2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida
November 5, 2024
All 28 Florida seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Republican Democratic
Current seats 20 8

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the 28 U.S. representatives from the state of Florida, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. Florida's congressional districts have faced heavy accusations of partisan and racial gerrymandering due to minimizing the voting power of black Floridians. Florida's congressional map is currently being challenged in court.

Background

On September 2, 2023, a Florida judge ruled that Florida's congressional map, created by Governor Ron DeSantis, violated the Florida Constitution and cannot be used for any future House elections.[1] The issue was specifically on Florida's 5th district, then represented by Democrat Al Lawson, which was redrawn to be made much more Republican, which was controversial due to the fact that the district had an African-American plurality.[1] It is expected that the state will appeal the decision.[2]

District 1

The incumbent is Republican Matt Gaetz, who was re-elected with 67.9% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Potential

Endorsements

Matt Gaetz
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Matt Gaetz (R) $1,925,897 $1,336,231 $1,159,100
Source: Federal Election Commission[6]

Democratic primary

Declared

  • Gay Valimont, athletic trainer[7]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Gay Valimont (D) $85,584[lower-alpha 1] $44,977 $40,606
Source: Federal Election Commission[6]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Solid R December 5, 2023
Inside Elections[9] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[11] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[12] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 2

The incumbent is Republican Neal Dunn, who was re-elected with 59.8% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Neal Dunn (R) $452,461 $377,492 $319,975
Source: Federal Election Commission[14]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Solid R December 5, 2023
Inside Elections[9] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[11] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[12] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 3

The incumbent is Republican Kat Cammack, who was re-elected with 62.5% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

Endorsements

Kat Cammack
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kat Cammack (R) $865,433 $507,777 $397,058
Source: Federal Election Commission[17]

Independents and third-party candidates

Declared

  • Anthony Stebbins (Libertarian), correctional officer[18]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[9] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[11] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[12] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 4

The incumbent is Republican Aaron Bean, who was elected with 60.5% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

  • Robert Alvero, firefighter[19]

Potential

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Aaron Bean (R) $459,872 $234,082 $318,654
Source: Federal Election Commission[20]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[9] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[11] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[12] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 5

The incumbent is Republican John Rutherford, who was unopposed in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

  • Mara Macie, stay-at-home parent and candidate for this district in 2022[21]

Filed paperwork

  • James Anthony May[22]

Publicly expressed interest

Potential

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
John Rutherford (R) $257,807 $114,384 $389,045
Source: Federal Election Commission[25]

Democratic primary

Publicly expressed interest

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Likely R December 5, 2023
Inside Elections[9] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[11] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[12] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 6

The incumbent is Republican Michael Waltz, who was re-elected with 75.3% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Potential

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Michael Waltz (R) $817,597 $501,472 $1,385,296
Source: Federal Election Commission[27]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[9] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[11] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[12] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 7

The incumbent is Republican Cory Mills, who was elected with 58.5% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

  • Derrick Brantley[28]

Potential

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Cory Mills (R) $437,598[lower-alpha 2] $416,605 $47,014
Source: Federal Election Commission[29]

Democratic primary

Declared

  • Allek Pastrana, cyber engineer and candidate for this district in 2022[18]

Filed paperwork

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Allek Pastrana (D) $9,555[lower-alpha 3] $8,101 $1,471
Source: Federal Election Commission[29]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[9] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[11] Likely R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[12] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 8

The incumbent is Republican Bill Posey, who was re-elected with 64.9% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

Filed paperwork

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
John Hearton (R) $154,375[lower-alpha 4] $112,043 $48,889
Bill Posey (R) $169,182 $122,211 $469,994
Source: Federal Election Commission[33]

Democratic primary

Declared

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Dan McDow (D) $12,344 $8,511 $4,362
Source: Federal Election Commission[33]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[9] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[11] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[12] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 9

The 9th district includes much of Greater Orlando, stretching from eastern Orlando towards Yeehaw Junction and including the cities of Kissimmee and St. Cloud. The incumbent is Democrat Darren Soto, who was re-elected with 53.6% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Democratic primary

Declared

Endorsements

Darren Soto
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Darren Soto (D) $533,564 $215,388 $382,456
Source: Federal Election Commission[36]

Republican primary

Declared

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
John Quiñones (R) $38,000[lower-alpha 5] $894 $37,106
Source: Federal Election Commission[36]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Likely D September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[9] Likely D July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[11] Likely D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[12] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 10

The incumbent is Democrat Maxwell Frost, who was elected with 59% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Democratic primary

Potential

Endorsements

Maxwell Frost
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Maxwell Frost (D) $1,342,856 $946,311 $730,544
Source: Federal Election Commission[41]

Republican primary

Potential

  • Willie Montague, entrepreneur

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Willie Montague (R) $3,722 $2,790 $934
Source: Federal Election Commission[41]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Solid D September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[9] Solid D July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[11] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[12] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 11

The 11th district consists of a portion of Central Florida, including The Villages and the western Orlando suburbs. The incumbent is Republican Daniel Webster, who was re-elected with 63.1% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

Publicly expressed interest

Endorsements

Anthony Sabatini
Organizations
Daniel Webster
Executive branch officials

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 6]		 Margin
of error		 Anthony
Sabatini		 Daniel
Webster		 Other/
undecided
RMG Research[upper-alpha 1] November 14–19, 2023 300 (LV) ? 29% 35% 36%[lower-alpha 7]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
John McCloy (R) $77,047[lower-alpha 8] $31,215 $45,831
Anthony Sabatini (R) $250,321 $85,233 $165,623
Daniel Webster (R) $365,490 $161,046 $432,316
Source: Federal Election Commission[48]

Democratic primary

Declared

  • Barbie Hall, paralegal[49]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[9] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[11] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[12] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 12

The incumbent is Republican Gus Bilirakis, who was re-elected with 70.4% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

Filed paperwork

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Gus Bilirakis (R) $601,128 $355,958 $388,267
Source: Federal Election Commission[51]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[9] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[11] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[12] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 13

The 13th district includes most of Pinellas County, including the cities of Largo, Clearwater, and Palm Harbor, as well as a western portion of St. Petersburg. The incumbent is Republican Anna Paulina Luna, who flipped the district and was elected with 53.1% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

Filed paperwork

Endorsements

Anna Paulina Luna
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Anna Paulina Luna (R) $957,357 $443,044 $559,148
Source: Federal Election Commission[53]

Democratic primary

Declared

Endorsements

Whitney Fox
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
John Liccione (D) $10,287[lower-alpha 9] $9,258 $1,029
Source: Federal Election Commission[53]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Likely R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[11] Lean R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[9] Likely R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Likely R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[12] Likely R November 16, 2023

District 14

The 14th district is based in western Hillsborough County and southeastern Pinellas County, including most of Tampa and some of St. Petersburg. The incumbent is Democrat Kathy Castor, who was re-elected with 56.9% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Democratic primary

Potential

Endorsements

Kathy Castor
Organizations
Labor unions

Republican primary

Declared

  • Renee Marsella, elementary school teacher[61]
  • John Peters, carpet cleaning franchise owner[61]
  • Neelam Taneja Perry, physician[61]
  • Robert Rochford, retired U.S. Navy captain[61]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kathy Castor (D) $364,211 $238,789 $476,392
Source: Federal Election Commission[62]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Solid D September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[9] Solid D July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[11] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[12] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 15

The incumbent is Republican Laurel Lee, who was elected with 58.5% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

Endorsements

Laurel Lee
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Laurel Lee (R) $463,829 $189,313 $361,756
Source: Federal Election Commission[63]

Democratic primary

Declared

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kris Fitzgerald (D) $15,868 $13,818 $2,049
Source: Federal Election Commission[63]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[9] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[11] Likely R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[12] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 16

The 16th district encompasses Manatee County and eastern Hillsborough County, taking in Tampa's eastern suburbs, including Riverview and parts of Brandon. The incumbent is Republican Vern Buchanan, who was re-elected with 62.2% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

Potential

Declined

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Vern Buchanan (R) $693,189 $508,862 $1,567,677
Eddie Speir (R) $508,284[lower-alpha 10] $19,518 $488,766
Source: Federal Election Commission[67]

Democratic primary

Filed paperwork

  • Jan Schneider, attorney, nominee for this district in 2022 and candidate in 2018[65]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[9] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[11] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[12] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 17

The incumbent is Republican Greg Steube, who was re-elected with 63.8% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Potential

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Greg Steube (R) $545,889 $397,808 $1,115,494
Source: Federal Election Commission[68]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[9] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[11] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[12] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 18

The incumbent is Republican Scott Franklin, who was re-elected with 74.7% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Scott Franklin (R) $257,238 $130,685 $479,328
Source: Federal Election Commission[69]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[9] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[11] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[12] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 19

The 19th district includes the cities of Cape Coral, Fort Myers, Bonita Springs and Naples. The incumbent is Republican Byron Donalds, who was re-elected with 68.0% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

Declined

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Byron Donalds (R) $1,696,161 $1,462,708 $971,443
Source: Federal Election Commission[71]

Democratic primary

Declared

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[9] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[11] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[12] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 20

The incumbent is Democrat Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, who was re-elected with 72.3% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Democratic primary

Declared

Endorsements

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D) $193,032 $96,044 $99,766
Source: Federal Election Commission[73]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Solid D September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[9] Solid D July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[11] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[12] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 21

The incumbent is Republican Brian Mast, who was re-elected with 63.5% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Potential

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Brian Mast (R) $1,032,121 $1,195,863 $1,949,931
Source: Federal Election Commission[74]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[9] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[11] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[12] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 22

The 22nd district is located in South Florida, and includes part of Palm Beach County. The district includes the cities of West Palm Beach, Boynton Beach, and Wellington. The incumbent is Democrat Lois Frankel, who was re-elected with 55.1% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Democratic primary

Declared

Endorsements

Lois Frankel
Organizations
Labor unions

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Lois Frankel (D) $635,655 $202,229 $1,079,133
Source: Federal Election Commission[75]

Republican primary

Declared

  • Deborah Adeimy, businesswoman and candidate for this district in 2022[76]
  • Dan Franzese, investment executive and nominee for this district in 2022[76]
  • Andrew Gutmann, tech executive[77]
  • Lavern Spicer, nonprofit executive, nominee for the 24th district in 2020 and candidate in 2022[18]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Deborah Adeimy (R) $16,236[lower-alpha 11] $4,441 $12,238
Dan Franzese (R) $209,084[lower-alpha 12] $188,141 $28,923
Andrew Gutmann (R) $368,326[lower-alpha 13] $47,268 $321,057
Source: Federal Election Commission[75]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Solid D September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[9] Solid D July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[11] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[12] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 23

The 23rd district covers parts of Broward County and southern Palm Beach County, including the cities of Boca Raton, Coral Springs, and most of Deerfield Beach and Fort Lauderdale. The incumbent is Democrat Jared Moskowitz, who was elected with 51.6% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Democratic primary

Declared

Endorsements

Jared Moskowitz
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jared Moskowitz (D) $429,731 $334,532 $177,822
Source: Federal Election Commission[78]

Republican primary

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Steven Chess, chiropractor and candidate for this district in 2022[82]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Joe Thelusca (R) $10,850[lower-alpha 14] $6,218 $4,631
Source: Federal Election Commission[78]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Likely D September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[9] Solid D November 13, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[11] Likely D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[12] Very Likely D November 16, 2023

District 24

The incumbent is Democrat Frederica Wilson, who was re-elected in with 71.79% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Democratic primary

Potential

Endorsements

Frederica Wilson
Organizations
Labor unions

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Frederica Wilson (D) $178,774 $138,626 $603,757
Source: Federal Election Commission[83]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Solid D September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[9] Solid D July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[11] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[12] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 25

The incumbent is Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz, who was re-elected with 55,09% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Democratic primary

Potential

Endorsements

Debbie Wasserman Schultz
Organizations
Labor unions

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D) $1,123,484 $758,385 $1,147,478
Source: Federal Election Commission[85]

Republican primary

Declared

  • Chris Eddy, Weston city commissioner[18]
  • Carla Spalding, nurse and perennial candidate[18]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Chris Eddy (R) $115,753[lower-alpha 15] $47,542 $68,210
Carla Spalding (R) $331,995 $302,933 $41,981
Source: Federal Election Commission[85]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Solid D September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[9] Solid D July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[11] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[12] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 26

The incumbent is Republican Mario Díaz-Balart, who was re-elected with 70.89% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Potential

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mario Díaz-Balart (R) $608,216 $416,380 $1,471,345
Source: Federal Election Commission[86]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[9] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[11] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[12] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 27

The 27th district includes parts of southern Miami, including Downtown, Little Havana, and Kendall, as well as Palmetto Estates and parts of Fontainebleau and Westchester. The incumbent is Republican María Elvira Salazar, who was re-elected with 57.3% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Filed paperwork

Potential

Endorsements

María Elvira Salazar
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
María Elvira Salazar (R) $1,043,087 $366,234 $706,732
Source: Federal Election Commission[88]

Democratic primary

Declared

Endorsements

Lucia Báez-Geller
U.S. representatives

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[9] Likely R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Likely R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[11] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[12] Very Likely R November 16, 2023

District 28

The incumbent is Republican Carlos Giménez who was re-elected with 63.69% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Filed paperwork

Potential

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Carlos Giménez (R) $442,514 $272,100 $890,220
Source: Federal Election Commission[92]

Democratic primary

Declared

Endorsements

Phil Ehr
U.S. representatives

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Phil Ehr (D) $692,293 $603,253 $89,039
Source: Federal Election Commission[92]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[9] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[11] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[12] Solid R November 16, 2023

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 6]		 Margin
of error		 Carlos
Gímenez (R)		 Phil
Ehr (D)		 Other Undecided
Change Research (D)[upper-alpha 2] October 13–17, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.7% 45% 32% 7%[lower-alpha 16] 16%

Notes

  1. ↑ $20,000 of this total was self-funded by Valimont
  2. ↑ $50,000 of this total was self-funded by Mills
  3. ↑ $5,000 of this total was self-funded by Pastrana
  4. ↑ $140,000 of this total was self-funded by Hearton
  5. ↑ $12,500 of this total was self-funded by Quiñones
  6. 1 2 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  7. ↑ The poll's sponsor only revealed the numbers for Sabatini and Webster, and did not explain how the remaining 36% of respondents answered.
  8. ↑ $49,900 of this total was self-funded by McCloy
  9. ↑ $9,297 of this total was self-funded by Liccione
  10. ↑ $500,000 of this total was self-funded by Speir
  11. ↑ $2,000 of this total was self-funded by Adeimy
  12. ↑ $150,000 of this total was self-funded by Franzese
  13. ↑ $110,000 of this total was self-funded by Gutmann
  14. ↑ $8,000 of this total was self-funded by Thelusca
  15. ↑ $30,000 of this total was self-funded by Eddy
  16. ↑ "Would not vote" with 7%
Partisan clients
  1. ↑ Poll sponsored by US Term Limits, which supports Sabatini[47]
  2. ↑ Poll sponsored by Ehr's campaign

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  95. ↑ Scheckner, Jesse (October 20, 2023). "Phil Ehr blasts Carlos Giménez's temporary Speaker fix: 'No more chaos and half measures'". Florida Politics. Retrieved October 25, 2023. Democrat Marcos Reyes is also running in CD 28, which covers a southern portion of Miami-Dade County and all of the Florida Keys in Monroe County.
  96. ↑ Fineout, Gary (October 18, 2023). "Challenger to Rick Scott drops out of Florida Senate race". Politico. Retrieved October 19, 2023. Mucarsel-Powell, who is endorsing Ehr, lost her congressional seat to Gimenez in the 2020 election.
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