In the run up to the next Spanish general election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Spain during the term of the 15th Cortes Generales. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 23 July 2023, to the present day.
Voting intention estimates refer mainly to a hypothetical Congress of Deputies election. Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
Electoral polling
Nationwide polling
Graphical summary
Voting intention estimates
The table below lists nationwide voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 176 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Congress of Deputies.
2024
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | .svg.png.webp){kind=logo} |
 |
 |
 |
 |
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.svg.png.webp){kind=small} |
PNV |  |
 |
 |
 |
.svg.png.webp){kind=logo} |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[1] | 29 Dec–5 Jan | 1,132 | ? | 35.0 151 |
32.0 129 |
9.5 21 |
9.4 16 |
1.9 7 |
2.0 8 |
1.7 7 |
1.6 6 |
0.9 2 |
0.1 0 |
0.2 1 |
0.1 0 |
2.4 2 |
3.0 |
2023
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
PNV | |
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KeyData/Público[2] | 31 Dec | ? | 68.5 | 36.4 151 |
30.2 116 |
11.3 28 |
10.9 27 |
1.8 7 |
1.8 7 |
1.4 6 |
1.1 5 |
0.6 1 |
? 1 |
? 1 |
– | [lower-alpha 1] | 6.2 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español[3] | 25–31 Dec | 2,309 | ? | 38.7 154 |
29.2 115 |
11.0 28 |
10.8 25 |
1.1 5 |
1.8 8 |
1.7 7 |
1.0 5 |
0.5 1 |
0.2 1 |
0.2 1 |
– | [lower-alpha 1] | 9.5 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[4] | 23–29 Dec | 1,007 | ? | 35.5 153 |
31.6 129 |
9.7 21 |
9.4 16 |
1.9 7 |
2.0 8 |
1.7 7 |
1.6 6 |
0.9 2 |
0.1 0 |
0.2 1 |
0.1 0 |
2.2 0 |
3.9 |
| Celeste-Tel/Onda Cero[5][6] | 21–27 Dec | 1,100 | 65.5 | 37.0 152 |
30.3 119 |
10.8 26 |
10.1 22 |
1.9 8 |
1.8 8 |
1.5 6 |
1.1 6 |
0.7 1 |
0.4 1 |
0.2 1 |
– | 1.1 0 |
6.7 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[7] | 15–26 Dec | 2,992 | ? | 37.2 152 |
29.8 114 |
11.2 23 |
11.8 30 |
2.0 8 |
1.6 7 |
1.1 6 |
1.1 5 |
0.6 2 |
0.5 1 |
0.2 1 |
– | [lower-alpha 1] | 7.4 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[8] | 16–22 Dec | 1,093 | ? | 35.1 150 |
31.4 125 |
10.3 22 |
10.2 22 |
1.9 7 |
2.0 8 |
1.7 7 |
1.6 6 |
0.8 2 |
0.1 0 |
0.2 1 |
0.1 0 |
2.1 0 |
3.7 |
| NC Report/La Razón[9] | 12–16 Dec | 1,000 | 64.8 | 37.1 152/154 |
30.1 117/120 |
11.0 24/26 |
10.9 25/27 |
1.7 7 |
1.8 7 |
1.3 6 |
1.1 5 |
0.6 1 |
0.4 1 |
0.2 1 |
– | [lower-alpha 1] | 7.0 |
| DYM/Henneo[10] | 13–15 Dec | 1,011 | ? | 37.1 152/156 |
29.9 112/116 |
11.0 27/31 |
8.8 20/23 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.3 2/3 |
7.2 |
| Invymark/laSexta[11] | 11–15 Dec | ? | ? | 36.1 | 33.2 | 10.0 | 9.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 2.9 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[12] | 9–15 Dec | 1,180 | ? | 34.9 150 |
31.3 125 |
10.6 22 |
9.9 22 |
1.9 7 |
2.0 8 |
1.7 7 |
1.6 6 |
0.8 2 |
0.1 0 |
0.2 1 |
0.1 0 |
2.2 0 |
3.6 |
| Simple Lógica/elDiario.es[13] | 1–11 Dec | 1,003 | 71.6 | 35.5 | 29.6 | 12.3 | 12.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 5.9 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[14] | 6–8 Dec | 1,250 | ? | 35.4 151 |
31.2 125 |
10.5 22 |
9.4 19 |
1.9 7 |
1.9 8 |
1.6 7 |
1.5 6 |
0.8 2 |
0.2 0 |
0.2 1 |
0.1 0 |
2.6 2 |
4.2 |
| CIS (Logoslab)[lower-alpha 2][15] | 1–7 Dec | 4,613 | ? | 37.0 153 |
29.0 111 |
10.8 24 |
12.3 34 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 8.0 |
| CIS[16][17] | ? | 33.2 | 31.8 | 8.5 | 11.8 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 1.4 | ||
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[18] | 24 Nov–2 Dec | 1,233 | ? | 34.9 146 |
31.7 121 |
11.2 28 |
11.3 24 |
1.9 7 |
2.0 8 |
1.7 7 |
1.6 6 |
0.9 2 |
0.2 0 |
0.2 1 |
0.1 0 |
[lower-alpha 1] | 3.2 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[19] | 27 Nov–1 Dec | 1,784 | ? | 37.4 153 |
30.5 118 |
11.4 25 |
11.1 27 |
2.1 7 |
1.4 6 |
1.1 6 |
1.1 5 |
0.6 1 |
0.5 1 |
0.2 1 |
– | [lower-alpha 1] | 6.9 |
| 40dB/Prisa[20][21] | 24–27 Nov | 2,000 | ? | 35.0 139/150 |
30.5 112/127 |
11.5 24/34 |
11.3 24/32 |
? 7 |
? 8 |
? 6 |
? 5 |
? 1 |
? 1 |
? 1 |
– | [lower-alpha 1] | 4.5 |
| Sigma Dos/Antena 3[22] | 17–27 Nov | 1,654 | ? | 37.3 150/152 |
? 115/117 |
11.4 24/26 |
11.3 28/30 |
2.1 8/9 |
1.4 6 |
? 6 |
? 5 |
– | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | ? |
| KeyData/Público[23] | 25 Nov | ? | 67.5 | 36.2 149 |
30.8 118 |
11.3 27 |
11.4 27 |
1.7 7 |
1.8 8 |
1.4 6 |
1.1 5 |
0.6 1 |
? 1 |
? 1 |
– | [lower-alpha 1] | 5.4 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español[24] | 20–24 Nov | 2,109 | ? | 38.7 155 |
30.1 117 |
10.6 26 |
10.2 24 |
1.1 5 |
2.1 9 |
1.7 7 |
0.8 4 |
0.5 1 |
0.3 1 |
0.3 1 |
– | [lower-alpha 1] | 8.6 |
| GESOP/Prensa Ibérica[25] | 21–23 Nov | 1,002 | ? | 35.2 145/150 |
27.3 105/110 |
12.5 30/35 |
12.5 30/35 |
2.0 7/8 |
2.0 7/8 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 7.9 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[26] | 18–23 Nov | 1,524 | ? | 34.4 148 |
31.8 125 |
10.8 24 |
11.2 25 |
1.8 6 |
1.9 8 |
1.6 6 |
1.5 6 |
0.7 1 |
0.1 0 |
0.2 1 |
0.1 0 |
[lower-alpha 1] | 2.6 |
| Hamalgama Métrica/VozPópuli[27] | 17–23 Nov | 1,000 | ? | 36.2 151 |
30.7 113 |
11.8 30 |
11.0 27 |
1.9 8 |
1.7 7 |
1.4 6 |
1.2 5 |
0.6 1 |
0.4 1 |
0.2 1 |
– | [lower-alpha 1] | 5.5 |
| DYM/Henneo[28] | 17–18 Nov | 1,004 | ? | 36.9 149/155 |
29.0 108/112 |
11.1 28/32 |
11.1 26/30 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 7.9 |
| GAD3/Mediaset[29][30] | 16–17 Nov | 1,008 | ? | 36.3 147/153 |
28.8 108/114 |
11.6 27/31 |
11.7 26/30 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 7.5 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[31] | 13–17 Nov | 1,419 | ? | 34.5 145 |
31.1 117 |
11.5 28 |
12.0 30 |
1.9 7 |
1.9 8 |
1.7 7 |
1.6 6 |
0.7 1 |
0.2 0 |
0.2 1 |
0.1 0 |
[lower-alpha 1] | 3.4 |
| Invymark/laSexta[32] | 13–17 Nov | ? | ? | 36.0 | 32.9 | 9.7 | 9.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 3.1 |
| Simple Lógica/elDiario.es[33] | 2–13 Nov | 1,021 | 72.3 | 35.9 | 30.3 | 11.6 | 11.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 5.6 |
| Celeste-Tel/Onda Cero[34][35] | 6–10 Nov | 1,100 | 66.0 | 36.5 151 |
30.6 118 |
10.9 26 |
11.3 25 |
2.0 8 |
1.9 8 |
1.5 6 |
1.1 6 |
0.7 1 |
0.3 0 |
0.2 1 |
– | [lower-alpha 1] | 5.9 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[36] | 4–10 Nov | 2,549 | ? | 35.0 147 |
31.1 117 |
11.6 29 |
11.6 27 |
1.8 7 |
1.8 8 |
1.7 7 |
1.6 6 |
0.7 1 |
0.2 0 |
0.2 1 |
0.2 0 |
[lower-alpha 1] | 3.9 |
| CIS[37][38] | 31 Oct–6 Nov | 4,090 | ? | 33.9 | 31.3 | 10.0 | 11.8 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 2.6 |
| NC Report/La Razón[39] | 31 Oct–4 Nov | 1,000 | 65.0 | 35.8 146/149 |
31.0 119/122 |
11.2 27/29 |
11.0 25/27 |
1.8 7 |
1.8 8 |
1.4 6 |
1.0 5 |
0.6 1 |
– | 0.2 1 |
– | [lower-alpha 1] | 4.8 |
| Invymark/laSexta[40] | 30 Oct–3 Nov | ? | ? | 37.2 | 31.1 | 9.5 | 9.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 6.1 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[41] | 30 Oct–3 Nov | 1,788 | ? | 36.7 151 |
31.2 123 |
10.9 22 |
11.2 27 |
1.9 7 |
1.5 6 |
1.2 6 |
1.1 5 |
0.6 1 |
0.5 1 |
0.2 1 |
– | [lower-alpha 1] | 5.5 |
| GAD3/ABC[42][43] | 30 Oct–3 Nov | 1,001 | ? | 35.5 146 |
29.7 116 |
11.6 28 |
12.0 30 |
1.8 7 |
2.0 8 |
1.4 6 |
1.1 5 |
0.7 2 |
? 1 |
? 1 |
– | [lower-alpha 1] | 5.8 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[44] | 27 Oct–3 Nov | 1,156 | ? | 34.4 145 |
31.7 119 |
11.4 28 |
11.6 27 |
1.9 7 |
2.0 8 |
1.8 7 |
1.6 6 |
0.9 2 |
0.2 0 |
0.2 1 |
0.0 0 |
[lower-alpha 1] | 2.7 |
| 40dB/Prisa[45][46] | 27–30 Oct | 2,000 | ? | 34.7 138/151 |
31.2 114/128 |
11.2 22/33 |
11.7 24/33 |
? 7 |
? 8 |
? 6 |
? 5 |
? 1 |
? 1 |
? 1 |
– | [lower-alpha 1] | 3.5 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español[47] | 25–27 Oct | 2,600 | ? | 37.8 153 |
30.2 117 |
11.0 26 |
11.0 25 |
1.1 5 |
2.1 9 |
1.6 7 |
1.0 5 |
0.6 1 |
0.3 1 |
0.3 1 |
– | [lower-alpha 1] | 7.6 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[48] | 20–27 Oct | 1,462 | ? | 34.2 143 |
32.1 121 |
11.2 27 |
11.8 27 |
1.8 7 |
1.9 8 |
1.7 7 |
1.6 6 |
0.9 2 |
0.2 0 |
0.2 1 |
0.3 1 |
[lower-alpha 1] | 2.1 |
| Hamalgama Métrica/VozPópuli[49] | 20–26 Oct | 1,000 | ? | 35.6 146 |
31.3 117 |
12.1 32 |
11.2 27 |
1.7 7 |
1.7 7 |
1.3 6 |
1.1 5 |
0.7 1 |
0.4 1 |
0.2 1 |
– | [lower-alpha 1] | 4.3 |
| DYM/Henneo[50] | 18–22 Oct | 1,035 | ? | 34.9 142/146 |
32.6 122/126 |
12.4 30/34 |
10.3 23/27 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 2.3 |
| Invymark/laSexta[40] | 16–20 Oct | ? | ? | 34.7 | 32.6 | 10.1 | 10.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 2.1 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[51] | 13–20 Oct | 1,410 | ? | 33.8 143 |
32.2 122 |
10.5 21 |
12.5 32 |
1.8 7 |
1.9 8 |
1.8 7 |
1.7 6 |
0.9 2 |
0.2 0 |
0.2 1 |
0.3 1 |
[lower-alpha 1] | 1.6 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[52] | 7–13 Oct | 1,145 | ? | 33.4 141 |
32.1 122 |
10.4 21 |
13.2 34 |
1.9 7 |
1.9 8 |
1.8 7 |
1.6 6 |
0.8 2 |
0.1 0 |
0.2 1 |
0.3 1 |
[lower-alpha 1] | 1.3 |
| Sigma Dos/Antena 3[53] | 4–11 Oct | 1,440 | ? | ? 144/146 |
? 117/119 |
? 26/27 |
? 29/31 |
? 8/9 |
? 6/7 |
? 6 |
? 5 |
– | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | ? |
| Simple Lógica/elDiario.es[54] | 2–10 Oct | 1,010 | 69.4 | 34.1 | 32.3 | 10.7 | 12.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 1.8 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[55] | 1–7 Oct | 1,226 | ? | 32.6 137 |
32.1 121 |
10.5 24 |
13.7 36 |
1.9 7 |
1.9 8 |
1.8 7 |
1.6 6 |
0.8 2 |
0.2 0 |
0.2 1 |
0.3 1 |
[lower-alpha 1] | 0.5 |
| CIS[56][57] | 2–6 Oct | 4,031 | ? | 32.2 | 32.6 | 10.1 | 12.7 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 0.4 |
| KeyData/Público[58] | 5 Oct | ? | 66.0 | 34.9 143 |
31.8 122 |
11.7 29 |
11.6 28 |
1.7 7 |
1.8 7 |
1.4 6 |
1.0 5 |
0.7 1 |
? 1 |
? 1 |
– | [lower-alpha 1] | 3.1 |
| Target Point/El Debate[59] | 2–4 Oct | 1,003 | ? | 34.5 141/143 |
30.8 117/119 |
11.9 30/32 |
11.8 28/30 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 3.7 |
| 40dB/Prisa[60][61] | 29 Sep–2 Oct | 2,000 | ? | 34.2 134/147 |
32.1 117/128 |
11.7 27/34 |
11.1 23/29 |
? 7 |
? 8 |
? 6 |
? 5 |
? 1 |
? 1 |
? 1 |
– | [lower-alpha 1] | 2.1 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[62] | 23–29 Sep | 1,132 | ? | 31.9 133 |
32.1 122 |
10.8 26 |
14.1 37 |
1.9 7 |
1.9 8 |
1.8 7 |
1.6 6 |
0.8 2 |
0.3 0 |
0.2 1 |
0.3 1 |
[lower-alpha 1] | 0.2 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[63] | 25–28 Sep | 2,120 | ? | 36.1 147 |
30.8 118 |
11.3 26 |
12.5 32 |
1.8 7 |
1.6 6 |
1.2 6 |
1.0 5 |
0.6 1 |
0.5 1 |
0.2 1 |
– | [lower-alpha 1] | 5.3 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español[64] | 21–23 Sep | 1,429 | ? | 37.0 149 |
30.9 119 |
11.6 28 |
10.8 26 |
1.4 6 |
1.9 8 |
1.5 6 |
0.9 5 |
0.6 1 |
0.4 1 |
0.3 1 |
– | [lower-alpha 1] | 6.1 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[65] | 16–22 Sep | 1,002 | ? | 31.9 132 |
32.3 124 |
11.0 26 |
14.1 38 |
1.8 6 |
1.8 8 |
1.7 6 |
1.6 6 |
0.8 2 |
0.3 0 |
0.2 1 |
0.3 1 |
[lower-alpha 1] | 0.4 |
| Hamalgama Métrica/VozPópuli[66] | 15–21 Sep | 1,000 | ? | 35.4 145 |
30.9 118 |
11.9 32 |
11.5 28 |
1.6 6 |
1.7 7 |
1.4 6 |
1.0 5 |
0.7 1 |
0.4 1 |
0.2 1 |
– | [lower-alpha 1] | 4.5 |
| DYM/Henneo[67] | 14–17 Sep | 1,003 | ? | 34.1 138/144 |
32.3 120/126 |
12.1 30/34 |
10.9 25/29 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 1.8 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[68] | 9–15 Sep | 1,421 | ? | 32.1 134 |
32.5 124 |
11.1 26 |
14.0 38 |
1.6 6 |
1.7 7 |
1.6 5 |
1.5 6 |
0.8 2 |
0.3 0 |
0.2 1 |
0.3 1 |
[lower-alpha 1] | 0.4 |
| CIS[69][70] | 1–12 Sep | 10,104 | ? | 31.7 | 33.5 | 11.1 | 11.9 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 1.8 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[71] | 2–9 Sep | 1,215 | ? | 32.5 132 |
33.2 124 |
11.6 30 |
14.0 36 |
1.6 6 |
1.6 7 |
1.6 5 |
1.4 6 |
0.8 2 |
0.3 0 |
0.2 1 |
0.3 1 |
[lower-alpha 1] | 0.7 |
| Simple Lógica/elDiario.es[72] | 1–7 Sep | 1,032 | 70.9 | 33.6 | 31.8 | 11.7 | 12.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 1.8 |
| NC Report/La Razón[73] | 28 Aug–1 Sep | 1,000 | 64.8 | 35.5 143/146 |
31.0 121/124 |
11.4 27/29 |
11.2 26/28 |
1.7 6/7 |
1.7 7 |
1.4 6 |
1.1 5 |
– | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 4.5 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[74] | 25 Aug–1 Sep | 1,317 | ? | 32.6 131 |
33.4 127 |
11.6 30 |
14.0 36 |
1.5 6 |
1.5 5 |
1.6 6 |
1.3 5 |
0.8 2 |
0.3 0 |
0.2 1 |
0.3 1 |
[lower-alpha 1] | 0.8 |
| 40dB/Prisa[75][76] | 25–28 Aug | 2,000 | ? | 33.8 132/149 |
32.3 121/131 |
10.9 21/33 |
12.0 26/34 |
? 7 |
? 6 |
? 6 |
? 5 |
? 1 |
? 1 |
? 1 |
– | [lower-alpha 1] | 1.5 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[77] | 12–25 Aug | 1,928 | ? | 32.7 132 |
33.5 127 |
11.7 30 |
13.9 36 |
1.4 5 |
1.5 5 |
1.5 6 |
1.2 5 |
0.8 2 |
0.3 0 |
0.2 1 |
0.3 1 |
[lower-alpha 1] | 0.8 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[78] | 17–24 Aug | 1,933 | ? | 34.2 140 |
31.7 119 |
12.7 32 |
12.4 31 |
1.8 7 |
1.5 6 |
1.3 7 |
1.0 4 |
0.7 2 |
0.5 1 |
0.2 1 |
– | [lower-alpha 1] | 2.5 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[79] | 12–18 Aug | 1,566 | ? | 32.8 133 |
33.6 128 |
11.8 29 |
13.7 35 |
1.4 5 |
1.6 7 |
1.5 6 |
1.2 5 |
0.7 1 |
0.3 0 |
0.2 1 |
0.2 0 |
[lower-alpha 1] | 0.8 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[80] | 5–11 Aug | 1,305 | ? | 32.5 132 |
33.4 128 |
12.1 29 |
13.6 36 |
1.4 5 |
1.6 7 |
1.5 6 |
1.2 4 |
0.7 1 |
0.3 1 |
0.2 1 |
0.2 0 |
[lower-alpha 1] | 0.9 |
| Simple Lógica/elDiario.es[81] | 31 Jul–7 Aug | 1,098 | 74.7 | 31.9 | 31.2 | 12.9 | 12.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 0.7 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[82] | 26 Jul–4 Aug | ? | ? | 32.3 130 |
33.2 129 |
12.3 31 |
13.4 34 |
1.5 6 |
1.7 7 |
1.5 6 |
1.2 5 |
0.5 0 |
0.4 1 |
0.2 1 |
0.2 0 |
[lower-alpha 1] | 0.9 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[83] | 24–25 Jul | 1,517 | ? | 31.8 129 |
33.0 127 |
12.7 32 |
13.1 34 |
1.6 6 |
1.8 8 |
1.4 6 |
1.2 5 |
0.6 1 |
0.5 1 |
0.2 1 |
0.2 0 |
[lower-alpha 1] | 1.2 |
| 2023 general election | 23 Jul | — | 70.4 | 33.1 137 |
31.7 121 |
12.4 33 |
12.3 31 |
1.9 7 |
1.7 7 |
1.4 6 |
1.1 5 |
0.6 1 |
0.5 1 |
0.2 1 |
0.2 0 |
[lower-alpha 1] | 1.4 |
Voting preferences
The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
PNV | |
|
|
|
.svg.png.webp){kind=small} |
 |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SocioMétrica/El Español[3] | 25–31 Dec 2023 | 2,309 | 27.7 | 24.7 | 10.1 | 11.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3.0 |
| DYM/Henneo[84] | 13–15 Dec 2023 | 1,011 | 29.5 | 21.8 | 8.0 | 6.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.9 | 12.6 | 8.8 | 7.7 |
| Simple Lógica/elDiario.es[13] | 1–11 Dec 2023 | 1,003 | 24.0 | 20.2 | 7.1 | 8.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 16.6 | 16.2 | 3.8 |
| CIS[16] | 1–7 Dec 2023 | 4,613 | 25.0 | 23.1 | 6.7 | 10.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | [lower-alpha 1] | 16.2 | 7.2 | 1.9 |
| 40dB/Prisa[21] | 24–27 Nov 2023 | 2,000 | 25.4 | 23.4 | 10.9 | 10.9 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | [lower-alpha 1] | 9.4 | 6.3 | 2.0 |
| GESOP/Prensa Ibérica[25] | 21–23 Nov 2023 | 1,002 | 26.1 | 20.3 | 7.2 | 10.0 | 1.3 | 1.5 | – | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 14.4 | 15.3 | 5.8 |
| DYM/Henneo[85] | 17–18 Nov 2023 | 1,004 | 31.7 | 21.4 | 8.3 | 8.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 11.1 | 6.4 | 10.3 |
| Simple Lógica/elDiario.es[33] | 2–13 Nov 2023 | 1,021 | 26.3 | 18.7 | 6.7 | 10.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 13.9 | 15.8 | 7.6 |
| CIS[37] | 31 Oct–6 Nov 2023 | 4,090 | 26.8 | 24.0 | 6.7 | 9.5 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | [lower-alpha 1] | 15.5 | 6.6 | 2.8 |
| 40dB/Prisa[46] | 27–30 Oct 2023 | 2,000 | 25.2 | 23.8 | 10.6 | 10.3 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | [lower-alpha 1] | 10.3 | 7.3 | 1.4 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español[47] | 25–27 Oct 2023 | 2,600 | 28.9 | 25.4 | 9.2 | 11.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | – | – | 3.5 |
| Hamalgama Métrica/VozPópuli[49] | 20–26 Oct 2023 | 1,000 | 24.0 | 22.2 | 7.8 | 7.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | – | – | 1.8 |
| DYM/Henneo[86] | 18–22 Oct 2023 | 1,035 | 31.3 | 26.5 | 8.4 | 6.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 10.3 | 4.7 | 4.8 |
| Simple Lógica/elDiario.es[54] | 2–10 Oct 2023 | 1,010 | 21.0 | 23.7 | 7.3 | 10.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 14.0 | 18.1 | 2.7 |
| CIS[56] | 2–6 Oct 2023 | 4,031 | 26.4 | 24.1 | 6.4 | 11.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | [lower-alpha 1] | 15.7 | 5.0 | 2.3 |
| 40dB/Prisa[61] | 29 Sep–2 Oct 2023 | 2,000 | 24.6 | 25.0 | 10.8 | 10.4 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | [lower-alpha 1] | 9.5 | 6.6 | 0.4 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español[64] | 21–23 Sep 2023 | 1,429 | 26.7 | 22.9 | 7.5 | 8.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | – | – | 3.8 |
| DYM/Henneo[67] | 14–17 Sep 2023 | 1,003 | 30.2 | 23.3 | 10.8 | 7.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 11.0 | 6.8 | 6.9 |
| CIS[69] | 1–12 Sep 2023 | 10,104 | 22.8 | 26.6 | 6.7 | 12.2 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | [lower-alpha 1] | 17.9 | 4.3 | 3.8 |
| Simple Lógica/elDiario.es[72] | 1–7 Sep 2023 | 1,032 | 20.2 | 24.4 | 7.3 | 10.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 15.0 | 16.5 | 4.2 |
| 40dB/Prisa[76] | 25–28 Aug 2023 | 2,000 | 23.1 | 26.7 | 10.3 | 12.4 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | [lower-alpha 1] | 9.4 | 6.2 | 3.6 |
| Simple Lógica/elDiario.es[81] | 31 Jul–7 Aug 2023 | 1,098 | 20.3 | 26.4 | 7.6 | 13.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [lower-alpha 1] | 10.4 | 12.3 | 6.1 |
| 2023 general election | 23 Jul 2023 | — | 23.0 | 22.1 | 8.6 | 8.6 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | [lower-alpha 1] | — | 29.6 | 0.9 |
Sub-national polling
Basque Country
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |  |
PNV | |
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[87] | 13–15 Sep 2023 | 800 | ? | 25.1 5 |
23.1 5 |
24.2 5 |
12.3 2 |
11.2 1 |
2.9 0 |
0.9 |
| 2023 general election | 23 Jul 2023 | — | 65.1 | 25.3 5 |
24.0 5 |
23.9 5 |
11.6 2 |
11.1 1 |
2.6 0 |
1.3 |
Catalonia
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |  |
|
|
|
|
|
 |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GESOP/CEO[88] | 9 Oct–7 Nov 2023 | 2,000 | ? | 29.0– 33.0 15/18 |
10.0– 13.0 3/6 |
17.0– 21.0 9/11 |
14.0– 17.0 7/10 |
10.0– 12.0 5/8 |
5.0– 7.0 1/2 |
2.0– 3.0 1 |
12.0 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[89] | 7–9 Sep 2023 | 1,000 | ? | 33.6 18 |
14.5 7 |
14.4 6 |
12.4 7 |
12.5 8 |
7.0 2 |
– | 19.1 |
| 2023 general election | 23 Jul 2023 | — | 62.7 | 34.5 19 |
14.0 7 |
13.3 6 |
13.2 7 |
11.2 7 |
7.8 2 |
2.8 0 |
20.5 |
Galicia
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | |
 |
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[90][91] | 18–26 Oct 2023 | 1,223 | 74.0 | 44.5 13 |
27.3 6 |
10.4 2 |
10.3 2 |
4.9 0 |
17.2 |
| 2023 general election | 23 Jul 2023 | — | 61.4 | 43.6 13 |
29.8 7 |
10.9 2 |
9.4 1 |
4.9 0 |
13.8 |
Murcia
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | |
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCAM[92] | 4–14 Dec 2023 | 800 | 65.2 | 44.4 5 |
23.8 2 |
21.9 2 |
8.1 1 |
20.6 |
| 2023 general election | 23 Jul 2023 | — | 68.7 | 41.2 4 |
25.3 3 |
21.8 2 |
9.6 1 |
15.9 |
Leadership polling
Notes
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 Within Sumar.
- ↑ Alternative projection based on raw CIS data.
References
- ↑ "EP (7ene): bajada del PP y Podemos en el filo dentro del Congreso". Electomanía (in Spanish). 7 January 2024.
- ↑ "Las encuestas apuntan, al cierre de 2023, a una mayoría de la derecha tras su fracaso en el 23J". Público (in Spanish). 31 December 2023.
- 1 2 "El PP ganaría las europeas con casi 9 puntos sobre el PSOE y Podemos lograría dos escaños". El Español (in Spanish). 7 January 2024.
- ↑ "ElectoPanel (31dic): el bipartidismo se refuerza". Electomanía (in Spanish). 31 December 2023.
- ↑ "La derecha gobernaría impulsada por la fortaleza del PP". Onda Cero (in Spanish). 8 January 2024.
- ↑ "Estudio electoral de expectiva de voto al Congreso de los Diputados. Ámbito nacional. 27 de diciembre de 2023" (PDF). Celeste-Tel (in Spanish). 8 January 2024.
- ↑ "La amnistía lastra al PSOE: Feijóo amplía su ventaja y los votantes de Sánchez no apoyan el perdón al 'procés'". El Mundo (in Spanish). 2 January 2024.
- ↑ "ElectoPanel (24dic): sin mayorías para los bloques". Electomanía (in Spanish). 24 December 2023.
- ↑ "Feijóo consolida una mayoría absoluta de la derecha pese al hundimiento de Vox". La Razón (in Spanish). 18 December 2023.
- ↑ "Encuesta DYM. Un tercio de los votantes del PSOE se replantearía su voto tras la amnistía y el pacto para dar Pamplona a Bildu". 20 minutos (in Spanish). 20 December 2023.
- ↑ "Barómetro laSexta. El PP ganaría las elecciones con un 36,1% del voto decidido". laSexta (in Spanish). 17 December 2023.
- ↑ "EP (17dic): Podemos baja y se quedaría fuera del Congreso". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 December 2023.
- 1 2 "El PP frena su ascenso pero mantiene la ventaja sobre el PSOE y Vox adelanta a Sumar". elDiario.es (in Spanish). 18 December 2023.
- ↑ "ElectoPanel (10dic): caída de Sumar tras la salida de Podemos, que lograría representación". Electomanía (in Spanish). 10 December 2023.
- ↑ "La amnistía pasa factura: la derecha avanza y la izquierda sufre en el centro". infoLibre (in Spanish). 23 December 2023.
- 1 2 "Barómetro de diciembre 2023 (Estudio nº 3431. Diciembre 2023)". CIS (in Spanish). 21 December 2023.
- ↑ "Estimación de voto (Estudio nº 3431. Barómetro de diciembre 2023)". CIS (in Spanish). 21 December 2023.
- ↑ "ElectoPanel (3Dic): subida de Vox y nacionalistas en escaños". Electomanía (in Spanish). 3 December 2023.
- ↑ "PP y Vox suman mayoría absoluta por primera vez desde el 23-J". El Mundo (in Spanish). 11 December 2023.
- ↑ "La derecha alcanzaría la mayoría absoluta por primera vez desde el 23-J". El País (in Spanish). 4 December 2023.
- 1 2 "Barómetro Mensual. Diciembre 2023" (PDF). 40dB (in Spanish). 5 December 2023.
- ↑ "El PP ganaría las elecciones generales con 13-15 escaños más que en el 23J, según la encuesta de Sigma Dos". Antena 3 (in Spanish). 28 November 2023.
- ↑ "Las encuestas señalan un reforzamiento del bipartidismo de PP y PSOE". Público (in Spanish). 25 November 2023.
- ↑ "El PP ganaría al PSOE por 7,6 puntos y cinco escaños si las elecciones europeas se celebrasen hoy". El Español (in Spanish). 27 November 2023.
- 1 2 "Encuesta elecciones generales España: el PP crece y el PSOE cae tras los pactos de investidura de Sánchez". El Periódico de España (in Spanish). 26 November 2023.
- ↑ "ElectoPanel (26N): bajada de Sumar, que aprovechan PSOE y PP". Electomanía (in Spanish). 26 November 2023.
- ↑ "El clamor en la calle por la amnistía pasa factura a Sánchez y catapulta al PP hasta los 151 escaños". VozPópuli (in Spanish). 27 November 2023.
- ↑ "Encuesta DYM. La amnistía y los pactos de investidura castigan al PSOE e impulsan al PP en intención de voto". 20 minutos (in Spanish). 22 November 2023.
- ↑ "Solo un 31% de los españoles confía en que Pedro Sánchez agote los cuatro años de legislatura, según una encuesta de GAD3 para Mediaset España". Telecinco (in Spanish). 22 November 2023.
- ↑ "Barómetro Mediaset. Estimación elecciones generales". GAD3 (in Spanish). 20 November 2023.
- ↑ "ElectoPanel (19N): descenso de Vox". Electomanía (in Spanish). 19 November 2023.
- ↑ "Barómetro laSexta. El PP ganaría las elecciones con un 36% de los votos, tres puntos más que el 23J". laSexta (in Spanish). 19 November 2023.
- 1 2 "La negociación de la amnistía lastra al PSOE y coloca al PP con más de cinco puntos de ventaja". elDiario.es (in Spanish). 18 November 2023.
- ↑ "El PP se dispara hasta los 151 escaños". Onda Cero (in Spanish). 21 November 2023.
- ↑ "Estudio electoral de expectiva de voto al Congreso de los Diputados. Ámbito nacional. 13 de noviembre de 2023" (PDF). Celeste-Tel (in Spanish). 21 November 2023.
- ↑ "ElectoPanel (12N): la derecha lograría hoy la absoluta". Electomanía (in Spanish). 12 November 2023.
- 1 2 "Barómetro de noviembre 2023 (Estudio nº 3427. Noviembre 2023)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 10 November 2023.
- ↑ "Estimación de voto (Estudio nº 3427. Barómetro de noviembre 2023)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 10 November 2023.
- ↑ "PSOE y Sumar pierden más de 700.000 votantes desde las elecciones del 23 de julio". La Razón (in Spanish). 6 November 2023.
- 1 2 "El PP se mantiene en cabeza y ganaría las elecciones con un 37,2%, según el barómetro de laSexta". laSexta (in Spanish). 6 November 2023.
- ↑ "El PP se dispararía en las urnas pero le faltaría un escaño para gobernar". El Mundo (in Spanish). 6 November 2023.
- ↑ "El bloque de investidura de Feijóo llega a la mayoría absoluta justa". ABC (in Spanish). 5 November 2023.
- ↑ "[G] ESPAÑA. Encuesta GAD3 05/11/2023: PP 35,5% (146), PSOE 29,7% (116), SUMAR 12,0% (30), VOX 11,6% (28)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 5 November 2023.
- ↑ "ElectoPanel (5Nov): Puigdemont suma apoyos". Electomanía (in Spanish). 5 November 2023.
- ↑ "El PSOE pierde fuelle frente a un PP al alza desde el 23-J". El País (in Spanish). 6 November 2023.
- 1 2 "Barómetro Mensual. Noviembre 2023" (PDF). 40dB (in Spanish). 6 November 2023.
- 1 2 "Feijóo tendría hoy mayoría absoluta con Vox mientras Junts abre la brecha com ERC y Bildu con el PNV". El Español (in Spanish). 29 October 2023.
- ↑ "ElectoPanel (29oct): Vox y Sumar igualan sus fuerzas". Electomanía (in Spanish). 29 October 2023.
- 1 2 "El PP (146) amplía su ventaja y se asegura con Vox (32) la mayoría absoluta si se repiten las elecciones". VozPópuli (in Spanish). 30 October 2023.
- ↑ "Encuesta DYM. El PP agranda la brecha con un PSOE que sube ligeramente por la bajada de Sumar". 20 minutos (in Spanish). 25 October 2023.
- ↑ "ElectoPanel (22oct): baile de escaños entre bloques". Electomanía (in Spanish). 22 October 2023.
- ↑ "ElectoPanel (15oct): PP y PSOE arrebatan escaños a sus socios". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 October 2023.
- ↑ "El PP ganaría las elecciones y mejoraría su resultado electoral del 23J, según la encuesta de Sigma Dos". Antena 3 (in Spanish). 15 October 2023.
- 1 2 "El PP sube a costa de Vox pero no logra despegarse del PSOE". elDiario.es (in Spanish). 16 October 2023.
- ↑ "ElectoPanel (8oct): El PSOE pierde posiciones en medio de las negociaciones". Electomanía (in Spanish). 8 October 2023.
- 1 2 "Barómetro de octubre 2023 (Estudio nº 3420. Octubre 2023)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 18 October 2023.
- ↑ "Estimación de voto (Estudio nº 3420. Barómetro de octubre 2023)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 18 October 2023.
- ↑ "Las encuestas consolidan la mayoría parlamentaria que podría apoyar la investidura de Sánchez frente a PP y Vox". Público (in Spanish). 8 October 2023.
- ↑ "El PP sube pero no lo suficiente: Sánchez sería más preso de Puigdemont en una repetición electoral". El Debate (in Spanish). 8 October 2023.
- ↑ "El PP avanza, Vox se recupera y la derecha ronda la mayoría absoluta". El País (in Spanish). 9 October 2023.
- 1 2 "Barómetro Mensual. Octubre 2023" (PDF). 40dB (in Spanish). 9 October 2023.
- ↑ "ElectoPanel (1Oct): PP y PSOE, empatados en votos". Electomanía (in Spanish). 1 October 2023.
- ↑ "El PP crece a costa de Vox y PSOE pero no deshace el empate". El Mundo (in Spanish). 1 October 2023.
- 1 2 "El PP subiría 12 escaños si hubiera elecciones anticipadas y podría sumar con un Vox a la baja". El Español (in Spanish). 24 September 2023.
- ↑ "ElectoPanel (24S): subida de Junts y EH Bildu, bajan PP y PSOE". Electomanía (in Spanish). 24 September 2023.
- ↑ "El PP sube a 145 escaños y gobernaría con Vox tras las cesiones de Sánchez a Puigdemont". VozPópuli (in Spanish). 24 September 2023.
- 1 2 "Encuesta DYM. PP y PSOE mejorarían sus resultados mientras Vox y Sumar pierden terreno". 20 minutos (in Spanish). 20 September 2023.
- ↑ "ElectoPanel (17Sep): El PSOE ante su mayor caída desde la campaña electoral". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 September 2023.
- 1 2 "Barómetro de septiembre 2023. Postelectoral elecciones generales 2023 (Estudio nº 3420. Septiembre 2023)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 21 September 2023.
- ↑ "Estimación de voto (Estudio nº 3420. Barómetro de septiembre 2023. Postelectoral elecciones generales 2023)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 21 September 2023.
- ↑ "EP (10S): el PSOE se deja tres escaños en una semana marcada por la amnistía". Electomanía (in Spanish). 10 September 2023.
- 1 2 "El PP aumenta ligeramente su ventaja sobre el PSOE y Sumar adelanta a Vox". elDiario.es (in Spanish). 17 September 2023.
- ↑ "Encuesta de NC Report: Feijóo crece 9 escaños a costa de un Vox en caída". La Razón (in Spanish). 4 September 2023.
- ↑ "ElectoPanel (3S): desgaste de la derecha". Electomanía (in Spanish). 3 September 2023.
- ↑ "La caída de Vox debilita a la derecha pese al avance del PP". El País (in Spanish). 4 September 2023.
- 1 2 "Barómetro Mensual. Septiembre 2023" (PDF). 40dB (in Spanish). 4 September 2023.
- ↑ "ElectoPanel (27Ag): ajustada lucha por la primera posición". Electomanía (in Spanish). 27 August 2023.
- ↑ "La derecha se acercaría más a la mayoría en unas nuevas elecciones pero el Gobierno seguiría en manos de Puigdemont". El Mundo (in Spanish). 27 August 2023.
- ↑ "ElectoPanel (20Ag): CC perdería su escaño, Vox baja del 12%". Electomanía (in Spanish). 20 August 2023.
- ↑ "ElectoPanel (13Ag): baja Vox, mínimos para ERC". Electomanía (in Spanish). 13 August 2023.
- 1 2 "El PP cae tras el 23J y el PSOE tiene opciones de pelear por el primer puesto". elDiario.es (in Spanish). 13 August 2023.
- ↑ "ElectoPanel (6Ag): el bipartidismo se refuerza tras las elecciones". Electomanía (in Spanish). 6 August 2023.
- ↑ "ElectoPanel Express (26JL): la izquierda se refuerza y no necesitaría de Junts". Electomanía (in Spanish). 25 July 2023.
- ↑ "El descenso de Sumar tras la crisis con Podemos amplía la mayoría absoluta de PP y Vox". Diario de León (in Spanish). 20 December 2023.
- ↑ "La amnistía lamina al PSOE y dispara a Feijóo, que arrasa y logra 187 escaños con Vox". Diario de León (in Spanish). 22 November 2023.
- ↑ "La pleitesía del PSOE ante Puigdemont pone a Feijóo en la rampa a la presidencia". Diario de León (in Spanish). 25 October 2023.
- ↑ "Otegi cerca de ser 'lehendakari': fuerte caída del PNV y Sánchez tendría que decidir". El Mundo (in Spanish). 17 September 2023.
- ↑ "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política. 3a onada 2023" (PDF). CEO (in Catalan). 17 November 2023.
- ↑ "Carles Puigdemont ya rentabiliza la negociación con Pedro Sánchez y superaría a ERC en unas generales". El Mundo (in Spanish). 13 September 2023.
- ↑ "El proceso de investidura de Sánchez desgasta electoralmente al PSOE". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 28 October 2023.
- ↑ "[G] GALICIA. Encuesta Sondaxe 28/10/2023: PP 44,5% (13), PSdeG-PSOE 27,3% (6), SUMAR 10,4% (2), BNG 10,3% (2), VOX 4,9%". Electográfica (in Spanish). 28 October 2023.
- ↑ "Barómetro Región de Murcia. Diciembre de 2023" (PDF). OBEDE (in Spanish). 20 December 2023.
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