 May 2022 1,422 – 21 27 21 8 9 5 9 6
INSA 20–23 May 2022 2,100 – 22 28.5 20 8.5 10.5 3 7.5 6.5
Forsa 17–23 May 2022 2,505 22 21 28 23 7 9 4 8 5
Civey 16–23 May 2022 10,050 – 22 27 20 8 11 5 7 5
INSA 16–20 May 2022 1,214 – 21 28 19 10 10 3 9 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 17–19 May 2022 1,162 22 22 26 24 7 10 4 7 2
Allensbach 6–18 May 2022 1,118 – 24 29 20.5 8 9 4.5 5 5
Kantar 11–17 May 2022 1,425 – 22 26 21 8 10 5 8 4
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 May 2022 1,302 − 23.5 29 23 5.5 7.5 2.5 9 5.5
INSA 13–16 May 2022 2,147 – 21.5 28 20.5 9 11 3 7 6.5
Forsa 10–16 May 2022 2,502 23 22 27 22 8 8 4 9 5
INSA 9–13 May 2022 1,501 – 22 27 18 10 10 4 9 5
Infratest dimap 10–11 May 2022 1,226 – 22 26 20 8 11 4 9 4
YouGov 6–10 May 2022 1,659 – 20 28 19 9 10 5 8 8
Kantar 4–10 May 2022 1,426 – 22 26 20 9 10 5 8 4
Wahlkreisprognose 8–9 May 2022 1,610 − 24 23.5 22.5 10.5 9 3 7.5 0.5
INSA 6–9 May 2022 2,086 – 22.5 27.5 19 10 10.5 3.5 7 5
Forsa 3–9 May 2022 2,501 – 23 26 21 9 9 4 8 3
Ipsos 6 May 2022 906 – 24 25 16 11 11 5 8 1
INSA 2–6 May 2022 1,501 – 23 27 18 11 10 3 8 4
pollytix 29 Apr – 4 May 2022 1,303 – 22 26 17 12 12 5 6 4
Kantar 26 Apr – 3 May 2022 1,570 – 23 27 19 9 9 5 8 4
INSA 29 Apr – 2 May 2022 2,146 – 23 27 19 9.5 10.5 4.5 6.5 4
Forsa 26 Apr – 2 May 2022 2,508 – 23 26 20 9 9 4 9 3
INSA 25–29 Apr 2022 1,202 – 23 26 18 10 11 4 8 3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 26–28 Apr 2022 1,170 21 25 23 21 9 11 4 7 2
Infratest dimap 25–27 Apr 2022 1,314 – 24 26 18 9 11 3 9 2
Kantar 19–26 Apr 2022 1,431 – 23 25 20 9 9 5 9 2
INSA 22–25 Apr 2022 2,056 – 24 26.5 18 9 11.5 4.5 6.5 2.5
GMS 20–25 Apr 2022 1,003 – 26 26 18 8 9 4 9 Tie
Forsa 19–25 Apr 2022 2,507 25 24 25 20 9 9 4 9 1
Civey 8–25 Apr 2022 10,011 – 24 25 20 9 11 4 7 1
Wahlkreisprognose 23 Apr 2022 1,007 − 24.5 22.5 22 11 8.5 3 8.5 2
INSA 19–22 Apr 2022 1,296 – 24 26 18 9 11 5 7 2
Kantar 12–19 Apr 2022 1,715 – 25 25 19 9 9 4 9 Tie
INSA 15–18 Apr 2022 2,073 – 23.5 26 19 9 11 4.5 7 2.5
Forsa 12–14 Apr 2022 1,501 25 25 25 20 8 9 4 9 Tie
INSA 11–14 Apr 2022 1,402 – 25 26 17 10 10 5 7 1
Infratest dimap 11–12 Apr 2022 1,226 – 24 26 18 8 11 4 9 2
YouGov 8–12 Apr 2022 1,643 – 21 26 18 9 12 6 8 5
Kantar 6–12 Apr 2022 1,960 – 26 25 19 8 10 4 8 1
INSA 8–11 Apr 2022 2,061 – 25 27 17.5 9 11 4.5 6 2
Forsa 5–11 Apr 2022 2,500 25 27 24 19 8 9 4 9 3
INSA 4–8 Apr 2022 1,503 – 25 26 16 10 11 4 8 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 5–7 Apr 2022 1,230 21 27 24 19 8 11 4 7 3
Infratest dimap 4–6 Apr 2022 1,325 – 24 25 19 9 11 4 8 1
Allensbach 25 Mar – 6 Apr 2022 1,075 – 28 24 17 9 9 6 7 4
Kantar 30 Mar – 5 Apr 2022 1,437 – 27 25 19 8 10 4 7 2
Wahlkreisprognose 3–4 Apr 2022 2,450 − 27 25.5 19 8.5 9 3 8 1.5
INSA 1–4 Apr 2022 2,063 – 25 26 17.5 10.5 10.5 4.5 6 1
Ipsos 1 Apr 2022 912 – 25 23 15 12 12 6 7 2
Forsa 29 Mar – 4 Apr 2022 2,508 24 27 24 19 8 9 4 9 3
INSA 25 Mar – 1 Apr 2022 1,501 – 26 26 16 10 11 4 7 Tie
Kantar 23–29 Mar 2022 1,428 – 25 26 18 9 9 5 8 1
INSA 25–28 Mar 2022 2,070 – 25 26 16.5 10 10.5 5.5 6.5 1
Forsa 22–28 Mar 2022 2,507 22 24 26 18 9 9 5 9 2
INSA 21–25 Mar 2022 1,205 – 26 26 16 10 11 5 6 Tie
Kantar 16–22 Mar 2022 1,429 – 26 25 18 9 9 6 7 1
INSA 18–21 Mar 2022 2,122 – 24.5 26.5 16.5 11 11 4.5 6 2
Forsa 15–21 Mar 2022 2,501 22 23 27 18 10 9 5 8 4
Allensbach 9–21 Mar 2022 1,041 – 25 25 17 10.5 10 5 7.5 Tie
Wahlkreisprognose 18–20 Mar 2022 1,923 − 26.5 25.5 18.5 10 8.5 3 8 1
INSA 14–18 Mar 2022 1,198 – 26 26 16 10 10 5 7 Tie
Infratest dimap 15–16 Mar 2022 1,254 – 25 26 17 9 11 4 8 1
Kantar 9–15 Mar 2022 1,416 – 26 26 19 8 9 5 7 Tie
INSA 11–14 Mar 2022 2,073 – 25 25.5 15.5 10.5 10.5 5 8 0.5
Forsa 8–14 Mar 2022 2,502 – 25 26 18 9 9 5 8 1
INSA 7–11 Mar 2022 1,201 – 26 24 16 10 10 6 8 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 8–10 Mar 2022 1,345 19 27 24 18 9 10 5 7 3
YouGov 4–8 Mar 2022 1,629 – 23 26 16 9 11 6 8 3
Kantar 2–8 Mar 2022 1,426 – 25 26 19 8 10 5 7 1
INSA 4–7 Mar 2022 2,103 – 25 24.5 15.5 11 10.5 6 7.5 0.5
Ipsos 4 Mar 2022 935 – 25 24 16 11 11 6 7 1
Forsa 1–7 Mar 2022 2,501 22 26 25 18 9 7 6 9 1
INSA 28 Feb – 4 Mar 2022 1,185 – 25 25 15 11 11 6 7 Tie
Infratest dimap 28 Feb – 2 Mar 2022 1,320 – 25 26 16 9 11 5 8 1
Kantar 23 Feb – 1 Mar 2022 1,405 – 26 26 17 8 10 6 7 Tie
INSA 25–28 Feb 2022 2,067 – 23 27 15.5 11 10.5 6.5 6.5 4
Forsa 24–28 Feb 2022 1,500 – 25 26 18 9 7 6 9 1
Wahlkreisprognose 24–27 Feb 2022 2,030 − 26 23.5 17.5 11.5 10.5 4 7 2.5
GMS 23–26 Feb 2022 1,005 – 24 27 15 10 9 6 9 3
INSA 21–25 Feb 2022 1,405 – 23 26 15 11 12 7 6 3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 21–23 Feb 2022 1,103 20 26 24 17 9 11 6 7 2
Kantar 16–22 Feb 2022 1,432 – 26 25 17 9 10 7 6 1
INSA 18–21 Feb 2022 1,539 – 23 27 14.5 12.5 11 6 6 4
Forsa 15–21 Feb 2022 2,500 23 23 27 17 9 9 6 9 4
INSA 14–18 Feb 2022 1,303 – 22 27 15 11 12 7 6 5
Infratest dimap 15–16 Feb 2022 1,202 – 24 26 15 9 12 5 9 2
Allensbach 3–16 Feb 2022 1,033 – 23 27 15 10.5 10 6 6.5 4
Wahlkreisprognose 13–15 Feb 2022 1,200 − 25 24.5 17 9.5 9.5 6 8.5 0.5
YouGov 10–15 Feb 2022 1,659 – 21 27 17 9 11 7 7 6
Kantar 8–15 Feb 2022 1,434 – 24 24 16 10 12 6 8 Tie
INSA 11–14 Feb 2022 2,141 – 22.5 26 15 12 12 6 6.5 3.5
Forsa 8–14 Feb 2022 2,504 22 23 27 16 9 9 6 10 4
INSA 7–11 Feb 2022 1,504 – 22 26 16 11 12 6 7 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 8–10 Feb 2022 1,224 18 25 25 16 9 11 6 8 Tie
pollytix 4–8 Feb 2022 1,547 – 23 27 15 9 12 8 6 4
Kantar 1–8 Feb 2022 1,287 – 22 26 16 10 12 6 8 4
INSA 4–7 Feb 2022 2,067 – 23 26 15 12 11 7 6 3
Ipsos 4 Feb 2022 910 – 25 24 16 8 12 8 7 1
Forsa 1–7 Feb 2022 2,502 23 22 27 16 9 10 6 10 5
INSA 1–4 Feb 2022 1,202 – 22 27 16 11 11 6 7 5
Wahlkreisprognose 1–3 Feb 2022 2,330 − 21 28 19 8.5 10 5.5 8 7
Civey 22 Jan – 3 Feb 2022 10,070 – 25 25 15 10 11 6 8 Tie
Infratest dimap 31 Jan – 2 Feb 2022 1,339 – 22 27 16 10 12 5 8 5
Kantar 26 Jan – 1 Feb 2022 1,410 – 24 24 17 9 11 6 9 Tie
INSA 28–31 Jan 2022 2,247 – 24 25 15 12.5 10 6.5 7 1
Forsa 25–31 Jan 2022 2,501 23 23 27 16 9 10 6 9 4
INSA 24–28 Jan 2022 1,383 – 26 24 16 11 11 6 6 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 25–27 Jan 2022 1,249 21 24 23 18 10 10 7 8 1
YouGov 21–25 Jan 2022 1,602 – 23 26 15 8 12 8 9 3
Kantar 19–25 Jan 2022 1,415 – 24 24 18 10 10 6 8 Tie
INSA 21–24 Jan 2022 2,146 – 26 24 15 11.5 11 6 6.5 2
Forsa 18–24 Jan 2022 2,502 22 25 24 16 10 10 6 9 1
INSA 17–21 Jan 2022 1,204 – 26 23 16 12 12 6 5 3
Allensbach 6–20 Jan 2022 1,090 – 27.5 23 14.5 12.5 10 5.5 7 4.5
Infratest dimap 18–19 Jan 2022 1,424 – 25 24 16 10 12 5 8 1
Wahlkreisprognose 15–18 Jan 2022 1,920 − 27.5 22.5 17 10.5 10 4.5 8 5
Kantar 12–18 Jan 2022 1,441 – 26 22 17 9 12 6 8 4
INSA 14–17 Jan 2022 2,130 – 26 22.5 15.5 12 12 6 6 3.5
Forsa 11–17 Jan 2022 2,504 22 25 25 16 10 10 5 9 Tie
INSA 10–14 Jan 2022 1,504 – 27 23 16 11 12 5 6 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 11–13 Jan 2022 1,128 21 27 22 16 11 10 6 8 5
Kantar 5–11 Jan 2022 1,426 – 26 23 17 10 10 6 8 3
INSA 7–10 Jan 2022 2,107 – 26.5 23 15 12 12 5 6.5 3.5
Forsa 3–10 Jan 2022 3,003 22 25 25 17 10 9 5 9 Tie
Ipsos 6–9 Jan 2022 929 – 25 21 15 11 12 6 10 4
INSA 3–7 Jan 2022 1,504 – 27 23 16 12 11 5 6 4
Infratest dimap 3–5 Jan 2022 1,325 – 26 23 16 11 11 5 8 3
INSA 30 Dec – 3 Jan 2022 2,060 – 26.5 23 15.5 11 11.5 6 6.5 3.5
GMS 29 Dec – 3 Jan 2022 1,003 – 26 24 16 12 11 4 7 2
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 23.4 25.7 24.1 14.8 11.5 10.3 4.9 8.7 1.6

2021

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke Others Lead
INSA 27–30 Dec 2021 1,201 – 27 24 16 10 11 5 7 3
INSA 20–23 Dec 2021 1,195 – 28 23 15 11 11 5 7 5
INSA 17–20 Dec 2021 2,075 – 27.5 21.5 14.5 13 11.5 5.5 6.5 6
Forsa 14–20 Dec 2021 2,501 – 26 24 16 10 9 5 10 2
Wahlkreisprognose 18–19 Dec 2021 1,120 − 30 21.5 14.5 11.5 10 4 8.5 8.5
INSA 13–18 Dec 2021 1,501 – 27 23 14 12 12 5 7 4
Kantar 14–16 Dec 2021 1,436 – 27 22 16 11 11 5 8 5
Allensbach 1–15 Dec 2021 1,069 – 26 24 15 13 10.5 5 6.5 2
YouGov 10–14 Dec 2021 1,715 – 27 23 16 10 11 6 8 4
Kantar 8–14 Dec 2021 1,440 – 27 22 16 11 10 5 9 5
INSA 10–13 Dec 2021 2,221 – 27 22 14.5 13 11.5 5.5 6.5 5
Forsa 7–13 Dec 2021 2,509 – 26 23 15 11 10 5 10 3
INSA 6–10 Dec 2021 1,480 – 26 22 15 13 11 5 8 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 7–9 Dec 2021 1,303 21 28 21 17 12 10 5 7 7
Infratest dimap 7–8 Dec 2021 1,266 – 26 23 16 12 11 5 7 3
Civey 1–8 Dec 2021 10,043 – 27 23 15 11 11 5 8 4
Kantar 1–7 Dec 2021 1,439 – 28 21 15 11 11 5 9 7
INSA 3–6 Dec 2021 2,119 – 26 22 15 13.5 11.5 5.5 6.5 4
Wahlkreisprognose 1–6 Dec 2021 1,002 − 29 18 16.5 13.5 11 4 8 11
Forsa 30 Nov – 6 Dec 2021 2,503 – 25 22 17 11 10 5 10 3
INSA 29 Nov – 3 Dec 2021 1,348 – 26 21 15 13 12 5 8 5
Infratest dimap 29 Nov – 1 Dec 2021 1,316 – 25 23 17 12 11 5 7 2
Civey 24 Nov – 1 Dec 2021 10,078 – 26 24 15 11 11 5 8 2
Kantar 24–30 Nov 2021 1,425 – 27 20 16 12 11 6 8 7
INSA 26–29 Nov 2021 2,129 – 25 21 16 14 11 5.5 7.5 4
Forsa 23–29 Nov 2021 2,509 – 24 22 17 12 10 5 10 2
INSA 22–26 Nov 2021 1,403 – 26 21 15 13 12 6 7 5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 23–25 Nov 2021 1,344 19 28 19 17 13 11 5 7 9
Infratest dimap 23–24 Nov 2021 1,239 – 25 21 17 13 11 5 8 4
Wahlkreisprognose 22–24 Nov 2021 1,002 – 27 22.5 15.5 11.5 10 5 8.5 4.5
Civey 17–24 Nov 2021 10,064 – 25 24 15 11 11 5 9 1
YouGov 19–23 Nov 2021 1,797 – 25 23 16 11 12 6 7 2
Kantar 17–23 Nov 2021 1,424 – 24 22 18 11 11 6 8 2
INSA 19–22 Nov 2021 2,096 – 26 22 14 14 11 5.5 7.5 4
Forsa 16–22 Nov 2021 2,501 21 24 22 17 12 10 5 10 2
INSA 15–19 Nov 2021 1,501 – 26 21 15 13 12 5 8 5
Civey 10–17 Nov 2021 10,077 – 26 23 15 12 11 5 8 3
Kantar 10–16 Nov 2021 1,433 – 24 21 18 12 11 6 8 3
INSA 12–15 Nov 2021 2,091 – 27 21 15 13 11.5 5.5 7 6
Forsa 9–15 Nov 2021 2,510 21 24 22 17 12 10 5 10 2
INSA 8–12 Nov 2021 1,202 – 26 22 15 13 11 5 8 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–11 Nov 2021 1,257 16 28 20 16 13 11 5 7 8
Allensbach 29 Oct – 11 Nov 2021 1,016 – 27 23 15 14 9.5 5.5 6 4
Civey 3–10 Nov 2021 9,999 – 26 22 15 13 11 5 8 4
Kantar 3–9 Nov 2021 1,424 – 25 21 16 14 10 6 8 4
INSA 5–8 Nov 2021 2,112 – 26.5 20.5 16 13.5 10.5 5.5 7.7 6
Forsa 2–8 Nov 2021 2,502 – 25 22 16 14 9 5 9 3
INSA 1–5 Nov 2021 1,212 – 27 21 15 14 11 5 7 6
Wahlkreisprognose 31 Oct – 5 Nov 2021 1,200 – 28 20.5 15.5 14 10.5 4 7.5 7.5
GMS 1–4 Nov 2021 1,005 – 26 21 16 15 10 4 8 5
Infratest dimap 2–3 Nov 2021 1,329 – 27 21 16 13 10 5 8 6
Civey 27 Oct – 3 Nov 2021 10,069 – 26 22 15 13 11 5 8 4
Kantar 27 Oct – 2 Nov 2021 1,417 – 25 22 16 13 10 5 9 3
INSA 29 Oct – 1 Nov 2021 2,140 – 27 20 16 13.5 11.5 5 7 7
Forsa 26 Oct – 1 Nov 2021 2,501 – 25 21 16 15 9 5 9 4
INSA 25–29 Oct 2021 1,503 – 27 21 16 13 11 5 7 6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 26–28 Oct 2021 1,208 15 27 20 16 14 11 5 7 7
Infratest dimap 26–27 Oct 2021 1,239 – 26 22 16 13 10 4 9 4
Civey 20–27 Oct 2021 10,050 – 25 21 15 14 12 5 8 4
Kantar 19–26 Oct 2021 1,422 – 25 21 17 14 11 5 7 4
INSA 22–25 Oct 2021 2,105 – 28 20 16 14 11 5 6 8
Forsa 19–25 Oct 2021 2,510 – 25 20 17 16 9 5 8 5
INSA 18–22 Oct 2021 1,205 – 27 20 17 14 11 4 7 7
Civey 13–20 Oct 2021 10,028 – 25 20 15 15 11 6 8 5
Kantar 13–19 Oct 2021 1,424 – 25 21 16 13 11 5 9 4
INSA 15–18 Oct 2021 2,140 – 28 18.5 16 15 11.5 5 6 9.5
Forsa 12–18 Oct 2021 2,502 – 26 20 16 15 9 5 9 6
INSA 11–15 Oct 2021 1,195 – 28 19 16 13 11 4 9 9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–14 Oct 2021 1,329 14 28 19 17 13 11 5 7 9
Allensbach 1–14 Oct 2021 1,045 – 28 21 15 14 9.5 5 7.5 7
Civey 6–13 Oct 2021 9,999 – 26 20 14 15 11 6 8 6
Kantar 6–12 Oct 2021 1,410 – 26 19 17 14 10 5 9 7
INSA 8–11 Oct 2021 2,101 – 28.5 19.5 16 14.5 11 4 6.5 9
Wahlkreisprognose 7–10 Oct 2021 1,210 – 27 19 17.5 14 10 4 8.5 8
Forsa 5–11 Oct 2021 2,503 – 26 20 16 14 9 5 10 6
INSA 4–8 Oct 2021 1,509 – 28 20 15 14 10 5 8 8
Civey 29 Sep – 6 Oct 2021 10,009 – 28 19 15 14 11 6 7 9
Kantar 28 Sep – 5 Oct 2021 1,985 – 26 20 17 13 10 5 9 6
INSA 1–4 Oct 2021 2,000 – 28 21 15.5 13.5 10 4.5 7.5 7
Forsa 27 Sep – 4 Oct 2021 3,004 – 26 20 16 14 9 5 10 6
INSA 27 Sep – 1 Oct 2021 1,254 – 28 21 16 12 10 5 8 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 28–30 Sep 2021 1,249 15 28 20 16 13 10 5 8 8
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 23.4 25.7 24.1 14.8 11.5 10.3 4.9 8.7 1.6

CDU and CSU

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD CDU Grüne FDP AfD CSU Linke Others Lead
INSA 12–15 Jan 2024 2,004 14 24 12 5 23 7 4 11 1
INSA 5–8 Jan 2024 2,008 16 25 12 5 23 7 4 8 2
INSA 29 Dec – 2 Jan 2024 2,002 15 25 13 5 22.5 7 4 8.5 2.5
INSA 22–27 Dec 2023 2,000 15 25 12 5 23 7 4 9 2
INSA 15–18 Dec 2023 2,002 15,5 24.5 12.5 5 23 7 4 8.5 1.5
INSA 8–11 Dec 2023 2,008 16 23.5 12.5 6 22.5 6.5 4 9 1
INSA 1–4 Dec 2023 2,006 15.5 23 13 6 22.5 6.5 3.5 10 0.5
INSA 24–27 Nov 2023 2,007 15.5 24.5 12.5 6 22 6 4 9.5 2.5
INSA 17–20 Nov 2023 2,008 16.5 25.5 13 5.5 21 4.5 4.5 9.5 4.5
INSA 10–13 Nov 2023 2,008 16.5 24.5 13.5 5 21.5 6 4.5 8.5 3
INSA 3–6 Nov 2023 2,006 16.5 23 13.5 5.5 22 6.5 4.5 8.5 1
INSA 27–30 Oct 2023 2,010 16.5 23.5 13 5.5 21 7 4 9.5 2.5
INSA 20–23 Oct 2023 2,004 16.5 22 13 5.5 22 6.5 5 9.5 Tie
INSA 13–16 Oct 2023 2,006 16.5 21.5 13 6 23 6.5 4.5 9 1.5
INSA 6–9 Oct 2023 2,001 17 20.5 13.5 6 22.5 6.5 5 9 2
INSA 29 Sep – 2 Oct 2023 2,010 18 21 13.5 7 22 5.5 5 8 1
INSA 22–25 Sep 2023 2,003 17.5 20.5 13.5 6.5 21.5 6.5 5 9 1
INSA 15–18 Sep 2023 2,008 17 21 14.5 6 21 5.5 5 10 Tie
INSA 8–11 Sep 2023 2,002 18 19.5 14 7 22 7 4.5 8 2.5
INSA 1–4 Sep 2023 2,010 17.5 20 13.5 7.5 21.5 6.5 4.5 9 1.5
INSA 25–28 Aug 2023 2,006 18 20.5 14.5 7 21 6 4.5 8.5 0.5
INSA 18–21 Aug 2023 2,008 18.5 19.5 14 8 20.5 7 5 7.5 1
INSA 11–14 Aug 2023 2,002 19.5 19.5 13.5 7 21 6.5 4.5 8.5 1.5
INSA 4–7 Aug 2023 2,004 19 22 14.5 7.5 20.5 5 4.5 7 1.5
INSA 28–31 Jul 2023 2,003 18.5 20 14 6.5 21.5 6.5 5 8 1.5
INSA 21–24 Jul 2023 2,006 18.5 20.5 14 7.5 21.5 6 4.5 7.5 1
INSA 14–17 Jul 2023 2,004 18 20 14 7 20.5 7 5 8.5 0.5
INSA 7–10 Jul 2023 2,008 19 21 14 7 20.5 5 5 8.5 0.5
INSA 30 Jun – 3 Jul 2023 2,897 19 20.5 14.5 6.5 21 5 5 8.5 0.5
INSA 23–26 Jun 2023 2,004 19.5 20 13.5 6.5 20.5 6.5 4.5 9 0.5
INSA 16–19 Jun 2023 2,006 20 20.5 13.5 7.5 20 6 4.5 8 0.5
INSA 9–12 Jun 2023 2,003 20 21 13 8 19.5 6 4.5 8 1
INSA 2–5 Jun 2023 2,009 19 20.5 13.5 9 19 6 5 8 1.5
INSA 26–30 May 2023 2,004 20.5 23 13 8.5 18 5 4.5 7.5 2.5
INSA 19–22 May 2023 2,004 20.5 21 14 8.5 17 6.5 5 7.5 0.5
INSA 12–15 May 2023 2,010 20 22 14.5 8.5 16.5 6 5 7.5 2
INSA 5–8 May 2023 2,008 20 22 14 9 16.5 6 4.5 8 2
INSA 28 Apr – 2 May 2023 2,006 21 21 15 8 16.5 6 4.5 8 Tie
INSA 21–24 Apr 2023 2,004 20 21 14.5 9 16 6.5 4.5 8.5 1
INSA 14–17 Apr 2023 2,008 21 20.5 15 8 16 7 4.5 8 0.5
INSA 6–11 Apr 2023 2,005 20 22 15.5 8 16 5.5 4.5 8.5 2
INSA 31 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 2,007 20 22 15.5 7.5 16 6 4.5 8.5 2
INSA 24–27 Mar 2023 2,004 20.5 23 16 8 15.5 5 4 8 2.5
INSA 17–20 Mar 2023 2,006 21.5 22 15 7.5 16 6 5 7 0.5
INSA 10–13 Mar 2023 2,002 21.5 22 15.5 7.5 16 6.5 4 7 0.5
INSA 3–6 Mar 2023 2,007 20 23.5 15.5 7.5 15.5 6 5 7 3.5
INSA 24–27 Feb 2023 2,010 20.5 23.5 15.5 7.5 15.5 6 4.5 7 3
INSA 17–20 Feb 2023 2,006 21.5 24 15.5 7 15.5 5 5 6.5 2.5
INSA 10–13 Feb 2023 2,005 20 21 16 7.5 16 7 5 7.5 1
INSA 3–6 Feb 2023 2,008 21 20 16 8 15.5 7 5 7.5 1
INSA 27–30 Jan 2023 2,007 20.5 21 16 7.5 15 7.5 5 7.5 0.5
INSA 20–23 Jan 2023 2,009 20.5 22 16.5 7.5 15 6 4.5 8 1.5
INSA 13–16 Jan 2023 2,006 21 21 16.5 7.5 15 7 5 7 Tie
INSA 6–9 Jan 2023 2,006 20 21 17.5 7.5 15 6 5 8 1
INSA 29 Dec – 2 Jan 2023 2,010 20 21 17.5 7.5 15 6 4.5 8.5 1
INSA 16–19 Dec 2022 2,005 21 22 17.5 7.5 14.5 5.5 4.5 7.5 1
INSA 9–12 Dec 2022 2,007 20 21.5 18 7 15.5 7 4.5 6.5 1.5
INSA 3–5 Dec 2022 2,008 20.5 22 17 7 14.5 6 5 8 1.5
INSA 25–28 Nov 2022 2,006 21 21 17.5 7 15 6 5 7.5 Tie
INSA 18–21 Nov 2022 2,004 20 22 17 7.5 15 6 5 7.5 2
INSA 11–14 Nov 2022 2,010 20.5 21 17.5 7 15 6.5 4.5 8 0.5
INSA 4–7 Nov 2022 2,007 21 21 17.5 8 14.5 6 4.5 7.5 Tie
INSA 28–31 Oct 2022 2,009 20.5 20 18 9 15 6 4.5 7 0.5
INSA 21–24 Oct 2022 2,007 20.5 20.5 17.5 8.5 15 6 4.5 7.5 Tie
INSA 14–17 Oct 2022 2,000 19.5 20.5 18.5 7.5 15.5 7 4.5 7 1
INSA 7–10 Oct 2022 2,005 19.5 20.5 19 7.5 15 7 5 6.5 1
INSA 30 Sep – 3 Oct 2022 2,008 19 21.5 18.5 8 15 6 5.5 6.5 2.5
INSA 23–26 Sep 2022 2,102 18 21.5 19.5 8 15 6 5.5 6.5 2
INSA 16–19 Sep 2022 2,080 18.5 22 19 7.5 14 6.5 5.5 7 3
INSA 9–12 Sep 2022 2,039 18 22 20 8 13.5 6 5.5 7 2
INSA 2–5 Sep 2022 2,004 18 22 20.5 7.5 13.5 6 5.5 7 1.5
INSA 26–29 Aug 2022 2,138 19 22.5 20.5 8 13 5 5.5 6.5 2
INSA 19–22 Aug 2022 2,091 18.5 22 21 7.5 13 6 5.5 6.5 1
INSA 12–15 Aug 2022 2,146 19 22 22 8 12 6 5 6 Tie
INSA 5–8 Aug 2022 2,099 18 21 21.5 8 12.5 6 5.5 7.5 0.5
INSA 29 Jul – 1 Aug 2022 2,144 18.5 20.5 22 8 12 6 5 8 1.5
INSA 22–25 Jul 2022 2,043 18.5 21.5 22 8 12 5 5 8 0.5
INSA 15–18 Jul 2022 2,062 18.5 21.5 22 8 12 5 4.5 8.5 0.5
INSA 8–11 Jul 2022 2,044 20 21.5 21 8.5 11 5.5 4.5 8 0.5
INSA 1–4 Jul 2022 2,066 19 23 21 9.5 11 5 4 7.5 2
INSA 24–27 Jun 2022 2,101 20 22 21.5 9 10.5 5 4 8 0.5
INSA 17–20 Jun 2022 2,063 19.5 21 21 9.5 10 7 4 8 Tie
INSA 10–13 Jun 2022 2,082 20 21.5 21 9.5 10.5 6 3.5 8 0.5
INSA 3–7 Jun 2022 2,055 20 21.5 21.5 9.5 10.5 5.5 3.5 8 Tie
INSA 27–30 May 2022 2,056 22 20.5 20.5 8.5 10 6.5 3.5 8.5 1.5
INSA 20–23 May 2022 2,100 22 22 20 8.5 10.5 6.5 3 7.5 Tie
INSA 13–16 May 2022 2,147 21.5 23 20.5 9 11 5 3 7 1.5
INSA 6–9 May 2022 2,086 22.5 21 19 10 10.5 6.5 3.5 7 1.5
INSA 29 Apr – 2 May 2022 2,146 23 21 19 9.5 10.5 6 4.5 6.5 2
INSA 22–25 Apr 2022 2,056 24 20 18 9 11.5 6.5 4.5 6.5 4
INSA 15–18 Apr 2022 2,073 23.5 20 19 9 11 6 4.5 7 3.5
INSA 8–11 Apr 2022 2,061 25 20 17.5 9 11 7 4.5 6 5
INSA 1–4 Apr 2022 2,063 25 21 17.5 10.5 10.5 5 4.5 6 4
INSA 25–28 Mar 2022 2,070 25 21 16.5 10 10.5 5 5.5 6.5 4
INSA 18–21 Mar 2022 2,122 24.5 20.5 16.5 11 11 6 4.5 6 4
INSA 11–14 Mar 2022 2,073 25 19.5 15.5 10.5 10.5 6 5 8 5.5
INSA 4–7 Mar 2022 2,103 25 19 15.5 11 10.5 5.5 6 7.5 6
INSA 18–21 Feb 2022 1,539 23 22 14.5 12.5 11 5 6 6 1
INSA 11–14 Feb 2022 2,141 22.5 21 15 12 12 5 6 6.5 1.5
INSA 4–7 Feb 2022 2,067 23 20 15 12 11 6 7 6 3
INSA 28–31 Jan 2022 2,147 24 20 15 12.5 10 5 6.5 7 4
INSA 21–24 Jan 2022 2,146 26 19 15 11.5 11 5 6 6.5 7
INSA 14–17 Jan 2022 2,130 26 17 15.5 12 12 5.5 6 6.5 9
INSA 7–10 Jan 2022 2,107 26.5 18 15 12 12 5 5 6.5 8.5
INSA 31 Dec – 3 Jan 2022 2,060 26.5 17 15.5 11 11.5 6 6 6.5 9.5
INSA 17–20 Dec 2021 2,075 27.5 17 14.5 13 11.5 4.5 5.5 6.5 10.5
INSA 10–13 Dec 2021 2,221 27 17 14.5 13 11.5 5 5.5 6.5 10
INSA 3–6 Dec 2021 2,119 26 17 15 13.5 11.5 5 5.5 6.5 9
INSA 26–29 Nov 2021 2,129 25 17 16 14 11 4 5.5 7.5 8
INSA 19–22 Nov 2021 2,096 26 18 14 14 11 4 5.5 7.5 8
INSA 12–15 Nov 2021 2,091 27 16.5 15 13 11.5 4.5 5.5 7 10.5
INSA 5–8 Nov 2021 2,112 26.5 16.5 16 13.5 10.5 4 5.5 7.5 10
INSA 22–25 Oct 2021 2,105 28 16 16 14 11 4 5 6 12
INSA 15–18 Oct 2021 2,140 28 13.5 16 15 11.5 5 5 6 12
INSA 8–11 Oct 2021 2,101 28.5 14 16 14.5 11 5.5 4 6.5 12.5
INSA 1–4 Oct 2021 2,000 28 15 15.5 13.5 10 6 4.5 7.5 12.5
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 25.7 18.9 14.8 11.5 10.3 5.2 4.9 8.7 6.8

Scenario polls

New party scenarios

Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht[lower-alpha 1]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW BSW Others Don't Know Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 2–4 Jan 2024 1,500 24 13 28.5 11.5 6 23.5 3 2 6 6.5 – 5
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 2023 1,200 25 14.5 28 12.5 5.5 23.5 3 – 6 7 – 4.5
INSA 9–10 Nov 2023 1,004 – 17 24 13 5 17 2 3 14 5 – 7
INSA 26–27 Oct 2023 1,005 – 15 29 12 5 17 4 – 14 2 – 12
Wahlkreisprognose 23–25 Oct 2023 1,300 24 15.5 26.5 12.5 5.5 18 3 – 13 6 – 8.5
INSA 20–23 Oct 2023 2,004 – 15.5 26.5 12.5 5.5 18 4 – 12 6 – 8.5
INSA 28–31 Jul 2023 2,003 – 17 23 14 6 16 3 – 15 6 – 6
YouGov 14–19 Jul 2023 2,317 5 14 25 12 5 19 5 – 2 5 9 6
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023 1,419 25 22 26 14 4 13 2 – 14 5 – 4
Wahlkreisprognose 20–22 Sep 2022 1,700 – 20 24 17 7 11 3 – 10 8 – 4
Boris Palmer list
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke Liste Palmer Others Don't Know Lead
INSA 28–31 Jul 2023 2,003 – 19 22 15 8 20 5 5 6 – 2

Leadership scenarios

Friedrich Merz as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW BSW Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 2023 1,200 15.5 26.5 10 5 24.5 3 – 6.5 9 2
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 2023 1,525 22.5 20 14 6.5 20 4 5 – 8 2.5
Boris Pistorius as SPD chancellor candidate
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW BSW Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 2023 1,200 24 23 9 4 23 2 – 7 8 1
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 2023 1,525 27.5 17 13.5 6 20 3.5 3 – 9.5 7.5
Hendrik Wüst as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 2023 1,525 21.5 23 13.5 5 22 4.5 2 8.5 1.5
Markus Söder as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 2023 1,525 21 28 15 6.5 19.5 3.5 1 5.5 7
Sahra Wagenknecht as Linke lead candidate
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 2023 1,525 21 21 15 7 16 12 2 6 Tie

Other scenarios

National-wide CSU
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD CDU Grüne FDP AfD CSU Linke Others Lead
INSA 28–31 Jul 2023 2,003 17 20 15 6 20 10 5 8 Tie
CDU/CSU open for cooperation with AfD
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 2023 1,525 25 16.5 14.5 9 19 3.5 6 6.5 6

By state

Bavaria

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 CSU SPD Grüne FDP AfD Free Voters Linke Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 2–5 Dec 2022 1,944 33 18 15 6 12 8 2 6 15
Forsa 23 May – 3 Jun 2022 1,049 36 12 22 8 8 - 2 12 14
Forsa 27 Apr – 13 May 2022 1,235 34 14 21 8 8 7 2 6 13
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 31.7 18.0 14.1 10.5 9.0 7.5 2.8 6.4 13.7

Brandenburg

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD AfD CDU FDP Grüne Linke BSW Others Lead
Forsa 6–10 Jan 2024 1,007 17 33 20 4 8 6 3 9 13
Wahlkreisprognose 4–11 Sep 2022 1,100 25 25 14 5 12.5 9 – 9.5 Tie
Wahlkreisprognose 9–17 May 2022 1,001 35.5 16.5 15.5 4 14 5.5 – 9 19
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 29.5 18.1 15.3 9.3 9.0 8.5 – 10.3 11.4

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD AfD CDU Linke FDP Grüne Others Lead
Infratest dimap 13–16 Sep 2023 1,182 21 32 21 7 4 8 7 11
Forsa 18–23 Jan 2023 1,004 20 23 22 11 4 10 10 1
Infratest dimap 13–18 Oct 2022 1,168 25 24 20 10 4 9 8 1
Infratest dimap 1–4 Jun 2022 1,183 25 18 23 9 5 12 8 2
Forsa 14–18 Mar 2022 1,001 29 16 21 10 6 9 9 8
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 29.1 18.0 17.4 11.1 8.2 7.8 8.4 11.1

North Rhine-Westphalia

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD CDU Grüne FDP AfD Linke Others Lead
Forsa 29 May – 7 Jun 2023 1,506 23 30 15 7 15 3 7 7
Forsa 27–28 Mar 2023 1,005 22 32 18 6 10 4 8 10
Forsa 21–26 Sep 2022 1,511 21 30 22 6 10 4 7 8
Wahlkreisprognose 27–30 Jun 2022 1,040 25.5 25 22 8 8.5 3 8 0.5
Forsa 16 Feb 2022 1,008 25 30 25 6 6 2 6 5
Forsa 26 Jan – 2 Feb 2022 2,006 28 25 18 10 8 4 7 3
Forsa 26 Nov – 7 Dec 2021 2,009 29 23 18 12 7 4 7 6
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 29.1 26.0 16.1 11.4 7.3 3.7 6.5 3.1

Rhineland-Palatinate

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD CDU Grüne FDP AfD Linke Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 11–18 May 2022 1,042 30 30.5 19 5 5 1.5 9 0.5
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 29.4 24.7 12.6 11.7 9.2 3.3 9.2 4.7

Saxony

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 AfD SPD CDU Linke FDP Grüne BSW Others Lead
Forsa 7–10 Jan 2024 1,507 36 9 23 6 4 8 4 7 13
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 24.6 19.3 17.2 9.3 11.0 8.6 – 9.9 5.3

Saxony-Anhalt

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD CDU AfD Linke FDP Grüne Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 13–21 Feb 2022 1,005 21.5 21.5 19.5 13 7.5 7.5 9.5 Tie
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 25.4 21.0 19.6 9.6 9.5 6.5 8.4 4.4

Schleswig-Holstein

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD CDU Grüne FDP AfD Linke Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 10–19 Feb 2022 2,000 28 22.5 22 10 6 4.5 7 5.5
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 28.0 22.0 18.3 12.5 6.8 3.6 8.7 6.0

Thuringia

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 AfD SPD CDU Linke FDP Grüne BSW Others Lead
Forsa 6–10 Jan 2024 1,253 36 12 23 9 3 6 3 8 13
Wahlkreisprognose 5–11 Dec 2022 1,016 32 19.5 18.5 8.5 5 7.5 – 9 12.5
Wahlkreisprognose 3–4 Apr 2022 994 22.5 27 18 8 6 8.5 – 10 4.5
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 24.0 23.4 16.9 11.4 9.0 6.5 – 8.7 0.6

Chancellor polling

These polls were conducted before the announcement of each party's candidate for Chancellor; they gauged opinion on various politicians who were considered to be plausible candidates for their respective parties.

Scholz vs. Merz

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Scholz
SPD		 Merz
Union		 Neither
Forsa 9–15 Jan 2024 1,502 27 28 45
INSA 4–5 Jan 2024 1,004 23 26 51
Wahlkreisprognose 2–4 Jan 2024 1,500 17 34 49
INSA 14–15 Dec 2023 1,001 17 18 65
Forsa 28 Nov – 4 Dec 2023 2,501 36 32 32
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 2023 1,200 19 29 52
Wahlkreisprognose 23–25 Oct 2023 1,300 25 24 51
Wahlkreisprognose 24–25 Sep 2023 1,200 27 24 49
INSA 7–8 Sep 2023 1,001 23 15 62
Wahlkreisprognose 22–27 Aug 2023 1,200 23 20 57
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 2023 1,525 26 24 50
Wahlkreisprognose 22–25 Jun 2023 1,399 31 21 48
INSA 15–16 Jun 2023 1,003 25 16 59
Wahlkreisprognose 1–2 Jun 2023 1,100 28 27 45
Wahlkreisprognose 26–30 Apr 2023 1,400 36 30 34
Wahlkreisprognose 23–26 Mar 2023 1,200 33 21 46
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023 1,419 33 20 47
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jan 2023 1,421 33 19 48
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 Jan 2023 1,500 29 25 46
Wahlkreisprognose 7–9 Dec 2022 1,500 38 21 41
Wahlkreisprognose 7–8 Nov 2022 1,300 37 21 42
Wahlkreisprognose 18–21 Oct 2022 1,910 36 24 40
Wahlkreisprognose 3–6 Oct 2022 1,923 36 29 35
Wahlkreisprognose 20–22 Sep 2022 1,700 36 24 40
Wahlkreisprognose 16–18 Aug 2022 1,433 40 13 47
Wahlkreisprognose 6–12 Aug 2022 2,920 42 13 45
Wahlkreisprognose 19–20 Jul 2022 1,400 46 16 38
Forsa 12–18 Jul 2022 2,501 40 18 42
Forsa 5–11 Jul 2022 2,503 43 17 40
Forsa 28 Jun – 4 Jul 2022 2,502 43 17 40
Forsa 21–27 Jun 2022 2,500 42 19 39
Wahlkreisprognose 23–26 Jun 2022 2,430 46 15 39
Forsa 14–20 Jun 2022 2,504 39 20 41
Forsa 7–13 Jun 2022 2,511 38 21 41
Wahlkreisprognose 7–8 Jun 2022 1,603 46 16 38
Forsa 31 May – 3 Jun 2022 2,002 41 20 39
Wahlkreisprognose 30 May – 1 Jun 2022 1,500 45 18 37
Forsa 24–30 May 2022 2,004 39 20 41
Forsa 17–23 May 2022 2,505 41 19 40
INSA 20 May 2022 1,003 26 15 59
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 May 2022 1,302 42 26 32
Forsa 10–16 May 2022 2,502 42 19 39
Wahlkreisprognose 8–9 May 2022 1,610 46 26 28
Forsa 3–9 May 2022 2,501 42 18 40
Forsa 26 Apr – 2 May 2022 2,508 43 19 38
Forsa 19–25 Apr 2022 2,507 42 18 40
Wahlkreisprognose 23 Apr 2022 1,007 45 16 39
Forsa 12–14 Apr 2022 1,501 43 18 39
Forsa 5–11 Apr 2022 2,500 42 18 40
Wahlkreisprognose 3–4 Apr 2022 2,450 51 17 32
Forsa 29 Mar – 4 Apr 2022 2,508 43 18 39
Forsa 22–28 Mar 2022 2,507 42 20 38
Forsa 15–21 Mar 2022 2,501 44 20 36
Wahlkreisprognose 18–20 Mar 2022 3,923 51.5 21.5 27
Forsa 8–14 Mar 2022 2,502 46 19 35
Forsa 1–7 Mar 2022 2,501 48 19 33
Forsa 24–28 Feb 2022 1,500 45 20 35
Wahlkreisprognose 24–27 Feb 2022 2,030 49 19 32
Forsa 15–21 Feb 2022 2,500 42 20 38
Wahlkreisprognose 13–15 Feb 2022 1,220 43 25 32
Forsa 8–14 Feb 2022 2,504 40 21 39
Forsa 1–7 Feb 2022 2,502 40 22 38
Wahlkreisprognose 2–3 Feb 2022 2,330 42 31 27
Forsa 25–31 Jan 2022 2,501 43 21 36
Forsa 18–24 Jan 2022 2,502 48 19 33
Forsa 11–17 Jan 2022 2,504 48 17 35
Wahlkreisprognose 11–12 Jan 2022 1,030 54 19 27
Forsa 3–10 Jan 2022 3,003 49 18 33
Forsa 14–20 Dec 2021 2,501 50 18 32
Wahlkreisprognose 18–19 Dec 2021 1,120 55 20 25
Forsa 23–29 Nov 2021 2,509 45 18 37
Forsa 16–22 Nov 2021 2,501 45 19 36
Forsa 9–15 Nov 2021 2,510 46 19 35
Wahlkreisprognose 11–12 Nov 2021 1,004 44 21 35
Forsa 2–8 Nov 2021 2,502 52 17 31

Scholz vs. Söder

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Scholz
SPD		 Söder
Union		 Neither
Forsa 9–15 Jan 2024 1,502 27 40 33
INSA 4–5 Jan 2024 1,004 20 36 44
INSA 7–8 Sep 2023 1,001 26 32 42
INSA 15–16 Jun 2023 1,003 30 31 39
INSA 20 May 2022 1,003 32 29 39
Wahlkreisprognose 18–19 Dec 2021 1,120 49 28 23
Forsa 2–8 Nov 2021 2,502 39 33 28
Forsa 5–11 Oct 2021 2,503 37 33 30

Scholz vs. Wüst

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Scholz
SPD		 Wüst
Union		 Neither
Forsa 9–15 Jan 2024 1,502 25 36 39
INSA 15–16 Jun 2023 1,003 29 18 53
INSA 20 May 2022 1,003 32 14 54

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Habeck

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Scholz
SPD		 Merz
Union		 Habeck
Grüne		 Neither
Forsa 2–8 Jan 2024 2,502 15 24 15 46
Forsa 19–22 Dec 2023 – 15 25 17 43
Forsa 12–18 Dec 2023 2,501 15 24 18 43
Forsa 5–11 Dec 2023 2,501 15 24 18 43
Forsa 28 Nov – 4 Dec 2023 2,501 16 24 18 42
Forsa 21–27 Nov 2023 2,500 17 22 19 42
Forsa 14–20 Nov 2023 2,501 19 21 18 42
Forsa 7–13 Nov 2023 2,504 19 22 18 41
Forsa 31 Oct – 6 Nov 2023 2,502 20 21 17 42
Forsa 24–30 Sep 2023 2,501 20 20 16 44
Forsa 17–23 Sep 2023 2,504 20 21 15 44
Forsa 10–16 Sep 2023 2,501 19 20 17 44
Forsa 4–9 Sep 2023 2,003 22 20 16 42
Forsa 26–29 Sep 2023 2,004 22 20 16 42
Forsa 19–25 Sep 2023 2,503 22 20 16 42
Forsa 12–18 Sep 2023 2,504 21 19 16 44
Forsa 4–11 Sep 2023 2,505 21 19 16 44
Forsa 29 Aug – 4 Sep 2023 2,506 21 20 16 43
Forsa 22–28 Aug 2023 2,504 21 19 15 45
Forsa 15–21 Aug 2023 2,506 21 19 15 45
Forsa 8–14 Aug 2023 2,501 21 18 15 46
Forsa 1–7 Aug 2023 2,502 21 17 16 46
Forsa 25–31 Jul 2023 2,500 22 18 17 43
Forsa 18–24 Jul 2023 2,504 23 20 16 41
Forsa 11–17 Jul 2023 2,502 23 20 17 40
Forsa 4–7 Jul 2023 2,003 22 20 16 42
Forsa 27 Jun – 3 Jul 2023 2,501 21 20 16 43
Forsa 20–26 Jun 2023 2,506 23 20 16 41
Forsa 13–19 Jun 2023 2,503 25 20 15 40
Forsa 6–12 Jun 2023 2,504 25 21 15 39
Forsa 30 May – 5 Jun 2023 2,505 25 23 14 38
Forsa 23–26 May 2023 2,001 25 23 14 38
Forsa 16–22 May 2023 2,003 26 22 13 39
Forsa 9–15 May 2023 2,503 24 23 14 39
Forsa 2–8 May 2023 2,505 24 22 15 39
Wahlkreisprognose 26–30 Apr 2023 1,400 31 26 8 35
Forsa 25–28 Apr 2023 2,007 23 22 16 39
Forsa 18–24 Apr 2023 2,506 22 24 16 38
Forsa 11–17 Apr 2023 2,508 23 25 17 35
Forsa 4–6 Apr 2023 1,501 21 23 18 38
Forsa 28 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 2,502 23 21 17 39
Forsa 21–27 Mar 2023 2,506 24 22 18 36
Wahlkreisprognose 23–26 Mar 2023 1,200 29 18 13 40
Forsa 14–20 Mar 2023 2,503 26 21 17 36
Forsa 7–13 Mar 2023 2,505 27 21 17 35
Forsa 28 Feb – 6 Mar 2023 2,504 25 20 19 36
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023 1,419 27 17 11 45
Forsa 21–27 Feb 2023 2,501 27 19 19 35
Forsa 14–20 Feb 2023 2,510 25 20 19 36
Forsa 7–13 Feb 2023 2,505 27 20 20 33
Forsa 31 Jan – 6 Feb 2023 2,502 26 20 20 34
Forsa 24–30 Jan 2023 2,503 25 21 20 34
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jan 2023 1,421 26 16 12 46
Forsa 17–23 Jan 2023 2,502 23 21 21 35
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 Jan 2023 1,500 22 21 15 42
Forsa 10–16 Jan 2023 2,500 22 20 20 38
Forsa 3–9 Jan 2023 2,502 21 20 20 39
Forsa 13–19 Dec 2022 2,503 23 19 20 38
Forsa 6–12 Dec 2022 2,506 24 19 19 38
Wahlkreisprognose 7–9 Dec 2022 1,500 24 22 13 41
Forsa 29 Nov – 5 Dec 2022 2,500 22 20 20 38
Forsa 22–28 Nov 2022 2,505 23 20 20 37
Forsa 15–21 Nov 2022 2,502 22 20 20 38
Forsa 8–14 Nov 2022 2,503 21 20 20 39
Wahlkreisprognose 7–8 Nov 2022 1,300 25 22 13 40
Forsa 1–7 Nov 2022 2,502 22 19 19 40
Forsa 25–31 Oct 2022 2,503 23 19 19 39
Forsa 18–24 Oct 2022 2,502 24 19 18 39
Wahlkreisprognose 18–21 Oct 2022 1,910 28 19 15 38
Forsa 11–17 Oct 2022 2,505 23 19 19 39
Forsa 4–10 Oct 2022 2,501 24 18 17 41
Wahlkreisprognose 3–6 Oct 2022 1,923 28 25 14 33
Forsa 27–30 Sep 2022 2,001 22 20 17 41
Forsa 20–26 Sep 2022 2,505 22 22 17 39
Wahlkreisprognose 20–22 Sep 2022 1,700 29 25 15 31
Forsa 13–19 Sep 2022 2,506 23 22 18 37
Forsa 6–13 Sep 2022 2,501 21 20 21 38
Wahlkreisprognose 9–11 Sep 2022 1,300 30 24 15 31
INSA 9 Sep 2022 1,000 24 23 19 34
Forsa 30 Aug – 5 Sep 2022 2,500 21 18 25 36
Forsa 23–29 Aug 2022 2,503 20 16 27 37
Forsa 16–22 Aug 2022 2,505 20 16 25 39
INSA 19 Aug 2022 1,002 18 19 25 38
Wahlkreisprognose 16–18 Aug 2022 1,433 36 13 30 21
Forsa 9–15 Aug 2022 2,500 22 16 26 36
Wahlkreisprognose 6–12 Aug 2022 2,920 32 15 28 25
Forsa 2–8 Aug 2022 2,504 24 16 27 33
Forsa 26 Jul – 1 Aug 2022 2,504 23 18 28 31
INSA 29 Jul 2022 1,002 24 18 21 37
Forsa 19–25 Jul 2022 2,510 25 17 30 28
Wahlkreisprognose 19–20 Jul 2022 1,400 39 11 32 18
Forsa 15–18 Jul 2022 2,002 26 17 31 26
Wahlkreisprognose 23–26 Jun 2022 2,430 40 13 31 16
Wahlkreisprognose 7–8 Jun 2022 1,603 38 13 27 22
Wahlkreisprognose 30 May – 1 Jun 2022 1,500 35 14 29 21
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 May 2022 1,302 37 21 25 17
Wahlkreisprognose 8–9 May 2022 1,610 38 21 24 17

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Baerbock

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Scholz
SPD		 Merz
Union		 Baerbock
Grüne		 Neither
Forsa 2–8 Jan 2024 2,502 17 27 15 41
Forsa 19–22 Dec 2023 – 18 28 17 37
Forsa 12–18 Dec 2023 2,501 19 27 17 37
Forsa 5–11 Dec 2023 2,501 18 28 17 37
Forsa 28 Nov – 4 Dec 2023 2,501 19 27 17 37
Forsa 21–27 Nov 2023 2,500 19 25 17 39
Forsa 14–20 Nov 2023 2,501 22 24 16 38
Forsa 7–13 Nov 2023 2,504 22 25 16 37
Forsa 31 Oct – 6 Nov 2023 2,502 23 24 16 37
Forsa 24–30 Sep 2023 2,501 22 23 17 38
Forsa 17–23 Sep 2023 2,504 23 23 17 37
Forsa 10–16 Sep 2023 2,501 22 22 18 38
Forsa 4–9 Sep 2023 2,003 23 22 18 37
Forsa 26–29 Sep 2023 2,004 24 22 17 37
Forsa 19–25 Sep 2023 2,503 24 22 18 36
Forsa 12–18 Sep 2023 2,504 23 21 17 39
Forsa 4–11 Sep 2023 2,505 23 22 17 38
Forsa 29 Aug – 4 Sep 2023 2,506 22 22 17 39
Forsa 22–28 Aug 2023 2,504 22 21 17 40
Forsa 15–21 Aug 2023 2,506 22 21 16 41
Forsa 8–14 Aug 2023 2,501 22 20 16 42
Forsa 1–7 Aug 2023 2,502 22 19 18 41
Forsa 25–31 Jul 2023 2,500 24 21 18 37
Forsa 18–24 Jul 2023 2,504 25 23 17 35
Forsa 11–17 Jul 2023 2,502 25 22 18 35
Forsa 4–7 Jul 2023 2,003 24 22 18 36
Forsa 27 Jun – 3 Jul 2023 2,501 23 23 19 35
Forsa 20–26 Jun 2023 2,506 24 23 19 34
Forsa 13–19 Jun 2023 2,503 26 23 19 32
Forsa 6–12 Jun 2023 2,504 26 23 19 32
Forsa 30 May – 5 Jun 2023 2,505 26 25 19 30
Forsa 23–26 May 2023 2,001 27 25 19 29
Forsa 16–22 May 2023 2,003 27 24 18 31
Forsa 9–15 May 2023 2,503 25 25 18 32
Forsa 2–8 May 2023 2,505 26 24 18 32
Wahlkreisprognose 26–30 Apr 2023 1,400 30 25 13 32
Forsa 25–28 Apr 2023 2,007 25 25 19 31
Forsa 18–24 Apr 2023 2,506 24 26 19 31
Forsa 11–17 Apr 2023 2,508 25 27 18 30
Forsa 4–6 Apr 2023 1,501 24 25 19 32
Forsa 28 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 2,502 24 23 20 33
Forsa 21–27 Mar 2023 2,506 26 24 20 30
Wahlkreisprognose 23–26 Mar 2023 1,200 28 18 14 40
Forsa 14–20 Mar 2023 2,503 28 24 19 29
Forsa 7–13 Mar 2023 2,505 28 23 18 31
Forsa 28 Feb – 6 Mar 2023 2,504 28 23 19 30
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023 1,419 26 17 14 43
Forsa 21–27 Feb 2023 2,501 30 22 18 30
Forsa 14–20 Feb 2023 2,510 28 22 19 31
Forsa 7–13 Feb 2023 2,505 30 22 19 29
Forsa 31 Jan – 6 Feb 2023 2,502 30 22 18 30
Forsa 24–30 Jan 2023 2,503 27 23 19 31
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jan 2023 1,421 26 15 15 44
Forsa 17–23 Jan 2023 2,502 25 24 22 29
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 Jan 2023 1,500 23 23 20 34
Forsa 10–16 Jan 2023 2,500 24 23 23 30
Forsa 3–9 Jan 2023 2,502 24 23 22 31
Forsa 13–19 Dec 2022 2,503 24 22 21 33
Forsa 6–12 Dec 2022 2,506 24 22 22 32
Wahlkreisprognose 7–9 Dec 2022 1,500 26 18 15 41
Forsa 29 Nov – 5 Dec 2022 2,500 24 22 22 32
Forsa 22–28 Nov 2022 2,505 24 22 22 32
Forsa 15–21 Nov 2022 2,502 25 22 22 31
Forsa 8–14 Nov 2022 2,503 24 22 22 32
Wahlkreisprognose 7–8 Nov 2022 1,300 27 17 14 42
Forsa 1–7 Nov 2022 2,502 24 21 20 35
Forsa 25–31 Oct 2022 2,503 25 20 20 35
Forsa 18–24 Oct 2022 2,502 25 20 19 36
Wahlkreisprognose 18–21 Oct 2022 1,910 29 21 16 34
Forsa 11–17 Oct 2022 2,505 24 21 21 34
Forsa 4–10 Oct 2022 2,501 25 20 20 35
Wahlkreisprognose 3–6 Oct 2022 1,923 28 24 16 32
Forsa 27–30 Sep 2022 2,001 23 22 19 36
Forsa 20–26 Sep 2022 2,505 23 23 19 35
Wahlkreisprognose 20–22 Sep 2022 1,700 28 24 17 31
Forsa 13–19 Sep 2022 2,506 23 23 20 34
Forsa 6–13 Sep 2022 2,501 23 23 20 34
Forsa 30 Aug – 5 Sep 2022 2,500 23 21 23 33
Forsa 23–29 Aug 2022 2,503 23 19 24 34
Forsa 16–22 Aug 2022 2,505 26 17 23 34
Forsa 9–15 Aug 2022 2,500 29 17 22 32
Wahlkreisprognose 8–9 May 2022 1,610 38 20 23 19
Wahlkreisprognose 23 Apr 2022 1,007 37 13 24 26

Pistorius vs. Merz

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Pistorius
SPD		 Merz
Union		 Neither
INSA 4–5 Jan 2024 1,004 25 23 52
Wahlkreisprognose 2–4 Jan 2024 1,500 32 28 40
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 2023 1,200 30 29 41
Wahlkreisprognose 22–27 Aug 2023 1,200 41 18 41

Pistorius vs. Söder

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Pistorius
SPD		 Söder
Union		 Neither
INSA 4–5 Jan 2024 1,004 25 34 41

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Baerbock vs. Weidel vs. Wagenknecht

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Scholz
SPD		 Merz
Union		 Baerbock
Grüne		 Weidel
AfD		 Wagenknecht
BSW		 Neither
Wahlkreisprognose 2–4 Jan 2024 1,500 10 22 11 18 8 31
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 2023 1,200 16 19 9 17 8 31
Wahlkreisprognose 23–25 Oct 2023 1,300 18 16 9 14 13 30

Pistorius vs. Merz vs. Baerbock vs. Weidel vs. Wagenknecht

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Pistorius
SPD		 Merz
Union		 Baerbock
Grüne		 Weidel
AfD		 Wagenknecht
BSW		 Neither
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 2023 1,200 31 12 10 16 10 21

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Baerbock vs. Weidel

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Scholz
SPD		 Merz
Union		 Baerbock
Grüne		 Weidel
AfD		 Neither
Wahlkreisprognose 24–25 Sep 2023 1.200 20 16 15 18 31
Forsa 20–26 Jun 2023 2.506 25 23 19 9 24

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Weidel

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Scholz
SPD		 Merz
Union		 Weidel
AfD		 Neither
Wahlkreisprognose 22–27 Aug 2023 1,200 21 15 17 47
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 2023 1,525 24 18 16 42
Wahlkreisprognose 22–25 Jun 2023 1,399 27 15 15 43
Wahlkreisprognose 1–2 Jun 2023 1,100 25 22 16 37
Wahlkreisprognose 26–30 Apr 2023 1,400 34 22 11 33
Wahlkreisprognose 23–26 Mar 2023 1,200 33 18 13 36
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Feb – 1 Mar 2023 1,419 31 15 13 41
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jan 2023 1,421 30 14 14 42
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 Jan 2023 1,500 24 17 16 43
Wahlkreisprognose 7–9 Dec 2022 1,500 31 18 13 38
Wahlkreisprognose 7–8 Nov 2022 1,300 26 18 17 39

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Habeck vs. Weidel

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Scholz
SPD		 Merz
Union		 Habeck
Grüne		 Weidel
AfD		 Neither
Forsa 20–26 Jun 2023 2.506 27 24 17 10 22

Scholz vs. Habeck

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Scholz
SPD		 Habeck
Grüne		 Neither
Wahlkreisprognose 16–18 Aug 2022 1,433 36 32 32
Wahlkreisprognose 6–12 Aug 2022 2,920 38 33 29

Merz vs. Habeck

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Merz
Union		 Habeck
Grüne		 Neither
Wahlkreisprognose 16–18 Aug 2022 1,433 19 30 51
Wahlkreisprognose 6–12 Aug 2022 2,920 18 32 50

Scholz vs. Günther

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Scholz
SPD		 Günther
Union		 Neither
INSA 20 May 2022 1,003 32 12 56

Scholz vs. Röttgen

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Scholz
SPD		 Röttgen
Union		 Neither
Forsa 23–29 Nov 2021 2,509 45 19 36
Forsa 16–22 Nov 2021 2,501 45 20 35
Forsa 9–15 Nov 2021 2,510 45 21 34
Wahlkreisprognose 11–12 Nov 2021 1,004 41 20 39
Forsa 2–8 Nov 2021 2,502 51 20 29

Scholz vs. Braun

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Scholz
SPD		 Braun
Union		 Neither
Forsa 23–29 Nov 2021 2,509 50 11 39
Forsa 16–22 Nov 2021 2,501 50 12 38
Wahlkreisprognose 11–12 Nov 2021 1,004 42 22 36

Scholz vs. Laschet

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Scholz
SPD		 Laschet
Union		 Neither
YouGov 19–23 Nov 2021 2,167 46 6 48
Forsa 26 Oct – 1 Nov 2021 2,501 50 8 42
Forsa 19–25 Oct 2021 2,510 52 8 40
Forsa 12–18 Oct 2021 2,502 53 8 39
Forsa 5–11 Oct 2021 2,503 52 8 40
Forsa 27 Sep – 4 Oct 2021 3,004 52 9 39
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 28–30 Sep 2021 1,249 76 13 11
Infratest dimap 27 Sep 2021 1,084 62 16 22
Forsa 27 Sep 2021 1,006 56 11 33
YouGov 26 Sep 2021 1,596 43 13 43

Scholz vs. Kretschmer

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Scholz
SPD		 Kretschmer
Union		 Neither
Wahlkreisprognose 11–12 Nov 2021 1,004 41 19.5 39.5

Preferred coalition

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 SPD
Grüne		 Union
FDP		 SPD
Grüne
FDP		 Union
SPD		 Union
Grüne		 SPD
Grüne
Linke		 SPD
FDP
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–11 Jan 2024 1,337 13 8 1 19 7 2 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–14 Dec 2023 1,146 13 14 2 16 6 1 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 21–23 Nov 2023 1,242 15 10 1 19 8 2 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 7–9 Nov 2023 1,234 16 9 2 17 10 2 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 17–19 Oct 2023 1,252 13 10 1 18 8 2 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–14 Sep 2023 1,201 18 13 3 14 7 3 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 15–17 Aug 2023 1,288 16 11 3 15 6 2 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 11–13 Jul 2023 1,346 14 11 3 15 8 4 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 27–29 Jun 2023 1,379 17 10 2 19 6 3 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 13–15 Jun 2023 1,224 19 11 3 19 6 2 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 23–25 May 2023 1,257 15 11 3 17 7 4 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 2–4 May 2023 1,225 16 13 3 15 7 3 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 18–20 Apr 2023 1,266 19 12 2 16 9 2 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 28–30 Mar 2023 1,379 18 12 3 15 7 2 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 14–16 Mar 2023 1,146 21 11 4 14 9 2 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 28 Feb – 2 Mar 2023 1,165 19 10 2 17 10 2 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 14–16 Feb 2023 1,361 18 10 3 13 12 3 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 24–26 Jan 2023 1,345 20 10 5 10 11 2 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 10–12 Jan 2023 1,259 19 11 4 12 9 3 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–15 Dec 2022 1,365 21 11 4 11 11 2 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 22–24 Nov 2022 1,273 21 12 3 12 9 2 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 8–10 Nov 2022 1,310 24 9 3 11 11 3 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 18–20 Oct 2022 1,389 23 11 3 11 9 2 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 27–29 Sep 2022 1,355 20 11 5 10 9 3 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 6–8 Sep 2022 1,299 18 13 6 10 9 3 3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–11 Aug 2022 1,389 19 8 6 10 13 4 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–14 Jul 2022 1,167 19 7 5 8 14 2 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 28–30 Jun 2022 1,186 22 8 5 11 15 2 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 13–15 Jun 2022 1,133 20 7 6 10 15 3 3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 17–19 May 2022 1,162 22 8 7 10 16 2 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 26–28 Apr 2022 1,170 21 10 10 10 7 4 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 5–7 Apr 2022 1,230 23 8 9 14 7 4 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 8–10 Mar 2022 1,345 18 11 12 15 5 3 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 21–23 Feb 2022 1,103 17 11 9 12 5 5 3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 8–10 Feb 2022 1,224 16 13 11 15 5 4 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 25–27 Jan 2022 1,249 16 11 11 9 6 4 3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 11–13 Jan 2022 1,128 16 11 12 10 4 5 5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 7–9 Dec 2021 1,303 16 10 12 10 6 4 4

Constituency projections

Direct mandates

Polling firm Release date Union SPD Grüne AfD Linke FDP
election.de 15 Jan 2024 217 20 13 48 1 0
INSA 15 Jan 2024 243 4 8 43 1 0
INSA 8 Jan 2024 253 6 6 34 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 4 Jan 2024 230 4 4 61 0 0
INSA 2 Jan 2024 244 4 10 39 2 0
INSA 27 Dec 2023 242 3 7 46 1 0
INSA 18 Dec 2023 244 5 10 39 1 0
election.de 15 Dec 2023 217 20 13 48 1 0
INSA 11 Dec 2023 230 9 11 48 1 0
INSA 4 Dec 2023 225 9 14 50 1 0
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Nov 2023 221 14 4 60 0 0
INSA 27 Nov 2023 243 6 10 39 1 0
INSA 20 Nov 2023 237 12 13 35 2 0
election.de 15 Nov 2023 203 31 16 47 2 0
INSA 13 Nov 2023 233 12 13 40 1 0
INSA 6 Nov 2023 231 14 14 38 2 0
INSA 30 Oct 2023 242 10 10 36 1 0
INSA 23 Oct 2023 230 15 13 39 2 0
INSA 16 Oct 2023 210 24 11 53 1 0
election.de 15 Oct 2023 190 43 17 47 2 0
INSA 9 Oct 2023 202 23 17 56 1 0
INSA 2 Oct 2023 200 40 16 41 2 0
Wahlkreisprognose 25 Sep 2023 153 62 21 62 1 0
INSA 25 Sep 2023 199 32 15 51 2 0
INSA 18 Sep 2023 198 31 20 48 2 0
INSA 11 Sep 2023 194 30 18 56 1 0
INSA 4 Sep 2023 198 33 17 49 2 0
election.de 1 Sep 2023 185 49 16 47 2 0
INSA 28 Aug 2023 194 30 23 50 2 0
Wahlkreisprognose 28 Aug 2023 151 78 12 57 1 0
INSA 21 Aug 2023 194 35 19 50 1 0
election.de 18 Aug 2023 181 51 18 47 2 0
INSA 14 Aug 2023 189 49 16 43 2 0
INSA 7 Aug 2023 200 53 17 29 0 0
election.de 4 Aug 2023 183 48 19 47 2 0
INSA 31 Jul 2023 198 41 17 41 2 0
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Jul 2023 154 79 13 51 2 0
INSA 24 Jul 2023 201 44 18 34 2 0
election.de 21 Jul 2023 188 46 16 46 3 0
INSA 17 Jul 2023 208 30 19 40 2 0
INSA 10 Jul 2023 210 41 19 27 2 0
election.de 7 Jul 2023 184 49 17 46 3 0
INSA 3 Jul 2023 190 46 23 38 2 0
INSA 26 Jun 2023 197 43 16 41 2 0
Wahlkreisprognose 26 Jun 2023 139 82 19 57 2 0
election.de 23 Jun 2023 189 48 16 43 3 0
INSA 19 Jun 2023 194 47 15 41 2 0
INSA 12 Jun 2023 215 47 15 20 2 0
election.de 9 Jun 2023 190 48 16 42 3 0
INSA 5 Jun 2023 214 47 17 19 2 0
Wahlkreisprognose 2 Jun 2023 168 85 12 32 2 0
INSA 30 May 2023 227 48 13 10 1 0
election.de 26 May 2023 196 49 16 35 3 0
INSA 22 May 2023 217 51 18 11 2 0
INSA 15 May 2023 229 41 19 9 1 0
election.de 12 May 2023 196 49 16 35 3 0
INSA 8 May 2023 225 42 20 10 2 0
INSA 2 May 2023 207 51 22 17 2 0
Wahlkreisprognose 30 Apr 2023 182 75 10 29 3 0
election.de 28 Apr 2023 196 49 18 33 3 0
INSA 24 Apr 2023 218 44 19 17 1 0
INSA 17 Apr 2023 216 48 19 15 1 0
election.de 16 Apr 2023 191 54 19 32 3 0
INSA 11 Apr 2023 212 46 23 17 1 0
INSA 3 Apr 2023 221 48 19 9 2 0
election.de 2 Apr 2023 191 54 19 32 3 0
INSA 27 Mar 2023 214 49 25 10 1 0
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Mar 2023 159 99 14 24 3 0
INSA 20 Mar 2023 224 54 17 3 1 0
election.de 19 Mar 2023 185 60 19 32 3 0
INSA 13 Mar 2023 217 51 20 10 1 0
election.de 10 Mar 2023 193 56 18 29 3 0
INSA 6 Mar 2023 233 37 18 10 1 0
Wahlkreisprognose 1 Mar 2023 192 73 11 22 1 0
INSA 27 Feb 2023 243 36 19 0 1 0
election.de 24 Feb 2023 191 57 19 29 3 0
INSA 20 Feb 2023 223 51 24 0 1 0
INSA 13 Feb 2023 228 45 23 1 2 0
election.de 10 Feb 2023 178 61 25 32 3 0
INSA 6 Feb 2023 203 50 27 17 2 0
INSA 30 Jan 2023 216 39 23 19 2 0
election.de 27 Jan 2023 181 59 27 29 3 0
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Jan 2023 134 109 23 30 3 0
INSA 23 Jan 2023 211 49 26 11 2 0
Wahlkreisprognose 16 Jan 2023 149 93 22 33 2 0
INSA 16 Jan 2023 223 46 25 4 1 0
election.de 13 Jan 2023 181 57 29 29 3 0
INSA 9 Jan 2023 212 45 31 9 2 0
INSA 2 Jan 2023 216 48 32 3 0 0
election.de 30 Dec 2022 179 61 29 27 3 0
INSA 19 Dec 2022 214 50 30 3 2 0
election.de 16 Dec 2022 182 54 31 29 3 0
INSA 12 Dec 2022 214 45 31 7 2 0
Wahlkreisprognose 9 Dec 2022 146 100 20 31 2 0
INSA 5 Dec 2022 219 50 27 1 2 0
election.de 2 Dec 2022 180 55 32 29 3 0
INSA 28 Nov 2022 212 52 33 0 2 0
INSA 21 Nov 2022 210 44 28 15 2 0
election.de 18 Nov 2022 177 55 32 32 3 0
INSA 14 Nov 2022 215 49 30 4 1 0
Wahlkreisprognose 8 Nov 2022 141 113 18 24 3 0
INSA 7 Nov 2022 205 50 33 9 2 0
election.de 4 Nov 2022 174 57 33 32 3 0
INSA 31 Oct 2022 203 51 36 7 2 0
election.de 21 Oct 2022 174 57 33 32 3 0
Wahlkreisprognose 21 Oct 2022 145 96 24 31 3 0
INSA 17 Oct 2022 219 40 36 3 1 0
INSA 10 Oct 2022 212 38 38 8 2 0
election.de 7 Oct 2022 177 54 33 32 3 0
Wahlkreisprognose 6 Oct 2022 149 99 17 31 3 0
INSA 4 Oct 2022 219 35 39 5 1 0
INSA 26 Sep 2022 209 30 39 19 2 0
election.de 23 Sep 2022 180 55 33 28 3 0
Wahlkreisprognose 22 Sep 2022 150 102 19 26 2 0
INSA 19 Sep 2022 211 28 37 17 2 0
INSA 12 Sep 2022 218 35 42 3 1 0
Wahlkreisprognose 11 Sep 2022 154 90 22 30 3 0
election.de 9 Sep 2022 177 59 38 23 2 0
INSA 5 Sep 2022 209 24 44 19 3 0
INSA 29 Aug 2022 206 37 42 12 2 0
election.de 26 Aug 2022 177 60 41 19 2 0
INSA 22 Aug 2022 214 28 45 10 2 0
Wahlkreisprognose 19 Aug 2022 140 73 55 30 1 0
INSA 15 Aug 2022 203 33 48 13 2 0
election.de 12 Aug 2022 174 61 43 19 2 0
Wahlkreisprognose 12 Aug 2022 146 49 69 34 1 0
INSA 8 Aug 2022 215 29 50 3 2 0
INSA 1 Aug 2022 196 32 51 18 2 0
election.de 29 Jul 2022 171 66 42 18 2 0
INSA 25 Jul 2022 196 32 51 18 2 0
Wahlkreisprognose 20 Jul 2022 136 89 52 21 1 0
INSA 18 Jul 2022 197 34 51 15 2 0
election.de 15 Jul 2022 174 69 39 15 2 0
INSA 11 Jul 2022 205 43 46 3 2 0
Wahlkreisprognose 6 Jul 2022 145 94 45 14 1 0
INSA 4 Jul 2022 216 37 43 1 2 0
election.de 1 Jul 2022 175 70 38 14 2 0
INSA 27 Jun 2022 212 42 45 0 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 26 Jun 2022 144 98 37 18 2 0
INSA 20 Jun 2022 216 32 46 3 2 0
election.de 17 Jun 2022 177 70 37 13 2 0
INSA 13 Jun 2022 194 44 45 15 1 0
Wahlkreisprognose 8 Jun 2022 144 94 33 24 4 0
INSA 7 Jun 2022 203 43 47 5 1 0
election.de 3 Jun 2022 178 71 36 12 2 0
Wahlkreisprognose 1 Jun 2022 168 62 57 11 1 0
INSA 30 May 2022 204 49 44 0 2 0
INSA 23 May 2022 213 48 37 1 0 0
election.de 20 May 2022 157 97 31 12 2 0
Wahlkreisprognose 16 May 2022 162 89 34 13 1 0
INSA 16 May 2022 202 46 40 10 1 0
Wahlkreisprognose 9 May 2022 138 100 45 15 1 0
INSA 9 May 2022 209 52 33 3 2 0
election.de 6 May 2022 145 110 28 13 3 0
INSA 2 May 2022 199 62 35 1 2 0
INSA 25 Apr 2022 182 77 30 8 2 0
Wahlkreisprognose 24 Apr 2022 121 128 36 13 1 0
election.de 22 Apr 2022 144 115 24 13 3 0
INSA 19 Apr 2022 182 74 37 4 2 0
INSA 11 Apr 2022 179 83 27 8 2 0
election.de 8 Apr 2022 144 116 23 13 3 0
Wahlkreisprognose 5 Apr 2022 128 134 25 11 1 0
INSA 4 Apr 2022 184 86 27 1 1 0
INSA 28 Mar 2022 165 93 22 16 3 0
election.de 25 Mar 2022 161 104 19 12 3 0
INSA 21 Mar 2022 192 74 27 3 3 0
Wahlkreisprognose 21 Mar 2022 132 133 23 10 1 0
election.de 11 Mar 2022 150 115 19 12 3 0
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Feb 2022 128 131 22 16 2 0
election.de 25 Feb 2022 159 103 18 16 3 0
INSA 21 Feb 2022 213 66 16 2 2 0
Wahlkreisprognose 15 Feb 2022 143 117 20 16 3 0
INSA 14 Feb 2022 203 71 20 3 2 0
election.de 11 Feb 2022 158 103 18 17 3 0
INSA 7 Feb 2022 196 81 19 1 2 0
Wahlkreisprognose 3 Feb 2022 195 63 28 10 3 0
INSA 31 Jan 2022 178 100 18 0 3 0
election.de 28 Jan 2022 133 121 20 21 4 0
INSA 24 Jan 2022 146 129 19 2 3 0
Wahlkreisprognose 18 Jan 2022 124 139 17 16 3 0
INSA 17 Jan 2022 125 140 23 9 2 0
election.de 14 Jan 2022 129 129 19 19 3 0
INSA 10 Jan 2022 128 142 19 8 2 0
INSA 3 Jan 2022 118 137 19 23 2 0
election.de 31 Dec 2021 111 148 20 17 3 0
INSA 20 Dec 2021 108 160 17 11 3 0
Wahlkreisprognose 19 Dec 2021 102 167 12 15 3 0
election.de 17 Dec 2021 109 149 20 18 3 0
INSA 13 Dec 2021 114 153 17 12 3 0
Wahlkreisprognose 6 Dec 2021 75 176 24 21 3 0
INSA 6 Dec 2021 118 145 20 13 3 0
election.de 3 Dec 2021 111 143 22 19 4 0
INSA 29 Nov 2021 112 140 27 13 7 0
Wahlkreisprognose 24 Nov 2021 123 140 16 17 3 0
INSA 22 Nov 2021 122 147 15 12 3 0
election.de 19 Nov 2021 103 153 20 19 4 0
INSA 15 Nov 2021 99 160 20 17 2 0
INSA 8 Nov 2021 110 158 23 5 3 0
Wahlkreisprognose 7 Nov 2021 125 137 16 18 3 0
election.de 5 Nov 2021 101 156 20 18 4 0
INSA 25 Oct 2021 84 176 21 14 3 1
election.de 22 Oct 2021 101 154 20 20 4 0
Wahlkreisprognose 10 Oct 2021 113 145 20 18 3 0
election.de 8 Oct 2021 108 148 20 19 4 0
INSA 4 Oct 2021 94 163 21 19 2 0
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 143 121 16 16 3 0

Direct mandates (including Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht)

Polling firm Release date Union SPD Grüne AfD Linke FDP BSW
Wahlkreisprognose 25 Oct 2023 220 23 7 31 0 0 18
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 143 121 16 16 3 0 –

By probability

Polling firm Release date Union SPD Grüne AfD Linke
Safe Likely Lean Safe Likely Lean Safe Likely Lean Safe Likely Lean Safe Likely Lean
election.de 15 Jan 2024 106 71 40 1 4 15 1 2 10 9 28 11 0 1 0
election.de 15 Dec 2023 107 68 42 1 4 15 1 3 9 9 27 12 0 1 0
election.de 15 Nov 2023 94 72 37 1 6 24 1 4 11 11 25 11 0 1 1
election.de 15 Oct 2023 69 83 38 1 11 31 1 5 11 17 24 6 0 1 1
election.de 1 Sep 2023 65 78 42 2 16 31 1 5 10 16 23 8 0 1 1
election.de 18 Aug 2023 63 74 44 2 23 26 1 5 12 16 22 9 0 1 1
election.de 4 Aug 2023 66 74 43 2 17 29 1 7 11 16 22 9 0 1 1
election.de 21 Jul 2023 73 74 41 1 18 27 1 5 10 9 26 11 0 1 2
election.de 7 Jul 2023 71 73 40 2 18 29 1 6 10 9 25 12 0 1 2
election.de 23 Jun 2023 78 71 40 2 18 28 1 5 10 7 22 14 1 0 2
election.de 9 Jun 2023 85 70 35 1 16 31 1 5 10 2 24 16 1 0 2
election.de 26 May 2023 88 63 45 2 18 29 1 5 10 1 17 17 1 1 1
election.de 12 May 2023 89 62 45 2 18 29 1 6 9 1 16 18 1 1 1
election.de 28 Apr 2023 91 62 43 1 17 31 1 6 11 1 15 17 1 1 1
election.de 16 Apr 2023 85 64 42 2 18 34 1 7 11 1 14 17 1 1 1
election.de 2 Apr 2023 82 63 46 2 20 32 1 7 11 1 15 16 1 1 1
election.de 19 Mar 2023 77 65 43 2 26 32 1 6 12 1 14 17 1 1 1
election.de 10 Mar 2023 83 62 48 2 23 31 1 7 10 1 13 15 1 1 1
election.de 24 Feb 2023 80 63 48 2 25 30 1 7 11 1 13 15 1 1 1
election.de 10 Feb 2023 66 66 46 5 26 30 1 9 15 1 14 17 1 1 1
election.de 27 Jan 2023 69 70 42 3 25 31 1 9 17 1 13 15 1 1 1
election.de 13 Jan 2023 67 70 44 3 25 29 3 11 15 1 13 15 1 1 1
election.de 30 Dec 2022 67 68 44 4 24 33 3 11 15 1 13 13 1 1 1
election.de 16 Dec 2022 71 67 44 2 26 26 3 11 17 1 13 15 1 1 1
election.de 2 Dec 2022 66 71 43 3 24 28 3 12 17 1 13 15 1 1 1
election.de 18 Nov 2022 67 70 40 2 25 28 3 12 17 1 14 17 1 1 1
election.de 4 Nov 2022 61 71 42 4 24 29 3 13 17 1 14 17 1 1 1
election.de 21 Oct 2022 61 70 43 3 24 30 3 13 17 1 14 17 1 1 1
election.de 7 Oct 2022 67 69 41 2 25 27 3 13 17 1 14 17 1 1 1
election.de 23 Sep 2022 66 70 44 2 25 28 3 13 17 0 14 14 1 1 1
election.de 9 Sep 2022 58 71 48 4 21 34 4 14 20 0 10 13 1 1 0
election.de 26 Aug 2022 57 67 53 4 21 35 5 17 19 0 8 11 1 1 0
election.de 12 Aug 2022 53 69 52 4 22 35 5 20 18 0 8 11 1 1 0
election.de 29 Jul 2022 52 64 55 4 28 34 4 17 21 0 8 10 1 1 0
election.de 15 Jul 2022 52 64 58 4 33 32 4 15 20 0 5 10 1 0 1
election.de 1 Jul 2022 51 66 58 5 33 32 4 13 21 0 3 11 1 0 1
election.de 17 Jun 2022 54 64 59 5 35 30 3 13 21 0 1 12 1 0 1
election.de 3 Jun 2022 53 67 58 5 36 30 3 13 20 0 1 11 1 0 1
election.de 20 May 2022 47 51 59 12 44 41 2 12 17 0 4 8 1 0 1
election.de 6 May 2022 44 52 49 15 44 51 2 10 16 0 5 8 1 0 2
election.de 22 Apr 2022 46 51 47 15 46 54 2 9 13 0 6 7 1 1 1
election.de 8 Apr 2022 46 51 47 16 43 57 2 8 13 0 6 7 1 0 2
election.de 25 Mar 2022 51 51 59 12 46 46 2 4 13 0 5 7 1 1 1
election.de 11 Mar 2022 48 51 51 15 44 56 2 4 13 0 4 8 1 1 1
election.de 25 Feb 2022 53 50 56 12 42 49 2 3 13 0 7 9 1 1 1
election.de 11 Feb 2022 49 51 58 12 44 47 2 3 13 0 7 10 1 1 1
election.de 28 Jan 2022 41 50 42 22 42 57 2 6 12 0 9 12 1 1 2
election.de 14 Jan 2022 37 50 42 27 44 58 2 5 12 0 9 10 1 1 1
election.de 31 Dec 2021 30 41 40 31 57 60 2 5 13 1 7 9 1 0 2
election.de 17 Dec 2021 30 41 38 33 58 58 2 5 13 1 7 10 1 1 1
election.de 3 Dec 2021 27 42 42 28 55 60 2 8 12 1 10 8 1 1 2
election.de 19 Nov 2021 26 39 38 35 55 63 2 5 13 1 8 10 1 1 2
election.de 5 Nov 2021 25 35 41 40 57 59 2 6 12 1 9 8 1 0 3
election.de 22 Oct 2021 26 35 40 39 54 61 2 5 13 1 10 9 1 1 2
election.de 8 Oct 2021 28 42 38 30 59 59 2 5 13 1 9 9 1 1 2
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 143 121 16 16 3

Second place

Polling firm Release date SPD Union Grüne AfD Linke FDP FW
election.de 15 Jan 2024 102 72 34 88 3 0 0
election.de 15 Dec 2023 105 72 37 83 2 0 0
election.de 15 Nov 2023 105 81 32 79 2 0 0
election.de 15 Oct 2023 106 84 29 78 2 0 0
election.de 1 Sep 2023 108 89 30 70 2 0 0
election.de 18 Aug 2023 112 91 30 64 2 0 0
election.de 4 Aug 2023 111 90 32 64 2 0 0
election.de 21 Jul 2023 116 86 34 62 1 0 0
election.de 7 Jul 2023 118 89 34 57 1 0 0
election.de 23 Jun 2023 120 85 37 56 1 0 0
election.de 9 Jun 2023 123 87 38 50 1 0 0
election.de 26 May 2023 130 82 44 42 1 0 0
election.de 12 May 2023 132 82 45 39 1 0 0
election.de 28 Apr 2023 135 83 43 37 1 0 0
election.de 16 Apr 2023 132 87 44 35 1 0 0
election.de 2 Apr 2023 132 87 44 35 1 0 0
election.de 19 Mar 2023 133 92 45 27 2 0 0
election.de 10 Mar 2023 136 86 47 28 2 0 0
election.de 24 Feb 2023 137 87 45 28 2 0 0
election.de 10 Feb 2023 137 92 44 24 2 0 0
election.de 27 Jan 2023 128 92 52 25 2 0 0
election.de 13 Jan 2023 127 91 55 24 2 0 0
election.de 30 Dec 2022 126 92 54 25 2 0 0
election.de 16 Dec 2022 125 91 57 24 2 0 0
election.de 2 Dec 2022 123 92 58 24 2 0 0
election.de 18 Nov 2022 121 95 59 22 2 0 0
election.de 4 Nov 2022 123 95 57 22 2 0 0
election.de 21 Oct 2022 122 94 59 22 2 0 0
election.de 7 Oct 2022 119 95 62 21 2 0 0
election.de 23 Sep 2022 118 92 64 23 2 0 0
election.de 9 Sep 2022 117 90 72 16 4 0 0
election.de 26 Aug 2022 116 88 74 18 3 0 0
election.de 12 Aug 2022 117 90 73 15 4 0 0
election.de 29 Jul 2022 122 89 71 13 4 0 0
election.de 15 Jul 2022 124 87 70 14 4 0 0
election.de 1 Jul 2022 124 88 69 14 4 0 0
election.de 17 Jun 2022 129 88 65 13 4 0 0
election.de 3 Jun 2022 132 87 65 11 4 0 0
election.de 20 May 2022 128 99 55 14 3 0 0
election.de 6 May 2022 127 114 43 13 2 0 0
election.de 22 Apr 2022 127 113 42 13 4 0 0
election.de 8 Apr 2022 127 114 42 13 3 0 0
election.de 25 Mar 2022 135 102 42 15 4 1 0
election.de 11 Mar 2022 130 112 41 12 4 0 0
election.de 25 Feb 2022 135 109 35 15 4 0 0
election.de 11 Feb 2022 137 103 38 16 4 0 0
election.de 28 Jan 2022 122 120 40 13 4 0 0
election.de 14 Jan 2022 120 125 36 13 4 1 0
election.de 31 Dec 2021 111 135 35 12 4 2 0
election.de 17 Dec 2021 110 135 34 14 4 2 0
election.de 3 Dec 2021 104 126 46 17 4 2 0
election.de 19 Nov 2021 104 133 41 15 4 2 0
election.de 5 Nov 2021 108 128 41 17 3 2 0
election.de 22 Oct 2021 103 130 40 19 5 2 0
election.de 8 Oct 2021 107 129 39 18 4 2 0
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 129 115 33 14 4 2 2

Notes

  1. ↑ BSW was established as an official political party on 8 January 2024.
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