2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky
November 5, 2024
All 6 Kentucky seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Republican Democratic
Current seats 5 1

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Kentucky, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

Background

The Kentucky Supreme Court heard arguments in September 2023 in a suit alleging that the state legislature violated the state constitution by creating a partisan gerrymander in the state's congressional map by moving the state capital Frankfort to the heavily Republican 1st district. On December 14, 2023 the court affirmed a lower court ruiling resulting in the case being dismissed.[1][2]

District 1

2024 Kentucky's 1st congressional district election
 
Nominee James Comer (presumptive) Erin Marshall (presumptive)
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. Representative

James Comer
Republican


The 1st district is based in Western Kentucky and stretches into Central Kentucky, taking in Henderson, Hopkinsville, Madisonville, Paducah, Murray, and Frankfort. The incumbent is Republican James Comer, who was re-elected with 74.9% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Presumptive nominee

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
James Comer (R) $2,137,019 $1,448,588 $1,766,253
Source: Federal Election Commission[5]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican James Comer (incumbent)
Total votes

Democratic primary

Presumptive nominee

  • Erin Marshall, sales manager[6]

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Erin Marshall
Total votes

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[7] Solid R December 30, 2023
Inside Elections[8] Solid R January 3, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Safe R November 16, 2023
Elections Daily[10] Safe R October 26, 2023
CNalysis[11] Solid R December 28, 2023

Results

Kentucky's 1st congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican James Comer (incumbent)
Democratic Erin Marshall
Total votes

District 2

2024 Kentucky's 2nd congressional district election
 
Nominee Brett Guthrie (presumptive) TBD
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. Representative

Brett Guthrie
Republican


The 2nd district is located in west central Kentucky, and includes Bowling Green, Owensboro, Elizabethtown, and a portion of eastern Louisville. The incumbent is Republican Brett Guthrie, who was re-elected with 71.9% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Presumptive nominee

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Brett Guthrie (R) $851,494 $631,985 $2,083,628
Source: Federal Election Commission[13]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brett Guthrie (incumbent)
Total votes

Democratic primary

Declared

  • William Compton, Plum Springs city commissioner and candidate for this district in 2022[6]
  • Hank Linderman, musician and nominee for this district in 2018, 2020, and 2022[6]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
William Compton (D) $1,151 $593 $1,159
Hank Linderman (D) $0 $2,639 $16,097
Source: Federal Election Commission[13]

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic William Compton
Democratic Hank Linderman
Total votes

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[7] Solid R December 30, 2023
Inside Elections[8] Solid R January 3, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Safe R November 16, 2023
Elections Daily[10] Safe R October 26, 2023
CNalysis[11] Solid R December 28, 2023

Results

Kentucky's 2nd congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brett Guthrie (incumbent)
Democratic TBD
Total votes

District 3

2024 Kentucky's 3rd congressional district election
 
Party Democratic Republican
Incumbent U.S. Representative

Morgan McGarvey
Democratic


The 3rd district encompasses nearly all of Louisville Metro, which, since the merger of 2003, is consolidated with Jefferson County, though other incorporated cities, such as Shively and St. Matthews, exist within the county. The incumbent is Democrat Morgan McGarvey, who was elected with 62.0% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Democratic primary

Declared

Endorsements

Morgan McGarvey
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Morgan McGarvey (D) $655,737 $286,048 $590,746
Source: Federal Election Commission[15]

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Morgan McGarvey (incumbent)
Democratic Jared Randall
Democratic Geoff Young
Total votes

Republican primary

Declared

  • Mike Craven, retired auto worker and perennial candidate[6]
  • Dennis Ormerod, candidate for governor in 2023[6]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Craven
Republican Dennis Ormerod
Total votes

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[7] Solid D December 30, 2023
Inside Elections[8] Solid D January 3, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Safe D November 16, 2023
Elections Daily[10] Safe D October 26, 2023
CNalysis[11] Solid D December 28, 2023

Results

Kentucky's 3rd congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic TBD
Republican TBD
Total votes

District 4

2024 Kentucky's 4th congressional district election
 
Party Republican
Incumbent U.S. Representative

Thomas Massie
Republican


The 4th district is located in the northeastern part of the state along the Ohio River, including the suburbs of Cincinnati and the eastern suburbs of Louisville. The incumbent is Republican Thomas Massie, who was re-elected with 65.0% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Thomas Massie (R) $177,071 $154,172 $270,990
Source: Federal Election Commission[16]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Eric Deters
Republican Thomas Massie (incumbent)
Republican Michael McGinnis
Total votes

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[7] Solid R December 30, 2023
Inside Elections[8] Solid R January 3, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Safe R November 16, 2023
Elections Daily[10] Safe R October 26, 2023
CNalysis[11] Solid R December 28, 2023

Results

Kentucky's 4th congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican TBD
Total votes

District 5

2024 Kentucky's 5th congressional district election
 
Party Republican
Incumbent U.S. Representative

Hal Rogers
Republican


The 5th district is based in the coalfields of eastern Kentucky. The incumbent is Republican House dean Hal Rogers, who was re-elected with 82.2% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

  • Dana Edwards, surgeon[17]
  • David Kraftchak, airline pilot[18]
  • Brandon Monhallen, transportation manager and candidate for this district in 2022[6]
  • Hal Rogers, incumbent U.S. representative[6]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Hal Rogers (R) $268,571 $183,847 $797,689
Dana Edwards (R) $82,142 $71,014 $11,128
Source: Federal Election Commission[19]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dana Edwards
Republican David Kraftchak
Republican Brandon Monhallen
Republican Hal Rogers (incumbent)
Total votes

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[7] Solid R December 30, 2023
Inside Elections[8] Solid R January 3, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Safe R November 16, 2023
Elections Daily[10] Safe R October 26, 2023
CNalysis[11] Solid R December 28, 2023

Results

Kentucky's 5th congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican TBD
Total votes

District 6

2024 Kentucky's 6th congressional district election
 
Nominee Andy Barr (presumptive) TBD
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. Representative

Andy Barr
Republican


The 6th district is located in central Kentucky, taking in Lexington, Richmond, and Georgetown. The incumbent is Republican Andy Barr, who was re-elected with 62.7% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Presumptive nominee

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Andy Barr (R) $1,492,573 $520,026 $3,013,319
Source: Federal Election Commission[20]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Andy Barr (incumbent)
Total votes

Democratic primary

Declared

  • Randy Cravens, IT major incident manager and write-in candidate for this district in 2022[6]
  • Todd Kelly, tree nursery owner[6]
  • Don Pratt, retired grocery store owner and perennial candidate[6]
  • Jonathan Richardson[6]
  • Shauna Rudd, social worker[6]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Randy Cravens (D) $270 $2,233 $1,208
Source: Federal Election Commission[20]

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Randy Cravens
Democratic Todd Kelly
Democratic Don Pratt
Democratic Jonathan Richardson
Democratic Shauna Rudd
Total votes

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[7] Solid R December 30, 2023
Inside Elections[8] Solid R January 3, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Safe R November 16, 2023
Elections Daily[10] Safe R October 26, 2023
CNalysis[11] Solid R December 28, 2023

Results

Kentucky's 2nd congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Andy Barr (incumbent)
Democratic TBD
Total votes

References

  1. ↑ "Kentucky Supreme Court reviews state's Republican-drawn legislative, congressional maps". AP News. September 19, 2023. Retrieved November 23, 2023.
  2. ↑ "Kentucky Supreme Court upholds legislative, congressional boundaries passed by GOP-led legislature". AP News. December 14, 2023. Retrieved December 24, 2023.
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "2022 National House Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 28, 2023.
  4. ↑ Frisk, Garrett (July 21, 2023). "We Asked Every Member of the House if They're Running in 2024. Here's What They Said". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Retrieved July 21, 2023.
  5. ↑ "2024 Election United States House - Kentucky 1st". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved November 23, 2023.
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 "Candidate Filings with the Office of the Secretary of State". Kentucky Secretary of State Office. Retrieved November 15, 2023.
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "2024 House Race Ratings: Another Competitive Fight for Control". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 3, 2023.
  8. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "First 2024 House Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved March 10, 2023.
  9. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up". Sabato's Crystal Ball. February 23, 2023. Retrieved February 23, 2023.
  10. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 9, 2023. Retrieved August 9, 2023.
  11. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "2024 House Forecast". November 20, 2023. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
  12. ↑ Anderson, Mario (November 16, 2023). "Brett Guthrie announces 2024 reelection campaign to Congress". Spectrum News. Retrieved November 16, 2023.
  13. 1 2 "2024 Election United States House - Kentucky 2nd". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved September 18, 2023.
  14. ↑ "2024 Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved December 18, 2023.
  15. ↑ "2024 Election United States House - Kentucky 3rd". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved September 18, 2023.
  16. ↑ "2024 Election United States House - Kentucky 4th". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved September 18, 2023.
  17. ↑ Tillman, Scott (July 12, 2023). "Dana Edwards Pledges to Support Term Limits on Congress". US Term Limits. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
  18. ↑ Tillman, Scott (July 12, 2023). "David Kraftchak Pledges to Support Term Limits on Congress". US Term Limits. Retrieved November 16, 2023.
  19. ↑ "2024 Election United States House - Kentucky 5th". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved September 18, 2023.
  20. 1 2 "2024 Election United States House - Kentucky 6th". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved September 18, 2023.
Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates
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