2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana

November 5, 2024

Both Montana seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Republican Democratic
Current seats 2 0

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of Montana, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

District 1

The 1st district is based in mountainous Western Montana, including the cities of Missoula, Kalispell, Bozeman and Butte. The incumbent is Republican Ryan Zinke, who was elected with 49.7% of the vote in 2022.[1] He initially had expressed interest in running for U.S. Senate against incumbent Jon Tester, but choose not to do so.[2]

Republican primary

Declared

Filed paperwork

Endorsements

Ryan Zinke
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ryan Zinke (R) $2,489,656 $953,658 $1,646,046
Source: Federal Election Commission[6]

Democratic primary

Declared

Endorsements

Monica Tranel
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Organizations
Labor unions

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Monica Tranel (D) $739,394 $131,646 $607,748
Source: Federal Election Commission[6]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[15] Likely R February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[16] Lean R September 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] Lean R February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[18] Lean R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[19] Lean R November 16, 2023

District 2

The 2nd district encompasses much of the state east of the Continental Divide, including the cities of Billings, Great Falls and Helena. The incumbent is Republican Matt Rosendale, who was re-elected with 56.6% of the vote in 2022.[1] He has expressed interest in running for U.S. Senate against incumbent Jon Tester.[20]

Republican primary

Declared

Formed exploratory committee

Publicly expressed interest

Potential

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Elsie Arntzen (R) $253,025 $43,140 $209,885
Joel Krautter (R) $11,887 $2,601 $9,286
Matt Rosendale (R) $904,468 $382,336 $1,739,906
Source: Federal Election Commission[29]

Democratic primary

Declared

  • Ming Cabrera, salesman[30]
  • Kevin Hamm, IT consultant[31]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ming Cabrera (D) $7,900 $507 $7,393
Kevin Hamm (D) $19,252 $17,677 $1,575
Source: Federal Election Commission[29]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[15] Solid R February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[16] Solid R September 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] Safe R February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[18] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[19] Solid R November 16, 2023

References

  1. 1 2 "2022 National House Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
  2. Warren, Bradley (July 5, 2023). "Congressman Ryan Zinke officially endorses Tim Sheehy for US Senate". Nonstop Local—ABC FOX. There was speculation Zinke could enter the race, but that speculation now shut down with this endorsement.
  3. 1 2 Corrin, Noah; Warren, Bradley (July 10, 2023). "Montana Democrat Monica Tranel announces run for U.S. Congress". KTMF. Retrieved July 10, 2023. Zinke plans to run for reelection, setting up a potential rematch of the 2022 race.
  4. "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1723724". docquery.fec.gov. Retrieved September 24, 2023.
  5. "- AIPAC Political Portal". candidates.aipacpac.org. Archived from the original on August 27, 2023. Retrieved August 27, 2023.
  6. 1 2 "2024 Election United States House - Montana 1st". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved November 19, 2023.
  7. "Elect Democratic Women Endorses Monica Tranel in Montana's 1st Congressional District". Elect Democratic Women. August 3, 2023. Retrieved August 24, 2023.
  8. 1 2 3 "NewDem Action Fund Announces New Red-to-Blue Candidate Endorsement Slate". NewDem Action Fund. October 26, 2023. Archived from the original on October 26, 2023. Retrieved October 26, 2023.
  9. 1 2 Sagner, Denali (July 13, 2023). "Tranel Hones in on Montana's 'Purple DNA' at Kalispell Launch Event". Flathead Beacon. Retrieved August 15, 2023.
  10. Montanan, Daily (July 11, 2023). "Tranel announces another bid for Congress". The Missoula Current News - Daily News in Missoula Montana. Retrieved August 15, 2023.
  11. Chou, Lauren (September 27, 2023). "EMILYs List Endorses Monica Tranel for Montana's 1st Congressional District". EMILYs List. Archived from the original on September 27, 2023. Retrieved September 27, 2023.
  12. "LCV Action Fund Announces Slate of New U.S. House Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Archived from the original on September 28, 2023. Retrieved September 28, 2023.
  13. "Reproductive Freedom for All Endorses Slate of Champions for the U.S. House". Reproductive Freedom for All. October 24, 2023. Archived from the original on October 24, 2023. Retrieved October 24, 2023.
  14. "Our Recommended Candidates". Education Votes. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
  15. 1 2 "2024 House Race Ratings: Another Competitive Fight for Control". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 3, 2023.
  16. 1 2 "First 2024 House Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved March 10, 2023.
  17. 1 2 "Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up". Sabato's Crystal Ball. February 23, 2023.
  18. 1 2 "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. September 13, 2023. Retrieved September 17, 2023.
  19. 1 2 "2024 House Forecast". November 20, 2023. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
  20. McCaslin, John (October 25, 2023). "Matt Rosendale Sticks to His Guns". Flathead Beacon. Retrieved October 26, 2023.
  21. Warren, Bradley; Corrin, Noah (January 9, 2024). "Montana State Senator Ken Bogner announces run for U.S. Congress". KULR-TV. Retrieved January 9, 2024.
  22. "Troy Downing announces campaign for Congress". KTVQ. November 1, 2023. Retrieved November 1, 2023.
  23. 1 2 Murray, David (September 25, 2023). "Holden joins growing field in run to represent eastern House District". Great Falls Tribune. Retrieved September 25, 2023.
  24. "Former state senator announces run for House". NBC Montana. October 18, 2023. Retrieved October 18, 2023.
  25. Buffington, Posie (November 6, 2023). "Stacy Zinn announces run for Montana congressional district two". KULR8. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
  26. Flint, Aaron (August 14, 2023). "Arntzen Explores Eastern Montana Congressional Campaign". AM 1450 KMMS. Retrieved August 14, 2023.
  27. Ambarian, Jonathan (August 14, 2023). "Waiting on Rosendale, GOP candidates exploring Montana eastern district House race". KBZK News. Retrieved August 15, 2023.
  28. 1 2 Wilson, Reid (August 14, 2023). "Montana officials eye U.S. House seat ahead of possible Senate primary". Pluribus News. Retrieved August 14, 2023.
  29. 1 2 "2024 Election United States House - Montana 2nd". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved November 19, 2023.
  30. Ragar, Shaylee (September 6, 2023). "Another Democrat joins Montana's eastern district U.S. House race". Montana Public Radio. Retrieved September 6, 2023.
  31. Ehrlick, Darrell (May 16, 2023). "Hamm announces bid for Congress". Daily Montanan.
Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
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