2024 United States Senate election in New Jersey

November 5, 2024
 
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Bob Menendez
Democratic



The 2024 United States Senate election in New Jersey will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New Jersey. Primary elections will take place on June 4, 2024.[1] The seat is currently held by Democrat Bob Menendez, who was appointed to the Senate in January 2006 and won his first full term the same year.

The election has drawn attention due to Menendez's indictment for federal corruption charges in 2023. Menendez has stated he will not resign and is expected to seek re-election.[2][3]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

Publicly expressed interest

Potential

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Kyle Jasey (withdrawn)
State legislators
Andy Kim
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
  • Joyce Watterman, President of the Jersey City Council (2023–present) from the at-large district (2013–present)[33]
Organizations
Newspapers and other media
Labor unions
Notable individuals
Tammy Murphy
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
County officials
Local officials
Party officials
Labor unions
Individuals
Joe Signorello (withdrawn)
Executive branch officials
Organizations
Declined to endorse
U.S. representatives
State legislators
County Party Chairperson endorsements
  Murphy
  No County Line

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Bob Menendez (D) $10,760,881.11 $2,426,293.11 $8,553,019.60
Andy Kim (D) $2,123,798.36 $384,856.23 $1,901,474.72
Kyle Fort Jasey (D)[lower-alpha 2] $17,405 $1,157.28 $16,247.72
Joe Signorello (D)[lower-alpha 2] $60,060.09 $9,443.34 $86,087.12
Source: Federal Election Commission[67]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]
Margin
of error
Bob
Menendez
Andy
Kim
Tammy
Murphy
Larry
Hamm
Other Undecided
Breakthrough Campaigns[upper-alpha 1] December 7–14, 2023 1,040 (LV) ± 3.0% 6% 45% 22% 4% 6%[lower-alpha 4] 15%
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 1] November 13–14, 2023 560 (LV) 5% 40% 21% 34%
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 2] October 3–4, 2023 502 (LV) ± 4.4% 5% 42% 19% 34%
502 (LV) ± 4.4% 10% 63% 28%
Data for Progress (D) September 29 – October 3, 2023 551 (LV) ± 4.4% 9% 48% 3%[lower-alpha 5] 40%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]
Margin
of error
Josh
Gottheimer
Kyle
Jasey
Andy
Kim
Bob
Menendez
Tammy
Murphy
Frank
Pallone
Teresa
Ruiz
Mikie
Sherrill
Undecided
Data for Progress (D) September 29 – October 3, 2023 551 (LV) ± 4.4% 6% 1% 27% 6% 4% 6% 1% 20% 29%

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Announcement pending

Publicly expressed interest

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Christine Serrano Glassner
U.S. representatives
State senators
State assemblymembers
Local officials
Party officials

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Shirley Maia-Cusick (R)[lower-alpha 7] $301,300.76 $296,647.43 $4,653.33
Source: Federal Election Commission[67]

Third Parties and Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Nicholas Carducci (Independent), software engineer[68]
  • Christina Khalil (Green), social worker (switched from Democratic)[15][16]
  • Joanne Kuniansky (Socialist Workers), deli worker and perennial candidate[85]

Filed paperwork

  • Victor Joseph Scazzola (Independent)[86]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[87] Likely D November 9, 2023
Inside Elections[88] Likely D November 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[89] Safe D November 9, 2023
Elections Daily[90] Safe D May 4, 2023
CNalysis[91] Solid D November 21, 2023

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Bob Menendez vs. Chris Christie
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]
Margin
of error
Bob
Menendez (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 3] September 26–27, 2023 565 (V) 24% 27% 41% 8%
Bob Menendez vs. generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]
Margin
of error
Bob
Menendez (D)
Generic
Republican
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 3] September 26–27, 2023 565 (V) 20% 42% 25% 13%
Andy Kim vs. Chris Christie
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]
Margin
of error
Andy
Kim (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 3] September 26–27, 2023 565 (V) 46% 20% 23% 10%
Andy Kim vs. generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]
Margin
of error
Andy
Kim (D)
Generic
Republican
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 3] September 26–27, 2023 565 (V) 44% 32% 5% 18%

Notes

  1. Has not declared his candidacy.
  2. 1 2 Withdrawn candidate
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. "Waiting for another candidate" with 6%
  5. Kyle Jasey with 3%
  6. In New Jersey, the State Treasurer is appointed by the governor; unlike in other states, it is not an elected position.
  7. Withdrawn candidate
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 Poll commissioned on behalf of Kim's campaign
  2. Poll commissioned by End Citizens United and Let America Vote, which support Kim
  3. 1 2 3 4 This poll was sponsored by VoteVets.org, which suppports Kim.

References

  1. "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
  2. "Menendez Accused of Brazen Bribery Plot, Taking Cash and Gold". New York Times. September 22, 2023. Retrieved September 22, 2023.
  3. Cohen, Luc; Zengerle, Patricia; Goudsward, Andrew; Cohen, Luc; Zengerle, Patricia (September 23, 2023). "US Senator Menendez charged with bribery, says he will not resign". Reuters. Retrieved September 23, 2023.
  4. "Campos-Medina Jumps in the U.S. Senate Race". Insider NJ. January 3, 2024. Retrieved January 3, 2024.
  5. Fox, Joey (September 24, 2023). "Larry Hamm will make second bid for U.S. Senate". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved September 24, 2023.
  6. McCarthy, Mia (September 23, 2023). "Democrat Andy Kim announces bid to unseat Menendez in the Senate". Politico. Retrieved September 23, 2023.
  7. Wildstein, David (November 15, 2023). "Tammy Murphy announces bid for U.S. Senate in N.J." New Jersey Globe. Retrieved November 15, 2023.
  8. 1 2 "FEC FORM 2 FILING FEC-1709209".
  9. Everett, Burgess (October 5, 2022). "Senate Dems face brutal 2024 map with at least eight undecided incumbents". Politico. Retrieved October 5, 2022. Robert Menendez of New Jersey said it's a 'long time from here to 2024, but I have every intention of running again.'
  10. Wildstein, David (December 8, 2023). "Malinowski interested in U.S. Senate race". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved December 8, 2023.
  11. Wildstein, David (December 13, 2023). "Malinowski will seek support for U.S. Senate bid tonight". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved December 13, 2023.
  12. Wildstein, David (September 26, 2023). "Tammy Murphy is a possible U.S. Senate candidate". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved November 14, 2023.
  13. Friedman, Matt (August 1, 2023). "Son of New Jersey lawmaker files to challenge Menendez in Democratic primary". Politico. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  14. Heinis, John (November 13, 2023). "Kyle Jasey will challenge Rob Menendez for Congress instead of running against his father". Hudson County View. Retrieved November 14, 2023.
  15. 1 2 Wildstein, David (November 14, 2022). "Menendez gets a primary opponent". New Jersey Globe.
  16. 1 2 Westhoven, William (September 20, 2023). "NJ mayor Christine Serrano Glassner seeks GOP nod vs. Bob Menendez". The Record. Retrieved September 23, 2023. Green Party member Christina Khalil and independent Nick Carducci have also declared their Senate campaigns.
  17. McDonald, Terrence T. (February 28, 2023). "A Democratic mayor wants to run against Sen. Menendez. Will the party let him?". New Jersey Monitor. Retrieved February 28, 2023.
  18. Wildstein, David (July 13, 2023). "It's official: Joe Signorello challenging Kean in NJ-7 House race". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved July 13, 2023.
  19. Fox, Joey (October 12, 2023). "Signorello Drops NJ-7 Campaign, Citing Fundraising Difficulties". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved October 12, 2023.
  20. Fox, Joey (September 22, 2023). "With Menendez under indictment, what's going to happen to his Senate seat?". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved September 22, 2023.
  21. 1 2 Wildstein, David (November 17, 2023). "Gottheimer endorses Tammy Murphy for U.S. Senate". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved November 17, 2023.
  22. Tulley, Tracey (November 1, 2023). "Tammy Murphy, N.J. Governor's Wife, Prepares to Run for Menendez's Seat". The New York Times. Retrieved November 1, 2023.
  23. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Fox, Joe (November 20, 2023). "Tammy Murphy gets endorsements from four N.J. House members". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
  24. Mutnick, Ally; Ferris, Sarah; Wu, Nicholas (October 5, 2023). "New Jersey politics is a notorious mess. It's about to hit new levels of nasty". Politico. Retrieved October 9, 2023. One House member who doesn't appear to be going anywhere is Rep. Frank Pallone (D-N.J.). He said in an interview that his focus was on taking back the House majority and re-securing the chairmanship of the Energy and Commerce committee.
  25. "Sherrill says she isn't running to replace Menendez". Punchbowl News. September 29, 2023. Retrieved September 29, 2023.
  26. 1 2 Wildstein, David (November 20, 2023). "Mikie Sherrill endorses Tammy Murphy for U.S. Senate". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
  27. Friedman, Matt (August 13, 2023). "Bob Menendez tests Democrats' loyalty as feds target him again". Politico. Retrieved September 22, 2023. Former U.S. Sen. Bob Torricelli, who had expressed interest in running for Menendez's seat if he was convicted, was one of the men Menendez referred to. Torricelli, who said he no longer harbors any political ambitions, was the only Democrat POLITICO reached who was willing to say anything that Menendez could possibly construe as disloyal.
  28. Suta, Ricky (October 19, 2023). "Mila Jasey still backing her son's U.S. Senate bid, even if Tammy Murphy joins the race". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved October 22, 2023. 'I'm supporting him,' Jasey said. 'Blood is thicker than anything else.'
  29. Wildstein, David (January 8, 2024). "Susan Rice endorses Andy Kim for U.S. Senate". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved January 8, 2024.
  30. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Karni, Annie (January 18, 2024). "John Fetterman Endorses Andy Kim in High-Stakes New Jersey Senate Primary". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved January 18, 2024.
  31. Wildstein, David (September 23, 2023). "Singleton backs Kim for U.S. Senate, expresses interest in NJ-3 House seat". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved September 23, 2023.
  32. Wildstein, David (September 26, 2023). "Carol Muphy endorses Andy Kim for U.S. Senate". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved September 26, 2023.
  33. Heinis, John (January 4, 2024). "Jersey City Council President Watterman endorses U.S. Rep. Andy Kim for Senate". Retrieved January 5, 2024.
  34. "ASPIRE PAC Endorses Andy Kim for Senate | aspirepac.org". aspirepac.org. Retrieved November 30, 2023.
  35. Mark, Ally (October 4, 2023). "Asian American Action Fund Endorses U.S. Congressman Andy Kim for New Jersey's U.S. Senate Seat in 2024". Asian American Action Fund. Archived from the original on October 17, 2023. Retrieved October 17, 2023.
  36. 1 2 "Congressman Andy Kim Receives Major 'Gen Z' Endorsements from both The College Democrats of America and The College Democrats of New Jersey in His Race for U.S. Senate". InsiderNJ. January 10, 2024. Retrieved January 10, 2024.
  37. Fox, Joey (September 25, 2023). "End Citizens United backs Kim for Senate". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved September 25, 2023.
  38. McIntire, Mary Ellen (September 25, 2023). "Menendez expects to win 'biggest fight yet,' defends seized cash". Roll Call. Retrieved September 26, 2023.
  39. "Tonight many of the Moorestown Democrats will be celebrating Congressman Andy Kim's Senate campaign kickoff at the Double Nickle Brewing Company– we're going back to where this all started 6 years ago!". Moorestown Democrats. November 10, 2023. Retrieved November 13, 2023. We're proud to support our local Congressman and Moorestonian as he starts this Senate run.
  40. Wildstein, David (October 31, 2023). "Andy Kim defeats Tammy Murphy in early progressive endorsement vote". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved December 1, 2023.
  41. Wolf, Stephen (September 25, 2023). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 9/25". Daily Kos. Retrieved September 25, 2023.
  42. Moulitsas, Markos (September 27, 2023). "Daily Kos calls on Bob Menendez to resign, endorses Andy Kim for Senate". Daily Kos. Retrieved September 27, 2023.
  43. Fox, Joey (January 8, 2024). "Kim gets second big labor endorsement". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved January 8, 2024.
  44. Wildstein, David (September 29, 2023). "Andy Kim shows momentum in first week as U.S. Senate candidate". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved September 29, 2023.
  45. Yang, Andrew. "Andy Kim". andrewyang.com. Andrew Yang. Retrieved January 7, 2024.
  46. Booker, Brakkton (October 29, 2023). "Andy Kim is making a big bet on breaking New Jersey Democratic politics". politico.com. Politico. Retrieved January 10, 2024.
  47. "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
  48. "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
  49. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Wildstein, David (November 15, 2023). "Hudson County Democrats endorse Tammy Murphy". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved November 15, 2023.
  50. 1 2 Wildstein, David (December 6, 2023). "Josh Shapiro raising money for Tammy Murphy". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved December 7, 2023.
  51. 1 2 Wildstein, David (November 16, 2023). "Camden County goes with Tammy Murphy for Senate". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved November 16, 2023.
  52. 1 2 3 Wildstein, David (December 2, 2023). "Irvington Democrats go for Tammy Murphy". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved December 2, 2023.
  53. Wildstein, David (November 9, 2023). "Codey endorses Tammy Murphy for U.S. Senate". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved November 9, 2023.
  54. 1 2 Wildstein, David (December 21, 2023). "Scutari endorses Tammy Murphy for U.S. Senate". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved December 21, 2023.
  55. Fox, Joey (November 30, 2023). "DiVincenzo endorses Murphy's Senate bid". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved November 30, 2023.
  56. "LETTER: Tammy Murphy is the best choice for U.S. Senate, ex-Hoboken mayor says". January 3, 2024. Retrieved January 4, 2024.
  57. Fox, Joey (December 6, 2023). "Morristown mayor backs Tammy Murphy for Senate". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved December 7, 2023.
  58. 1 2 Wildstein, David (November 20, 2023). "Essex Democratic leader LeRoy Jones endorses Tammy Murphy for Senate". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
  59. Wildstein, David (November 17, 2023). "Middlesex, Bergen back Tammy Murphy". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved November 17, 2023.
  60. "Passaic County Chair John Currie Endorses Tammy Murphy for U.S. Senate". Insider NJ. November 17, 2023. Retrieved November 17, 2023.
  61. Fox, Joey (January 10, 2024). "IFPTE Local 194 backs Tammy Murphy – even though national union supports Andy Kim". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved January 10, 2024.
  62. Wildstein, David (January 2, 2024). "Carpenters endorse Tammy Murphy for U.S. Senate". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved January 3, 2024.
  63. Fox, Joey (December 15, 2023). "Breaking down the county-by-county battle between Andy Kim and Tammy Murphy". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved December 15, 2023.
  64. 1 2 Fox, Joey (April 24, 2023). "Centrist Whitman-led group backs Signorello for U.S. Senate". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved April 24, 2023.
  65. Wildstein, David (December 1, 2023). "Watson Coleman says she likely won't wade into Democratic Senate primary". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved December 1, 2023.
  66. Fox, Joey (November 17, 2023). "Sumter remaining neutral in Senate primary for now". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved November 17, 2023.
  67. 1 2 "2024 Election United States Senate - New Jersey". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved October 18, 2023.
  68. 1 2 Van Vliet, John (August 11, 2022). "Cruz Wants to Challenge Menendez". Insider NJ. Retrieved November 15, 2022. [Cruz] has become the first Republican to file to run against [Menendez]...An independent candidate, Nick Carducci, has also thrown his hat into the ring
  69. Wildstein, David (November 22, 2023). "New Republican enters U.S. Senate race in N.J." New Jersey Globe. Retrieved November 22, 2023.
  70. Fox, Joey (January 3, 2024). "Pemberton resident drops GOP presidential bid, will run for Senate instead". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved January 3, 2024.
  71. Wildstein, David (September 18, 2023). "Serrano Glassner Announces Bid To Unseat Menendez". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved September 18, 2023.
  72. "Gregg Mele takes on Robert Menendez in 2024 US Senate Race in NJ". Fox 59. June 29, 2023. Retrieved October 12, 2023.
  73. Wildstein, David (January 16, 2024). "Curtis Bashaw likely to enter GOP U.S. Senate race". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved January 16, 2024.
  74. Wildstein, David (December 20, 2023). "Justin Michael Murphy planning to enter GOP U.S. Senate race in N.J." New Jersey Globe. Retrieved December 20, 2023.
  75. Wildstein, David (January 17, 2024). "Possible U.S. Senate candidate Alex Zdan launches campaign-style video, website". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved January 17, 2024.
  76. Rooney, Matt (December 10, 2023). "EXCLUSIVE: Melinda Ciattarelli testing the waters for 2024 U.S. Senate run". Save Jersey. Retrieved December 10, 2023.
  77. Wildstein, David (August 31, 2023). "Former N.J. State Treasurer mulls U.S. Senate run against Menendez". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved August 31, 2023.
  78. "Brazilian senatorial candidate from NJ participates in pro-Bolsonaro event in Massachusetts". Brazilian Times. October 26, 2022.
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  80. Gregorian, Dareh (September 24, 2023). "Chris Christie rules out running for indicted New Jersey Sen. Bob Menendez's seat". NBC News. Retrieved September 24, 2023.
  81. Fox, Joey (December 8, 2023). "Van Drew won't run for Senate". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved December 8, 2023.
  82. Wildstein, David (September 19, 2023). "Kean Endorses Serrano Glassner For U.S. Senate". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved September 19, 2023.
  83. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Fox, Joey (September 25, 2023). "Serrano Glassner gets heap of endorsements from Morris County". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved September 25, 2023.
  84. Fox, Joey (December 11, 2023). "Serrano Glassner gets endorsement from Hudson GOP chair". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
  85. Wildstein, David (January 16, 2024). "Socialist Workers Party will field candidate for U.S. Senate". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved January 16, 2024.
  86. "FEC FORM 2" (PDF). FEC. November 7, 2023. Retrieved December 10, 2023.
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  90. "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  91. "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
Official campaign websites
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